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Local Economic Development
    in the Urban Context



   The Israeli Mayors’ Institute on City Renewal
                 September 2011
               nachman@miu.org.il
                  www.miu.org.il
• What is the current thinking on LED and how did it develop?
   – A bit of history
Economic Development
  before the 1800s…
              • …was boring!
                – Production followed
                  Population




 Production
The Industrial Revolution




                  English-speaking
                  Japan
                  northwest Europe
                  the rest of Europe and Europe-dominated
                      economies in Latin America.
                  the rest of Asia and Africa.
A Brief History of LED
Prior to WWII                            Post WWII
•   Economic Development was     •         A new concept was born - Economic
    focused by each nation on              Development aid to other nations
    developing their own economy           aimed at improving quality of life
    – Included trade with other            without altering basic social structures
      nations                              (conquering)
    – Included investment in                – Driven by multiple factors:
      territories, colonies and other           • The recognized need for global
      nations directly or indirectly              stability – to avert another WW
      under the control of empires in           • Political influence – the ―cold war‖
      order to exploit their resources          • Create bigger markets for goods and
                                                  services – globalization
                                            – Creation of the UN, the WorldBank,
                                              the IMF, ITO / GATT / WTO
                                            – The Marshall Plan
                                            – Creation of USAID
                                         • Continued investment in own LED
A Brief History of LED
The success of the Marshall Plan kicked off




                                                  1960s to         1980s to mid         Late1990s
                                                 early1980s           1990s              onwards
          three waves of LED




                                                                   Regions /          Cities and
                                                Nations
                                                                    Sectors            Towns

                                                                                      Skills/Education,
                                                     Hard           Attract Foreign
                                                                                      Attractive Policies
                                              Infrastructure and   Investment and
                                                                                              and
                                                Manufacturing       Support Local
                                                                                        Public/Private
                                                  Transplants        Businesses
                                                                                         Partnerships
Summary of Current Thinking on LED


                     Goal is quality of life for all

  Employment         Environment           Livibility         Social inclusion



  Participatory            Growth of local
                                                         Focus on cities
   approach                 businesses
• Including all           • Promotion and               • As engines of
  stakeholders and          support of                    economic
  sectors                   innovation and                development
• Led by local              entrepreneurship            • As a great place to
  government                (both business and            live and work
                            social)                     • Urban regeneration
                          • Business friendly             as a tool
                            policies
• Why is so much invested and so little accomplished?
   – The outdated view of LED in Israel
Summary of Outdated Thinking on LED



                   Goal is Employment Generation



      Top-Down               Attract outside        Focus on
      approach                businesses             regions
 • Central Government       • Promotion and     • Attempts to
   conceived, controlled,     support of big      jumpstart and
   and directed               business            support LED over
   strategies                 transplants         entire regions
 • Total dependence on      • Attract outside   • Connect under-
   central government         investments and     developed regions
                              outside talent      to successful ones
Typical Shortcuts proposed for LED

• Attract:
  – Outside investment
  – Outside transplants
  – Outside talent
  – Outside residents
• Connect:
  – Under-developed regions to successful ones


  … if only LED was so easy…
Attract Big Outside Business Transplants
•   How
    – Provide incentives to big businesses to move to your city
    – New industrial parks at the outskirts of city
•   Why it doesn’t work
    – Good candidates for transplant are bad at helping develop the local economy…
          • Good candidates for transplant, need to be relatively independent of local suppliers,
            customers, talent, financers, etc…

    – Demand for transplants is so high relative to the supply that the price to be paid
      to attract them (through incentives) is higher than the benefit.
    – Supply of industrial parks is higher than demand
    – Economic development depends more on business variety than on size
          • Better to have many small different businesses than a few large businesses

• What can be done instead?
    – Later in the presentation
Attract Outside Talent / Affluent Residents
•   How
    – Lavish marketing, branding and advertising campaigns that
      focus on outsiders
    – Incentives to relocate to your city / town
    – New ―luxury‖ neighborhoods on the outskirts of the city / town
    – Regional colleges and universities in fenced off campuses
      outside of cities / towns
•   Why it doesn’t work
     – Talent enables mobility
     – Demand for talent is so high relative to the supply that the price to attract them
       (through incentives) is higher than the benefit
     – People talented in one area expect talent in all other areas that effect their life
          • work, school, services, goods, entertainment, recreation and culture
     – Demoralizing message to existing residents – ―you are not good enough‖
     – Regional colleges do not create a strong connection to any city / town
•   What can be done instead?
     – Later in the presentation
Connect Under-Developed Regions to
             Successful Ones
•   How
     – Highways from the furthest towns and cities to the center
       of Israel
     – Trains also, with stations on the outskirts of cities and
       towns
•   Why it doesn’t work
     – Commute times of over 60min a day are hard to sustain long term for a
       significant population
     – It is more common that successful cities develop goods and services that
       remote towns need than the other way around
     – ―Great Cities‖ develop the towns in the region that surround them from the
       closest to the furthest, in that order
          • The influence of the ―Great City‖ will be felt in a town only after the towns closer to the city have
            been influenced significantly

•   What can be done instead?
     – Later in presentation
Economic Development is not ―Fair‖
• The strong get stronger
  – Successful cities / towns create and attract more talent,
    investments and businesses and become more
    successful…                  ~15% bonus in economic
                                  output for doubling city size!

