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“Management of manmade
Dr N Sai Bhaskar Reddy      disasters"
saibhaskarnakka@gmail.com   from 20th to 22nd November, 2012,
                            CCCEA, DR MCR HRD IAP
A stampede is an act of mass impulse among
  herd animals or a crowd of people in which
  the herd (or crowd) collectively begins running
  with no clear direction or purpose.
18 killed in Patna stampede during
     Chhath

Many of the dead are feared to be women and children.
Police say the accident happened following the collapse of a
    makeshift bamboo bridge on the banks of river Ganges
    where Hindu devotees were offering prayers to the setting
    sun as part of the annual Chhath ritual.
In the ensuing panic, the victims were crushed to death.
Local TV channels report the structure was showing signs of
    collapse early on Monday.
The bridge had recently been built to take pilgrims to the
    Ganges, which has shifted course.
Police say power to the site had failed, which increased the
    panic of those caught up in the crush.
Survivors have been taken to hospital in Patna, the capital of
    Bihar. The condition of some is said to be critical.
The chief minister of Bihar state, Nitish Kumar, had earlier
    visited the devotees on the banks of the Ganges.
The four-day Chhath puja is the biggest religious festival in
    Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh. Tens of thousands of
    people come to the Ganges to offer prayers to the sun god.
The prayer is offered both at the sunset and sunrise time.
                                                             18TH November 2012
Human stampedes most often occur during
 religious pilgrimages and professional sporting
 and music events, as these events tend to
 involve a large number of people. They also
 often occur in times of mass panic (e.g. as a
 result of a fire or explosion) as people try to get
 away.
Stampedes in India
1.   2011-11-08 At least 16 killed in stampede at festival
     Haridwar, India
2.   2011-01-14 Stampede kills 100 Kerala, Southern India
3.   2010-10-17 10 killed in stampede at Indian temple Bihar
4.   2010-04-30 Five dead in spiritual center stampede
     Haryana, India
5.   2010-03-04 More than 60 killed in temple stampede
     Pratapgarh, Uttar Pradesh, India
6.   2009-09-10 Five schoolgirls die in stampede New Delhi
7.   2008-09-30 Temple stampede kills 147 Jodhpur,
     Rajasthan, India
8.   2008-08-03 145 dead in India temple stampede Himachal
     Pradesh, India
9.   2006-11-03 Temple stampede kills four Orissa, India
The worst stampede in
 recorded history took
 place in Chongqing,
 China, during World
 War II. Japanese
 bombing of the city on
 June 6, 1941, triggered
 mass panic at an air
 raid shelter, killing
 approximately 4,000
 people, most of them      Worst stampede in the history
 by suffocation.
In India, stampedes occur regularly during Hindu
  religious holidays. Called "temple crushes" by the
  local press, they are often caused by railings giving
  way as pilgrims climb steep hills to reach a temple.
Prevention
It has been claimed that most major crowd
   disasters can be prevented by simple crowd
   management strategies. Human stampedes
   can be prevented by organization and traffic
   control, such as barriers. On the other hand,
   barriers in some cases may funnel the crowd
   towards an already-packed area (e.g.
   Hillsborough disaster)
Hillsborough
disaster

The 1989 Hillsborough disaster was a human crush which
   occurred during the FA Cup semi-final match between
   Liverpool and Nottingham Forest football clubs on 15 April
   1989 at the Hillsborough Stadium in Sheffield, England. The
   crush resulted in the deaths of 96 people and injuries to 766
   others. The incident remains the worst stadium-related
   disaster in British history and one of the world's worst football
   disasters.
a different approach was adopted whereby supporters were
   allowed to enter any enclosure they wished upon arrival.
   There was no mechanical or electronic means for calculating
   when individual enclosures had reached capacity. A police
   officer made a visual assessment before guiding fans to other
   pens.
The 1990 official inquiry into the disaster, the Taylor Report,
   concluded "the main reason for the disaster was the failure of
   police control”.
Prevention
Therefore, barriers could be a solution to prevent
 or the key factor to cause a stampede to
 happen. A key problem is lack of feedback
 from people being crushed to the crowd
 pressing behind – feedback can instead be
 provided by police, organizers, or other
 observers, particularly raised observers, such
 as on platforms or horseback, who can survey
 the crowd, and use loudspeakers to
 communicate and direct a crowd.
Prevention
At the individual level, warning signs of a crowd
  crush include density of more than four people
  per square meter, at which each person is
  being touched on four sides. To avoid or
  escape from a crowd crush, one is advised to
  move sideways, particularly between swells.
Prevention
After the stampede of Victoria Hall
   disaster in 1883 a law (still in force as
   of 2008) was passed in England
   which required all public
   entertainment venues to be equipped
   with doors that open outwards. Crash
   bars are required by various building
   codes.




