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PALEO-FIRE CLIMATOLOGY




Photograph: Kurt Schierenbeck
Main methods used to reconstruct fire history
              from tree rings

           Fire scars

           Tree and forest stand ages

           Tree mortality dates

           Ring-width growth changes

           Combinations of evidence
Photograph: Tom Swetnam



Sequoia fire scars
Photograph: Tom Swetnam



Pinus sylvestris tree rings and fire scars, Siberia
Extensive




Fire evidence



         Limited

                    Low     Moderate       High

                          Fire intensity
Extensive




Fire evidence



         Limited    No scars                    No trees

                       Low       Moderate       High

                               Fire intensity
Spatial scales of fire history studies




Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
Spatial scales of fire history studies




                                                                                        Very fine scale, local pa erns that
                    Tree                                                                determine first scar (and later scars)

Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
Spatial scales of fire history studies




                                                                                        Fine-scale vegetation, fuels, wind,
                  Stand                                                                 microclimate




Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
Spatial scales of fire history studies




                                                                                        Topographic and elevation effects on
       Watershed
                                                                                        fire spread




Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
Spatial scales of fire history studies

            Regional                                                                    Climate, broad-scale human land use




Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
1
ONE
FIRE AMONG THE GIANTS
h p://esp.cr.usgs.gov/data/atlas/li le/
Photograph: Byron Hetrick
Photograph: Kai Schreiber
“   ... public concern led to a temporary suspension of


                                                                                  ”
    the prescribed fire program, a review by a panel of scientists,
    and a call for more detailed fire history studies in the groves.


                                             Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
Photograph: Ma hew Fern
Photograph: Tom Swetnam



Julio Betancourt   Tom Swetnam
Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
                                             ?
?
                    At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did
                    surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest?




Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
?
                    At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did
                    surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest?


                   What role did climate variations play in
                   determining these fire regime characteristics?




Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
?
                    At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did
                    surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest?


                   What role did climate variations play in
                   determining these fire regime characteristics?


                   Given the fire and climate history of the past 3000 years,
                   what lessons and insights might we draw from this history
                   as a guide to present and future fire management?


Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
Source: Tom Swetnam
Photograph: Miguel Viera
“ And see this ring right here, Jimmy? ...



                                             ”
 That’s another time when the old fellow
miraculously survived some big forest fire.
Source: Swetnam et al., 2009
Photograph: J. Dieterich
Photograph: J. Dieterich
Photograph: Henri Grissino-Mayer
Photograph: Tom Swetnam
Photograph: Tom Swetnam



Tom Swetnam and Chris Baisan sampling eye socket fire scars at Big Stump, Kings Canyon NP
Source: Tom Swetnam
Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
Fire interval   =    Number of years
                    between fire events
Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
“   The earliest fire date recorded by a growth release was in
    181 B.C.E., and the earliest fire scar date was in 56 B.C.E.


                                                                       ”
    The latest fire date (recorded by a scar) was in 1915 C.E.


                                          Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
Fire frequency   =   Number of fire events
                      per 50-year period
Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
“   However, these distributions provide only relativistic
    estimates of fire free intervals (or fire frequencies)
    within the scales, locations, and time periods described,


                                                  ”
    and not absolute estimates of area burned.
                                          Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
By 1890, NM had more than 5 million sheep in 1.5 million ca le.
Photograph: Charles Kaiser
“   Fire scars, other tree-ring indicators, and charcoal in
    wet meadow sediments from the Giant Forest and


                                                                               ”
    other sequoia groves show that the “normal” condition
    of these fire regimes is one of highly frequent surface fires.

                                          Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
“   The most recent century and a half (since circa 1860 C.E.)


                                                                         ”
    of fire suppression by people is the most anomalous,
    low-fire frequency period in at least the past 3000 years.


                                          Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
2   TWO
    NORTHERN FIRES
Photograph: Kurt Schierenbeck
Extensive




Fire evidence



         Limited    No scars                    No trees

                       Low       Moderate       High

                               Fire intensity
Miron ‘Bud’ Heinselman
“Remaining virgin forest of the BWCA” Heinselman, 1973
“   We have long known that fire was a factor in the ecology
    of the Great Lakes conifer forests, but an ecosystem
    view of its influence was hampered by lack of knowledge
    of the historical role of fire in a complete functioning


                                                      ”
    natural ecosystem such as the Canoe Area’s.