• LED is incremental
  – It develops based on the existing local economy
  – There is NO shortcut!
  – But, when it works, the process can be fast…

    How do you leverage natural
    development forces?
• Why do people gather together in cities?
  – to survive and develop
The World is Getting More
             Urbanized
• Opportunities are focused in Cities where people concentrate



Half the world’s population
occupies only 1.5% of the
world’s land area




                       Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu       16
                                   Dey
The World is Getting More Urbanized


                   100
                                                                                 Israel 92%
                                                                                                                                        87
                                                                                                                    85
                                                                                                    80                             80
                   80                                                                                          77
                                                                                                                              74                       73 75
                                                                                               73                                                 72

                                                                                          66                             64
                                        61                                                                    61                             61
                   60
         Percent




                                                            54                  54
                                                                                     51
                                   48

                                                                                                         42
                                                       39                  39
                   40         37

                         29
                                                  25                  24

                   20                        15
                                                                 17




                    0
                         World                Africa                  Asia           Europe                Latin   Northern                  Oceania
                                                                                                          America America
                                                                                                          and the
                                                                                                         Caribbean
                                                                                                                                                         17
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
                                                       1950            1975               2003            2030
More Big Cities and
              Big Cities are Getting Bigger
    ~15% bonus in economic
    output for doubling city size!


•   Successful cities grow to metros
•   Metros grow to mega-metros (>5M pop)
    – 1955 – 11 Mega-Metros
    – Today - 50 Mega-Metros
    – 2015 – 60 Mega-Metros




                                                              18
    1955 - 11 mega-metros             2015 - 60 mega-metros
Economic Output is Focused in City-Metro Regions




          • 40 Mega-Metro Regions Today
              – A resident of a mega-metro region is
                   • 8 times as productive in goods, and
                   • 24 times as productive in innovations

             Population   Economic Output         Innovations




                                                                19
• Why is development focused in cities?
  – Urban Economies
Cities Have Natural Economic Advantages
            Urban Economies

                                      Scale
                                      • Sharing of fixed costs by a large
                                        quantity of outputs




                                        Localization
                                        Agglomeration
                                        • Input-sharing and competition
                                          within the industry


                                        Urbanization
                                        Agglomeration
                                        • Innovation and exchange of
                                          ideas and technology
                                                                            21
                Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
The 12 Urban Economies
Type of economy of scale                                       Example
                1. Pecuniary                                   Being able to purchase intermediate inputs at volume discounts
                                           2. Static
Internal                                                       Falling average costs because of fixed costs of operating a plant
                                           technological
                Technological
                                           3. Dynamic
                                                               Learning to operate a plant more efficiently over time
                                           technological
                                           4. ―Shopping‖       Shoppers are attracted to places where there are many sellers

                                                               Outsourcing allows both the upstream input suppliers and downstream firms to
                                           5. ―Adam Smith‖
                                Static                         profit from productivity gains because of specialization
                Localization               6. ―Marshall‖       Workers with industry-specific skills are attracted to a location where there is a
                                           labor pooling       greater concentration
                                           7. ―Marshall-
                                                               Reductions in costs that arise from repeated and continuous production activity
                                Dynamic    Arrow-Romer‖
                                                               over time and which spill over between firms in the same place
                                           learning by doing

                                           8. ―Jane Jacobs‖    The more that different things are done locally, the more opportunity there is for
                                           innovation          observing and adapting ideas from others
External or
agglomeration                              9. ―Marshall‖       Workers in an industry bring innovations to firms in other industries; similar to
                                Static     labor pooling       no. 6 above, but the benefit arises from the diversity of industries in one location.

                Urbanization
                                                             Similar to no. 5 above, the main difference being that the division of labor is
                                           10. ―Adam Smith‖
                                                             made possible by the existence of many different buying industries in the same
                                           division of labor
                                                             place

                                           11. ―Romer‖         The larger the market, the higher the profit; the more attractive the location to
                                Dynamic    endogenous          firms, the more jobs there are; the more labor pools there, the larger the
                                           growth              market—and so on

                                                               Spreading fixed costs of infrastructure over more taxpayers; diseconomies arise
                12. ―Pure‖ agglomeration
                                                               from congestion and pollution
• Why focus on city design?
  – Cities have natural economic advantages
Cities have natural
   economic advantages
  Poor city design               Good city design

• can undermine               • can enhance these
  these advantages              advantages and
  and create barriers           catalyze economic
  to economic                   development
  development

   Improving City Design is a neglected opportunity
          for Economic Development in Israel
Typical Faults in City Design that
    Undermine Economic Advantages
•   Highway that cuts the city in half

•   Universities and Colleges in fenced off campuses on the outskirts of cities

•   Employment parks on the outskirts of cities

•   Train stations on the outskirts of cities

•   Retail malls on the outskirts of cities

•   Lack of a city center that encourages interaction of people

•   Tree-like street network undermines accessibility vs. simple grid

•   Car based sprawl and zoning vs. people based compact mixed-use development

•   Low densities that require huge investments in infrastructure and operation costs

•   Fences, fences and more fences
Highway that cuts the city in half
      Chicago        vs.      Tel-Aviv
Highlights of Smart Growth Economic Benefits




                                               Source: Growing Wealthier,
                                               Center for Clean Air Policy January 2011
Infrastructure Savings
             (construction and operation)

•   Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money.