                                               183 children, aged between 3 and
                                               14, were crushed to death in a
                                               stampede for the stage when free
                                               toys were offered. The disaster is
                                               the worst of its kind in British
                                               history.
1954 Kumbh Mela stampede
1954 Kumbh Mela stampede was a stampede that
    occurred in 1954 at Kumbha Mela on 3 February
    1954 in Allahabad in Uttar Pradesh state in India.
    It was main bathing day of Mauni Amavasya (New
    Moon), when the incident took place, and during
    the festival 4-5 million pilgrims had taken part that
    year, which was also the first Kumbh Mela after
    the Independence.[1]
The figures for the tragedy varied according to different
    sources. While The Guardian reported more than
    800 people dead and over 100 injured,[2] the TIME
    reported "no fewer than 350 people were trampled
    to death and drowned, 200 were counted missing,
    and over 2,000 were injured".[3] According to the
    book Law and Order in India over 500 were
    dead.[4]
What triggered the tragedy was that surge of crowd
   broke the barriers to witness a procession of
   sadhus and holy men of various akharas, which
   ended up in a stampede.[6]
Note: The subsequent Kumbh Mela organization
    remained event free after that, and grew
    considerable in size, so much so that around 60
    million people took part in 2001 Kumbh Mela,
    making it the largest gathering anywhere in the
    world.[8][9][10]
CROWD DISASTERS
The lethal potential of crowds is illustrated by
  descriptions of major crowd incidents. This
  sampling shows that crowd incidents occur in a
  wide variety of venues and different
  circumstances. Minor incidents resulting in crowd
  induced falls and other injuries occur much more
  frequently.
Air Raid Shelter
In 1943 during World War II,
   173 persons died of
   compressive asphyxia and
   92 injured in a London
   Underground air raid
   shelter after someone fell
   on a lower level entry stair.
   Excited by the sounds of
   bombing, people at the
   surface continued to press
   forward. This resulted in
   tangled mass of humanity
   on the stair that took
   rescuers 3 hours to
   unravel.
Funeral Procession
Untold hundreds, and possibly
  thousands, were killed in
  Moscow, Russia during a
  massive procession of 3
  million people viewing the
  body of Joseph Stalin after
  his death in 1953. Army tanks
  and trucks to control
  movement of the crowd
  blocked side streets along the
  route to Stalin's bier. Police
  and military, some on
  horseback, beat people with
  clubs to further control the
  crowd, even as people were
  fatally crushed against
  building walls, the parked
  tanks and trucks. Horses
  were lifted off their feet by
  crowd surges, and also
  crushed to death.
Sporting Event Egress
Major crowd incidents occur in
  soccer stadia occur with
  deadly regularity. Those
  involving United Kingdom
  fans have been the most
  thoroughly documented. In
  1971, 66 people were killed
  and many injured at the Ibrox
  Park Stadium in Glasgow,
  Scotland. Fans began to
  leave the stadium in the last
  moments of a scoreless
  match. As the game ended, a
  goal was scored. The roar of
  the crowd caused some to
  attempt reentry, while the
  mass exited. The resulting
  conflict caused a pile of
  bodies "about 10 feet high".
Sporting Event Egress
In 1981, 24 Greek soccer fans were killed in the Athens stadium as a
   capacity crowd of 45,000 attempted to leave shortly before the end
   of the match. The fans in the front ranks found the exit gates were
   locked, but those in the rear continued to press forward. In 1982,
   340 people were reported killed at a match in Moscow's Lenin
   Stadium.
In 1991, nine persons were asphyxiated in a pileup at the bottom
   landing of a gymnasium stair at the City University of New York. [5]
   A celebrity basketball game was scheduled in the gymnasium, and