                                  Heinselman, Quaternary Research, 1973
280-yr red pine stand near Ramshead Lake Heinselman, 1973
Inferred area burned Heinselman, 1973
“   A natural fire rotation of about 100 yr prevailed in
    prese lement times, but many red and white pine stands
    remained largely intact for 150-350 yr, and some jack
    pine and aspen-birch forest probably burned at intervals


                   ”
    of 50 yr or less.

                                  Heinselman, Quaternary Research, 1973
3   THREE
    FIRE AND CLIMATE
“   Very broadscale synchrony (at  >104   km 2 scales) is
    typically related to climate variability affecting the
    co-occurrence of ecological events in many places,
    because most ecological disturbances or processes are


                                                                           ”
    not capable of physically spreading over such large areas.

                                   Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Cook et al., 2007, Earth Science Reviews
Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
SUPERPOSED
                                            EPOCH
                                           ANALYSIS

Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
Superposed Epoch Analysis is used to illustrate
        the sequence of environmental changes
        that usually precede and follow a specific type of event.




Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
time


                                                wet                        wet                  wet
                                  dry                         dry                dry dry dry


                                                                                        FIRE



Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Fire year                          PDSI = -1.7




Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Fire year -1                         PDSI = +0.2


                  Fire year                          PDSI = -1.7




Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Fire year -3                         PDSI = +0.5


                Fire year -1                         PDSI = +0.2


                  Fire year                          PDSI = -1.7




Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Fire year -3                         PDSI = +0.5


                Fire year -1                         PDSI = +0.2


                  Fire year                          PDSI = -1.7


                Fire year +1                         PDSI = -0.4


                Fire year +2                         PDSI = +0.4




Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Average
          Palmer Drought
          Severity Index




Source: Swetnam and Betancourt, Journal of Climate, 1998
Average
          Palmer Drought
          Severity Index




Source: Swetnam and Betancourt, Journal of Climate, 1998
“   Results of SEA from the Southwest regional data confirm
    that, on average, the larger fire years occurred during
    drought years and La Niña events, and that the small fire
    years occurred during the opposite pa erns of pluvial


                            ”
    years and El Niño events.

                              Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
“   Interestingly, SEA also o en shows that there were
    significant lagging relationships in climate/ecosystem
    dynamics, with fire years typically following 1–3 years of


                    ”
    wet conditions.


                               Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
Reading
Swetnam et al. (2009), Multi-millennial fire history
of the Giant Forest, Sequoia National Park,
California, USA. Fire Ecology 5, 120-150.
International Multiproxy Paleofire Database
Source: Emily Heyerdahl and Don Falk
Exercise!
Use the North American Drought Atlas to explore
the spatial pa erns of droughts associated with
extensive regional fires.
Source: Kurt Kipfmueller
Exercise!
Due April 19

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GEOG3839.17, Paleo-fire climatology

