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MEHANGAI MAR GAYI
   Increasing Poverty, Rising Prices, Super Inflation


Mr. Prime Minister “Who is responsible for this mess?”

Nitin Gadkari’s 14 questions to Dr. Manmohan Singh


          BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY
Faulty Economic Policies of Congress Govt.
               Result - “Super Inflation”

  Once  again  India  has  entered  into  double‐digit  inflation. 
  Inflation was ‐1% in August 2009 gone upto 12 % in March 
  2010.  Faulty  and  wrong  economic  policies  of  the  Congress 
  Govt. has resulted into :

• Super Food Inflation of 20%
• Food Prices doubled in Congress Regime
• Industrial Growth 19% 
   but Agriculture growth ‐0.2%


                                                                2
It is Garibi Badhao not Garibi Hatao

• Commodity Exchanges have become Dens of Speculation 
  & Manipulation
• Beneficiaries :‐ Multinationals, Big Corporate Houses, 
  Manipulators, Speculators
• Sharp increase in Poverty, People living Below Poverty 
  Line increased to 42 crores.
• Sharp disparities between price paid to Farmers and 
  price paid by Customers. 
• Food grains get rotten and 
  poor people struggling for food 
Food Security in Danger
           India becoming Import dependent
Economic Survey says :
“The‐large magnitudes of both poverty and inequality which 
coexist with growth. From National sample survey (NSS) on the 
distribution of consumption expending, And employing the 
consumer price index of agricultural labors. The consumption 
of the poor people (lower 20% of the Indian population) has 
come down (I.e. poverty & inequalities has increased.)”

• Inflation / food inflation highest in Congress regime

         Period                 %   Period        %
       Dec. 2009           19.95    1973‐74      22.7
        1980­81             11.4    1991‐92      20.2
Inflation, Super Inflation – Price Rise

• Wrong economic, agriculture, import‐export  policy 
  resulted in inflation, super food inflation

   Period                             Inflation, ­ %
   2008                                    12
   August 2009                              ‐1
   March 2010                              11+


• Food inflation is 17 to 20% for the last 20 weeks
• Mr. Prime Minister “Where have things gone wrong?”
INFLATION IN THE WORLD & INDIA
                 Country               Inflation %
                   China                    2.7
                  America                   2.6
                South Korea                 2.7
                  Europe                    0.9
                 Hong Kong                  1.0
                  Taiwan                    2.4
                  Malaysia                  1.3
                 Singapore                  0.2
                   India                   11.0

• 11 % inflation in India is highest in the world
• Though Chinese GDP growth is 9.5% (India 7.2%), China has 2% 
  inflation and India 11%
• Mr. Prime Minister “Do you deny that inflation in India is 11%  
  as against global inflation of 1 to 2%?”
Global Inflation




                   7
Essential Commodities Prices
            Double in India compared to world

 Item                              Rate per kg
                     International Price      Price in India
 Wheat                      8.00                  14.50
 Soybean                   16.24                  22.50
 Soya Oil                  40.06                  46.00
 Sugar                     17.68                  38.00



• Sugar price in India is more than double and wheat 80% more 
  than prices in other countries

Mr. Prime Minister,  “Is it not true that the prices of food 
articles are 80% higher than in the world market?”
Prices of Essential Commodities Doubled in Congress Regime

                                                       Price Rs/kg

       Item                       2004           March 2010
       Wheat                          9                 24
       Rice                          10                 28
       Sugar                         14                37
       Ground Oil                    40               100
       Chana Dal                     25                 52
       Tur/Mung Dal                  24                 88 
       Milk                          14                 32
       Kerosene/liter                18                 35

 Mr.  Prime  Minister  “Is  it  not  a  fact  that  the  prices  of  essential 
 commodities doubled during your regime?’’
                                                                                  9
10
Up & Up – every item, prices moving upward.