     – Average annual cost to service a new family of four
       (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer):
         • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88
         • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222
                                                             –   Sources: Brookings Institution



                  Annual Cost to Service a New Family
            $1,400
            $1,200
            $1,000
             $800
              $600
              $400
             $200
               $-
                         Sprawling           Compact
• What about other economic advantages?
  – City design, the neglected opportunity
The Neglected Opportunity
  The Basic Structure of the Economy

             People and      • Education and Training
                             • Business and Social
               Talent          Entrepreneurship


                             •   Financial and Business

             Policies and    •
                             •
                                 Stability and Security
                                 Social Justice and Inclusion

             Institutions    •
                             •
                                 Health and Wellbeing
                                 Land Use and Planning (Real-
                                 Estate and Infrastructure)


              Place and      •
                             •
                                 Urban Form and Real-Estate
                                 Transportation and Communication

            Infrastructure   •
                             •
                                 Energy, Water and Waste
                                 Natural Resources
• Why focus on local businesses?
  – LED is incremental
Why focus on Local Businesses?
                  LED is incremental
      It develops based on the existing local economy

•   How Does Economic Development Happen?
         D + nTE + A           nD


•   Existing work generates new work!
     – D is a Division of work
         • The work required to provide a product
           or service is made up of Divisions of
           work
     – A is Additional work
         • An existing division of work inspires a
           new Additional product or service
     – TE is Trial and Error
         • Generating new work requires much
           Trial and Error
What is the difference between
    Economic Development and Economic Growth?




•   Economic development depends more on business variety than on size
    – Better to have many small different businesses than a few large businesses
• Why LED in the context of cities?
  – Different strategies for 4 types of cities
LED in the Context of Cities
     from the easiest to the most difficult

                              LED in a Great City


                   LED in the Region of a Great City


           LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


                     LED in a City that is not Great



         A Great City generates much more wealth than it consumes for mere existence.
A Great City generates enough wealth to support growth in the city as well in its surrounding region.
LED in the
Context of Cities




                                   LED in a Great City


                             LED in the Region of a Great City


                         LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


                               LED in a City that is not Great


            Beer-Sheba
•   What can be done differently to make LED more effective?
    – Some strategies and tools that leverage development forces
LED in a Great City




                                            LED in a Great City
 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great




     •           What is the role of Urban Planning and Transportation in creating a
                 great place to live and to develop economically?


                                            If the City provides
                                                        Mixed age   Small
           Density                          Mixed use
                                                        buildings   Blocks




                          It can become a LED generator
LED in a Great City




                                             LED in the Region of a Great City
  LED in the Region of a Great City


 LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


       LED in a City that is not Great




                                                                  City markets
Create a great place to live
and to develop economically
                                                                                       City jobs

Provide attractive and
efficient access to The City                                        The Five
                                                                    Economic
                                                                     Forces
                                                                  Exerted by Cities
The City will do the rest                                          on Their Own
                                                                                                City
                                                                                             developed
                                                                      Regions
                                                                                             technology



                                                             City
                                                                              Transplanted
                                                           generated
                                                                                city work
                                                            capital
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City
                                                Leveraging the five forces to
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region     accelerate LED in the region of a
                                                         Great City
      LED in a City that is not Great




                                            ToD in the Center of Regional Towns of a Great City

                                                                                                Is Beer-Sheva a Great City?




                Stockholm
          The Gr Stockholm Transit
          Oriented Metropolis                                                                The Gr Copenhagen Transit
                                                                                             Oriented Metropolis


      What about rail stations in
      the center of the towns?                              The 1961 National Capital Plan         Source – Prof. Danny Gatt
                                                            for Gr Washington BC
LED in a Town Outside a
         LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great

                                                   Great City Region
                                  Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)
                                  How?

     • Outdated thinking                                           • Current thinking –
                     – Attract:                                      Focus on
                                        •   Outside investment         – Local businesses
                                        •   Outside transplants        – Local residents
                                        •   Outside talent
                                                                       – Local connectivity
                                        •   Outside residents
                     – Connect:
                                        • Under-developed
                                          regions to successful
                                          ones
Attract Big Outside Business Transplants
•   How
    – Provide incentives to big businesses to move to your city
    – New industrial parks at the outskirts of city
•   What can be done instead? Focus on local businesses
    – Offices, retail and other non-polluting businesses in the city center
    – Retention and growth of existing local businesses – a great place for business
          • Renewal of city center

    – Development of new local businesses based on existing businesses
    – Development of local businesses for existing needs (import replacement)
          • Plugging the leaks, keep the money circulating in your city

    – Development of local businesses that leverage local and regional advantages
    – Economic development office
    – Attract outside business transplants from a neighboring ―great city‖
          • only if you are in the region of a ―great city‖ and are ―next in line‖
Attract Outside Talent / Affluent Residents
•   How
     – Lavish marketing, branding and advertising campaigns that focus on outsiders
     – Incentives to relocate to your city / town
     – New ―luxury‖ neighborhoods on the outskirts of the city / town
     – Regional colleges and universities in fenced off campuses outside of cities / towns

• What can be done instead? Focus on local residents
     – Retention and growth of existing talent – a great place to live and
       develop
          • Renewal and intensification of existing neighborhoods
     – Education and training for new talent growth
          • Colleges without fences in city centers
     – Attract outside talent from a neighboring ―great city‖
          • only if you are in the region of a ―great city‖ and are ―next in line‖
Connect Under-Developed Regions to
         Successful Ones
•   How
    – Highways from the furthest towns and cities to the center of Israel
    – Trains also, with stations on the outskirts of cities and towns

• What can be done instead? Focus on local
  connectivity
    – Transportation in the metro region of a ―Great City‖ and just beyond
    – Transportation between towns and cities in remote areas
          • To leverage regional advantages and to provide a bigger local market

    – ToD at train stations or strong connection of train stations to town
      center
    – Connect remote developing town to a successful city market
          • Only if the town has developed a very high value product or service and is
            transport limited for distribution
City Center Renewal as a LED Tool
                                                 or
        How to increase Density, Variety and Access
•Provide loans to accelerate
private storefront and
                                                       Use the ―charrette‖ collaborative planning
residence renewal                                      tool as the basis of a LED program
                                                             •Create a great place to live for local
                                                             residents
                                                             •Create a great place to succeed for local
                        First stage:                         businesses
                        • Surgical urban                     •Leverage the true identity of the city / town
                          intervention plan in               as seen by the local residents
                          the public space
                                                             •Local residents strengthen their sense of
                                                             belonging by planning their town

