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What are we learning from 
learning analytics? 
Shane Dawson 
Shane.dawson@unisa.edu.au 
Twitter: @shaned07
Introduction 
• Student from Shanghai-based East China Normal 
University 
• "Last month, you spent less on meals. Are you in 
financial difficulty? If so, please contact me via 
phone, text message or e-mail.“ 
http://www.bjreview.com.cn/nation/txt/2014-06/23/content_625466.htm
Introduction 
• Automatically track students' meal card spending. 
• If spending falls under a threshold level, a 
designated faculty member sends the student a 
short message to check whether they are in 
financial difficulty. 
http://www.bjreview.com.cn/nation/txt/2014-06/23/content_625466.htm
• Highlights the rapidly growing list of applications of 
student data 
• Academic 
• Social 
• Pastoral 
Introduction
Introduction 
This talk: 
• What are we learning from the implementation 
of LA into HE? 
• What are the conversations, expectations and 
reactions to this nascent field? 
• What are the emerging models for institutional 
implementation?
Introduction 
Does the rhetoric of LA 
meet the reality?
Drivers 
• Why the interest in LA now?
Drivers 
• 1926 - Pressey built an instructional machine to 
provide multiple choice questions 
• “…with the addition of a simple attachment the 
apparatus will present the subject with a piece of 
candy or other reward upon his making on any 
given score for which the experimenter may have 
set the device…” 
Shute, V. J., & Psotka, J. (1994). Intelligent Tutoring Systems: Past, Present, and Future (No. AL/HR-TP-1994- 
0005). ARMSTRONG LAB BROOKS AFB TX HUMAN RESOURCES DIRECTORATE.
• Scale, access and application 
• Ease of access to learner data – LMS, SIS, mobile 
• Growth in adoption of technical devices 
• Huge investment in analytics – industry & 
Government 
Data
Learning Analytics 
• Learning Analytics 
• “game changer” for education 
…is the collection, collation, analysis and reporting 
of data about learners and their contexts, for the 
purposes of understanding and optimizing 
learning
Industry rhetoric 
• One perspective - Industry
Industry rhetoric 
“Get answers to your most important questions like: 
• How can I easily find students who are at-risk?
Industry rhetoric 
“Get answers to your most important questions like: 
• How can I easily find students who are at-risk? 
• Yes possible – much research in this area 
• However, ignores the complexity 
• Context is critical 
• Not all courses are alike – student diversity 
and approach 
Overstated
Industry rhetoric 
“Get answers to your most important questions like: 
• Who are the most innovative instructors?”
Industry rhetoric 
“Get answers to your most important questions like: 
• Who are the most innovative instructors?” 
• How and why? What defines innovative in this 
space given the myriad of tools and learning 
approaches available 
Why?
Industry rhetoric 
“…In five years the classroom will learn you! And 
personalize course work accordingly” 
http://www.research.ibm.com/cognitive-computing/machine-learning-applications/decision-support-education. 
shtml#fbid=MRUeQg4jzVG
Industry rhetoric 
“…In five years the classroom will learn you! And 
personalize course work accordingly” 
• Currently available if: 
• Cognitive tutor, Knewton, Knowillage 
• Ryan Baker – on/off task behaviour; gaming and 
choice of major 
Plausible
Industry rhetoric 
“Enhance student outcomes with the ability to monitor, 
evaluate, and predict learner performance to drive 
retention and improve outcomes.” 
• Much work in this area to predict performance 
however, intervention strategies less well 
understood. 
• Greater recognition SRL 
Available but not utilised 
http://www.brightspace.com/solutions/higher-education/advanced-analytics/
Industry rhetoric 
“…predictive analytics capabilities help educators target 
learning strategies and pre-emptively mentor at-risk 
learners.” 
http://www.brightspace.com/solutions/higher-education/advanced-analytics/ 
https://www.flickr.com/photos/tadeeej/3228729514/
Industry rhetoric 
Do we need predictive analytics here? 
https://www.flickr.com/photos/tadeeej/3228729514/
Industry rhetoric 
• Unlikely – practice is difficult change. However first 
step is to aid identification. 
