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A"er	
  Posi*vism:	
  What’s	
  Le"?	
  
“…no	
  statement	
  which	
  refers	
  to	
  a	
  ‘reality’	
  
transcending	
  the	
  limits	
  of	
  all	
  possible	
  
experience	
  can	
  possibly	
  have	
  any	
  literal	
  
significance;	
  from	
  which	
  it	
  must	
  follow	
  
that…	
  those	
  who	
  have	
  striven	
  to	
  describe	
  
such	
  a	
  reality	
  have	
  all	
  been	
  devoted	
  to	
  the	
  
produc*on	
  of	
  nonsense.”	
  

                                  Alfred	
  Jules	
  Ayer,	
  
                “The	
  Elimina*on	
  of	
  Metaphysics”	
  
Karl	
  Popper	
  
(1902	
  –	
  1994)	
  
Problem	
  No.	
  1:	
  
“Verifica*on”	
  is	
  too	
  strong	
  a	
  criterion.	
  

If	
  truth	
  value	
  requires	
  verifica*on,	
  then	
  
     some	
  proposi*ons	
  can	
  never	
  be	
  
     considered	
  conclusively	
  true.	
  	
  
“All	
  sheep	
  are	
  white.”	
  
“All	
  sheep	
  are	
  white.”	
  
“All	
  sheep	
  are	
  white.”	
  
verifica*on	
  




Moritz	
  Schlick	
  


                         falsifica*on	
  
                                           Karl	
  Popper	
  
A.	
  J.	
  Ayer	
  
(1910	
  –	
  1989)	
  
strong	
  verifiability:	
  verifica*on	
  that	
  
makes	
  the	
  truth	
  value	
  of	
  a	
  proposi*on	
  
certain	
  


weak	
  verifiability:	
  verifica*on	
  that	
  
makes	
  the	
  truth	
  value	
  of	
  a	
  proposi*on	
  
probable	
  
“Most	
  sheep	
  are	
  white.”	
  
Problem	
  No.	
  2:	
  
          The	
  Problem	
  of	
  Induc*on	
  

induc5ve	
  reasoning:	
  extrac*ng	
  a	
  
  generaliza*on	
  from	
  specific	
  facts	
  or	
  
  cases.	
  	
  
induc*ve	
  reasoning	
  

1.  In	
  the	
  past,	
  most	
  sheep	
  have	
  
    been	
  white.	
  
2.  Today,	
  most	
  sheep	
  are	
  white.	
  
3.  Therefore,	
  in	
  the	
  future	
  most	
  
    sheep	
  will	
  probably	
  be	
  white.	
  
induc*ve	
  reasoning	
  

1.  In	
  the	
  past,	
  the	
  future	
  has	
  
    resembled	
  the	
  past.	
  
2.  Today,	
  the	
  future	
  resembles	
  
    the	
  past.	
  
3.  Therefore,	
  in	
  the	
  future,	
  the	
  
    future	
  will	
  probably	
  resemble	
  
    the	
  past.	
  
Kurt	
  Gödel	
  
(1906	
  –	
  1978)	
  
Gödel’s	
  First	
  Incompleteness	
  Theorem	
  	
  
Any	
  effec5vely	
  generated	
  theory	
  capable	
  of	
  
      expressing	
  elementary	
  arithme5c	
  cannot	
  be	
  
      both	
  consistent	
  and	
  complete.	
  
	
  In	
  par5cular,	
  for	
  any	
  consistent,	
  effec5vely	
  
      generated	
  formal	
  theory	
  that	
  proves	
  certain	
  
      basic	
  arithme5c	
  truths,	
  there	
  is	
  an	
  
      arithme5cal	
  statement	
  that	
  is	
  true,	
  but	
  not	
  
      provable	
  in	
  the	
  theory.	
  
In	
  other	
  words….	
  
An	
  arithme*c	
  system,	
  for	
  instance	
  a	
  finite	
  set	
  of	
  
  axioms,	
  cannot	
  be	
  BOTH	
  consistent	
  and	
  
  complete.	
  
where….	
  
Consistent	
  –>	
  contains	
  no	
  logical/mathema*cal	
  
  contradic*ons	
  
Complete	
  –>	
  describes	
  all	
  possible	
  logical/
  mathema*cal	
  statements.	
  
In	
  other	
  words….	
  
…there	
  is	
  an	
  arithme*c	
  statement	
  that	
  is	
  true,	
  
 but	
  not	
  provable	
  by	
  the	
  theory.	
  




