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Advanced Bathing Water Forecasting – Aarhus Water Case Story 
Nick Elderfield 
Managing DirectorDHI Water Environments
Integratedreal-time control and warning for urban areas and receiving waters 
© DHI #2
© DHI 
Aarhus –Denmark 
… Second largest city in Denmark 
… European Cultural Capital 2017 - RETHINK Aarhus 
…Located by the Sea 
…310,000 inhabitants 
#3 
©Sculpturesbythesea 
©visitaarhus
© DHI 
Aarhus –Danish for Progress 
… Architecture and art 
… Business and industries 
…Aarhus University 
…Recreational and active use of the environment 
#4
Project domain 
© DHI #5
Motivation 
© DHI #6
© DHI 
Project drivers 
…Integrating water into the urban space 
… Recreationaluse of water 
…New housing area on the harbor front 
…Rapid city development 
#7 
©Politiken 
©Aarhus.dk
A forward looking project made in co-operation 
between Aarhus Municipality 
and Aarhus Water 
From overall vision for the future 
to concrete plan of actions. 
Water Vision 2100 
”Pure water both in nature 
and for drinking 
– now and in the future 2100 
© Aarhus Water 
© DHI 8
© DHI 
Expected project outcome 
…Improved water quality/partly bathing water in River Aarhus 
… Bathing water in the Harbour(hygienic) 
…Bathing water in Lake Brabrand(hygienic) 
#9 
© Aarhus Water 
© Aarhus Water 
© Aarhus Water
From vision to operation 
© DHI #10
© DHI 
3 projects -1 solution 
…Implementation of infrastructure 2007-2012 
…Integrated model based control and warning 
PREPARED 
2009-2013 
…Analysis and design 
2006-2007 
#11
Boundary conditions 
© DHI 
River through the city 
Recipient for urban water 
Water level affects CSO 
Water level in harbour 
Defines river gradient 
Rising sea levels? 
Good water quality 
-Harbourbath 
-Housing on the harbour 
Increased flooding frequency 
Outflow depended on the sea level 
Increased rural run-off due climate changes 
AIM: To forecast the water quality in the harbour 
Optimize the capacity of the drainage system and the WWTP’s 
#12
Domain of real time system control 
© DHI #13 
A 
B 
C 
Return period 
Rainfallintensity 
Light rainreturnperiod< 1 year 
Design rainreturnperiod2-10 year 
Extreme rainreturnperiod> 100 year 
Adaptedfrom: Fratiniet al. (2012)
Challenge –Recreational water is receiving water 
© DHI 
3 wastewater treatment plants 
75 combined sewer overflows (CSO) 
58 storm water drains 
50% of the flow in the river is from WWTPs 
#14
Finding the right solution 
© DHI 
•Multiple scenario analysis based on integrated modelling 
−Retention basin volumes 
−System layout 
−WWTP capacity 
−Storm water system upgrade 
−Removal of CSO structures 
−Disinfection of WWTP effluent 
−Climate scenarios 
Mike Urban Model #15
Identified challenges 
•Sufficient storage tank volume 
−cost/space limitations in old city center 
•Sufficient water quality 
−bathing water quality in Lake BrabrandThe Harbourof Aarhus and partly in the River of Aarhus 
•Climate change 
−rain intensity and sea level rise 
© DHI #16 
© PREPARED 
© PREPARED 
© PREPARED
Solution -50 mill. EUR project 2009-2013 
•Infrastructure investment 
−9 retention basins 
−Disinfection at WWTPs and basin 
−Increased hydraulic capacity at WWTPs 
•Optimized control System 
−Integrated real time modelling/control (sewer system/WWTP) 
−Early Warning System 
© DHI #17
Integrated Real Time Control System 
© DHI 
SCADA 
Models 
Rainfall forecast 
•Automated operation of: 
−Data collection 
−Data processing 
−Model execution 
−Findingthe optimal solution 
−Control of structures 
−Issuewarnings 
#18
Integrated real-time control 
© DHI 
Sewer 
#19
DHI Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) 
•Small scale weather radar 
−X-band radar 
•Range 
•60 km for forecast 
•20 km for Quantitative Est. 
