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LBO of National Presto Industries



      Team 18 Pitch Deck
Agenda

   Company Overview

    Industry Overview

    Investment Thesis

Valuation & Deal Structure


        Appendix
National Presto Industries Overview
NPK is a unique company with three distinct business segments
1. Defense – manufactures 20-40mm ammunition, LAP operations, cartridge cases
2. Appliance – designs, markets, and distributes small home electrical appliances
3. Absorbent – manufactures and sells private label adult incontinence products and diapers

 Founded in Eau Claire, WI                                   Publicly traded on NYSE                 Acquire Spectra and NCN       Acquires Less than Lethal
                                                                                                               2001            2006

   1905                                                                     1969                                       2003                     2011
                                                                                              Purchase RMED to form        Acquires AMRON
                                                                                              absorbent segment




Sales Breakdown                                                                        Key Financial Data
                      REVENUE AND GROSS MARGIN BREAKDOWN
      100%
                                                      5%
                                                                                       •
                    7%                 7%
       90%   16%               17%
                                               23%                                         Stock Price: $72.89
       80%

       70%
                                                                                       •   FY 2011 Sales: $431mm
       60%   53%
                   56%
                               50%
                                      60%            66%                               •   LTM EBITDA: $83.02mm
                                               47%
       50%                                                     Absorbent
                                                               Defense
                                                                                       •   Market Capitalization: $520.6mm
       40%

       30%
                                                               Appliances              •   Enterprise Value: $388.2mm
       20%
             31%
                   37%         33%    33%      30%   29%
                                                                                       •   EV/EBITDA Multiple: 4.7x
       10%

        0%
                                                                                       •   Free cash flow per share: $10.51
             Rev   Gross        Rev   Gross    Rev   Gross
               2009               2010           2011
National Presto Industries Overview
Presto’s stock price performed exceptionally well during the financial crisis
120%




 80%




 40%
                                                                                       NPK
                                                                                       S&P 500
 0%
  4/1/2007       4/1/2008       4/1/2009       4/1/2010      4/1/2011       4/1/2012



-40%




-80%
Key Profit Drivers
Key Profit Drivers in Each Segment          Overall Gross Margins, 2002-2011
Defense                                        40%
• US Government contracts
                                               30%
• Department of Defense budget
• Military conflicts and troop deployment      20%
• Manufacturing plant utilization
                                               10%
Home Appliances
• Per capita disposable income                  0%
• Import penetration
• Existing home sales
• Commodity costs                           Overall EBITDA Margins, 2002-2011
                                               30%
Absorbent Products
• Aging population
• New product development                      20%
• Manufacturing plant utilization
                                               10%


                                                0%
Segment Breakdown
     Gross Profit (2000-2010)          Operating Profit (2000-2010)




    Historical Sales (2000-2010)   Historical Free Cash Flow (2000-2010)
Defense Segment
Corporate Structure of the Defense Segment

                                                                         Products/services:
                                                                         • Training ammunition
                                        AMTEC CORPORATION                • Firing devices and initiators
                                              acq. 2001                  • Fuses
                                            Janesville, WI




   SPECTRA TECHNOLOGIES                           AMRON                   LESS LETHAL SYSTEMS
            acq. 2003                            acq. 2006                       acq. 2011
       East Cambden, AR                          Antigo, WI                   Bull Shoals, AR

                                      Products/services:                 Products/services:
   Products/services:                                                    • Smoke and tear gas grenades
   • Load, Assemble, and Pack (LAP)   • Medium caliber ammunition (20-
                                      40mm) for DOD and DOD prime        • Specialty impact munitions
   services for 40mm ammunition                                          • Diversionary devices
                                      contractors
                                      • Cartridge casings                • Stun munitions
                                                                         • Launchers and gas masks
                                                                         • Training for use of products
Management
Management has a long-term track record and deep experience
•   Chairman, President, and CEO: Maryjo Cohen – 36 years at Presto
•   CFO: Randy Lieble – 35 years at Presto
•   VP – Sales: Donald Hoeschen – 41 years at Presto
•   VP – Engineering: Lawrence Tienor – 42 years at Presto

Maryjo Cohen owns 30% of Presto. Presto’s management team is a double-edged sword. They have deep industry
experience and long track record with the company. They are responsible for the consistent growth Presto has
achieved over the last 35 years. Yet, they have traditionally operated the business with little leverage and inefficient
levels of working capital. We believe our partnership will add a fresh perspective on new opportunities.



Shares owned by management (of the float)                     Insider Transactions as of May 2010
                                                                    5000

         Maryjo Cohen                      332,785                  4000

         Randy Lieble                      1,478
                                                                    3000

                                                                    2000
         Donald Hoeschen                   372
                                                                    1000
         Lawrence Tienor                   319
                                                                        0
                                                                             Shares Bought        Shares Sold
Agenda

   Company Overview

    Industry Overview

    Investment Thesis

Valuation & Deal Structure


        Appendix
Industry Overview
Historical Growth                                   Projected Growth
• Defense: 5.1% 5-yr CAGR                           • Defense: 3.2% 5-yr CAGR
                                                         • Small arms ammo: 14.8%
• Appliances: 1.1% 5-yr CAGR                             • Other ammo: 12.6%
                                                    • Appliances: 3.6% 5-yr CAGR
• Absorbent: 1.1% 5-yr CAGR                              • Small appliances: 0%
                                                    • Absorbent: 1.6 % 5-yr CAGR
                                                         • Disposable sanitary products as primary
                                                         source of segment growth


Historical and Projected Industry Growth (Revenue $ mm)
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
                                                                                        Small Appliances
10,000
                                                                                        Guns and Ammo
 9,000
                                                                                        Paper Products
 8,000
 7,000
 6,000
         2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017
Competitive Landscape
Overview                                             Appliances Segment - High
Each business segment has moderate to high
                                                                       Substitutes
competitive rivalry. We believe the defense
segment is most favorable due to barriers to entry
from (1) high fixed costs and (2) long-term
                                                                      Competitive    Buyers
government relationships.                                 Suppliers
                                                                        Rivalry


      High            Medium           Low
                                                                      New Entrants



Defense Segment - Medium                             Absorbent Product Segment - High

                     Substitutes                                       Substitutes



                    Competitive                                       Competitive    Buyers
       Suppliers                    Buyers                Suppliers
                      Rivalry                                           Rivalry




                    New Entrants                                      New Entrants
Agenda

   Company Overview

    Industry Overview

    Investment Thesis

Valuation & Deal Structure


        Appendix
Investment Thesis
Three attributes make NPK an attractive investment:

1. Sum of Parts Play
    • Optimize value through 3 segments
    • Spin off appliances and absorbent                         Current Ratio (2002-
                                                                2011)
                                          8
                                                                              5.8   5.6
2. Strong Financial Condition             6   5   4.9   5.3   5.1                           5.2    5
                                                                    4.3   4
    • No leverage                         4
    • Current ratio of 5.0                2
    • Strong margins                      0


3. Attractive Valuation                                  EV/EBITDA Multiple
    • EV/EBITDA of 4.4x                           14
                                                  12
    • P/E ratio of 10.4x                          10
                                                   8
                                                   6                                      NPK
                                                   4
                                                                                          Industry Average
                                                   2
                                                   0
Value Creation




We see three opportunities to unlock significant value in NPK:

1. Reverse Morris Trust Transaction

2. Expansion of Less-Than-Lethal Product Line

3. Enter Private Ammunition Market
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 1: Buy National Presto Industries


                                         Sponsor
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 2: Form subsidiaries for the appliance and absorbent segments


                                             Sponsor




                             100%                          100%




                             Sub Appliance             Sub Absorbent
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 2: Form Subsidiaries for the Appliance to the PE sponsor
     3: Distribute 100% of subsidiary stock and Absorbent Segments


                                              Sponsor
                                                                        100%
                      100%                                              stock
                      stock




                              100%                          100%




                              Sub Appliance             Sub Absorbent
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 3: Distribute 100% of subsidiary stock to the PE sponsor


                                           Sponsor

                             100%                         100%

                                        100%


                  Sub Appliance                                 Sub Absorbent
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange


                                             Sponsor

                                100%                        100%

                                          100%


                   Sub Appliance                                Sub Absorbent




                  merger                                               merger




                      Buyer 1                                      Buyer 2
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange


                               > 50%         Sponsor         > 50%


                                          100%
                       Buyer 1                                    Buyer 2

                         Sub                                        Sub
                       Appliance                                 Absorbent




                      < 50%                                      < 50%
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange


                                             Sponsor
                                   > 50%                    > 50%

                                           100%
                       Buyer 1                                      Buyer 2

                         Sub                                        Sub
                       Appliance                                 Absorbent




                      < 50%                                      < 50%
1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction
Advantages of the spin-off                     Reasons for the defense segment
• Strategic focus                              • Largest growth potential in ammo market
      • Only one segment
                                               • Leads all segments in key ratios and metrics
• Tax-deferred sales
      • Long-term capital gains: 15%           • Contract with DOD through 2015

• Boost to overall IRR                         • Growth potential in Less than Lethal
    • Returns in years 3 and 4 through block
    trade                                      • Potential to expand into private sector
2) Expansion of Less-Than-Lethal
Acquired Less than Lethal Systems in November 2011

              Plans for expansion:
              • CapEx investment of $10mm in 2013 $2mm in 2014 to expand
              manufacturing capacity


                               LESS LETHAL SYSTEMS
                                      acq. 2011
                                   Bull Shoals, AR


        Clients:                 Products/services:          Other:
        • Law enforcement        • Smoke and tear gas        • 15,000 sq. ft
        • Corrections            grenades                    manufacturing facility
        • Military               • Specialty impact          • $8mm of revenue in 2011
                                 munitions
                                 • Diversionary devices
                                 • Stun munitions
                                 • Launchers and gas masks
                                 • Training for use of
                                 products
3) Enter Private Ammunition Market
The private ammunition market is fast growing and has limited transaction costs

•   2 possible ways to accomplish this:
      • Acquire a small ammunition manufacturer
      • Modify existing plants if demand from DoD declines

•   High growth potential
     • 5-yr projected CAGR of 14.8%

•   Customer diversification
     • Way to hedge risk of decline in government demand

•   Use Less than Lethal law enforcement relationships to build customer base

•   Potential targets:
      • Black Hills Ammunition
      • Rio Ammunition
      • Fiocchi Ammunition
      • Selliers & Belloitt
      • Hornady
3) Enter Private Ammunition Market
Case Study - Alliant Tech Systems

•   “For the last few years, commercial ammunition has been Alliant's fastest-growing business, fueled in part by
    Americans' increased concern over their safety and fears that stricter gun control laws could be ahead. The
    segment's performance has helped Alliant offset declines in its aerospace and defense segments due to federal
    budget cuts and the end of the U.S. war in Iraq.”