• Tannes et al (2011) - Course Signals feedback 
• Instructors – feedback was motivational 
• Student success related to instructional 
feedback 
Tannes, et al (2011) . Using Signals for appropriate feedback. Perceptions and practice. Computers and Education, 
57, (4), 2414 - 2422
Industry rhetoric 
Industry offer solutions to problems 
We still need to identify the problem.
Research rhetoric 
What is missing: a focus on learning process 
• SRL proficiency (Gasevic; Winne) 
• Discourse analysis and text mining (Rose) 
• Learning design and Instructional conditions 
(Lockyer; Gasevic) 
• Learning dispositions (Deakin Crick, Buckingham 
Shum) 
• Literacies or fluencies (Siemens) 
• Creativity (Pei Ling Tan)
Research rhetoric 
Great research BUT: 
• Tends to ignore the complexity of university wide 
practice 
• Predominantly, small scale and technology and 
institutional specific 
• Lacks guidance to aid further adoption 
• Frequently requires high level skills and capacities
Hence: 
• Very few university wide examples of LA adoption 
• But obviously an area of increasing need and 
importance 
Research rhetoric 
Leads to questions related to how to 
implement, get started and what data?
Learning Analytics 
National project to benchmark LA status, policy 
and practices for Australian Universities
Benchmarking 
Interviews with 39 Universities and 30 “experts”: 
• Identification of current practice, methods and 
approaches 
• Identification of key drivers for institutions, stage 
of development, process for implementation, 
project leads
Benchmarking 
Research perspective: 
• Focus on understanding learning processes 
• Broad range of data sets –larger size and range 
of data (relational data) 
• Limited interest in the scalability of findings 
across institution (at least not a stated intention)
Benchmarking 
Research perspective: 
“My hope [for LA] is that we can develop a better 
theory about how people learn and forge 
recommendations that might nudge learners 
toward more productive, more efficient, more 
satisfying ways of learning”
Benchmarking 
University leaders perspective: 
• Primarily focused on retention 
• “It’s [LA] a tool for improving retention” 
• Limited mention of LA as a means to improve 
learning 
• Main driver is budget (cost savings) 
• Perception that it is only related to – LMS and 
SIS 
• Limited number of data sets considered
Benchmarking 
University leaders perspective: 
• Success is seen as staff access to information 
• Limited understanding of the application of 
interventions that are data informed 
• Data visualisations – dashboard development is 
the endpoint and goal 
• Few institutions with stated LA policy and strategy
Benchmarking 
• Widening gap between University Admin and 
researchers 
• Admin – Industry very similar
Reality is sobering: 
Reality 
• Need to develop greater understanding of the role 
of technology and role of data in an institution 
• Access to data does not mean change in practice 
• Interventions and early alerts must be constantly 
evaluated, revised and contextualised
2005 – Goldstein & Katz: 
• Stage 1: Extraction and reporting of transaction-level 
data 
• Stage 2: Analysis and monitoring of operational 
performance 
• Stage 3: “What-if” decision support (such as 
scenario building) 
• Stage 4: Predictive modeling & simulation 
• Stage 5: Automatic triggers and alerts 
(interventions) 
Reality
2005 – Goldstein & Katz: 
• Stage 1: Extraction and reporting of transaction-level 
data 
• Stage 2: Analysis and monitoring of operational 
performance 
• Stage 3: “What-if” decision support (such as 
scenario building) 
• Stage 4: Predictive modeling & simulation 
• Stage 5: Automatic triggers and alerts 
(interventions) 
Reality
• Yanosky (2009) – 305 institutions, 58% at 
stage 1, 20% at stage 2 
• Bichsel (2012) 
• Interest in analytics is high, but many 
institutions had yet to make progress 
beyond basic reporting.
Reality 
2014 LA organisational adoption is low: 
• Australia is predominantly at a stage of basic 
reporting 
• Very few institutions have an enterprise 
approach 
• While the research has well progressed - 
implementation remains a challenge.