Product             Quantity   2004 Price   2010 Price   Increase in    
                                  Rs.          Rs.           % 
Colgate Paste       100 gm        16           28             75

Babul Paste         100 gm        12           18             50

Tata Premium Tea    100 gm        12           28            133

Sunlight washing 
powder              500 gm        25           32             28
Lux Bathing Soap    100 gm        11           18             64

Bread one pound     400 gm         8           15             80

Eggs                  One         1.50          3            100


Mr.  Prime  Minister  “Don’t  you  agree  that  down­trodden  & 
middle class is finding it difficult to match two ends?”
Export Import Scam/Manipulation
• Frequent, non‐transparent, manipulative export–import 
  policies 
• 48 lac tons sugar exported at Rs.12.50 and re‐imported at Rs. 
  22 to 32 per kg
• Inferior quality of wheat imported at Rs.18.50 while Indian 
  farmers were paid Rs.8.50 per kg
• Hundreds crores  African Countries Rice Export Scam 
  Sugar‐2008‐09 – Export duty exempted 
  2009‐10 – Import duty exempted

Mr. Prime Minister
 (i) “Do you plead ignorance about your scandalous export –
    import policies? 
(ii)  You prefer to export  sugar at Rs.12.50/kg and import it at  
    Rs.22  but not create any buffer stock.  Don’t you owe an  
    explanation to the people?
Garibi Hatao ya Garibi Badhao
                   Phenomenal rise in Poverty

• Number of Poor has gone up during the Congress Regime 
• According  to  the  Planning  Commission’s  – National 
  Sample Survey  – Below Poverty Line (BPL) population in 
  rural India was 28.3% in 2005
• As  per  2009  GOI  Tendulkar  Committee,  41.8%  of  rural  
  population is living Below Poverty Line 
• The Planning Commission put BPL population in its 2005 
  report  at  31  crores.  December  2009  Tendulkar 
  Committee puts it at 42 crores. 
• Mr. Prime Minister “ You say garibi ghatti hai.”
  Then  why  42  crores  people  of  rural  India  are  still 
  below poverty line?  Are you really giving them food?
Mismanagement, Manipulation of buffer stock

• Government godowns over flowing with rice and wheat
• Against buffer stock requirement of 200 lac tons Govt godowns 
  have 453 lac tons as on 1st March 2010.
• In spite of huge  production,  huge  buffer  stock,  prices  gone  up 
  rapidly. Why Govt. did not release, use the buffer stock?
• Mr. Prime Minister ‘Govt. godowns are overflowing & food 
  grains  are  getting  rotten.  Then  why  prices  are 
  skyrocketing, leaving poor people half fed?

                             WHEAT          RICE         TOTAL
   BUFFER NORMS                 82          118            200
   ACTUAL STOCKS             183.88        269.50        453.38
Poor struggling for food
• Though Govt. godowns are full of food grains, poor  struggling 
  for food
• Saxena  Committee  of  GOI  states  that  23%  of  poor  people  do 
  not have any ration card
• Only  49%  of  the  eligible  poorest  have  BPL/Antyodaya  Anna 
  Yojana cards

  Mr. Prime Minister “Is it not true that the Govt appointed
  Saxena Committee pointed out that 51 % poor have been
    denied BPL ration card and deprived of food grains?”
Ignoring Agriculture

• On the one hand, Congress Govt. has failed to control the 
  price rise, failed to provide food security.  The Budget has 
  resulted  in  further  inflationary  trends.    Agriculture 
  growth on December 2009 is negative  –0.2 %.  In spite of 
  this,  the  Govt.  has  provided  a  meager  Rs.900  crores,  i.e. 
  0.075%,  for  agriculture  development  out  of  Rs.12  lac 
  crores total budget.
• Mr.  Prime  Minister  “What  do  you  have  to  say  about 
  this?”
COMPARISON OF PRICE (MSP) PAID TO FARMERS
     AGAINST PRICE PAID BY AAM AADMI
Item            Price Paid to  Retail Price      % 
               Farmers Rs./kg    Rs./kg     difference
Rice                 9.80         23.00         135
Tur Dal             23.00           90.00          290
Moong               27.60           70.00          150
Wheat               10.80           17.00           65
Jowar                 8.60          13.00           50
Bajra                 8.40          15.00           75