•   “The commercial business grew from $258 million to $930 million in annual sales in the last 10 years,
    accounting for an ever-larger part of Alliant's overall sales.”

•   “The sporting group's 22 percent increase in sales last year was fueled in part by Wal-Mart's decision to start
    selling shotguns, rifles and ammunition in more of its stores. Other major customers include Cabela's, Dick's
    Sporting Goods, Bass Pro and Gander Mountain; They also sell to security companies and law enforcement
    agencies.”
Summary of Value Creation
At an EBITDA exit multiple of 6.5x, improvements will add $355mm of equity value


                    $600


                    $500


                    $400
     Equity Value




                    $300


                    $200


                    $100


                      $0
                             Sponsor      Leverage   Spinoff   Less-than- Private Ammo Total Equity
                           Equity Value                          Lethal                   Value
Risks of Investment
This deal has several risks, but these factors help mitigate them
1.   Future Contracts with the Department of Defense
      •     Troop deployment
      •     DoD budget

              Mitigating Factors

      •     Unrealized budget cuts
      •     Slow-moving military decisions
      •     Ammo is essential
      •     5-year contract renewal in Feb. 2010
      •     Order backlog of $342mm

2.   No Buyer for Appliance and Absorbent Product Segment
              Mitigating Factors
                                                                        Order Backlog ($ mm)
      •    Less than $500mm is ideal for these industries
      •    100 years of brand recognition for appliances          350
      •    High growth potential in absorbent                     300
                                                                  250
3.   Difficulty Entering Private Ammunition Market                200
                                                                  150
              Mitigating Factors                                  100
                                                                  50
      •     Acquire small manufacturer for client relationships    0
      •     Law enforcement connection (Less than Lethal)               2009    2010    2011
Exit Strategies
NPK’s defense segment could add significant value to a financial or strategic buyer

The exit strategy is deployed early, with the spinoff of two subsidiaries. Conservative estimates give
1.5 years for the spinoff and an additional 2 years for the sale of the stock. After building up the
defense segment, we believe it will be a prime target for either a large strategic buyer or a large
financial buyer.

Any company looking to expand its operations specifically into medium caliber round manufacturing
would benefit from the synergies that may exist within distribution and operations and would benefit
highly from the key relationship NPK’s defense segment has created within the Department of
Defense and other government agencies.
Agenda

   Company Overview

    Industry Overview

    Investment Thesis

Valuation & Deal Structure


        Appendix
Valuation Summary
NPK is trading at a 52-week low, putting it in an ideal position for a buyout
Discounted Cash Flow
Analysis and Assumptions
Discounted Cash Flow
Analysis and Assumptions
Trading Comps
Analysis and Assumptions
Trading Comps
Analysis and Assumptions
Precedent Transactions
Analysis and Assumptions
                                                            Appliances
     Date                                                                                    Enterprise   Enterprise Value/LTM
     Ann.      Acquiror                            Target                                      Value        Sales      EBITDA
    01/10/12   Carrier Aircon Ltd                 GD Midea Holding Co Ltd                    $7,366.9       0.5x        NA
    08/22/11   Electrolux AB                      CTI Cia Tecno Industrial SA                  514.8        1.1x       4.1x
    12/13/11   Polair OAO                         Snaige AB                                     32.1        0.6x       6.9x
    12/11/09   Qingdao Haier Co Ltd               Haier Electronics Group Co Ltd              2,542.1       0.4x       8.7x
    09/29/09   China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd
                                                  China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Ltd       1,624.1       2.3x       4.5x
    07/15/09   Whirlpool Corp                     Hisense Kelon Electrical Holdings Co Ltd    1,342.5       0.1x       3.6x
    05/27/09   Haier Group Corp                   Fisher & Paykel Appliances Holdings Ltd      679.0        0.3x       3.9x
   Q1                                                                                                       0.4x       3.9x
   Median                                                                                                   0.5x       4.3x
   Q3                                                                                                       0.9x       6.3x
                                                             Defense
     Date                                                                                    Enterprise   Enterprise Value/LTM
     Ann.      Acquiror                            Target                                      Value        Sales      EBITDA

    09/21/11   United Technologies Corp            Goodrich Corp                             $16,950.9      2.0x       9.6x
    05/15/09   General Dynamics Corp               Elbit Systems Ltd                          2,376.1       0.6x       4.5x
    08/14/08   Goodrich Corp                       Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC                  21,491.6       1.4x      10.5x
    07/15/08   General Electric Co                 Safran SA                                 13,822.0       0.9x       6.7x

   Q1                                                                                                       0.8x       6.1x
   Median                                                                                                   1.2x       8.1x
   Q3                                                                                                       1.5x       9.8x
Precedent Transactions
Analysis and Assumptions



                                                              Incontinence
       Date                                                                  Enterprise   Enterprise Value/LTM
       Ann.      Acquiror                            Target                    Value        Sales      EBITDA

      08/25/09   CMC Holdings Ltd/Hong Kong          Fancl Corp                554.3        0.8x       7.7x
      06/27/08   Financiere FC 1                     Clarins                  2,953.9                  3.8x
      05/30/08   JW Holdings Co Ltd                  JW Shinyak Corp           168.8        4.4x      31.0x
      07/12/07   Energizer Holdings Inc              Playtex Products Inc     1,601.2                  2.1x

    Q1                                                                                      1.7x       3.4x
    Median                                                                                  2.6x       5.8x
    Q3                                                                                      3.5x      13.5x

                                                                                          Low end   High end
    Implied Share Price of NPK (applying multiples to the three segments)                   90.65      96.82
Transaction Overview
Purchase Price Allocation                            Sources & Uses
Current Price p/ Share           $73.00               Sources                Amount            Multples      % of total
                                                      Revolver                    -         0.0        0.0          0%
Offer Premium                    25%                  Term                     166.04       2.0        2.0         33%
Offer Price p/ Share             $91.25               High Yield               180.00       2.2        4.2         36%
Fully Diluted Shares             6.78mm               Sponsor Equity           154.84       1.9        6.0         31%
                                                      Total                    500.88                  6.0        100%
Equity Value (before deal)       $368.51mm
Equity Offer Price               $493.89mm            Uses                    Amount
Implied Entry Multiple           6.03x                Equity                    493.89
                                                      Debt                         -
                                                      Fees                        6.99
                                                      Total                     500.88


Reverse Morris Trust Capital Structure

               PRE-SPINOFF          DEFENSE            APPLIANCE                    ABSORBENT      POST-SPINOFF
Debt                    Amount   Amount       Mult   Amount            Mult       Amount      Mult       Amount
Revolver                   -        -         -         -              -             -        -              -
Term                     166.0    117.0       2.0      35.4             2.0         13.6      2.0          166.0
High Yield               180.0    105.6       1.8      54.0             3.0         20.4      3.0          180.0
Total Debt               346.0    222.6       3.8       89.4           5.0           34.0            5.0           346.0
Transaction Overview
Proceeds from Spinoff
Cash proceeds from the spinoff are reduced by 15% to account for the open-market block sales that occur in mid-
2014 and mid-2015.




Base case, upside case, and downside case returns

              BASE
              Segment      2012 EBITDA    Multiple   Enterprise Value   Net Debt   Equity Value   Realizable Value
              Appliances          24.11       4.3             103.65      89.42           14.24              12.10
              Absorbent           12.31       5.8               71.38     33.99           37.39              31.78


              UPSIDE
              Segment      2012 EBITDA    Multiple   Enterprise Value   Net Debt   Equity Value   Realizable Value
              Appliances          24.11       6.3             151.86      89.42           62.45              53.08
              Absorbent           12.31       7.5               92.30     33.99           58.31              49.57


              DOWNSIDE
              Segment      2012 EBITDA    Multiple   Enterprise Value   Net Debt   Equity Value   Realizable Value
              Appliances          24.11       3.9               94.01     89.42            4.59               3.90
              Absorbent           12.31       3.4               41.84     33.99            7.86               6.68
Transaction Overview
The early spinoff of two segments will add significant value to the buyout
Assumptions of the transaction:
• The spinoff takes 2 years to complete
• The equity portions of the segments are sold off over a period of 2 years at a 15% discount

With conservative exit multiples of 6.5x and 5.5x for the two segments, NPK shareholders will
receive 50% of their investment.


                           PAYBACK PERIOD SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS - % of initial investment recovered from spinoff
                                                      Exit Multiple - Absorbent
                               28.3%        4.5x        5.5x         6.5x         7.5x       8.5x
                                 3.5x      9.0%       15.7%        22.5%        29.2%      36.0%
             Exit Multiple       4.5x     22.2%       29.0%        35.7%        42.5%      49.2%
              - Appliances       5.5x     35.4%       42.2%        49.0%        55.7%      62.5%
                                 6.5x     48.7%       55.4%        62.2%        68.9%      75.7%
                                 7.5x     61.9%       68.7%        75.4%        82.2%      88.9%


                           IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS - IRR after defense exit in year 5
                                                        Exit Multiple - Absorbent
                                 27.7%        4.5x         5.5x        6.5x         7.5x     8.5x
                                   3.5x     24.1%        25.4%       26.6%        27.9%    29.1%
             Exit Multiple         4.5x     26.6%        27.8%       29.1%        30.3%    31.6%
              - Appliances         5.5x     29.0%        30.3%       31.5%        32.8%    34.0%
                                   6.5x     31.5%        32.7%       34.0%        35.2%    36.5%
                                   7.5x     33.9%        35.2%       36.4%        37.7%    38.9%
Financial Summary: Base Case


  PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA              2007     2008       2009        2010      2011     2012     2013        2014       2015    2016     2017
  INCOME STATEMENT                                Historical Period                                        Projection Period
  Revenue                             224.4    238.8     253.8        240.8     202.4    235.0    237.9      227.4     223.2     219.5    222.3
   % growth
   0%                                   NA
                                         -      6.4%
                                                  -       6.3%
                                                            -         -5.1%
                                                                         -     -15.9%
                                                                                   -     16.1%
                                                                                            -      1.2%
                                                                                                     -       -4.4%
                                                                                                                -      -1.8%
                                                                                                                          -      -1.7%
                                                                                                                                    -      1.3%
                                                                                                                                             -
  COGS                                176.1    188.5     191.9        172.7     140.4    157.5    161.8      154.6     156.3     155.9    160.0
   % margins
   0%                                 78.5%
                                         0%    79.0%
                                                  0%     75.6%
                                                            0%        71.7%
                                                                         0%     69.4%
                                                                                   0%    67.0%
                                                                                            0%    68.0%
                                                                                                     0%      68.0%
                                                                                                                0%     70.0%
                                                                                                                          0%     71.0%
                                                                                                                                    0%    72.0%
                                                                                                                                             0%
  SG&A
   0%                                   8.9
                                         0%      3.5
                                                  0%       3.5
                                                            0%          3.0
                                                                         0%       3.5
                                                                                   0%      3.4
                                                                                            0%      3.4
                                                                                                     0%        3.2
                                                                                                                0%       3.2
                                                                                                                          0%       3.1
                                                                                                                                    0%      3.2
                                                                                                                                             0%
  EBITDA                               39.4     46.8      58.4         65.1     58.5      74.2     72.7       69.5      63.8      60.5     59.1
   % margins
   0%                                 17.6%
                                         0%    19.6%
                                                  0%     23.0%
                                                            0%        27.0%
                                                                         0%    28.9%
                                                                                  0%     31.6%
                                                                                            0%    30.6%
                                                                                                     0%      30.6%
                                                                                                                0%     28.6%
                                                                                                                          0%     27.6%
                                                                                                                                    0%    26.6%
                                                                                                                                             0%
  D&A
   0%                                   2.7
                                         0%      3.2
                                                  0%       3.6
                                                            0%          3.7
                                                                         0%      3.5
                                                                                  0%       4.7
                                                                                            0%      5.5
                                                                                                     0%        5.7
                                                                                                                0%       5.6
                                                                                                                          0%       5.5
                                                                                                                                    0%      5.6
                                                                                                                                             0%
  EBIT                                 36.7     43.6      54.8         61.4     55.0      69.5     67.3       63.8      58.2      55.0     53.5
   % margins                          16.4%    18.2%     21.6%        25.5%    27.2%     29.6%    28.3%      28.1%     26.1%     25.1%    24.1%

  FREE CASH FLOW
  EBITDA                               39.4     46.8       58.4        65.1      58.5     74.2     72.7       69.5       63.8     60.5     59.1
   Cash Interest                         -        -          -           -         -     (13.1)   (12.1)      (9.4)      (6.2)    (3.6)    (1.6)
   Cash Taxes                         (12.8)   (15.2)     (19.2)      (21.5)    (19.3)   (19.8)   (19.3)     (19.0)     (18.2)   (18.0)   (18.2)
   (Increase) / Decrease in NWC          -      (3.6)      (3.8)        3.3       9.6     (3.5)    (0.7)       2.4        0.9      0.9     (0.6)
   Capex                               (4.8)    (2.6)      (1.3)       (3.5)     (1.6)    (2.8)   (12.4)      (4.5)      (2.7)    (2.6)    (2.7)
  Free Cash Flow                      21.8      25.3      34.1         43.3     47.2      35.1     28.3       38.9      37.6      37.1     36.0
   % of revenue                       9.7%     10.6%     13.5%        18.0%    23.3%     14.9%    11.9%      17.1%     16.9%     16.9%    16.2%
   Cumulative Free Cash Flow                                                              35.1     63.4      102.3     140.0     177.1    213.1
   Revolver Balance                                                                         -        -          -         -         -        -
   Term Loan Balance                                                                     105.3     94.8       85.3      76.8      45.5      9.5
   High Yield Balance                                                                     82.2     64.4       35.0       5.9        -        -

  CREDIT STATISTICS
  Total Debt / EBITDA                                                                     2.5x     2.2x       1.7x       1.3x     0.8x     0.2x
  FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments                                                       3.0x     2.7x       4.1x       4.4x     4.8x     7.9x
  FCF / Cash Interest                                                                     2.7x     2.3x       4.1x       6.0x    10.3x    23.1x
  (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest                                                        5.5x     5.0x       6.9x       9.8x    16.0x    36.2x
Revenue Projections: Base Case
Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed

   PROFORMA REVENUE                        2012       2013       2014       2015      2016       2017
   Ammunition
    40mm Backlog                          170.0      113.0
    40mm 4/1/12 option                                40.5       40.5
    Add'l options                            -        12.9      112.8     146.1      139.0      137.8
   Total Ammunition Revenue               170.0      166.4      153.3     146.1      139.0      137.8
    % change                                         -2.1%      -7.9%     -4.7%      -4.9%      -0.9%
   Other Revenue                           50.0       50.0       50.0      50.0       50.0       50.0
   Less-than-Lethal                        15.0       16.5       18.2      20.0       22.0       24.2
   Private Sales                             -         5.0        6.0       7.2        8.6       10.4
   Total Revenue                          235.0      237.9      227.4     223.2      219.5      222.3



   REVENUE DRIVERS                          2012       2013       2014      2015       2016       2017
   Total Army Troops                    558,571    552,241    545,982    539,794   533,676    527,628
   Army Troops Deployed - Middle East    54,000     50,000     30,000     20,000    10,000     10,000
   Army Troops Deployed - Other          46,000     46,000     46,000     46,000    46,000     46,000
   Army Troops Not Deployed             458,571    456,241    469,982    473,794   477,676    471,628
   Adjusted Amount of Troops            858,571    840,241    773,982    737,794   701,676    695,628
   % Change                                          -2.1%      -7.9%      -4.7%     -4.9%      -0.9%
IRR Analysis: Base Case


      IRR ANALYSIS                                    2012         2013          2014       2015      2016
      Initial Equity Investment                    (154.84)
      CF from Divestment                                                        21.94      21.94
      Exit Year EBITDA                                                                               60.53
      Exit Multiple                                                                                   6.5x
      Enterprise Value                                                                              393.44
      Less: Net Debt                                                                                 45.52
      Equity Value                                                                                  347.92


      Equity Proceeds                              (154.84)           0         21.94      21.94     347.92
      IRR                                                                                             27.7%
      Cash Return                                  1.0x        0.0x           0.1x       0.3x      2.5x




                                   IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
                                                              Entry Premium
                                      27.7%       15%       20%        25%       30%      35%
                                        5.5x    36.0%     28.3%      22.4%     17.5%    13.5%
                            Exit        6.0x    39.0%     31.2%      25.1%     20.2%    16.1%
                        Multiple        6.5x    41.8%     33.9%      27.7%     22.7%    18.5%
                                        7.0x    44.4%     36.4%      30.1%     25.0%    20.8%
                                        7.5x    46.9%     38.8%      32.4%     27.3%    23.0%
Financial Summary: Upside Case

 PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA              2007     2008       2009        2010      2011     2012     2013        2014       2015    2016     2017
 INCOME STATEMENT                                Historical Period                                        Projection Period
 Revenue                             224.4    238.8     253.8        240.8     202.4    235.0    244.7      246.6     249.5     250.8    250.5
  % growth
  0%                                   NA
                                        -      6.4%
                                                 -       6.3%
                                                           -         -5.1%
                                                                        -     -15.9%
                                                                                  -     16.1%
                                                                                           -      4.1%
                                                                                                    -        0.8%
                                                                                                               -       1.2%
                                                                                                                         -       0.5%
                                                                                                                                   -     -0.1%
                                                                                                                                            -
 COGS                                176.1    188.5     191.9        172.7     140.4    157.5    166.4      175.1     177.2     178.0    177.9
  % margins
  0%                                 78.5%
                                        0%    79.0%
                                                 0%     75.6%
                                                           0%        71.7%
                                                                        0%     69.4%
                                                                                  0%    67.0%
                                                                                           0%    68.0%
                                                                                                    0%      71.0%
                                                                                                               0%     71.0%
                                                                                                                         0%     71.0%
                                                                                                                                   0%    71.0%
                                                                                                                                            0%
 SG&A
  0%                                   8.9
                                        0%      3.5
                                                 0%       3.5
                                                           0%          3.0
                                                                        0%       3.5
                                                                                  0%      3.4
                                                                                           0%      3.5
                                                                                                    0%        3.5
                                                                                                               0%       3.6
                                                                                                                         0%       3.6
                                                                                                                                   0%      3.6
                                                                                                                                            0%
 EBITDA                               39.4     46.8      58.4         65.1     58.5      74.2     74.8       68.0      68.8      69.1     69.1
  % margins
  0%                                 17.6%
                                        0%    19.6%
                                                 0%     23.0%
                                                           0%        27.0%
                                                                        0%    28.9%
                                                                                 0%     31.6%
                                                                                           0%    30.6%
                                                                                                    0%      27.6%
                                                                                                               0%     27.6%
                                                                                                                         0%     27.6%
                                                                                                                                   0%    27.6%
                                                                                                                                            0%
 D&A
  0%                                   2.7
                                        0%      3.2
                                                 0%       3.6
                                                           0%          3.7
                                                                        0%      3.5
                                                                                 0%       4.7
                                                                                           0%      5.6
                                                                                                    0%        6.2
                                                                                                               0%       6.2
                                                                                                                         0%       6.3
                                                                                                                                   0%      6.3
                                                                                                                                            0%
 EBIT                                 36.7     43.6      54.8         61.4     55.0      69.5     69.2       61.8      62.6      62.9     62.8
  % margins                          16.4%    18.2%     21.6%        25.5%    27.2%     29.6%    28.3%      25.1%     25.1%     25.1%    25.1%

 FREE CASH FLOW
 EBITDA                               39.4     46.8       58.4        65.1      58.5     74.2     74.8       68.0       68.8     69.1     69.1
  Cash Interest                         -        -          -           -         -     (13.6)   (12.3)      (9.4)      (6.0)    (3.2)    (1.1)
  Cash Taxes                         (12.8)   (15.2)     (19.2)      (21.5)    (19.3)   (19.6)   (19.9)     (18.4)     (19.8)   (20.9)   (21.6)
  (Increase) / Decrease in NWC          -      (3.6)      (3.8)        3.3       9.6     (8.2)     2.5        4.5       (0.6)    (0.3)     0.0
  Capex                               (4.8)    (2.6)      (1.3)       (3.5)     (1.6)    (2.8)   (11.7)      (4.4)      (3.0)    (3.0)    (3.0)
 Free Cash Flow                      21.8      25.3      34.1         43.3     47.2      30.1     33.3       40.3      39.4      41.8     43.4
  % of revenue                       9.7%     10.6%     13.5%        18.0%    23.3%     12.8%    13.6%      16.4%     15.8%     16.7%    17.3%
  Cumulative Free Cash Flow                                                              30.1     63.4      103.7     143.1     184.9    228.3
  Revolver Balance                                                                         -        -          -         -         -        -
  Term Loan Balance                                                                     105.3     94.8       85.3      76.8      37.8       -
  High Yield Balance                                                                     87.2     64.4       33.6       2.7        -        -

