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Electing a President:
    Process and History
How did this process get
                         started?

    The Constitution – what does it say about the
    presidential election?

    Who elects the president?
       Indirect election – Electoral College

    Why do we have an Electoral College?

    How does it work?

    What are some criticisms?

    Why hasn’t it been changed?
Rationale for such a
                    system at the
              Constitutional Convention

    Poor communication – common people would
    lack essential information

    Desire to have the “best” people select the
    President

    A compromise by those who wanted direct
    election and those who wanted the Congress to
    elect the President
Allotment of electoral
                        votes to states


    Each state has as many electoral votes as it has
    members in Congress

    Minimum # = 3

    Washington, D.C. has 3 votes (23rd Amendment)

    Total = 538

    California has the highest number – 55

    Washington will have 12 (up from 11 in the previous
    election)
Selection of Electors


    Candidate with most popular votes (only a
    plurality is needed) wins all of that state’s
    electoral votes (winner-take-all) – concentration
    of campaigning in large, competitive states

    Emphasis on “swing” states – FL, OH, PA

    Electors meet in respective state capitals in
    December to cast ballots
Winning the election

•
    Majority of electoral votes (270) needed to win
•
    If no candidate has a majority (this is what the
    Founders thought would happen most of the time.
    They did not anticipate the development of the two-
    party system):
    −   House selects President from among top 3 candidates
    −   Each state has 1 vote
    −   Done in 1800 and 1824
    −   Senate selects V.P. from among top two candidates
Criticisms

    President can be elected with only a plurality rather than a
    majority (of popular votes) especially with presence of strong
    3rd party

    Faithless Elector – no federal law requires electors to vote the
    way they are “supposed” to vote (most states do have a law)

    Small states proportionately overrepresented (Wyoming – 3
    electoral votes – 1 vote per 166,666 people, California – 55
    electoral votes – 1 vote per 600,000 people)

    Small states overrepresented (if election goes to the House,
    Wyoming has same voting power as California)

    Inhibits development of third parties (Perot won 19% popular
    vote but no electoral votes)
Alternatives


    Direct election: each person’s vote would count as
    much as every other person’s vote

    District system (candidate who wins a congressional
    district wins that district’s electoral vote). Overall
    winner in a state would get the two “bonus” electoral
    votes by virtue of its Senate seats

    Proportional system (candidate gets same % of
    electoral votes as popular votes)
Why has the Electoral
                College system not been
                      abolished?


    Tradition/reluctance to tamper with the
    Constitution

    Difficulties in amending the Constitution

    Opposition from the overrepresented small
    states
How does the process of selecting a
      president work today?
 The Path to the Presidency today
• Invisible primary: unofficial campaigning done by
  unofficial candidates
• Declaration of candidacy
• Nomination phase
• Fall campaign
• Election day
• Meeting of electors
• Formal election
• Inauguration day
Nomination Phase
• Some states use a caucus to
  determine the party candidate for
  president
   – Local caucuses – district
     convention – state convention –
     national convention. Each level
     selects delegates to attend
     higher level
   – Importance of Iowa: 1st state to
     hold caucuses each presidential
     election year – chance for
     candidate to build momentum
     for future caucuses and
     primaries
   – The State of Washington uses a
     caucus system
• Other states use presidential primaries as method of
  selecting a nominee. Increased use of primaries in last 30
  years.
   – Voters vote for candidates and state parties select delegates to
     attend convention either on proportional basis (Democratic Party)
     or winner-take-all (Republican Party).
   – Importance of New Hampshire: the first state to hold primary
     each presidential election year – chance for candidate to build
     momentum for future caucuses and primaries.
   – Front-loading trend: primaries are held earlier and earlier. The
     idea of Super Tuesday where many southern states held their
     primaries early in the election season, has morphed into a
     situation where more and more non-southern states are moving
     up the dates of their primaries (Super Tuesday not as significant).
• National Convention
   – Selection of presidential nominee: a mere formality since the
     winner is known well ahead of time – emphasis on “image”
     instead of “scrimmage” – ratification rather than nomination
   – Selection of v.p. nominee
       • Chosen by presidential nominee and rubber stamped by
         convention
       • Balancing the ticket
   – Use of superdelegates by Democrats
   – Party platform
   – Reconciliation and unification of party by end of the convention
       • Inspiring speeches by prominent politicians and videos
         promoting the candidates and their families, speeches by v-p
         nominee and presidential nominee
• Analysis of presidential nominating system
   – Pro
      • Highly participatory: caucuses, primaries, conventions
      • Potential to be more representative
      • A testing ground for candidates. Weeds out weaker candidates.
   – Con
      • Low rates of turnout
      • Too lengthy
      • Does not test candidates for qualities they need as president. Too much
        emphasis on media game.
      • Front-loading has adversely affected states with later primaries. In
        essence, these states have no say in who is nominated
      • Voters in primaries tend to be better educated and more affluent than
        those in general elections
      • Delegates at caucuses and conventions tend to be unrepresentative: more
        ideological, more activist, more educated, less moderate, much more
        wealthy. (“Selectorate” replaces the “electorate.”)
Key Dates in this year’s
       presidential election
• Republican convention week of August 27
  (Tampa)
• Democratic convention week of September
  3 (Charlotte)
• November 6 – election day!
• Meeting of Electors – Monday, December
  17
• Inauguration day – January 20, 2013