Reality 
• Essentially, 2 models emerging 
1. Solutions focused 
• IT driven or 
• L&T driven or 
• Industry 
2. Process focused 
• Individual “faculty” or 
• Networked and integrated
Reality 
Adaptability of 
system to 
meet org 
needs 
High 
Low High 
Low 
Ease of adoption
Reality 
Adaptability of 
system to 
meet org 
needs 
High 
Low High 
Low 
Ease of adoption 
Solutions 
focused 
Process 
focused
Reality 
Adaptability of 
system to 
meet org 
needs 
High 
Low High 
Low 
Ease of adoption 
Solutions 
focused 
Process 
focused
Reality 
Adaptability of 
system to 
meet org 
needs 
High 
Low High 
Low 
Long term impact 
Solutions 
focused 
Process 
focused
Reality 
Solutions focused – Short term gains 
Advantages Disadvantages 
• Cost • Locked in 
• Speed of delivery • Short time for 
acceptance 
• Ease of 
dissemination 
• Lacks capacity building 
• Scalable, risk 
mitigation 
• Access to data is often 
limited
Reality 
Process focused – Longer term gains 
Advantages Disadvantages 
• Capacity building • Time required 
• Adaptive to 
changing reqs 
• Sustained leadership 
and principles of access 
• Acceptance of 
process 
• Complexity 
• Shared ownership • Raises org threat 
• Evidenced based
Reality 
Common model – Solutions focused: 
• IT lead and implemented 
• Closed system focused on scalability, 
performance, and list of features 
• Dashboards/ reports are important 
• Dissemination and access gains 
[Success is seen as staff access to information] 
• Where is the why?
Conclusion 
LA sophistication model 
Siemens, G., Dawson, S., & Lynch, G. (2013). Improving 
the Productivity of the Higher Education Sector: Policy 
and Strategy for Systems-Level Deployment of Learning 
Analytics. Society for Learning Analytics Research for the 
Australian Government Office for Learning and Teaching.
Conclusion
Conclusion 
Solutions focused 
Limited view of LA – eg retention
Is there an alternative: 
Reality 
• What are the organisational needs and how to 
gain both impact and adoption 
• How do we merge both models to gain both 
short and long term impact?
An alternative 
Developing models: 
• Cross organisation 
• IT, L&T, Faculty, Research, Administrators 
• Development of exemplars and research 
informed. 
• Process is future looking and agile 
• Increased time required for acceptance and 
discussion 
• Problem focused – understand the problem
An alternative 
Developing models: 
• Building organisational capacity 
• Time for organisational acceptance 
• Identify sites of interest and growth 
• Research ideas promoted and faculty invited 
into new spaces 
• Need to act on data and findings
Complex adaptive system: 
• Education is complex 
• Learning is complex 
• Organisations are complex 
• CAS are systems large numbers of agents that 
interact and adapt or learn 
• Non-linear and resilient
Complex Leadership Theory: 
• CAS – requires new forms of leadership 
(Complex leadership theory - Uhl-Bien et al) 
• Interactive, engaged, multi-level and 
contextual 
• Takes advantage of the dynamic capabilities 
the system 
• Leadership vs leaders 
Uhl-Bien, M., Marion, R. & McKelvey, B. (2007). Complexity Leadership Theory: Shifting leadership from the 
industrial age to the knowledge era, The Leadership Quarterly, Volume 18(4),298-318
Complexity Leadership: 
Administrative Leadership 
Adaptive Leadership
Complexity Leadership: 
Administrative Leadership 
Adaptive Leadership 
Administrative stifles 
adaptive. (Bureaucratic 
and top down) 
However – it is driven 
and solution focused
Complexity Leadership: 
Administrative Leadership 
Adaptive Leadership 
Adaptive (lack of 
integration) 
However capacity 
building and 
innovation focused
Complexity Leadership: 
Administrative Leadership 
Adaptive Leadership 
Balanced 
Capacity building, 
innovative 
responses to 
complex problems 
Enabling
Enabling: 
• Leadership- focused on process and enabling staff 
• Developing awareness and building capacity 
• Diverse teams represented 
• IT/ L&T – systems 
• Data analysts 
• Data wranglers 
• Teaching staff 
• Researchers 
E.g. 