 CREDIT STATISTICS
 Total Debt / EBITDA                                                                     2.6x     2.1x       1.7x       1.2x     0.5x        –
 FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments                                                       2.6x     3.2x       4.3x       4.6x     5.4x    11.5x
 FCF / Cash Interest                                                                     2.2x     2.7x       4.3x       6.6x    12.9x    40.7x
 (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest                                                        5.3x     5.1x       6.8x      11.0x    20.4x    61.8x
Revenue Projections: Upside Case
Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed

   PROFORMA REVENUE                        2012       2013       2014       2015      2016       2017
   Ammunition
    40mm Backlog                          170.0      113.0
    40mm 4/1/12 option                                40.5       40.5
    Add'l options                            -        12.9      121.8     158.1      150.9      140.8
   Total Ammunition Revenue               170.0      166.4      162.3     158.1      150.9      140.8
    % change                                         -2.1%      -2.5%     -2.6%      -4.5%      -6.7%
   Other Revenue                           50.0       51.0       52.0      53.1       54.1       55.2
   Less-than-Lethal                        15.0       17.3       19.8      22.8       26.2       30.2
   Private Sales                             -        10.0       12.5      15.6       19.5       24.4
   Total Revenue                          235.0      244.7      246.6     249.5      250.8      250.5



   REVENUE DRIVERS                          2012       2013       2014      2015       2016       2017
   Total Army Troops                    558,571    552,241    545,982    539,794   533,676    527,628
   Army Troops Deployed - Middle East    54,000     50,000     45,000     40,000    30,000     15,000
   Army Troops Deployed - Other          46,000     46,000     46,000     46,000    46,000     46,000
   Army Troops Not Deployed             458,571    456,241    454,982    453,794   457,676    466,628
   Adjusted Amount of Troops            858,571    840,241    818,982    797,794   761,676    710,628
   % Change                                          -2.1%      -2.5%      -2.6%     -4.5%      -6.7%
IRR Analysis: Upside Case


      IRR ANALYSIS                                    2012         2013          2014       2015      2016
      Initial Equity Investment                    (154.84)
      CF from Divestment                                                        51.32      51.32
      Exit Year EBITDA                                                                               69.14
      Exit Multiple                                                                                   6.5x
      Enterprise Value                                                                              449.43
      Less: Net Debt                                                                                 37.76
      Equity Value                                                                                  411.68


      Equity Proceeds                              (154.84)           0         51.32      51.32     411.68
      IRR                                                                                             39.3%
      Cash Return                                  1.0x        0.0x           0.3x       0.7x      3.3x




                                   IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
                                                              Entry Premium
                                      39.3%       15%       20%        25%       30%      35%
                                        5.5x    50.4%     41.3%      34.3%     28.7%    24.0%
                            Exit        6.0x    53.2%     44.0%      36.9%     31.2%    26.4%
                        Multiple        6.5x    55.8%     46.5%      39.3%     33.5%    28.7%
                                        7.0x    58.2%     48.8%      41.6%     35.7%    30.9%
                                        7.5x    60.5%     51.0%      43.7%     37.8%    32.9%
Financial Summary: Downside Case


 PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA              2007     2008       2009        2010      2011     2012     2013        2014       2015    2016     2017
 INCOME STATEMENT                                Historical Period                                        Projection Period
 Revenue                             224.4    238.8     253.8        240.8     202.4    228.0    212.4      196.4     195.2     194.0    192.8
  % growth
  0%                                   NA
                                        -      6.4%
                                                 -       6.3%
                                                           -         -5.1%
                                                                        -     -15.9%
                                                                                  -     12.7%
                                                                                           -     -6.8%
                                                                                                    -       -7.6%
                                                                                                               -      -0.6%
                                                                                                                         -      -0.6%
                                                                                                                                   -     -0.6%
                                                                                                                                            -
 COGS                                176.1    188.5     191.9        172.7     140.4    152.8    144.5      141.4     144.5     145.5    144.6
  % margins
  0%                                 78.5%
                                        0%    79.0%
                                                 0%     75.6%
                                                           0%        71.7%
                                                                        0%     69.4%
                                                                                  0%    67.0%
                                                                                           0%    68.0%
                                                                                                    0%      72.0%
                                                                                                               0%     74.0%
                                                                                                                         0%     75.0%
                                                                                                                                   0%    75.0%
                                                                                                                                            0%
 SG&A
  0%                                   8.9
                                        0%      3.5
                                                 0%       3.5
                                                           0%          3.0
                                                                        0%       3.5
                                                                                  0%      3.3
                                                                                           0%      3.0
                                                                                                    0%        2.8
                                                                                                               0%       2.8
                                                                                                                         0%       2.8
                                                                                                                                   0%      2.7
                                                                                                                                            0%
 EBITDA                               39.4     46.8      58.4         65.1     58.5      72.0     65.0       52.2      48.0      45.7     45.5
  % margins
  0%                                 17.6%
                                        0%    19.6%
                                                 0%     23.0%
                                                           0%        27.0%
                                                                        0%    28.9%
                                                                                 0%     31.6%
                                                                                           0%    30.6%
                                                                                                    0%      26.6%
                                                                                                               0%     24.6%
                                                                                                                         0%     23.6%
                                                                                                                                   0%    23.6%
                                                                                                                                            0%
 D&A
  0%                                   2.7
                                        0%      3.2
                                                 0%       3.6
                                                           0%          3.7
                                                                        0%      3.5
                                                                                 0%       4.6
                                                                                           0%      4.9
                                                                                                    0%        4.9
                                                                                                               0%       4.9
                                                                                                                         0%       4.9
                                                                                                                                   0%      4.8
                                                                                                                                            0%
 EBIT                                 36.7     43.6      54.8         61.4     55.0      67.4     60.1       47.3      43.1      40.9     40.6
  % margins                          16.4%    18.2%     21.6%        25.5%    27.2%     29.6%    28.3%      24.1%     22.1%     21.1%    21.1%

 FREE CASH FLOW
 EBITDA                               39.4     46.8       58.4        65.1      58.5     72.0     65.0       52.2       48.0     45.7     45.5
  Cash Interest                         -        -          -           -         -     (13.5)   (12.6)     (10.5)      (8.4)    (6.5)    (4.4)
  Cash Taxes                         (12.8)   (15.2)     (19.2)      (21.5)    (19.3)   (18.9)   (16.6)     (12.9)     (12.1)   (12.0)   (12.7)
  (Increase) / Decrease in NWC          -      (3.6)      (3.8)        3.3       9.6     (6.4)     3.9        4.0        0.3      0.3      0.3
  Capex                               (4.8)    (2.6)      (1.3)       (3.5)     (1.6)    (2.7)   (11.9)      (4.3)      (2.3)    (2.3)    (2.3)
 Free Cash Flow                      21.8      25.3      34.1         43.3     47.2      30.5     27.8       28.5      25.4      25.2     26.3
  % of revenue                       9.7%     10.6%     13.5%        18.0%    23.3%     13.4%    13.1%      14.5%     13.0%     13.0%    13.7%
  Cumulative Free Cash Flow                                                              30.5     58.2       86.7     112.1     137.3    163.7
  Revolver Balance                                                                         -        -          -         -         -        -
  Term Loan Balance                                                                     105.3     94.8       85.3      76.8      69.1     59.0
  High Yield Balance                                                                     86.9     69.6       50.6      33.7      16.2       -

 CREDIT STATISTICS
 Total Debt / EBITDA                                                                     2.7x     2.5x       2.6x       2.3x     1.9x     1.3x
 FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments                                                       2.6x     2.6x       3.0x       3.0x     3.3x     3.8x
 FCF / Cash Interest                                                                     2.3x     2.2x       2.7x       3.0x     3.9x     5.9x
 (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest                                                        5.1x     4.2x       4.6x       5.4x     6.7x     9.7x
Revenue Projections: Downside Case
Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed

   PROFORMA REVENUE                        2012       2013       2014       2015       2016       2017
   Ammunition
    40mm Backlog                          170.0      113.0
    40mm 4/1/12 option                                40.5       40.5
    Add'l options                            -         1.0       98.0      137.2      136.0      134.8
   Total Ammunition Revenue               170.0      154.5      138.5      137.2      136.0      134.8
    % change                                         -9.1%     -10.4%      -0.9%      -0.9%      -0.9%
   Other Revenue                           50.0       50.0       50.0       50.0       50.0       50.0
   Less-than-Lethal                         8.0        8.0        8.0        8.0        8.0        8.0
   Private Sales                             -          -          -          -          -          -
   Total Revenue                          228.0      212.4      196.4      195.2      194.0      192.8



   REVENUE DRIVERS                          2012       2013       2014       2015       2016       2017
   Total Army Troops                    558,571    552,241    545,982    539,794    533,676    527,628
   Army Troops Deployed - Middle East    54,000     30,000      5,000      5,000      5,000      5,000
   Army Troops Deployed - Other          46,000     46,000     46,000     46,000     46,000     46,000
   Army Troops Not Deployed             458,571    476,241    494,982    488,794    482,676    476,628
   Adjusted Amount of Troops            858,571    780,241    698,982    692,794    686,676    680,628
   % Change                                          -9.1%     -10.4%      -0.9%      -0.9%      -0.9%
IRR Analysis: Downside Case


      IRR ANALYSIS                                    2012        2013        2014       2015      2016
      Initial Equity Investment                    (154.84)
      CF from Divestment                                                      5.29       5.29
      Exit Year EBITDA                                                                            45.74
      Exit Multiple                                                                                6.5x
      Enterprise Value                                                                           297.29
      Less: Net Debt                                                                              85.32
      Equity Value                                                                               211.97


      Equity Proceeds                              (154.84)           0       5.29       5.29     211.97
      IRR                                                                                           9.7%
      Cash Return                                  1.0x        0.0x        0.0x       0.1x      1.4x




                                   IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
                                                              Entry Premium
                                       9.7%       15%       20%        25%    30%      35%
                                        5.5x    14.4%      8.2%       3.5%  -0.4%    -3.7%
                            Exit        6.0x    18.0%     11.6%       6.7%   2.7%    -0.7%
                        Multiple        6.5x    21.2%     14.8%       9.7%   5.6%     2.1%
                                        7.0x    24.3%     17.6%      12.4%   8.2%     4.7%
                                        7.5x    27.1%     20.3%      15.0%  10.7%     7.1%
Agenda

