9. 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5%
Current Market Price (31/03/16)
Upside/Downside
Indian Hospitality Industy is growing(7%) belo
growth rate can
Years (t)
Discounted FCFF
Sum of Discounted FCFF (Valuve of Company)
Shares Outstanding
FCFF per share
26. 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Current Market Price (31/03/16)
Upside/Downside
Indian Hospitality Industy is growing(7%) belo
growth rate can
Years (t)
Discounted FCFF
Sum of Discounted FCFF (Valuve of Company)
Shares Outstanding
FCFF per share
45. 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6%
Current Market Price (31/03/16)
Upside/Downside
Indian Hospitality Industy is growing(7%) belo
growth rate can
Years (t)
Discounted FCFF
Sum of Discounted FCFF (Valuve of Company)
Shares Outstanding
FCFF per share
55. Company Profiles
Indian Hotels Company
EIH Limited
Mahindra Holidays and Resorts India Limited
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Analysis
Revenue Growth: The revenue growth of the companies have been assumed as fo
o Indian Hotels Company: A growth rate of 8% has been assumed or FY17 and
o EIH Limited: A growth rate of 7.5% has been assumed for FY17 and FY18, 7
o Mahindra Hotels and Resorts India Limited: A growth rate of 18% has been assum
The other financials are based on the revenue and the average of the last three y
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) for the companies is taken as follows:
o Indian Hotels Company: 7.5%
o EIH Limited: 8.5%
o Mahindra Hotels and Resorts India Limited: 10.6%
The Indian Hospitality industry is growing at 7% and the GDP growth is 7.6%. The
After calculating the value of the company the following recommendation can be
Investors are recommended to BUY the stock of Indian Hotels Company with a targ
Investors are recommended to BUY the stock of EIH Limited with a target of Rs12
Investors are recommended to BUY the stock of Mahindra Holidays with a target
Relative Valuation
Analysis
I dia Hotels Co pa a d its su sidia ies olle ti el k o as Taj G oup of Hotels, o ed Tata G oup
company was incorporated in 1903 and completed a century in 2003. It has 100 hotels in 62
Maldives, Malaysia, the UK, USA, Bhutan, Sri Lan
EIH Limited backed by the Oberoi Group, operates hotels and cruisers in five countries und
1934 and is also engaged in flight catering, airport restaurants, travel and tour serv
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd., (MHRIL) is a part of the Leisure and Hospitality secto
a d Clu Mahi d a Holida s a d toda has a fast g o i g usto e ase of o e , e e s a d
India and abroad.
Price to Earnings: The ratio tells how much investors are willing to pay per rupee of earnings. A h
is currently undervalued and can be a good investment opportunity for the investors. Indian Ho
invest in Mahindra Holidays than EIH and Indian Hotels Company.
56. EV/Sales: EV-to-sales gives investors a quantifiable metric of how much it costs to purchase the c
prospects are not very attractive. EV-to-sales values usually are between 1 and 3. Indian Hote
Hotels Company will greatly increase in the future.
EV/EBITDA: EV-to-EBITDA is a valuation multiple which gives the value of the company along w
indicates that the company might be overvalued. Indian Hotels Company, EIH Limited and Mah
all the companies.
EV/EBIT: EV-to-EBIT is a aluatio ultiple hi h a s e s the uestio What is a o pa ei g alued pe e
Limited and Mahindra Holidays have EV/EBIT multiple of 37.7, 42.2, 20.97 respectively in 201
Price to Earnings Growth: The ratio is a valuation metric for determining the relative trade-off betw
the sto k i a o da e ith the sto k s u e t esti ated EP“ g o th. If the atio is less tha the sto k s EP
aluatio a d the sto k is o e alued. I dia Hotels Co pa , EIH Li ited a d Mahi d a Holida s ha e a P/E
Price to Sales: The P/S ratio measures the price of a company's stock against its annual sales. P
company is overvalued. Indian Hotels Company, EIH Limited and Mahindra Holidays have a P/
Price to Cash Flow: This ratio compares the stock's market price to the amount of cash flow the c
a high price but is not generating enough cash flows to support its operations. Indian Hotels Co
Dividend Yield Ratio: The dividend yield is a financial ratio that measures the amount of cash di
companies with low dividend yield and for investors who are looking for dividend as a regular
are looking for capital appreciation can invest in these companies. This is because every rupee
Price to Book Value: This ratio tells how many times a company's stock is trading per share co
Company, EIH Limited and Mahindra Holidays have a P/B of 2.5, 2.2 and 4.9 respectively in 20
57. ed as follows:
r FY17 and FY18 and 7% for FY19, FY20 and FY21.
