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Olivia Devoti, Ava Di Leo, Francesca Druback, Kim Geissler,
Vanessa Gutzeit, Danica Pagulayan, Kelly Zdanowicz
PROVEN CAUSES:
1) Low income
2) Slow growth
3) Dependence on
primary commodity
exports
Others:
 Donations from despotic
communities
 Geography
 Those who have recently had
conflict (Within 10 years)
DISPROVEN CAUSES:
 Political repression
 Particular racial/ethnic
groups are repressed
 Intergroup hatreds
 Income inequality
 Colonial history
 Ethnic diversity
Other Problems
Caused by Increased
Conflict
•Longer conflict
causes:
•Lower income
•Exports to
become more
valuable
•Wartime economy
traps country in a
spending cycle
•Military
spending has to
remain increased
after conflict has
ended
REASONS FOR JOINING
CONFLICT:
 Hopes of attaining wealth
 Lives or families lives are
threatened
 Kidnapped
 Young/Uneducated
 Ex: Lord’s Resistence Army
EFFECTS:
 Original rebellion cause is
harder to follow because of
young and uneducated
group
 Children loose education
and therefore hinder the
countries future of rising
out of conflict trap
 Bottom billion at 1/6 risk of falling into trap
 Two Scenarios:
 Conflict right after independence or previous conflict
 Long peace and then conflict
 Both cause:
 All growth made in peace time to be lost
 Increases risk of further war
 Legacy of organized killing
 Armies are not longer trusted
▪ ex: Republic of Congo
 Trap:
 Growth decrease from war and cost of war move countries right back
into conflict because this keeps them with the 3 causes
 After conflict countries have 50% chance of re-entering into conflict
and need approximately half a decade to make up growth lost,
making it almost impossible to ever make up lost growth because they
continue to fall into conflict
Countries in the
ConflictTrap
•Uganda
•Rwanda
•Angola
•Sierra Leone
•Zimbabwe
•Sudan
•Algeria
•Cambodia
•Liberia
•Somalia
•Republic of
Congo
 Caused by:
 Low income
 Low growth
 Once a country
has a coup they
are more likely to
have more coups
 Cause the country
to be more afraid
of their own
military
coup d'etat - the violent overthrow or
alteration of an existing government by a
small group
Allow foreign countries to come and take
command of the country that is in jeopardy
Because
Foreign intervention ends a conflict by:
•helping one side defeat the other
•acting as a mediator
•creating a peaceful settlement between the warring parties
•http://www.globalissues.org/article/84/conflicts-in-africa-introduction
•http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1582308,00.html
•http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XIoJrrKixBM
•http://www.ohrd.wisc.edu/onlinetraining/resolution/aboutwhatisit.htm
•http://www.un.org/children/conflict/english/videos.htm
•http://www.nation.co.ke/image/view/-/553248/medRes/61205/-
/maxw/600/-/1pd4b6/-/congo1011f.gif
•http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2008/11/18/article-0-027F3118000005DC-
398_468x313.jpg

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Causes and Effects of Conflict Traps