Finite	
  lists	
  of	
  axioms	
  cannot	
  describe	
  a	
  system	
  
  where	
  all	
  statements	
  are	
  shown	
  to	
  be	
  true/
  false.	
  
What	
  does	
  that	
  mean	
  for	
  ra*onalism?	
  
Logical	
  systems	
  can	
  not	
  be	
  universal	
  
            systems	
  of	
  thought.	
  
…which	
  is	
  one	
  descrip*on	
  of:	
  



     Modernism	
  
Things	
  fall	
  apart;	
  the	
  center	
  cannot	
  hold;	
  
Mere	
  anarchy	
  is	
  loosed	
  upon	
  the	
  world…	
  	
  


William	
  Butler	
  Yeats,	
  “ The	
  Second	
  Coming”	
  
“Did	
  you	
  love	
  your	
  
father?”	
  

“Yes.”	
  

“Prove	
  it.”	
  

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Modernism Science and Uncertainty

  • 2. “…no  statement  which  refers  to  a  ‘reality’   transcending  the  limits  of  all  possible   experience  can  possibly  have  any  literal   significance;  from  which  it  must  follow   that…  those  who  have  striven  to  describe   such  a  reality  have  all  been  devoted  to  the   produc*on  of  nonsense.”   Alfred  Jules  Ayer,   “The  Elimina*on  of  Metaphysics”  
  • 3. Karl  Popper   (1902  –  1994)  
  • 4. Problem  No.  1:   “Verifica*on”  is  too  strong  a  criterion.   If  truth  value  requires  verifica*on,  then   some  proposi*ons  can  never  be   considered  conclusively  true.    
  • 5. “All  sheep  are  white.”  
  • 6. “All  sheep  are  white.”  
  • 7. “All  sheep  are  white.”  
  • 8. verifica*on   Moritz  Schlick   falsifica*on   Karl  Popper  
  • 9. A.  J.  Ayer   (1910  –  1989)  
  • 10. strong  verifiability:  verifica*on  that   makes  the  truth  value  of  a  proposi*on   certain   weak  verifiability:  verifica*on  that   makes  the  truth  value  of  a  proposi*on   probable  
  • 11. “Most  sheep  are  white.”  
  • 12. Problem  No.  2:   The  Problem  of  Induc*on   induc5ve  reasoning:  extrac*ng  a   generaliza*on  from  specific  facts  or   cases.    
  • 13. induc*ve  reasoning   1.  In  the  past,  most  sheep  have   been  white.   2.  Today,  most  sheep  are  white.   3.  Therefore,  in  the  future  most   sheep  will  probably  be  white.  
  • 14. induc*ve  reasoning   1.  In  the  past,  the  future  has   resembled  the  past.   2.  Today,  the  future  resembles   the  past.   3.  Therefore,  in  the  future,  the   future  will  probably  resemble   the  past.  
  • 15. Kurt  Gödel   (1906  –  1978)  
  • 16. Gödel’s  First  Incompleteness  Theorem     Any  effec5vely  generated  theory  capable  of   expressing  elementary  arithme5c  cannot  be   both  consistent  and  complete.    In  par5cular,  for  any  consistent,  effec5vely   generated  formal  theory  that  proves  certain   basic  arithme5c  truths,  there  is  an   arithme5cal  statement  that  is  true,  but  not   provable  in  the  theory.  
  • 17. In  other  words….   An  arithme*c  system,  for  instance  a  finite  set  of   axioms,  cannot  be  BOTH  consistent  and   complete.  
  • 18. where….   Consistent  –>  contains  no  logical/mathema*cal   contradic*ons   Complete  –>  describes  all  possible  logical/ mathema*cal  statements.  
  • 19. In  other  words….   …there  is  an  arithme*c  statement  that  is  true,   but  not  provable  by  the  theory.   Finite  lists  of  axioms  cannot  describe  a  system   where  all  statements  are  shown  to  be  true/ false.  
  • 20. What  does  that  mean  for  ra*onalism?  
  • 21. Logical  systems  can  not  be  universal   systems  of  thought.  
  • 22. …which  is  one  descrip*on  of:   Modernism  
  • 23. Things  fall  apart;  the  center  cannot  hold;   Mere  anarchy  is  loosed  upon  the  world…     William  Butler  Yeats,  “ The  Second  Coming”  
  • 24. “Did  you  love  your   father?”   “Yes.”   “Prove  it.”