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GEOG5426 Climate modes
Compared to my other classes, I am working:
               4


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     0                                0           0
 A lot less   Less   About average   More     A lot more
Compared to my other classes, I am learning:
                                      4




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                                                1


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 A lot less   Less   About average   More   A lot more
PRINCIPLES OF
Dendroclimatology
“
The trees composing the forest rejoice and
lament with its successes and failures and
carry year by year something of its story in
their annual rings.”

    A. E. Douglass
    University of Arizona
The principle of cross-dating
The principle of aggregate tree growth
The principal of ecological amplitude
THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING
Matching pa erns in tree-ring widths or other ring
characteristics (such as ring density) among several trees
allow the identification of the exact year in which each ring
was formed.
Same environmental forcings




                                      Similar
                              growth pa erns
THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING

             1900             1910            1920              1930




                Two Douglas-fir cores from Eldorado Canyon, CO


Graphic: Jeff Lukas, INSTAAR
THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING

             1900             1910            1920              1930




                Two Douglas-fir cores from Eldorado Canyon, CO


Graphic: Jeff Lukas, INSTAAR
Smith and Lewis, 2006
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH
  Any individual tree-growth series can be "decomposed" into
  a set of environmental signals that affected the tree’s growth
  through its lifespan.
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
         tree growth in year ‘t’
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
                size-related growth trend
                caused by physiological aging
Ring width




             Tree age
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
                        climate during year ‘t’
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et

                       disturbance within the forest
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et

                       disturbance from outside
                              the forest
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et

                        random processes
                  not accounted by other sources
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
THE PRINCIPLE OF ECOLOGICAL AMPLITUDE
 Ecological range limits are o en controlled by climate, and
 trees growing near the limits of their range are o en more
 sensitive to climatic fluctuations than similar trees growing
 under more suitable conditions.
Ring-width
  index
Single-site reconstruction
never trust
   one tree
Multiple-site reconstruction
Network reconstruction
THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH




Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
GEOG5426 Climate modes
Workload
A paper, not to exceed 10 pages of text plus figures
and references, which reviews the climate history of a
single region over a specific time period during the
Holocene (e.g., the mid-Holocene, the last 2ka or the
last 500 yr).
(at least 5)
Workload




                      >
A paper, not to exceed 10 pages of text plus figures
and references, which reviews the climate history of a
single region over a specific time period during the
Holocene (e.g., the mid-Holocene, the last 2ka or the
last 500 yr).
Focus questions

What are the most important features of the modern
climate in your region?

What proxies are available in your region, over the
time interval specified? How are they related to
climate?

How different were past climates from modern
conditions? Why is that important?
NARROW AND FOCUSED
NARROW AND FOCUSED

“How has the climate of Australia changed since A.D. 1000?”
                                                     OK
NARROW AND FOCUSED

“How has the climate of Australia changed since A.D. 1000?”
                                                     OK
  “Was Western Austria drier during the Medieval Period,
                 compared to today?”
                                        Better
Course schedule (current)
             October 27, 2010
             The human dimension of past climate change

             November 3, 2010
             Megadrought II / Natural hazards

             November 10, 2010
             Isotope paleoclimatology

             November 17, 2010
             Climate forcings

             November 24, 2010
             Climate models

             December 1, 2010
             Regional climate history I

             December 8, 2010
             Regional climate history II

             December 15, 2010
             No class - Fall meeting, American Geophysical Union
OPTIONS



   Presentations ➜ Feedback ➜ Papers

                 OR
   Papers ➜ Feedback ➜ Presentations
By November 3
[Tentative] list of 10 articles related to
     your region and time period.

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Class 6, Climate modes

  • 2. Compared to my other classes, I am working: 4 3 0 0 0 A lot less Less About average More A lot more
  • 3. Compared to my other classes, I am learning: 4 2 1 0 0 A lot less Less About average More A lot more
  • 5. “ The trees composing the forest rejoice and lament with its successes and failures and carry year by year something of its story in their annual rings.” A. E. Douglass University of Arizona
  • 6. The principle of cross-dating The principle of aggregate tree growth The principal of ecological amplitude
  • 7. THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING Matching pa erns in tree-ring widths or other ring characteristics (such as ring density) among several trees allow the identification of the exact year in which each ring was formed.
  • 8. Same environmental forcings Similar growth pa erns
  • 9.
  • 10. THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING 1900 1910 1920 1930 Two Douglas-fir cores from Eldorado Canyon, CO Graphic: Jeff Lukas, INSTAAR
  • 11. THE PRINCIPLE OF CROSS-DATING 1900 1910 1920 1930 Two Douglas-fir cores from Eldorado Canyon, CO Graphic: Jeff Lukas, INSTAAR
  • 13. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Any individual tree-growth series can be "decomposed" into a set of environmental signals that affected the tree’s growth through its lifespan.
  • 14. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et tree growth in year ‘t’
  • 15. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et size-related growth trend caused by physiological aging
  • 16.
  • 17. Ring width Tree age
  • 18. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et climate during year ‘t’
  • 19.
  • 20. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et disturbance within the forest
  • 21.
  • 22. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et disturbance from outside the forest
  • 23.
  • 24. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et random processes not accounted by other sources
  • 25. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
  • 26. THE PRINCIPLE OF ECOLOGICAL AMPLITUDE Ecological range limits are o en controlled by climate, and trees growing near the limits of their range are o en more sensitive to climatic fluctuations than similar trees growing under more suitable conditions.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 39. never trust one tree
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 49. THE PRINCIPLE OF AGGREGATE TREE GROWTH Rt = At + Ct + δD1t + δD2t + Et
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. Workload A paper, not to exceed 10 pages of text plus figures and references, which reviews the climate history of a single region over a specific time period during the Holocene (e.g., the mid-Holocene, the last 2ka or the last 500 yr).
  • 54. (at least 5) Workload > A paper, not to exceed 10 pages of text plus figures and references, which reviews the climate history of a single region over a specific time period during the Holocene (e.g., the mid-Holocene, the last 2ka or the last 500 yr).
  • 55. Focus questions What are the most important features of the modern climate in your region? What proxies are available in your region, over the time interval specified? How are they related to climate? How different were past climates from modern conditions? Why is that important?
  • 57. NARROW AND FOCUSED “How has the climate of Australia changed since A.D. 1000?” OK
  • 58. NARROW AND FOCUSED “How has the climate of Australia changed since A.D. 1000?” OK “Was Western Austria drier during the Medieval Period, compared to today?” Better
  • 59. Course schedule (current) October 27, 2010 The human dimension of past climate change November 3, 2010 Megadrought II / Natural hazards November 10, 2010 Isotope paleoclimatology November 17, 2010 Climate forcings November 24, 2010 Climate models December 1, 2010 Regional climate history I December 8, 2010 Regional climate history II December 15, 2010 No class - Fall meeting, American Geophysical Union
  • 60. OPTIONS Presentations ➜ Feedback ➜ Papers OR Papers ➜ Feedback ➜ Presentations
  • 61. By November 3 [Tentative] list of 10 articles related to your region and time period.