   Company Overview

    Industry Overview

    Investment Thesis

Valuation & Deal Structure


        Appendix
Assumptions


         Assumptions                   2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017
         Sales (% growth)             16.1%    4.1%    0.8%    1.2%    0.5%   -0.1%
          Base Case               1   16.1%    1.2%   -4.4%   -1.8%   -1.7%    1.3%
          Upside Case             2   16.1%    4.1%    0.8%    1.2%    0.5%   -0.1%
          Worst Case              3   12.7%   -6.8%   -7.6%   -0.6%   -0.6%   -0.6%

         Gross Margin (% sales)       67.0%   68.0%   71.0%   71.0%   71.0%   71.0%
          Base Case               1   67.0%   68.0%   68.0%   70.0%   71.0%   72.0%
          Upside Case             2   67.0%   68.0%   71.0%   71.0%   71.0%   71.0%
          Worst Case              3   67.0%   68.0%   72.0%   74.0%   75.0%   75.0%

         SG&A (% sales)               1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%
          Base Case               1   1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%
          Upside Case             2   1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%
          Worst Case              3   1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%    1.4%

         D&A (% sales)                2.0%    2.3%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%
          Base Case               1   2.0%    2.3%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%
          Upside Case             2   2.0%    2.3%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%
          Worst Case              3   2.0%    2.3%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%    2.5%

         Capex (% sales)              1.2%    4.8%    1.8%    1.2%    1.2%    1.2%
          Base Case               1   1.2%    5.2%    2.0%    1.2%    1.2%    1.2%
          Upside Case             2   1.2%    4.8%    1.8%    1.2%    1.2%    1.2%
          Worst Case              3   1.2%    5.6%    2.2%    1.2%    1.2%    1.2%

         NWC (% sales)                25.0%   23.0%   21.0%   21.0%   21.0%   21.0%
          Base Case               1   23.0%   23.0%   23.0%   23.0%   23.0%   23.0%
          Upside Case             2   25.0%   23.0%   21.0%   21.0%   21.0%   21.0%
          Worst Case              3   25.0%   25.0%   25.0%   25.0%   25.0%   25.0%
Debt Schedule


    FREE CASH FLOW - DEFENSE                    2011     2012     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017
    EBITDA                                      58.5     74.2     74.8     68.0     68.8     69.1     69.1
     Cash Interest                                -     (13.6)   (12.3)    (9.4)    (6.0)    (3.2)    (1.1)
     Cash Taxes                                (19.3)   (19.6)   (19.9)   (18.4)   (19.8)   (20.9)   (21.6)
     (Increase) / Decrease in NWC                9.6     (8.2)     2.5      4.5     (0.6)    (0.3)     0.0
     Capex                                      (1.6)    (2.8)   (11.7)    (4.4)    (3.0)    (3.0)    (3.0)
    Cash Available for Debt Repayment            47.2    30.1     33.3     40.3     39.4     41.8     43.4
    Less: Mandatory Payments                            -11.7    -10.5     -9.5     -8.5     -7.7     -3.8
    Less: Principal Repayment                           -18.4    -22.8    -30.8    -30.9    -34.1    -34.0
    Free Cash Flow after Pmts                             0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      5.7




    DEBT SCHEDULE - DEFENSE             Rate             2012     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017

    LIBOR CURVE                                         0.60%    0.73%    0.94%    1.17%    1.43%    1.66%

    Revolver                            L + 250 bps
    Beginning Balance                                    $0.0     $0.0     $0.0     $0.0     $0.0     $0.0
    Paydown                             Yes               -        -        -        -        -        -
     Ending Balance                                       -        -        -        -        -        -

    Interest Expense                                      -        -        -        -        -        -
    Commitment Fee                      50 bps           -0.39    -0.45    -0.56    -0.69    -0.85    -1.13
Debt Schedule

    Term Loan                           L + 400 bps
    Beginning Balance                                  $117.0    $105.3     $94.8    $85.3    $76.8    $37.8
    Mandatory Amortization              10%           ($11.70)   ($10.5)    ($9.5)   ($8.5)   ($7.7)   ($3.8)
    Additional Paydown                  Yes               -         -         -        -      (31.4)   (34.0)
     Ending Balance                                    105.3       94.8      85.3     76.8     37.8      -

    Interest Expense                                     (4.8)     (4.7)     (4.4)    (4.2)    (3.1)    (1.1)
    High Yield                                10.0%
    Beginning Balance                                 $105.6      $87.2     $64.4    $33.6     $2.7     $0.0
    Paydown                             Yes            (18.4)     (22.8)    (30.8)   (30.9)    (2.7)     -
     Ending Balance                                      87.2      64.4      33.6      2.7      -        -

    Interest Expense                                     (8.7)     (7.6)     (4.9)    (1.8)    (0.1)     -

    Total Net Debt (EB)                               $192.6     $159.2    $118.9    $79.5    $37.8     $0.0
    Total Net Interest Expense                         (13.6)     (12.3)     (9.4)    (6.0)    (3.2)    (1.1)

    Total Free Cash Flow                                 30.1      33.3      40.3     39.4     41.8     43.4
    Debt Service                                        (13.6)    (12.3)     (9.4)    (6.0)    (3.2)    (1.1)

    CREDIT STATISTICS                                    2012      2013      2014     2015     2016     2017
    Total Debt / EBITDA                                  2.6x      2.1x      1.7x     1.2x     0.5x        –
    FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments                    2.6x      3.2x      4.3x     4.6x     5.4x    11.5x
    FCF / Cash Interest                                  2.2x      2.7x      4.3x     6.6x    12.9x    40.7x
    (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest                     5.3x      5.1x      6.8x    11.0x    20.4x    61.8x