   an excess of people arrived for the well promoted event. Doors at
   the lower landing entry to the gymnasium opened only outward, in
   compliance with fire codes. People precariously queued on the stair
   were driven into the restricted landing and closed doors by crowd
   pressures from above. Police in the street outside the venue did not
   establish communications with inside security, and were unaware of
   the evolving disaster, even though the stair could be seen from the
   street.
Riot
In 1985 a riot by
  English and Italian
  fans in the stands at
  a European Cup
  final at Heysel
  Stadium in Brussels,
  Belgium precipitated
  a flight of spectators
  that resulted in 38
  deaths by asphyxia
  and 437 injured.
Weather
In 1988 more than 100 persons died and 700
  others were injured at Nepal's National
  Stadium in Katmandu. A sudden violent
  hailstorm caused 30,000 spectators to flee the
  open grandstand but found the exit gates were
  locked.
Religious Events
In 1990, 1426 people were killed in
    a crowd crush during the annual
    pilgrimage of 2 million at Mecca,
    Saudi Arabia. The crush
    occurred in a 500 m long tunnel
    joining Mecca and the Tent City
    of Mina. Temperatures at the
    time were 44 deg. C outside the
    air-conditioned tunnel. It is
    speculated that someone fell in
    the tunnel blocking movement.
In 1986, 46 pilgrims died in
    Hardwar, India on a crowded
    bridge across the Ganges River.
    At the 12-year cycle of the
    Khumb Mela festival as many as
    4 million Hindus gather to bathe
    in the Ganges.
During the 1980 world tour of the
    Pope, 13 people were killed in
    two African cities in crowd
    rushes.
Power Failure
   In 1981 45 persons
    died 27 of them
    children, in the Quitab
    Minar tower, New New
    Delhi, India. The 800-
    year-old tower is a
    popular tourist
    attraction and museum.
    A blackout, combined
    with what some
    witnesses said were
    cries that the tower was
    falling, triggered a
    sudden exodus of 300
    to 400 people.
Food Distribution
In Bangkok, Thailand 19 persons died as crowd
  of 3,000 assembled to obtain packages of free
  food. The crowd was attempting to press
  through a gate approximately 4m (13 ft.) wide
  into a meeting hall where the food was being
  distributed. A contingent of 20 police officers
  assigned to control the crowd was
  overwhelmed by the crush.
Escalators and Moving
Walkways
Passenger conveyors have the
    characteristic of continuously
    delivering people without regard to
    outlet conditions. When restrictions at
    the outlet limit the discharge rate, a
    pileup will occur. These incidents are
    of interest because they are not
    attributable to crowd behavior.
In 1964 one child was killed and 60
    children injured at the outlet end of a
    Baltimore, Maryland Stadium
    escalator. The escalator was set up
    for egress the day before with a one
    person wide gate at the top. The
    escalator was reversed for entry the
    next day, but the gate was not
    removed. A pileup resulted at the
    exit, with many severely lacerated by
    the moving escalator steps.
At the 1970 Japanese World Exposition,
    42 people were injured at a moving
    walkway exit when a passenger fell
    and others were driven into the
    pileup.
Entertainment Events
In 1979, 11 young rock music fans were asphyxiated in
   a crowd crush outside the Cincinnati, Ohio Coliseum.
   After 10,000 persons had entered the venue, 8,000
   were still waiting to enter the general admission event.
   Many were waiting for hours with inadequate lavatory
   facilities. A warm-up band started playing, and the
   fans outside thought the concert had begun. Only two
   doors were opened for entry.
In 1991, 3 rock music fans died of compressive asphyxia
   at a festival seating event in Salt Lake City, Utah.
   Fans standing in an open area in front of the concert
   stage pressed forward, causing some to fall, and
   others to be forced on top of them.
Love Parade music festival in the western
  German
Emergencies, disasters
    and the human response