Mr.  Prime  Minister  “ Why  farmers  get  the  least,  aam 
aadmi pays the most?”
19
Commodity Exchanges Den of
               Speculation & Manipulation
• Essential, i.e. Agricultural Commodities are mainly traded at 
  National Commodity Exchanges (NCDEX)
• Out of Rs.8,03,842 crores turnover of 2009 at NCDEX, delivery 
  was 0.28%, i.e. Rs.2,243 crores
• Artificial turnover pushes up the prices of food items

 Total Turnover     Speculation             Actual Delivery

 Amount     %       Amount           %      Amount            %
 Rs. Crores         Rs. Crores              Rs. Crores
 8,03,842    100    8,01,519         99.71 2,243              0.28

• Mr. Prime Minister, “Manipulative turnover/ demand is 
 pushing the prices. Whom are you benefiting?                 

 Speculators?           Manipulators?          Multi­nationals?
NCDEX – COMMODITY EXCHANGE
   Turnover / Speculation / Actual Delivery – 2009
Month           Actual Delivery         Speculation           Total Turnover
              Amount         %       Amount             %     Rs. In crores
            Rs. In crores          Rs. In crores
January         634         1.35      46161           98.64       46795
February        147         0.35      41593           99.64       41740
March           128         0.31      40931           99.68       41059
April           115         0.17      65007           99.70       65202
May             125         0.27      50907           99.75       51032
June            108         0.16      45882           99.76       45990
July             72         0.23      73010           99.90       73082
August           99         0.10      93113           99.89       93212
September       217         0.36      59211           99.63       59428
October         165         0.21      76110           99.78       76275
November        175         0.16    105697            99.83      105872
December        258         0.24    103897            99.75      104155
   TOTAL       2243         0.28    801519            99.71      803842
Govt’s inflationary statements help speculators &
                      manipulations.

•      Government ministers go on making speculative statements 
       about the food shortages / less production
•      Agriculture Minister, Finance Minister just few weeks back 
       stated  that  sugar  production  for  2009‐10  shall  be  141  lac 
       tons
•      Sugar prices touched Rs.50 per kg
•      Now  Sugar  Industries  Association  announced  that  sugar 
       production would be 178 lac tons for 2009‐10
•      Sugar prices started falling below Rs.40 per kg.
•      Mr.  Prime  Minister  “What  are  the  vested  interests  of 
       your  Govt.  in  making  suggestive  forecasts  about 
       shortages in food production?  Is it to check prices or to 
       create panic?”
Mehangai Mar Gayi