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Path to Presidency

  • 1. Electing a President: Process and History
  • 2.
  • 3. How did this process get started?  The Constitution – what does it say about the presidential election?  Who elects the president?  Indirect election – Electoral College  Why do we have an Electoral College?  How does it work?  What are some criticisms?  Why hasn’t it been changed?
  • 4. Rationale for such a system at the Constitutional Convention  Poor communication – common people would lack essential information  Desire to have the “best” people select the President  A compromise by those who wanted direct election and those who wanted the Congress to elect the President
  • 5. Allotment of electoral votes to states  Each state has as many electoral votes as it has members in Congress  Minimum # = 3  Washington, D.C. has 3 votes (23rd Amendment)  Total = 538  California has the highest number – 55  Washington will have 12 (up from 11 in the previous election)
  • 6. Selection of Electors  Candidate with most popular votes (only a plurality is needed) wins all of that state’s electoral votes (winner-take-all) – concentration of campaigning in large, competitive states  Emphasis on “swing” states – FL, OH, PA  Electors meet in respective state capitals in December to cast ballots
  • 7. Winning the election • Majority of electoral votes (270) needed to win • If no candidate has a majority (this is what the Founders thought would happen most of the time. They did not anticipate the development of the two- party system): − House selects President from among top 3 candidates − Each state has 1 vote − Done in 1800 and 1824 − Senate selects V.P. from among top two candidates
  • 8.
  • 9. Criticisms  President can be elected with only a plurality rather than a majority (of popular votes) especially with presence of strong 3rd party  Faithless Elector – no federal law requires electors to vote the way they are “supposed” to vote (most states do have a law)  Small states proportionately overrepresented (Wyoming – 3 electoral votes – 1 vote per 166,666 people, California – 55 electoral votes – 1 vote per 600,000 people)  Small states overrepresented (if election goes to the House, Wyoming has same voting power as California)  Inhibits development of third parties (Perot won 19% popular vote but no electoral votes)
  • 10.
  • 11. Alternatives  Direct election: each person’s vote would count as much as every other person’s vote  District system (candidate who wins a congressional district wins that district’s electoral vote). Overall winner in a state would get the two “bonus” electoral votes by virtue of its Senate seats  Proportional system (candidate gets same % of electoral votes as popular votes)
  • 12. Why has the Electoral College system not been abolished?  Tradition/reluctance to tamper with the Constitution  Difficulties in amending the Constitution  Opposition from the overrepresented small states
  • 13. How does the process of selecting a president work today? The Path to the Presidency today • Invisible primary: unofficial campaigning done by unofficial candidates • Declaration of candidacy • Nomination phase • Fall campaign • Election day • Meeting of electors • Formal election • Inauguration day
  • 14. Nomination Phase • Some states use a caucus to determine the party candidate for president – Local caucuses – district convention – state convention – national convention. Each level selects delegates to attend higher level – Importance of Iowa: 1st state to hold caucuses each presidential election year – chance for candidate to build momentum for future caucuses and primaries – The State of Washington uses a caucus system
  • 15.
  • 16. • Other states use presidential primaries as method of selecting a nominee. Increased use of primaries in last 30 years. – Voters vote for candidates and state parties select delegates to attend convention either on proportional basis (Democratic Party) or winner-take-all (Republican Party). – Importance of New Hampshire: the first state to hold primary each presidential election year – chance for candidate to build momentum for future caucuses and primaries. – Front-loading trend: primaries are held earlier and earlier. The idea of Super Tuesday where many southern states held their primaries early in the election season, has morphed into a situation where more and more non-southern states are moving up the dates of their primaries (Super Tuesday not as significant).
  • 17.
  • 18. • National Convention – Selection of presidential nominee: a mere formality since the winner is known well ahead of time – emphasis on “image” instead of “scrimmage” – ratification rather than nomination – Selection of v.p. nominee • Chosen by presidential nominee and rubber stamped by convention • Balancing the ticket – Use of superdelegates by Democrats – Party platform – Reconciliation and unification of party by end of the convention • Inspiring speeches by prominent politicians and videos promoting the candidates and their families, speeches by v-p nominee and presidential nominee
  • 19. • Analysis of presidential nominating system – Pro • Highly participatory: caucuses, primaries, conventions • Potential to be more representative • A testing ground for candidates. Weeds out weaker candidates. – Con • Low rates of turnout • Too lengthy • Does not test candidates for qualities they need as president. Too much emphasis on media game. • Front-loading has adversely affected states with later primaries. In essence, these states have no say in who is nominated • Voters in primaries tend to be better educated and more affluent than those in general elections • Delegates at caucuses and conventions tend to be unrepresentative: more ideological, more activist, more educated, less moderate, much more wealthy. (“Selectorate” replaces the “electorate.”)
  • 20. Key Dates in this year’s presidential election • Republican convention week of August 27 (Tampa) • Democratic convention week of September 3 (Charlotte) • November 6 – election day! • Meeting of Electors – Monday, December 17 • Inauguration day – January 20, 2013