• Open UK 
• University of Michigan 
• University of Texas
Conclusion 
Process focused 
Broad view of LA
Conclusion 
• Change in education is complex and multi-faceted 
• Requires new models for implementation and 
leadership 
• Enabling leadership 
• models that are agile and research informed 
• Requires an inter-disciplinary approach 
• Embrace Friction - generates discussion and 
innovation
Conclusion 
For the reality of LA to meet the rhetoric (to reach 
potential): 
• LA is not a technology 
• LA is not a dashboard 
• LA is not one individual 
• LA is team based 
• LA is dynamic and requires longer term 
investment and process
Thank you… 
Questions? 
Shane.dawson@unisa.edu.au 
Twitter: @shaned07

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What are we learning from learning analytics: Rhetoric to reality escalate 2014

  • 1. What are we learning from learning analytics? Shane Dawson Shane.dawson@unisa.edu.au Twitter: @shaned07
  • 2. Introduction • Student from Shanghai-based East China Normal University • "Last month, you spent less on meals. Are you in financial difficulty? If so, please contact me via phone, text message or e-mail.“ http://www.bjreview.com.cn/nation/txt/2014-06/23/content_625466.htm
  • 3. Introduction • Automatically track students' meal card spending. • If spending falls under a threshold level, a designated faculty member sends the student a short message to check whether they are in financial difficulty. http://www.bjreview.com.cn/nation/txt/2014-06/23/content_625466.htm
  • 4. • Highlights the rapidly growing list of applications of student data • Academic • Social • Pastoral Introduction
  • 5. Introduction This talk: • What are we learning from the implementation of LA into HE? • What are the conversations, expectations and reactions to this nascent field? • What are the emerging models for institutional implementation?
  • 6. Introduction Does the rhetoric of LA meet the reality?
  • 7. Drivers • Why the interest in LA now?
  • 8. Drivers • 1926 - Pressey built an instructional machine to provide multiple choice questions • “…with the addition of a simple attachment the apparatus will present the subject with a piece of candy or other reward upon his making on any given score for which the experimenter may have set the device…” Shute, V. J., & Psotka, J. (1994). Intelligent Tutoring Systems: Past, Present, and Future (No. AL/HR-TP-1994- 0005). ARMSTRONG LAB BROOKS AFB TX HUMAN RESOURCES DIRECTORATE.
  • 9. • Scale, access and application • Ease of access to learner data – LMS, SIS, mobile • Growth in adoption of technical devices • Huge investment in analytics – industry & Government Data
  • 10. Learning Analytics • Learning Analytics • “game changer” for education …is the collection, collation, analysis and reporting of data about learners and their contexts, for the purposes of understanding and optimizing learning
  • 11. Industry rhetoric • One perspective - Industry
  • 12. Industry rhetoric “Get answers to your most important questions like: • How can I easily find students who are at-risk?
  • 13. Industry rhetoric “Get answers to your most important questions like: • How can I easily find students who are at-risk? • Yes possible – much research in this area • However, ignores the complexity • Context is critical • Not all courses are alike – student diversity and approach Overstated
  • 14. Industry rhetoric “Get answers to your most important questions like: • Who are the most innovative instructors?”
  • 15. Industry rhetoric “Get answers to your most important questions like: • Who are the most innovative instructors?” • How and why? What defines innovative in this space given the myriad of tools and learning approaches available Why?
  • 16. Industry rhetoric “…In five years the classroom will learn you! And personalize course work accordingly” http://www.research.ibm.com/cognitive-computing/machine-learning-applications/decision-support-education. shtml#fbid=MRUeQg4jzVG
  • 17. Industry rhetoric “…In five years the classroom will learn you! And personalize course work accordingly” • Currently available if: • Cognitive tutor, Knewton, Knowillage • Ryan Baker – on/off task behaviour; gaming and choice of major Plausible
  • 18. Industry rhetoric “Enhance student outcomes with the ability to monitor, evaluate, and predict learner performance to drive retention and improve outcomes.” • Much work in this area to predict performance however, intervention strategies less well understood. • Greater recognition SRL Available but not utilised http://www.brightspace.com/solutions/higher-education/advanced-analytics/
  • 19. Industry rhetoric “…predictive analytics capabilities help educators target learning strategies and pre-emptively mentor at-risk learners.” http://www.brightspace.com/solutions/higher-education/advanced-analytics/ https://www.flickr.com/photos/tadeeej/3228729514/
  • 20. Industry rhetoric Do we need predictive analytics here? https://www.flickr.com/photos/tadeeej/3228729514/
  • 21. Industry rhetoric • Unlikely – practice is difficult change. However first step is to aid identification. • Tannes et al (2011) - Course Signals feedback • Instructors – feedback was motivational • Student success related to instructional feedback Tannes, et al (2011) . Using Signals for appropriate feedback. Perceptions and practice. Computers and Education, 57, (4), 2414 - 2422
  • 22. Industry rhetoric Industry offer solutions to problems We still need to identify the problem.