•Spatial resolution (Cartesian) 
•500x500, 250x250, 100x100 m 
•Image frequency 
•1 or 5 minute 
LAWR installation in Aarhus Denmark. 
© DHI #20
© DHI 
MIKE 11 
MIKE URBAN 
MIKE 3 
MIKE SHE 
Data flow Model preparation 
Model execution 
Real time control 
Issues of warning 
DIMS.CORE 
Distributed rainfallfrom DHI Radar 
Automated Integrated Modelling
DHI bathing water forecast service 
© DHI #22 
Live data from CSO’s and river model for forecasting 
Deterministic coastal models of fate of pollutants 
Live warning and information dissemination
•App and web based public warning system 
Public information on bathing water quality 
© DHI #23
Internet 
24 
EnvironmentalSection 
Aarhus Municipality 
Aarhus Water 
Utility company 
Waterforecast 
Operated by DHI 
One realtimesystem - Integrating data from multiple organizations and authorities 
© DHI
Status 
© DHI #25
© DHI 
Project Status 
…Improved water quality in River Aarhus 
… Bathing water in the Harbour(hygienic) 
…Bathing water in Lake Brabrand(hygienic) 
 
 
 
#26 
© Stiften 
©Politiken 
© Stiften
Saving in investment 
© DHI 
•Ordinary and larger retention basins79 million EUR 
•Controllable and smaller retention basins45,6 million EUR 
•Automation and control system1,7 million EUR 
•Total47,3 million EUR 
•Saving32 million EUR 
40 % 
#27
Our world is 
water 
© DHI 
Introducing DHI 
The expert in WATER ENVIRONMENTS 
#28
© DHI 
Our areas of expertise 
to help solve the world’s toughest challenges in water environments 
Aqua- & agriculture Marine structure & energy Climate change 
Coast & marine Surface & ground water Urban water 
Industry Environment & ecosystems Product safety & environmental risks 
#29
Who we are…and why we can claim to bethe expert in water environments 
© DHI #30
Our people advance our knowledge and deliver it worldwide 
Highly qualifiedEqual employment 
1100+ staff 
120 man years R&D 
Representing 56 nationalitiesGlobal knowledge sharing & staff mobility 
© DHI #31
What we know 
Global knowledge of water environments
At our Core 
Making this knowledge accessible
For more details 
Nick Elderfield, DHI Water Environments UK Ltd 
nje@dhigroup.com 
© DHI #34

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Advanced Bathing Water Forecasting - Aarhus Water Case Story

  • 1. Advanced Bathing Water Forecasting – Aarhus Water Case Story Nick Elderfield Managing DirectorDHI Water Environments
  • 2. Integratedreal-time control and warning for urban areas and receiving waters © DHI #2
  • 3. © DHI Aarhus –Denmark … Second largest city in Denmark … European Cultural Capital 2017 - RETHINK Aarhus …Located by the Sea …310,000 inhabitants #3 ©Sculpturesbythesea ©visitaarhus
  • 4. © DHI Aarhus –Danish for Progress … Architecture and art … Business and industries …Aarhus University …Recreational and active use of the environment #4
  • 7. © DHI Project drivers …Integrating water into the urban space … Recreationaluse of water …New housing area on the harbor front …Rapid city development #7 ©Politiken ©Aarhus.dk
  • 8. A forward looking project made in co-operation between Aarhus Municipality and Aarhus Water From overall vision for the future to concrete plan of actions. Water Vision 2100 ”Pure water both in nature and for drinking – now and in the future 2100 © Aarhus Water © DHI 8
  • 9. © DHI Expected project outcome …Improved water quality/partly bathing water in River Aarhus … Bathing water in the Harbour(hygienic) …Bathing water in Lake Brabrand(hygienic) #9 © Aarhus Water © Aarhus Water © Aarhus Water
  • 10. From vision to operation © DHI #10
  • 11. © DHI 3 projects -1 solution …Implementation of infrastructure 2007-2012 …Integrated model based control and warning PREPARED 2009-2013 …Analysis and design 2006-2007 #11
  • 12. Boundary conditions © DHI River through the city Recipient for urban water Water level affects CSO Water level in harbour Defines river gradient Rising sea levels? Good water quality -Harbourbath -Housing on the harbour Increased flooding frequency Outflow depended on the sea level Increased rural run-off due climate changes AIM: To forecast the water quality in the harbour Optimize the capacity of the drainage system and the WWTP’s #12