  • 2.
  • 3. Main methods used to reconstruct fire history from tree rings Fire scars Tree and forest stand ages Tree mortality dates Ring-width growth changes Combinations of evidence
  • 5. Photograph: Tom Swetnam Pinus sylvestris tree rings and fire scars, Siberia
  • 6.
  • 7. Extensive Fire evidence Limited Low Moderate High Fire intensity
  • 8. Extensive Fire evidence Limited No scars No trees Low Moderate High Fire intensity
  • 9. Spatial scales of fire history studies Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
  • 10. Spatial scales of fire history studies Very fine scale, local pa erns that Tree determine first scar (and later scars) Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
  • 11. Spatial scales of fire history studies Fine-scale vegetation, fuels, wind, Stand microclimate Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
  • 12. Spatial scales of fire history studies Topographic and elevation effects on Watershed fire spread Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
  • 13. Spatial scales of fire history studies Regional Climate, broad-scale human land use Swetnam, T. W. and C. H. Baisan. 1996. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-GTR-286.
  • 18. ... public concern led to a temporary suspension of ” the prescribed fire program, a review by a panel of scientists, and a call for more detailed fire history studies in the groves. Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 20. Photograph: Tom Swetnam Julio Betancourt Tom Swetnam
  • 21. Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009 ?
  • 22. ? At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest? Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 23. ? At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest? What role did climate variations play in determining these fire regime characteristics? Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 24. ? At what frequency, seasonality, and extent did surface fires formerly burn within the Giant Forest? What role did climate variations play in determining these fire regime characteristics? Given the fire and climate history of the past 3000 years, what lessons and insights might we draw from this history as a guide to present and future fire management? Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 27. “ And see this ring right here, Jimmy? ... ” That’s another time when the old fellow miraculously survived some big forest fire.
  • 28. Source: Swetnam et al., 2009
  • 33. Photograph: Tom Swetnam Tom Swetnam and Chris Baisan sampling eye socket fire scars at Big Stump, Kings Canyon NP
  • 35. Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 36. Fire interval = Number of years between fire events
  • 37. Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 38. The earliest fire date recorded by a growth release was in 181 B.C.E., and the earliest fire scar date was in 56 B.C.E. ” The latest fire date (recorded by a scar) was in 1915 C.E. Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 39. Fire frequency = Number of fire events per 50-year period
  • 40. Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 41. However, these distributions provide only relativistic estimates of fire free intervals (or fire frequencies) within the scales, locations, and time periods described, ” and not absolute estimates of area burned. Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 42. Source: Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 43. By 1890, NM had more than 5 million sheep in 1.5 million ca le.
  • 45. Fire scars, other tree-ring indicators, and charcoal in wet meadow sediments from the Giant Forest and ” other sequoia groves show that the “normal” condition of these fire regimes is one of highly frequent surface fires. Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 46. The most recent century and a half (since circa 1860 C.E.) ” of fire suppression by people is the most anomalous, low-fire frequency period in at least the past 3000 years. Swetnam et al., Fire Ecology, 2009
  • 47. 2 TWO NORTHERN FIRES
  • 49. Extensive Fire evidence Limited No scars No trees Low Moderate High Fire intensity
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. “Remaining virgin forest of the BWCA” Heinselman, 1973
  • 54. We have long known that fire was a factor in the ecology of the Great Lakes conifer forests, but an ecosystem view of its influence was hampered by lack of knowledge of the historical role of fire in a complete functioning ” natural ecosystem such as the Canoe Area’s. Heinselman, Quaternary Research, 1973
  • 55. 280-yr red pine stand near Ramshead Lake Heinselman, 1973
  • 56. Inferred area burned Heinselman, 1973
  • 57. A natural fire rotation of about 100 yr prevailed in prese lement times, but many red and white pine stands remained largely intact for 150-350 yr, and some jack pine and aspen-birch forest probably burned at intervals ” of 50 yr or less. Heinselman, Quaternary Research, 1973
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60. 3 THREE FIRE AND CLIMATE
  • 61. Very broadscale synchrony (at >104 km 2 scales) is typically related to climate variability affecting the co-occurrence of ecological events in many places, because most ecological disturbances or processes are ” not capable of physically spreading over such large areas. Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 62. Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 63. Cook et al., 2007, Earth Science Reviews
  • 64. Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 65. SUPERPOSED EPOCH ANALYSIS Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
  • 66. Superposed Epoch Analysis is used to illustrate the sequence of environmental changes that usually precede and follow a specific type of event. Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
  • 67. time wet wet wet dry dry dry dry dry FIRE Reference: Baisan and Swetnam, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 1990
  • 68. Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 69. Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 70. Fire year PDSI = -1.7 Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 71. Fire year -1 PDSI = +0.2 Fire year PDSI = -1.7 Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 72. Fire year -3 PDSI = +0.5 Fire year -1 PDSI = +0.2 Fire year PDSI = -1.7 Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 73. Fire year -3 PDSI = +0.5 Fire year -1 PDSI = +0.2 Fire year PDSI = -1.7 Fire year +1 PDSI = -0.4 Fire year +2 PDSI = +0.4 Source: Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 74. Average Palmer Drought Severity Index Source: Swetnam and Betancourt, Journal of Climate, 1998
  • 75. Average Palmer Drought Severity Index Source: Swetnam and Betancourt, Journal of Climate, 1998
  • 76. Results of SEA from the Southwest regional data confirm that, on average, the larger fire years occurred during drought years and La Niña events, and that the small fire years occurred during the opposite pa erns of pluvial ” years and El Niño events. Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 77. Interestingly, SEA also o en shows that there were significant lagging relationships in climate/ecosystem dynamics, with fire years typically following 1–3 years of ” wet conditions. Swetnam and Brown, Dendroclimatology, 2010
  • 78. Reading Swetnam et al. (2009), Multi-millennial fire history of the Giant Forest, Sequoia National Park, California, USA. Fire Ecology 5, 120-150.
  • 80. Source: Emily Heyerdahl and Don Falk
  • 81.
  • 82. Exercise! Use the North American Drought Atlas to explore the spatial pa erns of droughts associated with extensive regional fires.