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SAS Business Analytics
  Singapore Conference 2011
How to Get More Out of Your Data
   Using Structural Equation
            Models?

            Tan Teck Kiang
     Nanyang Technological University
        25 May 2011, 15:00-15:30
           The Fullerton Hotel
Content
• Another Mining Tool - Structural Equation
  Model
• What is SEM?
• Areas of Application
• Examples
  – Tourist Royalty
  – Airline Services
• References
Mining Tools – Enterprise Miner
•   Decision Tree
•   Cluster Analysis
•   Logistic Regression           PROC
•   Neural network                CALIS
•   ……
                                SAS/STAT


• Structural Equation Model ?
What is SEM?
• SEM model translates a series of cause-effect
  variables into a composite model that
  describes the relationships of these variables
  and show the extent of these relationships.
Areas of Application for SEM
• Business research
   – Marketing, Management, Economics, Organization
• Survey Research
• Behavioral and Social Sciences
   – Psychology, Sociology, Psychiatry, Criminal Science, Family Studies,
     Political Science, Developmental Research, and Social Work
• Medical Research
   – Nursing, Pharmacy, Epidemiology, and Sport Science
• Environmental Science
• Education
   – Student Achievement, Policy Studies, and Counseling
• Longitudinal Study
Airline Services
• How price, airline service quality, value,
  passenger satisfaction and airline image
  determine passengers’ future behavioral
  intentions?
Airline Services




Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Determine Relationships
                                                       -ve
                                                      -ve
                         -ve            +ve




Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Airline Services

                                                                                                             +ve

                                                                                                        -ve

                                                                                                    +ve

                                                                                                                   +ve



Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Tourist Royalty
• Benefits of maintaining a solid base of loyal
  customers.
• SEM helps tourism managers to develop and
  implement effective relationship marketing
  strategies.
• Examining interrelationships among image,
  quality, satisfaction, trust and the tourists’
  behavior variables.
Tourist Royalty
                                                                                  Satisfaction


                                        Quality




                                                                                                                           Loyalty

              Image




                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Measurement         Structure
  Model       +      Model

How to            Specify the
measure           relationship of
Loyalty and       Loyalty and
Quality?          Quality.
Quality
      The lodging facilities and rooms are clean
      The lodging employees have a clean and neat appearance
      The clients are treated cordially and affably.
      The lodging employees know the functions that they carry out.
      The lodging foods are well presented and flavorful.

      Loyalty
      I will speak well about this lodging service to other people
      I will recommend the lodging if someone ask for my advise
      I will encourage my friends and relatives to visit this lodging
      In the next vacation I intend to return to this lodging
      I would come continually even if the lodging price will increase
Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Measurement Model

                                      Employees
Facilities    Employee    Treated                    Food
                                         Know
 Clean          Neat      Cordially                Flavorful
                                       Functions




                         Quality
Structure Model
                                                                                  Satisfaction


                                        Quality




                                                                                                                           Loyalty

              Image




                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Structure Model
                                                                                  Satisfaction


                                        Quality
                                                                                                                            0.46
                                                                                                               0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23




                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
0.52                 Satisfaction                            Direct
                                                                                                                          Effect
                                        Quality
                                                                                                                            0.46
                                                                                                               0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23




                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                             0.52                 Satisfaction                            Direct
         Effect                                                                                                           Effect
                                        Quality
                                                                                                                            0.46
                                                                                                               0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23

     Indirect Effect = 0.52 x 0.46
     = 0.24
     Total Effect = 0.04 + 0.24                                                        Trust

     = 0.28
Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                              0.52                 Satisfaction

      Effect (1)
                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                              0.52                 Satisfaction

      Effect (2)
                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                              0.52                 Satisfaction

      Effect (3)
                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                              0.52                 Satisfaction

      Effect (4)
                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Indirect                                              0.52                 Satisfaction

      Effect (5)
                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
0.52                 Satisfaction


                                        Quality                           0.41
                                                                                                                               R2 0.86
                                                                                                                            0.46

                    0.77                                                                                       0.04


                                                                                                                           Loyalty
                                                                                                             0.27
              Image

                                                                                                                         0.23
                                                                                             0.76
                                                                       0.14


                                                                                       Trust


Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal
of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
Back to Airline Services
Airline Services
                                                          n.s.