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NPK Buyout Slide Deck

  • 1. LBO of National Presto Industries Team 18 Pitch Deck
  • 2. Agenda Company Overview Industry Overview Investment Thesis Valuation & Deal Structure Appendix
  • 3. National Presto Industries Overview NPK is a unique company with three distinct business segments 1. Defense – manufactures 20-40mm ammunition, LAP operations, cartridge cases 2. Appliance – designs, markets, and distributes small home electrical appliances 3. Absorbent – manufactures and sells private label adult incontinence products and diapers Founded in Eau Claire, WI Publicly traded on NYSE Acquire Spectra and NCN Acquires Less than Lethal 2001 2006 1905 1969 2003 2011 Purchase RMED to form Acquires AMRON absorbent segment Sales Breakdown Key Financial Data REVENUE AND GROSS MARGIN BREAKDOWN 100% 5% • 7% 7% 90% 16% 17% 23% Stock Price: $72.89 80% 70% • FY 2011 Sales: $431mm 60% 53% 56% 50% 60% 66% • LTM EBITDA: $83.02mm 47% 50% Absorbent Defense • Market Capitalization: $520.6mm 40% 30% Appliances • Enterprise Value: $388.2mm 20% 31% 37% 33% 33% 30% 29% • EV/EBITDA Multiple: 4.7x 10% 0% • Free cash flow per share: $10.51 Rev Gross Rev Gross Rev Gross 2009 2010 2011
  • 4. National Presto Industries Overview Presto’s stock price performed exceptionally well during the financial crisis 120% 80% 40% NPK S&P 500 0% 4/1/2007 4/1/2008 4/1/2009 4/1/2010 4/1/2011 4/1/2012 -40% -80%
  • 5. Key Profit Drivers Key Profit Drivers in Each Segment Overall Gross Margins, 2002-2011 Defense 40% • US Government contracts 30% • Department of Defense budget • Military conflicts and troop deployment 20% • Manufacturing plant utilization 10% Home Appliances • Per capita disposable income 0% • Import penetration • Existing home sales • Commodity costs Overall EBITDA Margins, 2002-2011 30% Absorbent Products • Aging population • New product development 20% • Manufacturing plant utilization 10% 0%
  • 6. Segment Breakdown Gross Profit (2000-2010) Operating Profit (2000-2010) Historical Sales (2000-2010) Historical Free Cash Flow (2000-2010)
  • 7. Defense Segment Corporate Structure of the Defense Segment Products/services: • Training ammunition AMTEC CORPORATION • Firing devices and initiators acq. 2001 • Fuses Janesville, WI SPECTRA TECHNOLOGIES AMRON LESS LETHAL SYSTEMS acq. 2003 acq. 2006 acq. 2011 East Cambden, AR Antigo, WI Bull Shoals, AR Products/services: Products/services: Products/services: • Smoke and tear gas grenades • Load, Assemble, and Pack (LAP) • Medium caliber ammunition (20- 40mm) for DOD and DOD prime • Specialty impact munitions services for 40mm ammunition • Diversionary devices contractors • Cartridge casings • Stun munitions • Launchers and gas masks • Training for use of products
  • 8. Management Management has a long-term track record and deep experience • Chairman, President, and CEO: Maryjo Cohen – 36 years at Presto • CFO: Randy Lieble – 35 years at Presto • VP – Sales: Donald Hoeschen – 41 years at Presto • VP – Engineering: Lawrence Tienor – 42 years at Presto Maryjo Cohen owns 30% of Presto. Presto’s management team is a double-edged sword. They have deep industry experience and long track record with the company. They are responsible for the consistent growth Presto has achieved over the last 35 years. Yet, they have traditionally operated the business with little leverage and inefficient levels of working capital. We believe our partnership will add a fresh perspective on new opportunities. Shares owned by management (of the float) Insider Transactions as of May 2010 5000 Maryjo Cohen 332,785 4000 Randy Lieble 1,478 3000 2000 Donald Hoeschen 372 1000 Lawrence Tienor 319 0 Shares Bought Shares Sold
  • 9. Agenda Company Overview Industry Overview Investment Thesis Valuation & Deal Structure Appendix
  • 10. Industry Overview Historical Growth Projected Growth • Defense: 5.1% 5-yr CAGR • Defense: 3.2% 5-yr CAGR • Small arms ammo: 14.8% • Appliances: 1.1% 5-yr CAGR • Other ammo: 12.6% • Appliances: 3.6% 5-yr CAGR • Absorbent: 1.1% 5-yr CAGR • Small appliances: 0% • Absorbent: 1.6 % 5-yr CAGR • Disposable sanitary products as primary source of segment growth Historical and Projected Industry Growth (Revenue $ mm) 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 Small Appliances 10,000 Guns and Ammo 9,000 Paper Products 8,000 7,000 6,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 11. Competitive Landscape Overview Appliances Segment - High Each business segment has moderate to high Substitutes competitive rivalry. We believe the defense segment is most favorable due to barriers to entry from (1) high fixed costs and (2) long-term Competitive Buyers government relationships. Suppliers Rivalry High Medium Low New Entrants Defense Segment - Medium Absorbent Product Segment - High Substitutes Substitutes Competitive Competitive Buyers Suppliers Buyers Suppliers Rivalry Rivalry New Entrants New Entrants
  • 12. Agenda Company Overview Industry Overview Investment Thesis Valuation & Deal Structure Appendix
  • 13. Investment Thesis Three attributes make NPK an attractive investment: 1. Sum of Parts Play • Optimize value through 3 segments • Spin off appliances and absorbent Current Ratio (2002- 2011) 8 5.8 5.6 2. Strong Financial Condition 6 5 4.9 5.3 5.1 5.2 5 4.3 4 • No leverage 4 • Current ratio of 5.0 2 • Strong margins 0 3. Attractive Valuation EV/EBITDA Multiple • EV/EBITDA of 4.4x 14 12 • P/E ratio of 10.4x 10 8 6 NPK 4 Industry Average 2 0
  • 14. Value Creation We see three opportunities to unlock significant value in NPK: 1. Reverse Morris Trust Transaction 2. Expansion of Less-Than-Lethal Product Line 3. Enter Private Ammunition Market
  • 15. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 1: Buy National Presto Industries Sponsor
  • 16. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 2: Form subsidiaries for the appliance and absorbent segments Sponsor 100% 100% Sub Appliance Sub Absorbent
  • 17. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 2: Form Subsidiaries for the Appliance to the PE sponsor 3: Distribute 100% of subsidiary stock and Absorbent Segments Sponsor 100% 100% stock stock 100% 100% Sub Appliance Sub Absorbent
  • 18. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 3: Distribute 100% of subsidiary stock to the PE sponsor Sponsor 100% 100% 100% Sub Appliance Sub Absorbent
  • 19. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange Sponsor 100% 100% 100% Sub Appliance Sub Absorbent merger merger Buyer 1 Buyer 2
  • 20. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange > 50% Sponsor > 50% 100% Buyer 1 Buyer 2 Sub Sub Appliance Absorbent < 50% < 50%
  • 21. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Step 4: Sell off subsidiaries to strategic buyer in stock-for-stock exchange Sponsor > 50% > 50% 100% Buyer 1 Buyer 2 Sub Sub Appliance Absorbent < 50% < 50%
  • 22. 1) Reverse Morris Trust Transaction Advantages of the spin-off Reasons for the defense segment • Strategic focus • Largest growth potential in ammo market • Only one segment • Leads all segments in key ratios and metrics • Tax-deferred sales • Long-term capital gains: 15% • Contract with DOD through 2015 • Boost to overall IRR • Growth potential in Less than Lethal • Returns in years 3 and 4 through block trade • Potential to expand into private sector
  • 23. 2) Expansion of Less-Than-Lethal Acquired Less than Lethal Systems in November 2011 Plans for expansion: • CapEx investment of $10mm in 2013 $2mm in 2014 to expand manufacturing capacity LESS LETHAL SYSTEMS acq. 2011 Bull Shoals, AR Clients: Products/services: Other: • Law enforcement • Smoke and tear gas • 15,000 sq. ft • Corrections grenades manufacturing facility • Military • Specialty impact • $8mm of revenue in 2011 munitions • Diversionary devices • Stun munitions • Launchers and gas masks • Training for use of products
  • 24. 3) Enter Private Ammunition Market The private ammunition market is fast growing and has limited transaction costs • 2 possible ways to accomplish this: • Acquire a small ammunition manufacturer • Modify existing plants if demand from DoD declines • High growth potential • 5-yr projected CAGR of 14.8% • Customer diversification • Way to hedge risk of decline in government demand • Use Less than Lethal law enforcement relationships to build customer base • Potential targets: • Black Hills Ammunition • Rio Ammunition • Fiocchi Ammunition • Selliers & Belloitt • Hornady
  • 25. 3) Enter Private Ammunition Market Case Study - Alliant Tech Systems • “For the last few years, commercial ammunition has been Alliant's fastest-growing business, fueled in part by Americans' increased concern over their safety and fears that stricter gun control laws could be ahead. The segment's performance has helped Alliant offset declines in its aerospace and defense segments due to federal budget cuts and the end of the U.S. war in Iraq.” • “The commercial business grew from $258 million to $930 million in annual sales in the last 10 years, accounting for an ever-larger part of Alliant's overall sales.” • “The sporting group's 22 percent increase in sales last year was fueled in part by Wal-Mart's decision to start selling shotguns, rifles and ammunition in more of its stores. Other major customers include Cabela's, Dick's Sporting Goods, Bass Pro and Gander Mountain; They also sell to security companies and law enforcement agencies.”
  • 26. Summary of Value Creation At an EBITDA exit multiple of 6.5x, improvements will add $355mm of equity value $600 $500 $400 Equity Value $300 $200 $100 $0 Sponsor Leverage Spinoff Less-than- Private Ammo Total Equity Equity Value Lethal Value
  • 27. Risks of Investment This deal has several risks, but these factors help mitigate them 1. Future Contracts with the Department of Defense • Troop deployment • DoD budget Mitigating Factors • Unrealized budget cuts • Slow-moving military decisions • Ammo is essential • 5-year contract renewal in Feb. 2010 • Order backlog of $342mm 2. No Buyer for Appliance and Absorbent Product Segment Mitigating Factors Order Backlog ($ mm) • Less than $500mm is ideal for these industries • 100 years of brand recognition for appliances 350 • High growth potential in absorbent 300 250 3. Difficulty Entering Private Ammunition Market 200 150 Mitigating Factors 100 50 • Acquire small manufacturer for client relationships 0 • Law enforcement connection (Less than Lethal) 2009 2010 2011