                                                                           •Leverage existing budgets for
                                                                           public building projects to
                                                                           implement the plan
Third stage:                                                               •Local residents are
• Private Development
                                                 Second stage:             empowered by seeing their
  Construction and                               • Renewal of the          plans adopted and
  Renovation near the                              public space            implemented
  public space
E.g. The Main Street Program's Success
              Economic Statistics

• 1980-2007 Reinvestment Statistics
• Dollars Reinvested: Total amount of reinvestment in
  physical improvements from public and private
  sources.$44.9B average
• Reinvestment per community: $11,083,273
• Net gain in businesses: 82,909
• Net gain in jobs: 370,514
• Number of building rehabilitations: 199,519
Laboratory for Urban Intensification as a LED Tool
                        or
  How to increase Density, Variety and Access


                                     •   Tools for the intensification and renewal of
                                         deteriorating urban residential
                                         neighborhoods in Israel, while reinforcing
                                         the quality of housing and urban variety.
                                     •   Aging residential projects, built by the
                                         government cheaply and quickly following
                                         massive waves of immigration in the 50s,
                                         60s and 70s, constitute the largest part of
                                         Israel’s housing stock, yet they are also the
                                         most neglected, and are characterized by:
                                          –   small residential units – cramped quarters
                                              inappropriate for growing families
                                          –   uniform housing stock – all apartments are of
                                              the same size and plan
                                          –   low-quality construction – improvements
                                              within apartments are expensive, and
                                              improvements to the building as a whole are
                                              even more so
                                          –   lack of access to amenities, community
                                              services and good consumer products
                                     •   The tool is based on Merhav’s 10 Principles
                                         for Good Urbanism
Plugging the leaks
• Keep the money circulating in your city
Thank You
 and see you in November 2011
‫כנס אשקלון־מרחב לפיתוח כלכלי עירוני‬
     "‫"העיר כמנוע לצמיחה כלכלית‬




           nachman@miu.org.il
             September 2011
              www.miu.org.il
Backup Slides
LED in a Town Outside a Great
         LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great
                                                         City Region
•         Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)

                                            • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning
    Jumpstart the
                                              any advantage into an opportunity
      economy



                                            • Earn Imports
                                            • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar towns
Leverage initial                              through innovation and improvisation
   sales to                                 • Repeat last two steps forever



                                            • Leverage current thinking on LED
                                            • Create a great place to live and to develop economically
        How?                                  • In the existing center of town
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City
                                                LED in a City that is not Great
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great




•         Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)

                                            • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning
    Jumpstart the
                                              any advantage into an opportunity
      economy



                                            • Earn Imports
                                            • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar cities
Leverage initial                              through innovation and improvisation
   sales to                                 • Repeat last two steps forever



                                            • Leverage current thinking on LED
                                            • Create a great place to live and to develop economically
         How?                                 • In a small focused area of the city (urban acupuncture)
LED in a Great City                      How to start the cycle of city
                                                            development
    LED in the Region of a Great City


   LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


         LED in a City that is not Great

                                                                Density
                                               Quality          Variety
                                                 Of               &                       The
                                                Life            Access
                                                                                        ―handle‖



                                                                          Innovation
Opportunities                                        People                   &
                                                                            Culture
                                                                                           How do you
                                                                                       advance ever closer
                                                                                        to your vision of a
                                                                                         successful town,
                                                                                          based on daily
                                                                                       decisions and based
                                           Intensity          Development              on existing budgets?
What is LED?
         The Old Simple View
• Local Economic Development is
      Employment Generation
Cities are Engines of
  Economic Development and Growth
• Why is this so?
  – Economies of scale and of agglomeration




                    Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey   55
Why is LED Important?
•   Big differences in productivity possible since the Industrial Revolution
    144x



                                            Tel-Aviv Metro Area
                                                    43% of Population
                                                    on 7% of Area
                                                    produces 59% of GDP
                                             64x




                                                                               10x
                    Pre - Industrial Revolution Agriculture
Urbanization Matters for
      Economic Growth
• Economic Growth and Urbanization are bi-
  directionally causally connected

   Economic Growth                               Urbanization




• ―… no country in the industrial age has
  ever achieved significant economic growth
  without urbanization.‖
                     Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey          57
The critical role of Merhav in
          LED in Israel
                       Goal is quality of life for all
In order to improve the quality of living in Israel, while contributing to the global
 sustainability effort, the MIU promotes qualityLivibility
  Employment              Environment             urban living based on compact,
                                                                    Social inclusion
                   quality and sustainable urban environments.