  • 23. Research rhetoric What is missing: a focus on learning process • SRL proficiency (Gasevic; Winne) • Discourse analysis and text mining (Rose) • Learning design and Instructional conditions (Lockyer; Gasevic) • Learning dispositions (Deakin Crick, Buckingham Shum) • Literacies or fluencies (Siemens) • Creativity (Pei Ling Tan)
  • 24. Research rhetoric Great research BUT: • Tends to ignore the complexity of university wide practice • Predominantly, small scale and technology and institutional specific • Lacks guidance to aid further adoption • Frequently requires high level skills and capacities
  • 25. Hence: • Very few university wide examples of LA adoption • But obviously an area of increasing need and importance Research rhetoric Leads to questions related to how to implement, get started and what data?
  • 26. Learning Analytics National project to benchmark LA status, policy and practices for Australian Universities
  • 27. Benchmarking Interviews with 39 Universities and 30 “experts”: • Identification of current practice, methods and approaches • Identification of key drivers for institutions, stage of development, process for implementation, project leads
  • 28. Benchmarking Research perspective: • Focus on understanding learning processes • Broad range of data sets –larger size and range of data (relational data) • Limited interest in the scalability of findings across institution (at least not a stated intention)
  • 29. Benchmarking Research perspective: “My hope [for LA] is that we can develop a better theory about how people learn and forge recommendations that might nudge learners toward more productive, more efficient, more satisfying ways of learning”
  • 30. Benchmarking University leaders perspective: • Primarily focused on retention • “It’s [LA] a tool for improving retention” • Limited mention of LA as a means to improve learning • Main driver is budget (cost savings) • Perception that it is only related to – LMS and SIS • Limited number of data sets considered
  • 31. Benchmarking University leaders perspective: • Success is seen as staff access to information • Limited understanding of the application of interventions that are data informed • Data visualisations – dashboard development is the endpoint and goal • Few institutions with stated LA policy and strategy
  • 32. Benchmarking • Widening gap between University Admin and researchers • Admin – Industry very similar
  • 33. Reality is sobering: Reality • Need to develop greater understanding of the role of technology and role of data in an institution • Access to data does not mean change in practice • Interventions and early alerts must be constantly evaluated, revised and contextualised
  • 34. 2005 – Goldstein & Katz: • Stage 1: Extraction and reporting of transaction-level data • Stage 2: Analysis and monitoring of operational performance • Stage 3: “What-if” decision support (such as scenario building) • Stage 4: Predictive modeling & simulation • Stage 5: Automatic triggers and alerts (interventions) Reality
  • 35. 2005 – Goldstein & Katz: • Stage 1: Extraction and reporting of transaction-level data • Stage 2: Analysis and monitoring of operational performance • Stage 3: “What-if” decision support (such as scenario building) • Stage 4: Predictive modeling & simulation • Stage 5: Automatic triggers and alerts (interventions) Reality
  • 36. • Yanosky (2009) – 305 institutions, 58% at stage 1, 20% at stage 2 • Bichsel (2012) • Interest in analytics is high, but many institutions had yet to make progress beyond basic reporting.
  • 37. Reality 2014 LA organisational adoption is low: • Australia is predominantly at a stage of basic reporting • Very few institutions have an enterprise approach • While the research has well progressed - implementation remains a challenge.