                                                                0.29
                   0.11                                                                                         0.42
                                                                            0.59
                                                                                                    -0.08                    R2 0.78

                                                                                                     0.21

                    0.53                                                     0.18 0.64
                                                                                                                 0.42
                                                                n.s.
                                                            n.s.
Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Airline Services – Satisfaction

                                                                0.29
                                                                                                                0.42
                                                                            0.59




                                                                                          0.64
                                                                                                                 0.42


Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Passenger Satisfaction
• Passenger satisfaction had a significant effect
  on airline image and passengers’ behavioral
  intentions.
• Passenger satisfaction depend on service
  quality and passengers’ value perceptions.
Proc Calis   Data = Airline;
Path
Intentions   <--- Satisfaction,
Intentions   <--- Price,
Intentions   <--- Value,
Intentions   <--- Image,
…

Value <--- Price,
Value <--- Quality;
Run;
Summary
• SEM
  – About cause and effect relationships
  – Quantify the extent
• Likely Effects and their Impacts
  – Examine likely consequences if one of the factors
    turn as unexpected
  – Decision Making (Scenario Analysis)
• SAS Syntax
References
• Kumar et al (2007). The association of consumer
  expectations, experiences and satisfaction with
  newly prescribed medications. Quality of Life
  Research, 16, 1127-1136.
• Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006).
  Modeling the impact of airline service quality and
  marketing variables on passengers’ future
  behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning
  and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Thank You
Education – Longitudinal Study
                                                          Student
     Gender                     Emotional
                                 Problem
                                                          Parent


                 Initial                     Growth in
              Performance                   Performance




Eng 01   Eng 02       Eng 03   Eng 04       Eng 05   Eng 06         Eng 07
Airline Services

                                                                                                             +ve

                                                                                                        -ve

                                                                                                    +ve

                                                                                                                   +ve



Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Airline Services

                                                                                                                0.42

                                                                                                    -0.08

                                                                                                     0.21

                                                                                                                 0.42


Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Airline Services – Service Quality

                                                                0.29
                                                                                                                0.42
                                                                            0.59



                                                                                                     0.21

                    0.53                                                                  0.64
                                                                                                                 0.42


Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on
passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
Airline Services Quality
• Service quality is a driver of passenger
  satisfaction and perceived value.
• Airlines should strive to develop strategies for
  improving service quality.

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A Journey through the Spatial Data Mining and Geographic Knowledge Discover Jungle