   Participatory               Growth of local
                                                              Focus on cities
    approach                    businesses
• Charrette all
  Including –                 • Making theand
                                Promotion local             • Weengines of as
                                                              As view the city
  collaborative and
  stakeholders                  environment great
                                support of                    the key mechanism
                                                              economic
  planning
  sectors with all              for the locals
                                innovation and                that provides
                                                              development
• stakeholders
  Led by local                • entrepreneurship
                                Compact, quality            • peopleregeneration
                                                              Urban the
• government
  Quality in Density            (both business and
                                and sustainable               opportunities to fulfill
                                                              as a tool
  Toolbox for all               social)
                                cities provide                their inherent
  sectors                     • opportunities and
                                Business friendly             potential
• Mayors Institute              breed innovation
                                policies
What is LED?
            The Current View
• The purpose of Local Economic
  Development is
  – to build up the economic capacity of a local area
  – to improve its economic future and
  – the quality of life for all.
• It is a process by which
  – public, business and non-governmental sector
    partners work collectively
  – to create better conditions for economic growth
    and employment generation.
Which Programs Do Not Work
   (But We Still Keep Using Them!)
   • Unfortunately there are countless examples of failed
     LED strategies and projects. These include:
        – Expensive untargeted foreign direct investment marketing
          campaigns
        – Supply-led training programs
        – Excessive reliance on grant-led investments
        – Over-generous financial inducements for inward investors (not
          only can this be an inefficient use of taxpayers money, it can
          breed considerable resentment amongst local businesses that
          may not be entitled to the same benefit).
        – Business retention subsidies (where firms are paid to stay in the
          area despite the fact that financial viability of the plant is at risk)
        – Reliance on "low-road" techniques, e.g., cheap labor and
          subsidized capital
        – Government-conceived, -controlled, and -directed strategies
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTLED/0,,print:Y~isCURL:Y~contentMDK:
20185187~menuPK:402643~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341139,00.html
Infrastructure Savings
              (construction and operation)

•   Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money.

     – Average annual cost to service a new family of four
       (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer):
         • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88
         • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222
                                                                                                      –   Sources: Brookings Institution




•   Nationally, the U.S. can save over $100 billion in infrastructure
    costs over 25 years by growing compactly.

•   Chicago can save $3.7 billion over 20 years by growing compactly.

•   Charlottesville, VA can save $500 million in transportation costs
    with compact development.

                      –   Sources: Urban Land Institute, Chicago Metropolis 2020; Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission
tools for local economic renewal
•   bizfizz
     – BizFizz is the leading business support model in the UK in which
       Coaching is the preferred methodology for offering business support to
       entrepreneurs living in areas of economic decline. Over the last seven
       years, BizFizz programmes have provided coaching to entrepreneurs
       across England and Scotland. The Civic Trust and new economics
       foundation are delighted that Coaching and supporting entrepreneurs
       by developing local resident led networks has been recognised by
       national government.
•   plugging the leaks
     – The issue is not necessarily that too little money flows into a
       neighbourhood. Rather, it is what consumers, public services and
       businesses do with that money. Too often it is spent on services with
       no local presence, and so immediately leaves the area.
•   local multiplier 3
     – LM3 has been tried and tested across the UK, from agriculture to
       social enterprise to local government procurement, to determine how
       money coming into your community is then spent and re-spent. 'The
       Money Trail' shows you how to use LM3 to find out what's really
       happening in your local economy, and how you can make it better.

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LED in the urban context for Mayors Institute - English