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Mehangai Mar Gayi

  • 1. MEHANGAI MAR GAYI Increasing Poverty, Rising Prices, Super Inflation Mr. Prime Minister “Who is responsible for this mess?” Nitin Gadkari’s 14 questions to Dr. Manmohan Singh BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY
  • 2. Faulty Economic Policies of Congress Govt. Result - “Super Inflation” Once  again  India  has  entered  into  double‐digit  inflation.  Inflation was ‐1% in August 2009 gone upto 12 % in March  2010.  Faulty  and  wrong  economic  policies  of  the  Congress  Govt. has resulted into : • Super Food Inflation of 20% • Food Prices doubled in Congress Regime • Industrial Growth 19%  but Agriculture growth ‐0.2% 2
  • 3. It is Garibi Badhao not Garibi Hatao • Commodity Exchanges have become Dens of Speculation  & Manipulation • Beneficiaries :‐ Multinationals, Big Corporate Houses,  Manipulators, Speculators • Sharp increase in Poverty, People living Below Poverty  Line increased to 42 crores. • Sharp disparities between price paid to Farmers and  price paid by Customers.  • Food grains get rotten and  poor people struggling for food 
  • 4. Food Security in Danger India becoming Import dependent Economic Survey says : “The‐large magnitudes of both poverty and inequality which  coexist with growth. From National sample survey (NSS) on the  distribution of consumption expending, And employing the  consumer price index of agricultural labors. The consumption  of the poor people (lower 20% of the Indian population) has  come down (I.e. poverty & inequalities has increased.)” • Inflation / food inflation highest in Congress regime Period                 % Period % Dec. 2009 19.95 1973‐74 22.7 1980­81 11.4 1991‐92 20.2
  • 5. Inflation, Super Inflation – Price Rise • Wrong economic, agriculture, import‐export  policy  resulted in inflation, super food inflation Period Inflation, ­ % 2008 12 August 2009 ‐1 March 2010 11+ • Food inflation is 17 to 20% for the last 20 weeks • Mr. Prime Minister “Where have things gone wrong?”
  • 6. INFLATION IN THE WORLD & INDIA Country Inflation % China 2.7 America 2.6 South Korea 2.7 Europe 0.9 Hong Kong 1.0 Taiwan 2.4 Malaysia 1.3 Singapore 0.2 India 11.0 • 11 % inflation in India is highest in the world • Though Chinese GDP growth is 9.5% (India 7.2%), China has 2%  inflation and India 11% • Mr. Prime Minister “Do you deny that inflation in India is 11%   as against global inflation of 1 to 2%?”
  • 8. Essential Commodities Prices Double in India compared to world Item Rate per kg International Price Price in India Wheat 8.00 14.50 Soybean 16.24 22.50 Soya Oil 40.06 46.00 Sugar 17.68 38.00 • Sugar price in India is more than double and wheat 80% more  than prices in other countries Mr. Prime Minister,  “Is it not true that the prices of food  articles are 80% higher than in the world market?”
  • 9. Prices of Essential Commodities Doubled in Congress Regime Price Rs/kg Item 2004  March 2010 Wheat 9 24 Rice 10 28 Sugar 14 37 Ground Oil 40 100 Chana Dal 25 52 Tur/Mung Dal 24 88  Milk 14 32 Kerosene/liter 18 35 Mr.  Prime  Minister  “Is  it  not  a  fact  that  the  prices  of  essential  commodities doubled during your regime?’’ 9
  • 10. 10
  • 11. Up & Up – every item, prices moving upward. Product Quantity 2004 Price 2010 Price Increase in     Rs. Rs. %  Colgate Paste 100 gm 16 28 75 Babul Paste 100 gm 12 18 50 Tata Premium Tea 100 gm 12 28 133 Sunlight washing  powder 500 gm 25 32 28 Lux Bathing Soap 100 gm 11 18 64 Bread one pound 400 gm 8 15 80 Eggs One 1.50 3 100 Mr.  Prime  Minister  “Don’t  you  agree  that  down­trodden  &  middle class is finding it difficult to match two ends?”
  • 12. Export Import Scam/Manipulation • Frequent, non‐transparent, manipulative export–import  policies  • 48 lac tons sugar exported at Rs.12.50 and re‐imported at Rs.  22 to 32 per kg • Inferior quality of wheat imported at Rs.18.50 while Indian  farmers were paid Rs.8.50 per kg • Hundreds crores  African Countries Rice Export Scam  Sugar‐2008‐09 – Export duty exempted  2009‐10 – Import duty exempted Mr. Prime Minister (i) “Do you plead ignorance about your scandalous export – import policies?  (ii)  You prefer to export  sugar at Rs.12.50/kg and import it at   Rs.22  but not create any buffer stock.  Don’t you owe an   explanation to the people?