   Issues around exit decision-making

   What are the factors determining when people
    actually exit? Key predictors:
     Information on the nature of the threat (rather than a
      simple siren)
     Personalization of the warning (i.e. from friends/family
      rather than a p.a. system)

    Important! The biggest predictor of survival is time
      taken to recognize the emergency and move!
The ‘panic’ model
   The panic model
    suggests that the
    crowd:
     Is less intelligent than
      the lone individual
     Will be driven by
      simple emotions
     Responds with
      irrational behaviour
     Is a source of
      ‘contagion’

   Survival instincts
    overcome
    socialization and
    collective bonds →
    ‘every man for
   Statistical correlations:

            Threat  we-ness  helping
Research on emergency evacuations: General
conclusions

   The image of the panicking crowd is overdone
   The ‘panic’ model should not be used in design,
    engineering and emergency procedures
   The evidence is that people exit quicker when
    kept informed
   When people don’t help each other it is often
    due to physical constraints rather than
    ‘selfishness’.
conclusion


   Don’t say ‘don’t panic’!

   A well-practiced drill

       WTC bombings of 1993 and 2001: after 1993 they had a well-
        practiced drill (which should include fire wardens who know the
        building and its exits)

   In turn: owners/managers need to take the possibility of
    emergency seriously

   The formal certification of crowd manager for venues of
    500 persons or more is recommended.
REFERENCES
[1] Dunne, Laurence R. - Report on an Inquiry into the Accident at Bethnal Green Tube Station Shelter on the 3rd. March, 1943. Min. Home Security
[2] Pozner, Vladimir. - Parting With Illusions. Atlantic Monthly Press, 1990, 324pp.
[3] Canter, D. (et al) - Football in its Place. Routledge, 1989, 173pp.
[4] The Hillsborough Stadium Disaster. Interim report Aug. 1989, HM Stationery Office, 71 pp.
[5] Mollen, Milton. - A Failure of Responsibility - Report to Mayor David N.Dinkins on the December 28, 1991 Tragedy at City College of New York. Jan. 1992.
[6] Wertheimer, P. - Crowd Management- Report of the Task Force on Crowd Control and
Safety. City of Cincinnati, July 1980.
[7] Fruin, J. - Escalator Safety - An Overview. Elevator World, Aug. 1988, pp.42-48.
[8] Fruin J. - Crowd Disasters - A Systems Evaluation of Causes and Countermeasures. Inc. in
U.S. National Bureau of Standards, pub. NBSIR 81-3261, July 1981 146 pp.
[9] Fattal, S.G., Cattaneo, L.E. Investigation of Guardrails for the Protection of Employees From Occupational Hazards. Nat. Bur. Stds. NBSIR 76-1139, July
       1976, 114 pp.
[10] Horizontal Loading on Handrails. NBTC Tech. Rec 514, Nat.Tech. Centre, New South Wales.
[11] Goldaber, Irving. Stop Violence Before it Begins. Auditorium News, Oct.1983, pp. 8,9.
[12] Lathrop, James - Life Safety Code Handbook. Nat. Fire Protection Assoc. 1991, 1038 pp.
[13] Fruin, J. - Pedestrian Planning and Design. 2nd. Ed., Elevator World, Mobile AL. 1987,
http://www.mapreport.com/citysubtopics/india-d-3.html
http://..........
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Stampedes casestudies