  • 28. Exit Strategies NPK’s defense segment could add significant value to a financial or strategic buyer The exit strategy is deployed early, with the spinoff of two subsidiaries. Conservative estimates give 1.5 years for the spinoff and an additional 2 years for the sale of the stock. After building up the defense segment, we believe it will be a prime target for either a large strategic buyer or a large financial buyer. Any company looking to expand its operations specifically into medium caliber round manufacturing would benefit from the synergies that may exist within distribution and operations and would benefit highly from the key relationship NPK’s defense segment has created within the Department of Defense and other government agencies.
  • 29. Agenda Company Overview Industry Overview Investment Thesis Valuation & Deal Structure Appendix
  • 30. Valuation Summary NPK is trading at a 52-week low, putting it in an ideal position for a buyout
  • 31. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis and Assumptions
  • 32. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis and Assumptions
  • 35. Precedent Transactions Analysis and Assumptions Appliances Date Enterprise Enterprise Value/LTM Ann. Acquiror Target Value Sales EBITDA 01/10/12 Carrier Aircon Ltd GD Midea Holding Co Ltd $7,366.9 0.5x NA 08/22/11 Electrolux AB CTI Cia Tecno Industrial SA 514.8 1.1x 4.1x 12/13/11 Polair OAO Snaige AB 32.1 0.6x 6.9x 12/11/09 Qingdao Haier Co Ltd Haier Electronics Group Co Ltd 2,542.1 0.4x 8.7x 09/29/09 China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Ltd 1,624.1 2.3x 4.5x 07/15/09 Whirlpool Corp Hisense Kelon Electrical Holdings Co Ltd 1,342.5 0.1x 3.6x 05/27/09 Haier Group Corp Fisher & Paykel Appliances Holdings Ltd 679.0 0.3x 3.9x Q1 0.4x 3.9x Median 0.5x 4.3x Q3 0.9x 6.3x Defense Date Enterprise Enterprise Value/LTM Ann. Acquiror Target Value Sales EBITDA 09/21/11 United Technologies Corp Goodrich Corp $16,950.9 2.0x 9.6x 05/15/09 General Dynamics Corp Elbit Systems Ltd 2,376.1 0.6x 4.5x 08/14/08 Goodrich Corp Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC 21,491.6 1.4x 10.5x 07/15/08 General Electric Co Safran SA 13,822.0 0.9x 6.7x Q1 0.8x 6.1x Median 1.2x 8.1x Q3 1.5x 9.8x
  • 36. Precedent Transactions Analysis and Assumptions Incontinence Date Enterprise Enterprise Value/LTM Ann. Acquiror Target Value Sales EBITDA 08/25/09 CMC Holdings Ltd/Hong Kong Fancl Corp 554.3 0.8x 7.7x 06/27/08 Financiere FC 1 Clarins 2,953.9 3.8x 05/30/08 JW Holdings Co Ltd JW Shinyak Corp 168.8 4.4x 31.0x 07/12/07 Energizer Holdings Inc Playtex Products Inc 1,601.2 2.1x Q1 1.7x 3.4x Median 2.6x 5.8x Q3 3.5x 13.5x Low end High end Implied Share Price of NPK (applying multiples to the three segments) 90.65 96.82
  • 37. Transaction Overview Purchase Price Allocation Sources & Uses Current Price p/ Share $73.00 Sources Amount Multples % of total Revolver - 0.0 0.0 0% Offer Premium 25% Term 166.04 2.0 2.0 33% Offer Price p/ Share $91.25 High Yield 180.00 2.2 4.2 36% Fully Diluted Shares 6.78mm Sponsor Equity 154.84 1.9 6.0 31% Total 500.88 6.0 100% Equity Value (before deal) $368.51mm Equity Offer Price $493.89mm Uses Amount Implied Entry Multiple 6.03x Equity 493.89 Debt - Fees 6.99 Total 500.88 Reverse Morris Trust Capital Structure PRE-SPINOFF DEFENSE APPLIANCE ABSORBENT POST-SPINOFF Debt Amount Amount Mult Amount Mult Amount Mult Amount Revolver - - - - - - - - Term 166.0 117.0 2.0 35.4 2.0 13.6 2.0 166.0 High Yield 180.0 105.6 1.8 54.0 3.0 20.4 3.0 180.0 Total Debt 346.0 222.6 3.8 89.4 5.0 34.0 5.0 346.0
  • 38. Transaction Overview Proceeds from Spinoff Cash proceeds from the spinoff are reduced by 15% to account for the open-market block sales that occur in mid- 2014 and mid-2015. Base case, upside case, and downside case returns BASE Segment 2012 EBITDA Multiple Enterprise Value Net Debt Equity Value Realizable Value Appliances 24.11 4.3 103.65 89.42 14.24 12.10 Absorbent 12.31 5.8 71.38 33.99 37.39 31.78 UPSIDE Segment 2012 EBITDA Multiple Enterprise Value Net Debt Equity Value Realizable Value Appliances 24.11 6.3 151.86 89.42 62.45 53.08 Absorbent 12.31 7.5 92.30 33.99 58.31 49.57 DOWNSIDE Segment 2012 EBITDA Multiple Enterprise Value Net Debt Equity Value Realizable Value Appliances 24.11 3.9 94.01 89.42 4.59 3.90 Absorbent 12.31 3.4 41.84 33.99 7.86 6.68
  • 39. Transaction Overview The early spinoff of two segments will add significant value to the buyout Assumptions of the transaction: • The spinoff takes 2 years to complete • The equity portions of the segments are sold off over a period of 2 years at a 15% discount With conservative exit multiples of 6.5x and 5.5x for the two segments, NPK shareholders will receive 50% of their investment. PAYBACK PERIOD SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS - % of initial investment recovered from spinoff Exit Multiple - Absorbent 28.3% 4.5x 5.5x 6.5x 7.5x 8.5x 3.5x 9.0% 15.7% 22.5% 29.2% 36.0% Exit Multiple 4.5x 22.2% 29.0% 35.7% 42.5% 49.2% - Appliances 5.5x 35.4% 42.2% 49.0% 55.7% 62.5% 6.5x 48.7% 55.4% 62.2% 68.9% 75.7% 7.5x 61.9% 68.7% 75.4% 82.2% 88.9% IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS - IRR after defense exit in year 5 Exit Multiple - Absorbent 27.7% 4.5x 5.5x 6.5x 7.5x 8.5x 3.5x 24.1% 25.4% 26.6% 27.9% 29.1% Exit Multiple 4.5x 26.6% 27.8% 29.1% 30.3% 31.6% - Appliances 5.5x 29.0% 30.3% 31.5% 32.8% 34.0% 6.5x 31.5% 32.7% 34.0% 35.2% 36.5% 7.5x 33.9% 35.2% 36.4% 37.7% 38.9%
  • 40. Financial Summary: Base Case PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 INCOME STATEMENT Historical Period Projection Period Revenue 224.4 238.8 253.8 240.8 202.4 235.0 237.9 227.4 223.2 219.5 222.3 % growth 0% NA - 6.4% - 6.3% - -5.1% - -15.9% - 16.1% - 1.2% - -4.4% - -1.8% - -1.7% - 1.3% - COGS 176.1 188.5 191.9 172.7 140.4 157.5 161.8 154.6 156.3 155.9 160.0 % margins 0% 78.5% 0% 79.0% 0% 75.6% 0% 71.7% 0% 69.4% 0% 67.0% 0% 68.0% 0% 68.0% 0% 70.0% 0% 71.0% 0% 72.0% 0% SG&A 0% 8.9 0% 3.5 0% 3.5 0% 3.0 0% 3.5 0% 3.4 0% 3.4 0% 3.2 0% 3.2 0% 3.1 0% 3.2 0% EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 74.2 72.7 69.5 63.8 60.5 59.1 % margins 0% 17.6% 0% 19.6% 0% 23.0% 0% 27.0% 0% 28.9% 0% 31.6% 0% 30.6% 0% 30.6% 0% 28.6% 0% 27.6% 0% 26.6% 0% D&A 0% 2.7 0% 3.2 0% 3.6 0% 3.7 0% 3.5 0% 4.7 0% 5.5 0% 5.7 0% 5.6 0% 5.5 0% 5.6 0% EBIT 36.7 43.6 54.8 61.4 55.0 69.5 67.3 63.8 58.2 55.0 53.5 % margins 16.4% 18.2% 21.6% 25.5% 27.2% 29.6% 28.3% 28.1% 26.1% 25.1% 24.1% FREE CASH FLOW EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 74.2 72.7 69.5 63.8 60.5 59.1 Cash Interest - - - - - (13.1) (12.1) (9.4) (6.2) (3.6) (1.6) Cash Taxes (12.8) (15.2) (19.2) (21.5) (19.3) (19.8) (19.3) (19.0) (18.2) (18.0) (18.2) (Increase) / Decrease in NWC - (3.6) (3.8) 3.3 9.6 (3.5) (0.7) 2.4 0.9 0.9 (0.6) Capex (4.8) (2.6) (1.3) (3.5) (1.6) (2.8) (12.4) (4.5) (2.7) (2.6) (2.7) Free Cash Flow 21.8 25.3 34.1 43.3 47.2 35.1 28.3 38.9 37.6 37.1 36.0 % of revenue 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 18.0% 23.3% 14.9% 11.9% 17.1% 16.9% 16.9% 16.2% Cumulative Free Cash Flow 35.1 63.4 102.3 140.0 177.1 213.1 Revolver Balance - - - - - - Term Loan Balance 105.3 94.8 85.3 76.8 45.5 9.5 High Yield Balance 82.2 64.4 35.0 5.9 - - CREDIT STATISTICS Total Debt / EBITDA 2.5x 2.2x 1.7x 1.3x 0.8x 0.2x FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments 3.0x 2.7x 4.1x 4.4x 4.8x 7.9x FCF / Cash Interest 2.7x 2.3x 4.1x 6.0x 10.3x 23.1x (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest 5.5x 5.0x 6.9x 9.8x 16.0x 36.2x
  • 41. Revenue Projections: Base Case Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed PROFORMA REVENUE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ammunition 40mm Backlog 170.0 113.0 40mm 4/1/12 option 40.5 40.5 Add'l options - 12.9 112.8 146.1 139.0 137.8 Total Ammunition Revenue 170.0 166.4 153.3 146.1 139.0 137.8 % change -2.1% -7.9% -4.7% -4.9% -0.9% Other Revenue 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 Less-than-Lethal 15.0 16.5 18.2 20.0 22.0 24.2 Private Sales - 5.0 6.0 7.2 8.6 10.4 Total Revenue 235.0 237.9 227.4 223.2 219.5 222.3 REVENUE DRIVERS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Army Troops 558,571 552,241 545,982 539,794 533,676 527,628 Army Troops Deployed - Middle East 54,000 50,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 Army Troops Deployed - Other 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 Army Troops Not Deployed 458,571 456,241 469,982 473,794 477,676 471,628 Adjusted Amount of Troops 858,571 840,241 773,982 737,794 701,676 695,628 % Change -2.1% -7.9% -4.7% -4.9% -0.9%
  • 42. IRR Analysis: Base Case IRR ANALYSIS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Initial Equity Investment (154.84) CF from Divestment 21.94 21.94 Exit Year EBITDA 60.53 Exit Multiple 6.5x Enterprise Value 393.44 Less: Net Debt 45.52 Equity Value 347.92 Equity Proceeds (154.84) 0 21.94 21.94 347.92 IRR 27.7% Cash Return 1.0x 0.0x 0.1x 0.3x 2.5x IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Entry Premium 27.7% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 5.5x 36.0% 28.3% 22.4% 17.5% 13.5% Exit 6.0x 39.0% 31.2% 25.1% 20.2% 16.1% Multiple 6.5x 41.8% 33.9% 27.7% 22.7% 18.5% 7.0x 44.4% 36.4% 30.1% 25.0% 20.8% 7.5x 46.9% 38.8% 32.4% 27.3% 23.0%
  • 43. Financial Summary: Upside Case PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 INCOME STATEMENT Historical Period Projection Period Revenue 224.4 238.8 253.8 240.8 202.4 235.0 244.7 246.6 249.5 250.8 250.5 % growth 0% NA - 6.4% - 6.3% - -5.1% - -15.9% - 16.1% - 4.1% - 0.8% - 1.2% - 0.5% - -0.1% - COGS 176.1 188.5 191.9 172.7 140.4 157.5 166.4 175.1 177.2 178.0 177.9 % margins 0% 78.5% 0% 79.0% 0% 75.6% 0% 71.7% 0% 69.4% 0% 67.0% 0% 68.0% 0% 71.0% 0% 71.0% 0% 71.0% 0% 71.0% 0% SG&A 0% 8.9 0% 3.5 0% 3.5 0% 3.0 0% 3.5 0% 3.4 0% 3.5 0% 3.5 0% 3.6 0% 3.6 0% 3.6 0% EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 74.2 74.8 68.0 68.8 69.1 69.1 % margins 0% 17.6% 0% 19.6% 0% 23.0% 0% 27.0% 0% 28.9% 0% 31.6% 0% 30.6% 0% 27.6% 0% 27.6% 0% 27.6% 0% 27.6% 0% D&A 0% 2.7 0% 3.2 0% 3.6 0% 3.7 0% 3.5 0% 4.7 0% 5.6 0% 6.2 0% 6.2 0% 6.3 0% 6.3 0% EBIT 36.7 43.6 54.8 61.4 55.0 69.5 69.2 61.8 62.6 62.9 62.8 % margins 16.4% 18.2% 21.6% 25.5% 27.2% 29.6% 28.3% 25.1% 25.1% 25.1% 25.1% FREE CASH FLOW EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 74.2 74.8 68.0 68.8 69.1 69.1 Cash Interest - - - - - (13.6) (12.3) (9.4) (6.0) (3.2) (1.1) Cash Taxes (12.8) (15.2) (19.2) (21.5) (19.3) (19.6) (19.9) (18.4) (19.8) (20.9) (21.6) (Increase) / Decrease in NWC - (3.6) (3.8) 3.3 9.6 (8.2) 2.5 4.5 (0.6) (0.3) 0.0 Capex (4.8) (2.6) (1.3) (3.5) (1.6) (2.8) (11.7) (4.4) (3.0) (3.0) (3.0) Free Cash Flow 21.8 25.3 34.1 43.3 47.2 30.1 33.3 40.3 39.4 41.8 43.4 % of revenue 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 18.0% 23.3% 12.8% 13.6% 16.4% 15.8% 16.7% 17.3% Cumulative Free Cash Flow 30.1 63.4 103.7 143.1 184.9 228.3 Revolver Balance - - - - - - Term Loan Balance 105.3 94.8 85.3 76.8 37.8 - High Yield Balance 87.2 64.4 33.6 2.7 - - CREDIT STATISTICS Total Debt / EBITDA 2.6x 2.1x 1.7x 1.2x 0.5x – FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments 2.6x 3.2x 4.3x 4.6x 5.4x 11.5x FCF / Cash Interest 2.2x 2.7x 4.3x 6.6x 12.9x 40.7x (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest 5.3x 5.1x 6.8x 11.0x 20.4x 61.8x