  • 38. Reality • Essentially, 2 models emerging 1. Solutions focused • IT driven or • L&T driven or • Industry 2. Process focused • Individual “faculty” or • Networked and integrated
  • 39. Reality Adaptability of system to meet org needs High Low High Low Ease of adoption
  • 40. Reality Adaptability of system to meet org needs High Low High Low Ease of adoption Solutions focused Process focused
  • 41. Reality Adaptability of system to meet org needs High Low High Low Ease of adoption Solutions focused Process focused
  • 42. Reality Adaptability of system to meet org needs High Low High Low Long term impact Solutions focused Process focused
  • 43. Reality Solutions focused – Short term gains Advantages Disadvantages • Cost • Locked in • Speed of delivery • Short time for acceptance • Ease of dissemination • Lacks capacity building • Scalable, risk mitigation • Access to data is often limited
  • 44. Reality Process focused – Longer term gains Advantages Disadvantages • Capacity building • Time required • Adaptive to changing reqs • Sustained leadership and principles of access • Acceptance of process • Complexity • Shared ownership • Raises org threat • Evidenced based
  • 45. Reality Common model – Solutions focused: • IT lead and implemented • Closed system focused on scalability, performance, and list of features • Dashboards/ reports are important • Dissemination and access gains [Success is seen as staff access to information] • Where is the why?
  • 46. Conclusion LA sophistication model Siemens, G., Dawson, S., & Lynch, G. (2013). Improving the Productivity of the Higher Education Sector: Policy and Strategy for Systems-Level Deployment of Learning Analytics. Society for Learning Analytics Research for the Australian Government Office for Learning and Teaching.
  • 48. Conclusion Solutions focused Limited view of LA – eg retention
  • 49. Is there an alternative: Reality • What are the organisational needs and how to gain both impact and adoption • How do we merge both models to gain both short and long term impact?
  • 50. An alternative Developing models: • Cross organisation • IT, L&T, Faculty, Research, Administrators • Development of exemplars and research informed. • Process is future looking and agile • Increased time required for acceptance and discussion • Problem focused – understand the problem
  • 51. An alternative Developing models: • Building organisational capacity • Time for organisational acceptance • Identify sites of interest and growth • Research ideas promoted and faculty invited into new spaces • Need to act on data and findings
  • 52. Complex adaptive system: • Education is complex • Learning is complex • Organisations are complex • CAS are systems large numbers of agents that interact and adapt or learn • Non-linear and resilient
  • 53. Complex Leadership Theory: • CAS – requires new forms of leadership (Complex leadership theory - Uhl-Bien et al) • Interactive, engaged, multi-level and contextual • Takes advantage of the dynamic capabilities the system • Leadership vs leaders Uhl-Bien, M., Marion, R. & McKelvey, B. (2007). Complexity Leadership Theory: Shifting leadership from the industrial age to the knowledge era, The Leadership Quarterly, Volume 18(4),298-318
  • 54. Complexity Leadership: Administrative Leadership Adaptive Leadership
  • 55. Complexity Leadership: Administrative Leadership Adaptive Leadership Administrative stifles adaptive. (Bureaucratic and top down) However – it is driven and solution focused
  • 56. Complexity Leadership: Administrative Leadership Adaptive Leadership Adaptive (lack of integration) However capacity building and innovation focused
  • 57. Complexity Leadership: Administrative Leadership Adaptive Leadership Balanced Capacity building, innovative responses to complex problems Enabling
  • 58. Enabling: • Leadership- focused on process and enabling staff • Developing awareness and building capacity • Diverse teams represented • IT/ L&T – systems • Data analysts • Data wranglers • Teaching staff • Researchers E.g. • Open UK • University of Michigan • University of Texas
  • 59. Conclusion Process focused Broad view of LA
  • 60. Conclusion • Change in education is complex and multi-faceted • Requires new models for implementation and leadership • Enabling leadership • models that are agile and research informed • Requires an inter-disciplinary approach • Embrace Friction - generates discussion and innovation
  • 61. Conclusion For the reality of LA to meet the rhetoric (to reach potential): • LA is not a technology • LA is not a dashboard • LA is not one individual • LA is team based • LA is dynamic and requires longer term investment and process
  • 62. Thank you… Questions? Shane.dawson@unisa.edu.au Twitter: @shaned07