  • 1. Local Economic Development in the Urban Context The Israeli Mayors’ Institute on City Renewal September 2011 nachman@miu.org.il www.miu.org.il
  • 2. • What is the current thinking on LED and how did it develop? – A bit of history
  • 3. Economic Development before the 1800s… • …was boring! – Production followed Population Production
  • 4. The Industrial Revolution English-speaking Japan northwest Europe the rest of Europe and Europe-dominated economies in Latin America. the rest of Asia and Africa.
  • 5. A Brief History of LED Prior to WWII Post WWII • Economic Development was • A new concept was born - Economic focused by each nation on Development aid to other nations developing their own economy aimed at improving quality of life – Included trade with other without altering basic social structures nations (conquering) – Included investment in – Driven by multiple factors: territories, colonies and other • The recognized need for global nations directly or indirectly stability – to avert another WW under the control of empires in • Political influence – the ―cold war‖ order to exploit their resources • Create bigger markets for goods and services – globalization – Creation of the UN, the WorldBank, the IMF, ITO / GATT / WTO – The Marshall Plan – Creation of USAID • Continued investment in own LED
  • 6. A Brief History of LED The success of the Marshall Plan kicked off 1960s to 1980s to mid Late1990s early1980s 1990s onwards three waves of LED Regions / Cities and Nations Sectors Towns Skills/Education, Hard Attract Foreign Attractive Policies Infrastructure and Investment and and Manufacturing Support Local Public/Private Transplants Businesses Partnerships
  • 7. Summary of Current Thinking on LED Goal is quality of life for all Employment Environment Livibility Social inclusion Participatory Growth of local Focus on cities approach businesses • Including all • Promotion and • As engines of stakeholders and support of economic sectors innovation and development • Led by local entrepreneurship • As a great place to government (both business and live and work social) • Urban regeneration • Business friendly as a tool policies
  • 8. • Why is so much invested and so little accomplished? – The outdated view of LED in Israel
  • 9. Summary of Outdated Thinking on LED Goal is Employment Generation Top-Down Attract outside Focus on approach businesses regions • Central Government • Promotion and • Attempts to conceived, controlled, support of big jumpstart and and directed business support LED over strategies transplants entire regions • Total dependence on • Attract outside • Connect under- central government investments and developed regions outside talent to successful ones
  • 10. Typical Shortcuts proposed for LED • Attract: – Outside investment – Outside transplants – Outside talent – Outside residents • Connect: – Under-developed regions to successful ones … if only LED was so easy…
  • 11. Attract Big Outside Business Transplants • How – Provide incentives to big businesses to move to your city – New industrial parks at the outskirts of city • Why it doesn’t work – Good candidates for transplant are bad at helping develop the local economy… • Good candidates for transplant, need to be relatively independent of local suppliers, customers, talent, financers, etc… – Demand for transplants is so high relative to the supply that the price to be paid to attract them (through incentives) is higher than the benefit. – Supply of industrial parks is higher than demand – Economic development depends more on business variety than on size • Better to have many small different businesses than a few large businesses • What can be done instead? – Later in the presentation
  • 12. Attract Outside Talent / Affluent Residents • How – Lavish marketing, branding and advertising campaigns that focus on outsiders – Incentives to relocate to your city / town – New ―luxury‖ neighborhoods on the outskirts of the city / town – Regional colleges and universities in fenced off campuses outside of cities / towns • Why it doesn’t work – Talent enables mobility – Demand for talent is so high relative to the supply that the price to attract them (through incentives) is higher than the benefit – People talented in one area expect talent in all other areas that effect their life • work, school, services, goods, entertainment, recreation and culture – Demoralizing message to existing residents – ―you are not good enough‖ – Regional colleges do not create a strong connection to any city / town • What can be done instead? – Later in the presentation
  • 13. Connect Under-Developed Regions to Successful Ones • How – Highways from the furthest towns and cities to the center of Israel – Trains also, with stations on the outskirts of cities and towns • Why it doesn’t work – Commute times of over 60min a day are hard to sustain long term for a significant population – It is more common that successful cities develop goods and services that remote towns need than the other way around – ―Great Cities‖ develop the towns in the region that surround them from the closest to the furthest, in that order • The influence of the ―Great City‖ will be felt in a town only after the towns closer to the city have been influenced significantly • What can be done instead? – Later in presentation
  • 14. Economic Development is not ―Fair‖ • The strong get stronger – Successful cities / towns create and attract more talent, investments and businesses and become more successful… ~15% bonus in economic output for doubling city size! • LED is incremental – It develops based on the existing local economy – There is NO shortcut! – But, when it works, the process can be fast… How do you leverage natural development forces?
  • 15. • Why do people gather together in cities? – to survive and develop
  • 16. The World is Getting More Urbanized • Opportunities are focused in Cities where people concentrate Half the world’s population occupies only 1.5% of the world’s land area Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu 16 Dey
  • 17. The World is Getting More Urbanized 100 Israel 92% 87 85 80 80 80 77 74 73 75 73 72 66 64 61 61 61 60 Percent 54 54 51 48 42 39 39 40 37 29 25 24 20 15 17 0 World Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern Oceania America America and the Caribbean 17 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 1950 1975 2003 2030
  • 18. More Big Cities and Big Cities are Getting Bigger ~15% bonus in economic output for doubling city size! • Successful cities grow to metros • Metros grow to mega-metros (>5M pop) – 1955 – 11 Mega-Metros – Today - 50 Mega-Metros – 2015 – 60 Mega-Metros 18 1955 - 11 mega-metros 2015 - 60 mega-metros
  • 19. Economic Output is Focused in City-Metro Regions • 40 Mega-Metro Regions Today – A resident of a mega-metro region is • 8 times as productive in goods, and • 24 times as productive in innovations Population Economic Output Innovations 19
  • 20. • Why is development focused in cities? – Urban Economies
  • 21. Cities Have Natural Economic Advantages Urban Economies Scale • Sharing of fixed costs by a large quantity of outputs Localization Agglomeration • Input-sharing and competition within the industry Urbanization Agglomeration • Innovation and exchange of ideas and technology 21 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 22. The 12 Urban Economies Type of economy of scale Example 1. Pecuniary Being able to purchase intermediate inputs at volume discounts 2. Static Internal Falling average costs because of fixed costs of operating a plant technological Technological 3. Dynamic Learning to operate a plant more efficiently over time technological 4. ―Shopping‖ Shoppers are attracted to places where there are many sellers Outsourcing allows both the upstream input suppliers and downstream firms to 5. ―Adam Smith‖ Static profit from productivity gains because of specialization Localization 6. ―Marshall‖ Workers with industry-specific skills are attracted to a location where there is a labor pooling greater concentration 7. ―Marshall- Reductions in costs that arise from repeated and continuous production activity Dynamic Arrow-Romer‖ over time and which spill over between firms in the same place learning by doing 8. ―Jane Jacobs‖ The more that different things are done locally, the more opportunity there is for innovation observing and adapting ideas from others External or agglomeration 9. ―Marshall‖ Workers in an industry bring innovations to firms in other industries; similar to Static labor pooling no. 6 above, but the benefit arises from the diversity of industries in one location. Urbanization Similar to no. 5 above, the main difference being that the division of labor is 10. ―Adam Smith‖ made possible by the existence of many different buying industries in the same division of labor place 11. ―Romer‖ The larger the market, the higher the profit; the more attractive the location to Dynamic endogenous firms, the more jobs there are; the more labor pools there, the larger the growth market—and so on Spreading fixed costs of infrastructure over more taxpayers; diseconomies arise 12. ―Pure‖ agglomeration from congestion and pollution