  • 1. “Management of manmade Dr N Sai Bhaskar Reddy disasters" saibhaskarnakka@gmail.com from 20th to 22nd November, 2012, CCCEA, DR MCR HRD IAP
  • 2. A stampede is an act of mass impulse among herd animals or a crowd of people in which the herd (or crowd) collectively begins running with no clear direction or purpose.
  • 3. 18 killed in Patna stampede during Chhath Many of the dead are feared to be women and children. Police say the accident happened following the collapse of a makeshift bamboo bridge on the banks of river Ganges where Hindu devotees were offering prayers to the setting sun as part of the annual Chhath ritual. In the ensuing panic, the victims were crushed to death. Local TV channels report the structure was showing signs of collapse early on Monday. The bridge had recently been built to take pilgrims to the Ganges, which has shifted course. Police say power to the site had failed, which increased the panic of those caught up in the crush. Survivors have been taken to hospital in Patna, the capital of Bihar. The condition of some is said to be critical. The chief minister of Bihar state, Nitish Kumar, had earlier visited the devotees on the banks of the Ganges. The four-day Chhath puja is the biggest religious festival in Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh. Tens of thousands of people come to the Ganges to offer prayers to the sun god. The prayer is offered both at the sunset and sunrise time. 18TH November 2012
  • 4.
  • 5. Human stampedes most often occur during religious pilgrimages and professional sporting and music events, as these events tend to involve a large number of people. They also often occur in times of mass panic (e.g. as a result of a fire or explosion) as people try to get away.
  • 6.
  • 7. Stampedes in India 1. 2011-11-08 At least 16 killed in stampede at festival Haridwar, India 2. 2011-01-14 Stampede kills 100 Kerala, Southern India 3. 2010-10-17 10 killed in stampede at Indian temple Bihar 4. 2010-04-30 Five dead in spiritual center stampede Haryana, India 5. 2010-03-04 More than 60 killed in temple stampede Pratapgarh, Uttar Pradesh, India 6. 2009-09-10 Five schoolgirls die in stampede New Delhi 7. 2008-09-30 Temple stampede kills 147 Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India 8. 2008-08-03 145 dead in India temple stampede Himachal Pradesh, India 9. 2006-11-03 Temple stampede kills four Orissa, India
  • 8. The worst stampede in recorded history took place in Chongqing, China, during World War II. Japanese bombing of the city on June 6, 1941, triggered mass panic at an air raid shelter, killing approximately 4,000 people, most of them Worst stampede in the history by suffocation.
  • 9. In India, stampedes occur regularly during Hindu religious holidays. Called "temple crushes" by the local press, they are often caused by railings giving way as pilgrims climb steep hills to reach a temple.
  • 10. Prevention It has been claimed that most major crowd disasters can be prevented by simple crowd management strategies. Human stampedes can be prevented by organization and traffic control, such as barriers. On the other hand, barriers in some cases may funnel the crowd towards an already-packed area (e.g. Hillsborough disaster)
  • 11. Hillsborough disaster The 1989 Hillsborough disaster was a human crush which occurred during the FA Cup semi-final match between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest football clubs on 15 April 1989 at the Hillsborough Stadium in Sheffield, England. The crush resulted in the deaths of 96 people and injuries to 766 others. The incident remains the worst stadium-related disaster in British history and one of the world's worst football disasters. a different approach was adopted whereby supporters were allowed to enter any enclosure they wished upon arrival. There was no mechanical or electronic means for calculating when individual enclosures had reached capacity. A police officer made a visual assessment before guiding fans to other pens. The 1990 official inquiry into the disaster, the Taylor Report, concluded "the main reason for the disaster was the failure of police control”.
  • 12. Prevention Therefore, barriers could be a solution to prevent or the key factor to cause a stampede to happen. A key problem is lack of feedback from people being crushed to the crowd pressing behind – feedback can instead be provided by police, organizers, or other observers, particularly raised observers, such as on platforms or horseback, who can survey the crowd, and use loudspeakers to communicate and direct a crowd.
  • 13. Prevention At the individual level, warning signs of a crowd crush include density of more than four people per square meter, at which each person is being touched on four sides. To avoid or escape from a crowd crush, one is advised to move sideways, particularly between swells.
  • 14. Prevention After the stampede of Victoria Hall disaster in 1883 a law (still in force as of 2008) was passed in England which required all public entertainment venues to be equipped with doors that open outwards. Crash bars are required by various building codes. 183 children, aged between 3 and 14, were crushed to death in a stampede for the stage when free toys were offered. The disaster is the worst of its kind in British history.