  • 13. Domain of real time system control © DHI #13 A B C Return period Rainfallintensity Light rainreturnperiod< 1 year Design rainreturnperiod2-10 year Extreme rainreturnperiod> 100 year Adaptedfrom: Fratiniet al. (2012)
  • 14. Challenge –Recreational water is receiving water © DHI 3 wastewater treatment plants 75 combined sewer overflows (CSO) 58 storm water drains 50% of the flow in the river is from WWTPs #14
  • 15. Finding the right solution © DHI •Multiple scenario analysis based on integrated modelling −Retention basin volumes −System layout −WWTP capacity −Storm water system upgrade −Removal of CSO structures −Disinfection of WWTP effluent −Climate scenarios Mike Urban Model #15
  • 16. Identified challenges •Sufficient storage tank volume −cost/space limitations in old city center •Sufficient water quality −bathing water quality in Lake BrabrandThe Harbourof Aarhus and partly in the River of Aarhus •Climate change −rain intensity and sea level rise © DHI #16 © PREPARED © PREPARED © PREPARED
  • 17. Solution -50 mill. EUR project 2009-2013 •Infrastructure investment −9 retention basins −Disinfection at WWTPs and basin −Increased hydraulic capacity at WWTPs •Optimized control System −Integrated real time modelling/control (sewer system/WWTP) −Early Warning System © DHI #17
  • 18. Integrated Real Time Control System © DHI SCADA Models Rainfall forecast •Automated operation of: −Data collection −Data processing −Model execution −Findingthe optimal solution −Control of structures −Issuewarnings #18
  • 19. Integrated real-time control © DHI Sewer #19
  • 20. DHI Local Area Weather Radar (LAWR) •Small scale weather radar −X-band radar •Range •60 km for forecast •20 km for Quantitative Est. •Spatial resolution (Cartesian) •500x500, 250x250, 100x100 m •Image frequency •1 or 5 minute LAWR installation in Aarhus Denmark. © DHI #20
  • 21. © DHI MIKE 11 MIKE URBAN MIKE 3 MIKE SHE Data flow Model preparation Model execution Real time control Issues of warning DIMS.CORE Distributed rainfallfrom DHI Radar Automated Integrated Modelling
  • 22. DHI bathing water forecast service © DHI #22 Live data from CSO’s and river model for forecasting Deterministic coastal models of fate of pollutants Live warning and information dissemination
  • 23. •App and web based public warning system Public information on bathing water quality © DHI #23
  • 24. Internet 24 EnvironmentalSection Aarhus Municipality Aarhus Water Utility company Waterforecast Operated by DHI One realtimesystem - Integrating data from multiple organizations and authorities © DHI
  • 26. © DHI Project Status …Improved water quality in River Aarhus … Bathing water in the Harbour(hygienic) …Bathing water in Lake Brabrand(hygienic)    #26 © Stiften ©Politiken © Stiften
  • 27. Saving in investment © DHI •Ordinary and larger retention basins79 million EUR •Controllable and smaller retention basins45,6 million EUR •Automation and control system1,7 million EUR •Total47,3 million EUR •Saving32 million EUR 40 % #27
  • 28. Our world is water © DHI Introducing DHI The expert in WATER ENVIRONMENTS #28
  • 29. © DHI Our areas of expertise to help solve the world’s toughest challenges in water environments Aqua- & agriculture Marine structure & energy Climate change Coast & marine Surface & ground water Urban water Industry Environment & ecosystems Product safety & environmental risks #29
  • 30. Who we are…and why we can claim to bethe expert in water environments © DHI #30
  • 31. Our people advance our knowledge and deliver it worldwide Highly qualifiedEqual employment 1100+ staff 120 man years R&D Representing 56 nationalitiesGlobal knowledge sharing & staff mobility © DHI #31
  • 32. What we know Global knowledge of water environments
  • 33. At our Core Making this knowledge accessible
  • 34. For more details Nick Elderfield, DHI Water Environments UK Ltd nje@dhigroup.com © DHI #34