  • 23. • Why focus on city design? – Cities have natural economic advantages
  • 24. Cities have natural economic advantages Poor city design Good city design • can undermine • can enhance these these advantages advantages and and create barriers catalyze economic to economic development development Improving City Design is a neglected opportunity for Economic Development in Israel
  • 25. Typical Faults in City Design that Undermine Economic Advantages • Highway that cuts the city in half • Universities and Colleges in fenced off campuses on the outskirts of cities • Employment parks on the outskirts of cities • Train stations on the outskirts of cities • Retail malls on the outskirts of cities • Lack of a city center that encourages interaction of people • Tree-like street network undermines accessibility vs. simple grid • Car based sprawl and zoning vs. people based compact mixed-use development • Low densities that require huge investments in infrastructure and operation costs • Fences, fences and more fences
  • 26. Highway that cuts the city in half Chicago vs. Tel-Aviv
  • 27. Highlights of Smart Growth Economic Benefits Source: Growing Wealthier, Center for Clean Air Policy January 2011
  • 28. Infrastructure Savings (construction and operation) • Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money. – Average annual cost to service a new family of four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer): • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88 • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222 – Sources: Brookings Institution Annual Cost to Service a New Family $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $- Sprawling Compact
  • 29. • What about other economic advantages? – City design, the neglected opportunity
  • 30. The Neglected Opportunity The Basic Structure of the Economy People and • Education and Training • Business and Social Talent Entrepreneurship • Financial and Business Policies and • • Stability and Security Social Justice and Inclusion Institutions • • Health and Wellbeing Land Use and Planning (Real- Estate and Infrastructure) Place and • • Urban Form and Real-Estate Transportation and Communication Infrastructure • • Energy, Water and Waste Natural Resources
  • 31. • Why focus on local businesses? – LED is incremental
  • 32. Why focus on Local Businesses? LED is incremental It develops based on the existing local economy • How Does Economic Development Happen? D + nTE + A nD • Existing work generates new work! – D is a Division of work • The work required to provide a product or service is made up of Divisions of work – A is Additional work • An existing division of work inspires a new Additional product or service – TE is Trial and Error • Generating new work requires much Trial and Error
  • 33. What is the difference between Economic Development and Economic Growth? • Economic development depends more on business variety than on size – Better to have many small different businesses than a few large businesses
  • 34. • Why LED in the context of cities? – Different strategies for 4 types of cities
  • 35. LED in the Context of Cities from the easiest to the most difficult LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great A Great City generates much more wealth than it consumes for mere existence. A Great City generates enough wealth to support growth in the city as well in its surrounding region.
  • 36. LED in the Context of Cities LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Beer-Sheba
  • 37. What can be done differently to make LED more effective? – Some strategies and tools that leverage development forces
  • 38. LED in a Great City LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great • What is the role of Urban Planning and Transportation in creating a great place to live and to develop economically? If the City provides Mixed age Small Density Mixed use buildings Blocks It can become a LED generator
  • 39. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great City markets Create a great place to live and to develop economically City jobs Provide attractive and efficient access to The City The Five Economic Forces Exerted by Cities The City will do the rest on Their Own City developed Regions technology City Transplanted generated city work capital
  • 40. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City Leveraging the five forces to LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region accelerate LED in the region of a Great City LED in a City that is not Great ToD in the Center of Regional Towns of a Great City Is Beer-Sheva a Great City? Stockholm The Gr Stockholm Transit Oriented Metropolis The Gr Copenhagen Transit Oriented Metropolis What about rail stations in the center of the towns? The 1961 National Capital Plan Source – Prof. Danny Gatt for Gr Washington BC
  • 41. LED in a Town Outside a LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Great City Region Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby) How? • Outdated thinking • Current thinking – – Attract: Focus on • Outside investment – Local businesses • Outside transplants – Local residents • Outside talent – Local connectivity • Outside residents – Connect: • Under-developed regions to successful ones
  • 42. Attract Big Outside Business Transplants • How – Provide incentives to big businesses to move to your city – New industrial parks at the outskirts of city • What can be done instead? Focus on local businesses – Offices, retail and other non-polluting businesses in the city center – Retention and growth of existing local businesses – a great place for business • Renewal of city center – Development of new local businesses based on existing businesses – Development of local businesses for existing needs (import replacement) • Plugging the leaks, keep the money circulating in your city – Development of local businesses that leverage local and regional advantages – Economic development office – Attract outside business transplants from a neighboring ―great city‖ • only if you are in the region of a ―great city‖ and are ―next in line‖
  • 43. Attract Outside Talent / Affluent Residents • How – Lavish marketing, branding and advertising campaigns that focus on outsiders – Incentives to relocate to your city / town – New ―luxury‖ neighborhoods on the outskirts of the city / town – Regional colleges and universities in fenced off campuses outside of cities / towns • What can be done instead? Focus on local residents – Retention and growth of existing talent – a great place to live and develop • Renewal and intensification of existing neighborhoods – Education and training for new talent growth • Colleges without fences in city centers – Attract outside talent from a neighboring ―great city‖ • only if you are in the region of a ―great city‖ and are ―next in line‖
  • 44. Connect Under-Developed Regions to Successful Ones • How – Highways from the furthest towns and cities to the center of Israel – Trains also, with stations on the outskirts of cities and towns • What can be done instead? Focus on local connectivity – Transportation in the metro region of a ―Great City‖ and just beyond – Transportation between towns and cities in remote areas • To leverage regional advantages and to provide a bigger local market – ToD at train stations or strong connection of train stations to town center – Connect remote developing town to a successful city market • Only if the town has developed a very high value product or service and is transport limited for distribution
  • 45. City Center Renewal as a LED Tool or How to increase Density, Variety and Access •Provide loans to accelerate private storefront and Use the ―charrette‖ collaborative planning residence renewal tool as the basis of a LED program •Create a great place to live for local residents •Create a great place to succeed for local First stage: businesses • Surgical urban •Leverage the true identity of the city / town intervention plan in as seen by the local residents the public space •Local residents strengthen their sense of belonging by planning their town •Leverage existing budgets for public building projects to implement the plan Third stage: •Local residents are • Private Development Second stage: empowered by seeing their Construction and • Renewal of the plans adopted and Renovation near the public space implemented public space