FY18, 7% for FY19 and 6% for FY20 and FY21.
as been assumed for FY17 and FY18, 7% for FY19 and 19% for FY20 and FY21.
ree years.
ws:
. The hospitality industry is growing marginally below GDP growth rate so a terminal growth rate between 4-5%
an be given for each of the companies:
a target of Rs118.19 and an upside of 19% on the current market price (31/3/2016).
f Rs127.75 and an upside of 22% on the current market price (31/3/2016).
target of Rs442.43 and an upside of 14% on the current market price (31/3/2016).
f Hotels, o ed Tata G oup is o e of the Asia s la gest a d fi est g oup of hotels. The
ls in 62 locations across India and its international presence includes 15 hotels in the
tan, Sri Lanka, Africa and the Middle East.
tries under the luxury 'Oberoi' and five-star 'Trident' brands. Its history dates back to
r services, car rentals, project management and corporate air charters.
sector of the Mahindra Group. It started its operations in 1996 with its flagship
of o e , e e s a d 6 eautiful eso ts at so e of the ost e oti lo atio s i
abroad.
ings. A high P/E ratio means that the investors are expecting higher earnings from the company when compared
ian Hotels Company, EIH Limited and Mahindra Holidays have a P/E of 48.9, 59.1 and 29 respectively in 2016
58. ase the company's sales. A high EV-to-sales can be a sign that investors believe the future sales will greatly increase. A lo
Hotels Company, EIH Limited and Mahindra Holidays have EV/Sales multiple of 5, 4.4, 3.55 respectively in 20
ng with the debt of the company. It is a common ratio which is used for valuation of takeovers. A low ratio ind
Mahindra Holidays have EV/EBITDA multiple of 26.5, 23.4, 14.54 respectively in 2016. This indicates that M
a o pa ei g alued pe ea h upee of EBIT? A high ultiple ea s the o pa is o e alued a d lo ultiple ea s the o
in 2016. It is costlier to takeover Indian Hotels Company and EIH Limited when compared to Mahindra Holidays
e-off between the price of a stock, the earnings generated per share (EPS), and the company's expected growt
io is less tha the sto k s EP“ g o th ill su pass a ket s aluatio a d the sto k is u de alued. If the atio is g eate tha the
Mahi d a Holida s ha e a P/E G o th of . , . a d espe ti el i 6. I dia Hotels Co pa s sto k is u de alued hile the
al sales. P/S reflects how many times investors are paying for every rupee of a company's sales. A lower ratio means the
a P/S of 4.3, 4.2 and 3.6 respectively in 2016.
f cash flow the company generates on a per-share basis. A smaller ratio is considered better than a higher multiple. This is becau
tels Company, EIH Limited and Mahindra Holidays have a P/B of 0.23, 0.50 and 3.3 respectively in 2016.
f cash dividends distributed to common shareholders relative to the market value per share. Investors who are
a regular income will prefer companies with high dividend yield. Indian Hotels Company, EIH Limited and Mahind
rupee that is not distributed as dividend is used for the growth of the company.
per share compared to the company's book value per share. A lower P/B ratio is considered good for investment as
in 2016. By considering the P/B ratio investors are recommended to invest in EIH than Indian Hotels Compan
59. n 4-5% can be assumed for each of the companies.
mpared to companies with lower P/E. A lower P/E means the company
in 2016. By considering the P/E ratio investors are recommended to
60. reatly increase. A lower EV-to-sales can signal that the future sales
in 2016. This indicates that the investors believe that the sales of Indian
ratio indicates that a company might be undervalued, and a high ratio
that Mahindra Holidays can be a potential target for a takeover among
d lo ultiple ea s the o pa is u de alued. I dia Hotels Co pa , EIH
lidays.
ed growth. If the ratio is 1 it means that the market is correctly valuing
he atio is g eate tha the the sto k s EP“ g o th is less tha the a ket s
sto k is u de alued hile the othe t o a e o e alued.
r ratio means the company is undervalued and a high ratio means the
ltiple. This is because a high P/CF ratio would mean the firm is trading at
are looking for a capital appreciation as the main return will prefer
ahindra Holidays have a dividend yield of 0-1% in 2016. Investors who
ent as the stock is undervalued and it is good to invest. Indian Hotels
pany and Mahindra Holidays.