  • 15. 1954 Kumbh Mela stampede 1954 Kumbh Mela stampede was a stampede that occurred in 1954 at Kumbha Mela on 3 February 1954 in Allahabad in Uttar Pradesh state in India. It was main bathing day of Mauni Amavasya (New Moon), when the incident took place, and during the festival 4-5 million pilgrims had taken part that year, which was also the first Kumbh Mela after the Independence.[1] The figures for the tragedy varied according to different sources. While The Guardian reported more than 800 people dead and over 100 injured,[2] the TIME reported "no fewer than 350 people were trampled to death and drowned, 200 were counted missing, and over 2,000 were injured".[3] According to the book Law and Order in India over 500 were dead.[4] What triggered the tragedy was that surge of crowd broke the barriers to witness a procession of sadhus and holy men of various akharas, which ended up in a stampede.[6] Note: The subsequent Kumbh Mela organization remained event free after that, and grew considerable in size, so much so that around 60 million people took part in 2001 Kumbh Mela, making it the largest gathering anywhere in the world.[8][9][10]
  • 16. CROWD DISASTERS The lethal potential of crowds is illustrated by descriptions of major crowd incidents. This sampling shows that crowd incidents occur in a wide variety of venues and different circumstances. Minor incidents resulting in crowd induced falls and other injuries occur much more frequently.
  • 17. Air Raid Shelter In 1943 during World War II, 173 persons died of compressive asphyxia and 92 injured in a London Underground air raid shelter after someone fell on a lower level entry stair. Excited by the sounds of bombing, people at the surface continued to press forward. This resulted in tangled mass of humanity on the stair that took rescuers 3 hours to unravel.
  • 18. Funeral Procession Untold hundreds, and possibly thousands, were killed in Moscow, Russia during a massive procession of 3 million people viewing the body of Joseph Stalin after his death in 1953. Army tanks and trucks to control movement of the crowd blocked side streets along the route to Stalin's bier. Police and military, some on horseback, beat people with clubs to further control the crowd, even as people were fatally crushed against building walls, the parked tanks and trucks. Horses were lifted off their feet by crowd surges, and also crushed to death.
  • 19. Sporting Event Egress Major crowd incidents occur in soccer stadia occur with deadly regularity. Those involving United Kingdom fans have been the most thoroughly documented. In 1971, 66 people were killed and many injured at the Ibrox Park Stadium in Glasgow, Scotland. Fans began to leave the stadium in the last moments of a scoreless match. As the game ended, a goal was scored. The roar of the crowd caused some to attempt reentry, while the mass exited. The resulting conflict caused a pile of bodies "about 10 feet high".
  • 20. Sporting Event Egress In 1981, 24 Greek soccer fans were killed in the Athens stadium as a capacity crowd of 45,000 attempted to leave shortly before the end of the match. The fans in the front ranks found the exit gates were locked, but those in the rear continued to press forward. In 1982, 340 people were reported killed at a match in Moscow's Lenin Stadium. In 1991, nine persons were asphyxiated in a pileup at the bottom landing of a gymnasium stair at the City University of New York. [5] A celebrity basketball game was scheduled in the gymnasium, and an excess of people arrived for the well promoted event. Doors at the lower landing entry to the gymnasium opened only outward, in compliance with fire codes. People precariously queued on the stair were driven into the restricted landing and closed doors by crowd pressures from above. Police in the street outside the venue did not establish communications with inside security, and were unaware of the evolving disaster, even though the stair could be seen from the street.
  • 21. Riot In 1985 a riot by English and Italian fans in the stands at a European Cup final at Heysel Stadium in Brussels, Belgium precipitated a flight of spectators that resulted in 38 deaths by asphyxia and 437 injured.
  • 22. Weather In 1988 more than 100 persons died and 700 others were injured at Nepal's National Stadium in Katmandu. A sudden violent hailstorm caused 30,000 spectators to flee the open grandstand but found the exit gates were locked.
  • 23. Religious Events In 1990, 1426 people were killed in a crowd crush during the annual pilgrimage of 2 million at Mecca, Saudi Arabia. The crush occurred in a 500 m long tunnel joining Mecca and the Tent City of Mina. Temperatures at the time were 44 deg. C outside the air-conditioned tunnel. It is speculated that someone fell in the tunnel blocking movement. In 1986, 46 pilgrims died in Hardwar, India on a crowded bridge across the Ganges River. At the 12-year cycle of the Khumb Mela festival as many as 4 million Hindus gather to bathe in the Ganges. During the 1980 world tour of the Pope, 13 people were killed in two African cities in crowd rushes.