  • 46. E.g. The Main Street Program's Success Economic Statistics • 1980-2007 Reinvestment Statistics • Dollars Reinvested: Total amount of reinvestment in physical improvements from public and private sources.$44.9B average • Reinvestment per community: $11,083,273 • Net gain in businesses: 82,909 • Net gain in jobs: 370,514 • Number of building rehabilitations: 199,519
  • 47. Laboratory for Urban Intensification as a LED Tool or How to increase Density, Variety and Access • Tools for the intensification and renewal of deteriorating urban residential neighborhoods in Israel, while reinforcing the quality of housing and urban variety. • Aging residential projects, built by the government cheaply and quickly following massive waves of immigration in the 50s, 60s and 70s, constitute the largest part of Israel’s housing stock, yet they are also the most neglected, and are characterized by: – small residential units – cramped quarters inappropriate for growing families – uniform housing stock – all apartments are of the same size and plan – low-quality construction – improvements within apartments are expensive, and improvements to the building as a whole are even more so – lack of access to amenities, community services and good consumer products • The tool is based on Merhav’s 10 Principles for Good Urbanism
  • 48. Plugging the leaks • Keep the money circulating in your city
  • 49. Thank You and see you in November 2011 ‫כנס אשקלון־מרחב לפיתוח כלכלי עירוני‬ "‫"העיר כמנוע לצמיחה כלכלית‬ nachman@miu.org.il September 2011 www.miu.org.il
  • 51. LED in a Town Outside a Great LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great City Region • Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby) • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning Jumpstart the any advantage into an opportunity economy • Earn Imports • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar towns Leverage initial through innovation and improvisation sales to • Repeat last two steps forever • Leverage current thinking on LED • Create a great place to live and to develop economically How? • In the existing center of town
  • 52. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a City that is not Great LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great • Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby) • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning Jumpstart the any advantage into an opportunity economy • Earn Imports • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar cities Leverage initial through innovation and improvisation sales to • Repeat last two steps forever • Leverage current thinking on LED • Create a great place to live and to develop economically How? • In a small focused area of the city (urban acupuncture)
  • 53. LED in a Great City How to start the cycle of city development LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Density Quality Variety Of & The Life Access ―handle‖ Innovation Opportunities People & Culture How do you advance ever closer to your vision of a successful town, based on daily decisions and based Intensity Development on existing budgets?
  • 54. What is LED? The Old Simple View • Local Economic Development is Employment Generation
  • 55. Cities are Engines of Economic Development and Growth • Why is this so? – Economies of scale and of agglomeration Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 55
  • 56. Why is LED Important? • Big differences in productivity possible since the Industrial Revolution 144x Tel-Aviv Metro Area 43% of Population on 7% of Area produces 59% of GDP 64x 10x Pre - Industrial Revolution Agriculture
  • 57. Urbanization Matters for Economic Growth • Economic Growth and Urbanization are bi- directionally causally connected Economic Growth Urbanization • ―… no country in the industrial age has ever achieved significant economic growth without urbanization.‖ Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 57
  • 58. The critical role of Merhav in LED in Israel Goal is quality of life for all In order to improve the quality of living in Israel, while contributing to the global sustainability effort, the MIU promotes qualityLivibility Employment Environment urban living based on compact, Social inclusion quality and sustainable urban environments. Participatory Growth of local Focus on cities approach businesses • Charrette all Including – • Making theand Promotion local • Weengines of as As view the city collaborative and stakeholders environment great support of the key mechanism economic planning sectors with all for the locals innovation and that provides development • stakeholders Led by local • entrepreneurship Compact, quality • peopleregeneration Urban the • government Quality in Density (both business and and sustainable opportunities to fulfill as a tool Toolbox for all social) cities provide their inherent sectors • opportunities and Business friendly potential • Mayors Institute breed innovation policies
  • 59. What is LED? The Current View • The purpose of Local Economic Development is – to build up the economic capacity of a local area – to improve its economic future and – the quality of life for all. • It is a process by which – public, business and non-governmental sector partners work collectively – to create better conditions for economic growth and employment generation.
  • 60. Which Programs Do Not Work (But We Still Keep Using Them!) • Unfortunately there are countless examples of failed LED strategies and projects. These include: – Expensive untargeted foreign direct investment marketing campaigns – Supply-led training programs – Excessive reliance on grant-led investments – Over-generous financial inducements for inward investors (not only can this be an inefficient use of taxpayers money, it can breed considerable resentment amongst local businesses that may not be entitled to the same benefit). – Business retention subsidies (where firms are paid to stay in the area despite the fact that financial viability of the plant is at risk) – Reliance on "low-road" techniques, e.g., cheap labor and subsidized capital – Government-conceived, -controlled, and -directed strategies http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTLED/0,,print:Y~isCURL:Y~contentMDK: 20185187~menuPK:402643~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341139,00.html
  • 61. Infrastructure Savings (construction and operation) • Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money. – Average annual cost to service a new family of four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer): • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88 • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222 – Sources: Brookings Institution • Nationally, the U.S. can save over $100 billion in infrastructure costs over 25 years by growing compactly. • Chicago can save $3.7 billion over 20 years by growing compactly. • Charlottesville, VA can save $500 million in transportation costs with compact development. – Sources: Urban Land Institute, Chicago Metropolis 2020; Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission
  • 62. tools for local economic renewal • bizfizz – BizFizz is the leading business support model in the UK in which Coaching is the preferred methodology for offering business support to entrepreneurs living in areas of economic decline. Over the last seven years, BizFizz programmes have provided coaching to entrepreneurs across England and Scotland. The Civic Trust and new economics foundation are delighted that Coaching and supporting entrepreneurs by developing local resident led networks has been recognised by national government. • plugging the leaks – The issue is not necessarily that too little money flows into a neighbourhood. Rather, it is what consumers, public services and businesses do with that money. Too often it is spent on services with no local presence, and so immediately leaves the area. • local multiplier 3 – LM3 has been tried and tested across the UK, from agriculture to social enterprise to local government procurement, to determine how money coming into your community is then spent and re-spent. 'The Money Trail' shows you how to use LM3 to find out what's really happening in your local economy, and how you can make it better.