  • 44. Revenue Projections: Upside Case Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed PROFORMA REVENUE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ammunition 40mm Backlog 170.0 113.0 40mm 4/1/12 option 40.5 40.5 Add'l options - 12.9 121.8 158.1 150.9 140.8 Total Ammunition Revenue 170.0 166.4 162.3 158.1 150.9 140.8 % change -2.1% -2.5% -2.6% -4.5% -6.7% Other Revenue 50.0 51.0 52.0 53.1 54.1 55.2 Less-than-Lethal 15.0 17.3 19.8 22.8 26.2 30.2 Private Sales - 10.0 12.5 15.6 19.5 24.4 Total Revenue 235.0 244.7 246.6 249.5 250.8 250.5 REVENUE DRIVERS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Army Troops 558,571 552,241 545,982 539,794 533,676 527,628 Army Troops Deployed - Middle East 54,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 30,000 15,000 Army Troops Deployed - Other 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 Army Troops Not Deployed 458,571 456,241 454,982 453,794 457,676 466,628 Adjusted Amount of Troops 858,571 840,241 818,982 797,794 761,676 710,628 % Change -2.1% -2.5% -2.6% -4.5% -6.7%
  • 45. IRR Analysis: Upside Case IRR ANALYSIS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Initial Equity Investment (154.84) CF from Divestment 51.32 51.32 Exit Year EBITDA 69.14 Exit Multiple 6.5x Enterprise Value 449.43 Less: Net Debt 37.76 Equity Value 411.68 Equity Proceeds (154.84) 0 51.32 51.32 411.68 IRR 39.3% Cash Return 1.0x 0.0x 0.3x 0.7x 3.3x IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Entry Premium 39.3% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 5.5x 50.4% 41.3% 34.3% 28.7% 24.0% Exit 6.0x 53.2% 44.0% 36.9% 31.2% 26.4% Multiple 6.5x 55.8% 46.5% 39.3% 33.5% 28.7% 7.0x 58.2% 48.8% 41.6% 35.7% 30.9% 7.5x 60.5% 51.0% 43.7% 37.8% 32.9%
  • 46. Financial Summary: Downside Case PROFORMA FINANCIAL DATA 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 INCOME STATEMENT Historical Period Projection Period Revenue 224.4 238.8 253.8 240.8 202.4 228.0 212.4 196.4 195.2 194.0 192.8 % growth 0% NA - 6.4% - 6.3% - -5.1% - -15.9% - 12.7% - -6.8% - -7.6% - -0.6% - -0.6% - -0.6% - COGS 176.1 188.5 191.9 172.7 140.4 152.8 144.5 141.4 144.5 145.5 144.6 % margins 0% 78.5% 0% 79.0% 0% 75.6% 0% 71.7% 0% 69.4% 0% 67.0% 0% 68.0% 0% 72.0% 0% 74.0% 0% 75.0% 0% 75.0% 0% SG&A 0% 8.9 0% 3.5 0% 3.5 0% 3.0 0% 3.5 0% 3.3 0% 3.0 0% 2.8 0% 2.8 0% 2.8 0% 2.7 0% EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 72.0 65.0 52.2 48.0 45.7 45.5 % margins 0% 17.6% 0% 19.6% 0% 23.0% 0% 27.0% 0% 28.9% 0% 31.6% 0% 30.6% 0% 26.6% 0% 24.6% 0% 23.6% 0% 23.6% 0% D&A 0% 2.7 0% 3.2 0% 3.6 0% 3.7 0% 3.5 0% 4.6 0% 4.9 0% 4.9 0% 4.9 0% 4.9 0% 4.8 0% EBIT 36.7 43.6 54.8 61.4 55.0 67.4 60.1 47.3 43.1 40.9 40.6 % margins 16.4% 18.2% 21.6% 25.5% 27.2% 29.6% 28.3% 24.1% 22.1% 21.1% 21.1% FREE CASH FLOW EBITDA 39.4 46.8 58.4 65.1 58.5 72.0 65.0 52.2 48.0 45.7 45.5 Cash Interest - - - - - (13.5) (12.6) (10.5) (8.4) (6.5) (4.4) Cash Taxes (12.8) (15.2) (19.2) (21.5) (19.3) (18.9) (16.6) (12.9) (12.1) (12.0) (12.7) (Increase) / Decrease in NWC - (3.6) (3.8) 3.3 9.6 (6.4) 3.9 4.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 Capex (4.8) (2.6) (1.3) (3.5) (1.6) (2.7) (11.9) (4.3) (2.3) (2.3) (2.3) Free Cash Flow 21.8 25.3 34.1 43.3 47.2 30.5 27.8 28.5 25.4 25.2 26.3 % of revenue 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 18.0% 23.3% 13.4% 13.1% 14.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.7% Cumulative Free Cash Flow 30.5 58.2 86.7 112.1 137.3 163.7 Revolver Balance - - - - - - Term Loan Balance 105.3 94.8 85.3 76.8 69.1 59.0 High Yield Balance 86.9 69.6 50.6 33.7 16.2 - CREDIT STATISTICS Total Debt / EBITDA 2.7x 2.5x 2.6x 2.3x 1.9x 1.3x FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments 2.6x 2.6x 3.0x 3.0x 3.3x 3.8x FCF / Cash Interest 2.3x 2.2x 2.7x 3.0x 3.9x 5.9x (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest 5.1x 4.2x 4.6x 5.4x 6.7x 9.7x
  • 47. Revenue Projections: Downside Case Assumes deployed soldiers use 4x as much ammunition as non-deployed PROFORMA REVENUE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ammunition 40mm Backlog 170.0 113.0 40mm 4/1/12 option 40.5 40.5 Add'l options - 1.0 98.0 137.2 136.0 134.8 Total Ammunition Revenue 170.0 154.5 138.5 137.2 136.0 134.8 % change -9.1% -10.4% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% Other Revenue 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 Less-than-Lethal 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 Private Sales - - - - - - Total Revenue 228.0 212.4 196.4 195.2 194.0 192.8 REVENUE DRIVERS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Army Troops 558,571 552,241 545,982 539,794 533,676 527,628 Army Troops Deployed - Middle East 54,000 30,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Army Troops Deployed - Other 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 46,000 Army Troops Not Deployed 458,571 476,241 494,982 488,794 482,676 476,628 Adjusted Amount of Troops 858,571 780,241 698,982 692,794 686,676 680,628 % Change -9.1% -10.4% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%
  • 48. IRR Analysis: Downside Case IRR ANALYSIS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Initial Equity Investment (154.84) CF from Divestment 5.29 5.29 Exit Year EBITDA 45.74 Exit Multiple 6.5x Enterprise Value 297.29 Less: Net Debt 85.32 Equity Value 211.97 Equity Proceeds (154.84) 0 5.29 5.29 211.97 IRR 9.7% Cash Return 1.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.1x 1.4x IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Entry Premium 9.7% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 5.5x 14.4% 8.2% 3.5% -0.4% -3.7% Exit 6.0x 18.0% 11.6% 6.7% 2.7% -0.7% Multiple 6.5x 21.2% 14.8% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 7.0x 24.3% 17.6% 12.4% 8.2% 4.7% 7.5x 27.1% 20.3% 15.0% 10.7% 7.1%
  • 49. Agenda Company Overview Industry Overview Investment Thesis Valuation & Deal Structure Appendix
  • 50. Assumptions Assumptions 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Sales (% growth) 16.1% 4.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.5% -0.1% Base Case 1 16.1% 1.2% -4.4% -1.8% -1.7% 1.3% Upside Case 2 16.1% 4.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.5% -0.1% Worst Case 3 12.7% -6.8% -7.6% -0.6% -0.6% -0.6% Gross Margin (% sales) 67.0% 68.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% Base Case 1 67.0% 68.0% 68.0% 70.0% 71.0% 72.0% Upside Case 2 67.0% 68.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% Worst Case 3 67.0% 68.0% 72.0% 74.0% 75.0% 75.0% SG&A (% sales) 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% Base Case 1 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% Upside Case 2 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% Worst Case 3 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% D&A (% sales) 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Base Case 1 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Upside Case 2 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Worst Case 3 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Capex (% sales) 1.2% 4.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% Base Case 1 1.2% 5.2% 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% Upside Case 2 1.2% 4.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% Worst Case 3 1.2% 5.6% 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% NWC (% sales) 25.0% 23.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% Base Case 1 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% Upside Case 2 25.0% 23.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% Worst Case 3 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
  • 51. Debt Schedule FREE CASH FLOW - DEFENSE 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA 58.5 74.2 74.8 68.0 68.8 69.1 69.1 Cash Interest - (13.6) (12.3) (9.4) (6.0) (3.2) (1.1) Cash Taxes (19.3) (19.6) (19.9) (18.4) (19.8) (20.9) (21.6) (Increase) / Decrease in NWC 9.6 (8.2) 2.5 4.5 (0.6) (0.3) 0.0 Capex (1.6) (2.8) (11.7) (4.4) (3.0) (3.0) (3.0) Cash Available for Debt Repayment 47.2 30.1 33.3 40.3 39.4 41.8 43.4 Less: Mandatory Payments -11.7 -10.5 -9.5 -8.5 -7.7 -3.8 Less: Principal Repayment -18.4 -22.8 -30.8 -30.9 -34.1 -34.0 Free Cash Flow after Pmts 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 DEBT SCHEDULE - DEFENSE Rate 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 LIBOR CURVE 0.60% 0.73% 0.94% 1.17% 1.43% 1.66% Revolver L + 250 bps Beginning Balance $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Paydown Yes - - - - - - Ending Balance - - - - - - Interest Expense - - - - - - Commitment Fee 50 bps -0.39 -0.45 -0.56 -0.69 -0.85 -1.13
  • 52. Debt Schedule Term Loan L + 400 bps Beginning Balance $117.0 $105.3 $94.8 $85.3 $76.8 $37.8 Mandatory Amortization 10% ($11.70) ($10.5) ($9.5) ($8.5) ($7.7) ($3.8) Additional Paydown Yes - - - - (31.4) (34.0) Ending Balance 105.3 94.8 85.3 76.8 37.8 - Interest Expense (4.8) (4.7) (4.4) (4.2) (3.1) (1.1) High Yield 10.0% Beginning Balance $105.6 $87.2 $64.4 $33.6 $2.7 $0.0 Paydown Yes (18.4) (22.8) (30.8) (30.9) (2.7) - Ending Balance 87.2 64.4 33.6 2.7 - - Interest Expense (8.7) (7.6) (4.9) (1.8) (0.1) - Total Net Debt (EB) $192.6 $159.2 $118.9 $79.5 $37.8 $0.0 Total Net Interest Expense (13.6) (12.3) (9.4) (6.0) (3.2) (1.1) Total Free Cash Flow 30.1 33.3 40.3 39.4 41.8 43.4 Debt Service (13.6) (12.3) (9.4) (6.0) (3.2) (1.1) CREDIT STATISTICS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Debt / EBITDA 2.6x 2.1x 1.7x 1.2x 0.5x – FCF / Mandatory Interest Payments 2.6x 3.2x 4.3x 4.6x 5.4x 11.5x FCF / Cash Interest 2.2x 2.7x 4.3x 6.6x 12.9x 40.7x (EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest 5.3x 5.1x 6.8x 11.0x 20.4x 61.8x