  • 24. Power Failure  In 1981 45 persons died 27 of them children, in the Quitab Minar tower, New New Delhi, India. The 800- year-old tower is a popular tourist attraction and museum. A blackout, combined with what some witnesses said were cries that the tower was falling, triggered a sudden exodus of 300 to 400 people.
  • 25. Food Distribution In Bangkok, Thailand 19 persons died as crowd of 3,000 assembled to obtain packages of free food. The crowd was attempting to press through a gate approximately 4m (13 ft.) wide into a meeting hall where the food was being distributed. A contingent of 20 police officers assigned to control the crowd was overwhelmed by the crush.
  • 26. Escalators and Moving Walkways Passenger conveyors have the characteristic of continuously delivering people without regard to outlet conditions. When restrictions at the outlet limit the discharge rate, a pileup will occur. These incidents are of interest because they are not attributable to crowd behavior. In 1964 one child was killed and 60 children injured at the outlet end of a Baltimore, Maryland Stadium escalator. The escalator was set up for egress the day before with a one person wide gate at the top. The escalator was reversed for entry the next day, but the gate was not removed. A pileup resulted at the exit, with many severely lacerated by the moving escalator steps. At the 1970 Japanese World Exposition, 42 people were injured at a moving walkway exit when a passenger fell and others were driven into the pileup.
  • 27. Entertainment Events In 1979, 11 young rock music fans were asphyxiated in a crowd crush outside the Cincinnati, Ohio Coliseum. After 10,000 persons had entered the venue, 8,000 were still waiting to enter the general admission event. Many were waiting for hours with inadequate lavatory facilities. A warm-up band started playing, and the fans outside thought the concert had begun. Only two doors were opened for entry. In 1991, 3 rock music fans died of compressive asphyxia at a festival seating event in Salt Lake City, Utah. Fans standing in an open area in front of the concert stage pressed forward, causing some to fall, and others to be forced on top of them.
  • 28. Love Parade music festival in the western German
  • 29.
  • 30. Emergencies, disasters and the human response  Issues around exit decision-making  What are the factors determining when people actually exit? Key predictors:  Information on the nature of the threat (rather than a simple siren)  Personalization of the warning (i.e. from friends/family rather than a p.a. system) Important! The biggest predictor of survival is time taken to recognize the emergency and move!
  • 31. The ‘panic’ model  The panic model suggests that the crowd:  Is less intelligent than the lone individual  Will be driven by simple emotions  Responds with irrational behaviour  Is a source of ‘contagion’  Survival instincts overcome socialization and collective bonds → ‘every man for
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. Statistical correlations: Threat  we-ness  helping
  • 35. Research on emergency evacuations: General conclusions  The image of the panicking crowd is overdone  The ‘panic’ model should not be used in design, engineering and emergency procedures  The evidence is that people exit quicker when kept informed  When people don’t help each other it is often due to physical constraints rather than ‘selfishness’.
  • 36. conclusion  Don’t say ‘don’t panic’!  A well-practiced drill  WTC bombings of 1993 and 2001: after 1993 they had a well- practiced drill (which should include fire wardens who know the building and its exits)  In turn: owners/managers need to take the possibility of emergency seriously  The formal certification of crowd manager for venues of 500 persons or more is recommended.
  • 37. REFERENCES [1] Dunne, Laurence R. - Report on an Inquiry into the Accident at Bethnal Green Tube Station Shelter on the 3rd. March, 1943. Min. Home Security [2] Pozner, Vladimir. - Parting With Illusions. Atlantic Monthly Press, 1990, 324pp. [3] Canter, D. (et al) - Football in its Place. Routledge, 1989, 173pp. [4] The Hillsborough Stadium Disaster. Interim report Aug. 1989, HM Stationery Office, 71 pp. [5] Mollen, Milton. - A Failure of Responsibility - Report to Mayor David N.Dinkins on the December 28, 1991 Tragedy at City College of New York. Jan. 1992. [6] Wertheimer, P. - Crowd Management- Report of the Task Force on Crowd Control and Safety. City of Cincinnati, July 1980. [7] Fruin, J. - Escalator Safety - An Overview. Elevator World, Aug. 1988, pp.42-48. [8] Fruin J. - Crowd Disasters - A Systems Evaluation of Causes and Countermeasures. Inc. in U.S. National Bureau of Standards, pub. NBSIR 81-3261, July 1981 146 pp. [9] Fattal, S.G., Cattaneo, L.E. Investigation of Guardrails for the Protection of Employees From Occupational Hazards. Nat. Bur. Stds. NBSIR 76-1139, July 1976, 114 pp. [10] Horizontal Loading on Handrails. NBTC Tech. Rec 514, Nat.Tech. Centre, New South Wales. [11] Goldaber, Irving. Stop Violence Before it Begins. Auditorium News, Oct.1983, pp. 8,9. [12] Lathrop, James - Life Safety Code Handbook. Nat. Fire Protection Assoc. 1991, 1038 pp. [13] Fruin, J. - Pedestrian Planning and Design. 2nd. Ed., Elevator World, Mobile AL. 1987, http://www.mapreport.com/citysubtopics/india-d-3.html http://..........