  • 1. SAS Business Analytics Singapore Conference 2011 How to Get More Out of Your Data Using Structural Equation Models? Tan Teck Kiang Nanyang Technological University 25 May 2011, 15:00-15:30 The Fullerton Hotel
  • 2. Content • Another Mining Tool - Structural Equation Model • What is SEM? • Areas of Application • Examples – Tourist Royalty – Airline Services • References
  • 3. Mining Tools – Enterprise Miner • Decision Tree • Cluster Analysis • Logistic Regression PROC • Neural network CALIS • …… SAS/STAT • Structural Equation Model ?
  • 4. What is SEM? • SEM model translates a series of cause-effect variables into a composite model that describes the relationships of these variables and show the extent of these relationships.
  • 5. Areas of Application for SEM • Business research – Marketing, Management, Economics, Organization • Survey Research • Behavioral and Social Sciences – Psychology, Sociology, Psychiatry, Criminal Science, Family Studies, Political Science, Developmental Research, and Social Work • Medical Research – Nursing, Pharmacy, Epidemiology, and Sport Science • Environmental Science • Education – Student Achievement, Policy Studies, and Counseling • Longitudinal Study
  • 6. Airline Services • How price, airline service quality, value, passenger satisfaction and airline image determine passengers’ future behavioral intentions?
  • 7. Airline Services Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 8. Determine Relationships -ve -ve -ve +ve Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 9. Airline Services +ve -ve +ve +ve Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 10. Tourist Royalty • Benefits of maintaining a solid base of loyal customers. • SEM helps tourism managers to develop and implement effective relationship marketing strategies. • Examining interrelationships among image, quality, satisfaction, trust and the tourists’ behavior variables.
  • 11. Tourist Royalty Satisfaction Quality Loyalty Image Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 12. Measurement Structure Model + Model How to Specify the measure relationship of Loyalty and Loyalty and Quality? Quality.
  • 13. Quality The lodging facilities and rooms are clean The lodging employees have a clean and neat appearance The clients are treated cordially and affably. The lodging employees know the functions that they carry out. The lodging foods are well presented and flavorful. Loyalty I will speak well about this lodging service to other people I will recommend the lodging if someone ask for my advise I will encourage my friends and relatives to visit this lodging In the next vacation I intend to return to this lodging I would come continually even if the lodging price will increase Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 14. Measurement Model Employees Facilities Employee Treated Food Know Clean Neat Cordially Flavorful Functions Quality
  • 15. Structure Model Satisfaction Quality Loyalty Image Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 16. Structure Model Satisfaction Quality 0.46 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 17. 0.52 Satisfaction Direct Effect Quality 0.46 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 18. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Direct Effect Effect Quality 0.46 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 Indirect Effect = 0.52 x 0.46 = 0.24 Total Effect = 0.04 + 0.24 Trust = 0.28 Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 19. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Effect (1) Quality 0.41 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 20. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Effect (2) Quality 0.41 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 21. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Effect (3) Quality 0.41 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 22. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Effect (4) Quality 0.41 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 23. Indirect 0.52 Satisfaction Effect (5) Quality 0.41 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 24. 0.52 Satisfaction Quality 0.41 R2 0.86 0.46 0.77 0.04 Loyalty 0.27 Image 0.23 0.76 0.14 Trust Source: Loureiro and Gonzalez (2008). The importance of quality, satisfaction, trust, and image in relation to rural tourist loyalty, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, V 25(2), 117-136.
  • 25. Back to Airline Services
  • 26. Airline Services n.s. 0.29 0.11 0.42 0.59 -0.08 R2 0.78 0.21 0.53 0.18 0.64 0.42 n.s. n.s. Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 27. Airline Services – Satisfaction 0.29 0.42 0.59 0.64 0.42 Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 28. Passenger Satisfaction • Passenger satisfaction had a significant effect on airline image and passengers’ behavioral intentions. • Passenger satisfaction depend on service quality and passengers’ value perceptions.
  • 29. Proc Calis Data = Airline; Path Intentions <--- Satisfaction, Intentions <--- Price, Intentions <--- Value, Intentions <--- Image, … Value <--- Price, Value <--- Quality; Run;
  • 30. Summary • SEM – About cause and effect relationships – Quantify the extent • Likely Effects and their Impacts – Examine likely consequences if one of the factors turn as unexpected – Decision Making (Scenario Analysis) • SAS Syntax
  • 31. References • Kumar et al (2007). The association of consumer expectations, experiences and satisfaction with newly prescribed medications. Quality of Life Research, 16, 1127-1136. • Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 33. Education – Longitudinal Study Student Gender Emotional Problem Parent Initial Growth in Performance Performance Eng 01 Eng 02 Eng 03 Eng 04 Eng 05 Eng 06 Eng 07
  • 34.
  • 35. Airline Services +ve -ve +ve +ve Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 36. Airline Services 0.42 -0.08 0.21 0.42 Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 37. Airline Services – Service Quality 0.29 0.42 0.59 0.21 0.53 0.64 0.42 Source: Park, J.-W., Robertson, R., and Wu, C.-L. (2006). Modeling the impact of airline service quality and marketing variables on passengers’ future behavioural intentions, Transportation Planning and Technology, 29(5), 359-381.
  • 38. Airline Services Quality • Service quality is a driver of passenger satisfaction and perceived value. • Airlines should strive to develop strategies for improving service quality.