  • 13. Garibi Hatao ya Garibi Badhao Phenomenal rise in Poverty • Number of Poor has gone up during the Congress Regime  • According  to  the  Planning  Commission’s  – National  Sample Survey  – Below Poverty Line (BPL) population in  rural India was 28.3% in 2005 • As  per  2009  GOI  Tendulkar  Committee,  41.8%  of  rural   population is living Below Poverty Line  • The Planning Commission put BPL population in its 2005  report  at  31  crores.  December  2009  Tendulkar  Committee puts it at 42 crores.  • Mr. Prime Minister “ You say garibi ghatti hai.” Then  why  42  crores  people  of  rural  India  are  still  below poverty line?  Are you really giving them food?
  • 14. Mismanagement, Manipulation of buffer stock • Government godowns over flowing with rice and wheat • Against buffer stock requirement of 200 lac tons Govt godowns  have 453 lac tons as on 1st March 2010. • In spite of huge  production,  huge  buffer  stock,  prices  gone  up  rapidly. Why Govt. did not release, use the buffer stock? • Mr. Prime Minister ‘Govt. godowns are overflowing & food  grains  are  getting  rotten.  Then  why  prices  are  skyrocketing, leaving poor people half fed? WHEAT RICE TOTAL BUFFER NORMS 82 118 200 ACTUAL STOCKS 183.88 269.50 453.38
  • 15.
  • 16. Poor struggling for food • Though Govt. godowns are full of food grains, poor  struggling  for food • Saxena  Committee  of  GOI  states  that  23%  of  poor  people  do  not have any ration card • Only  49%  of  the  eligible  poorest  have  BPL/Antyodaya  Anna  Yojana cards Mr. Prime Minister “Is it not true that the Govt appointed Saxena Committee pointed out that 51 % poor have been denied BPL ration card and deprived of food grains?”
  • 17. Ignoring Agriculture • On the one hand, Congress Govt. has failed to control the  price rise, failed to provide food security.  The Budget has  resulted  in  further  inflationary  trends.    Agriculture  growth on December 2009 is negative  –0.2 %.  In spite of  this,  the  Govt.  has  provided  a  meager  Rs.900  crores,  i.e.  0.075%,  for  agriculture  development  out  of  Rs.12  lac  crores total budget. • Mr.  Prime  Minister  “What  do  you  have  to  say  about  this?”
  • 18. COMPARISON OF PRICE (MSP) PAID TO FARMERS AGAINST PRICE PAID BY AAM AADMI Item Price Paid to  Retail Price %  Farmers Rs./kg Rs./kg difference Rice 9.80 23.00 135 Tur Dal 23.00 90.00 290 Moong 27.60 70.00 150 Wheat 10.80 17.00 65 Jowar 8.60 13.00 50 Bajra 8.40 15.00 75 Mr.  Prime  Minister  “ Why  farmers  get  the  least,  aam  aadmi pays the most?”
  • 19. 19
  • 20. Commodity Exchanges Den of Speculation & Manipulation • Essential, i.e. Agricultural Commodities are mainly traded at  National Commodity Exchanges (NCDEX) • Out of Rs.8,03,842 crores turnover of 2009 at NCDEX, delivery  was 0.28%, i.e. Rs.2,243 crores • Artificial turnover pushes up the prices of food items Total Turnover  Speculation Actual Delivery Amount % Amount % Amount % Rs. Crores Rs. Crores Rs. Crores 8,03,842 100 8,01,519 99.71 2,243 0.28 • Mr. Prime Minister, “Manipulative turnover/ demand is  pushing the prices. Whom are you benefiting?                  Speculators?           Manipulators?          Multi­nationals?
  • 21. NCDEX – COMMODITY EXCHANGE Turnover / Speculation / Actual Delivery – 2009 Month Actual Delivery Speculation Total Turnover Amount % Amount % Rs. In crores Rs. In crores Rs. In crores January  634 1.35 46161 98.64 46795 February  147 0.35 41593 99.64 41740 March  128 0.31 40931 99.68 41059 April 115 0.17 65007 99.70 65202 May 125 0.27 50907 99.75 51032 June 108 0.16 45882 99.76 45990 July 72 0.23 73010 99.90 73082 August 99 0.10 93113 99.89 93212 September 217 0.36 59211 99.63 59428 October 165 0.21 76110 99.78 76275 November 175 0.16 105697 99.83 105872 December 258 0.24 103897 99.75 104155 TOTAL 2243 0.28 801519 99.71 803842
  • 22. Govt’s inflationary statements help speculators & manipulations. • Government ministers go on making speculative statements  about the food shortages / less production • Agriculture Minister, Finance Minister just few weeks back  stated  that  sugar  production  for  2009‐10  shall  be  141  lac  tons • Sugar prices touched Rs.50 per kg • Now  Sugar  Industries  Association  announced  that  sugar  production would be 178 lac tons for 2009‐10 • Sugar prices started falling below Rs.40 per kg. • Mr.  Prime  Minister  “What  are  the  vested  interests  of  your  Govt.  in  making  suggestive  forecasts  about  shortages in food production?  Is it to check prices or to  create panic?”