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2011/08/25




   Application market and the relevant market in China




                                                         CMO




confidential                                      1
About Ptmind

          Ptmind




confidential              2
http://www.ptengine.jp/




confidential   3
Outline




confidential         4
1.
                        2.   OS
          Outline
                        3.
                        4.




confidential         4
Smart phone market




confidential                    5
1-1.
12000




  9000




  6000




  3000




       0
              2009Q4   2010Q1   2010Q2       2010Q3   2010Q4     2011Q1

                                                      Enfodesk

confidential                              6
1-2.
                                                 2011Q2
2011Q2




                    2011.8 Umeng      2011       Android   2011.08
              http://www.umeng.com/report


confidential                                  7
1-3.
 1100



  825



  550



  275



      0
              2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4

                                                   Enfodesk

confidential                             8
1-4.

              14       70




confidential        9
1-5.                                                     2011                                   300


        600                                                                                      400%


                                                                                        544.8


        450                                                                                      300%




        300                                                                                      200%


                                                              246.0


        150                                                                                      100%


                                87.6

                         37.2
              0    8.4                                                                                0%
                  2010   2011   2012                          2013                      2014




                                    : iResearch 2011.5
                                http://wireless.iresearch.cn/16/20110708/144072.shtml

confidential                      10
Smart phone OS in China

                                     OS




confidential                         11
2-1.                                             OS

                    10%                                      7%
                                                iOS
              iOS                               9%
              6%                                                      Symbian
                                                                        31%
                                      Windows phone7
                                           5%
Windows phone7
     12%

                                 Symbian
                                   57%



       Android
        14%

                                                         Android
                                                          49%


                          2010                                 2011

                                                   ZDC




confidential                            12
2-2.

                                                                                                                        3~4
                                  OS
     1 NOKIA C5-03                Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 13,800          13,800

     2 APPLE iPhone 4(16GB)       iOS 4                  59,400                                                                  59,400

     3 MOTOROLA ME525(Defy)       Android OS v2.2        29,640                              29,640

     4 NOKIA N8                   Symbian^3              34,800                                       34,800

     5 SAMSUNG I9000(8GB)         Android OS v2.1        28,200                             28,200

     6 HTC Desire S (G12)         Android OS v2.3        29,400                              29,400

     7 NOKIA 5230                 Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 14,400          14,400

     8        M9(8GB)             Android OS v2.2        29,988                               29,988

     9 NOKIA C6                   Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 21,000                     21,000

    10 SAMSUNG i9100(16GB)        Android OS v2.3        54,000                                                         54,000

    11 HTC Desire HD(G10)         Android OS v2.2        32,388                                    32,388

    12 HTC Desire(G7)             Android OS v2.1        29,400                              29,400

    13 NOKIA 5800XM               Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 15,600            15,600

    14 SAMSUNG Galaxy Ace S5830   Android OS v2.2        26,400                           26,400

    15 HTC Wildfire(G8)           Android OS v2.1        15,600         15,600

                                                                  0        15,000                   30,000     45,000                60,000


                                   2011.6                                          ZDC



confidential                                         13
2-3.Jailbreak




                      TGBUS   iphone
Jailbreak                           URL
   iphone.tgbus.com




confidential                    14
2-3.Jailbreak




                      TGBUS   iphone
Jailbreak                           URL
   iphone.tgbus.com




confidential                    14
2-3.Jailbreak




                      TGBUS   iphone
Jailbreak                           URL
   iphone.tgbus.com




confidential                    14
Monetization




confidential              15
3.
              91 Android APP                  DOWNLOAD

                                                              DOWNLOAD

     UC BROWSER                WEB Browser

                               Music Player



     SINA Weibo                      Twitter

                                    Fruit Ninja Free

     360
                                                                         EC
                                      Angry Bird

                                    Angry Bird Rio

     91            91             Android
                                                                              2011.8 Umeng
                                    Talking Tom Cat




confidential                                              16
3.




confidential   17
3-1-1.DL           1   =12




confidential   18
3-1-2.DL




              60        120
                   1000




confidential        19
3-1-3.




              汇



confidential       20
3-2-1.
 30           10




confidential        21
3-2-2.
                   imp         >>>


        QQ               360     Sina Weibo



              EC
        EC




confidential                               22
3-2-3.



                          A     B
              CPM        600   720
              CPC        7.2   21.6

         imp             3      6
           CTR           1%     3%

               CTR   1




confidential                           23
3-2-4.



              imp




                    M&A




confidential               24
3-3-1.




              Papaya Mobile
              Android
                Papaya network
                              100
              2011 1          500




confidential       25
Forecast




confidential          26
4-1.

         3
              Adnetwork




                               EC

                          EC




confidential      27
4-2.




confidential   28
!!


                        ryotaro.ohara

                        @bernouili




confidential   29

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中国アプリ市場とその周辺

  • 1. 2011/08/25 Application market and the relevant market in China CMO confidential 1
  • 2. About Ptmind Ptmind confidential 2
  • 5. 1. 2. OS Outline 3. 4. confidential 4
  • 7. 1-1. 12000 9000 6000 3000 0 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 Enfodesk confidential 6
  • 8. 1-2. 2011Q2 2011Q2 2011.8 Umeng 2011 Android 2011.08 http://www.umeng.com/report confidential 7
  • 9. 1-3. 1100 825 550 275 0 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 Enfodesk confidential 8
  • 10. 1-4. 14 70 confidential 9
  • 11. 1-5. 2011 300 600 400% 544.8 450 300% 300 200% 246.0 150 100% 87.6 37.2 0 8.4 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 : iResearch 2011.5 http://wireless.iresearch.cn/16/20110708/144072.shtml confidential 10
  • 12. Smart phone OS in China OS confidential 11
  • 13. 2-1. OS 10% 7% iOS iOS 9% 6% Symbian 31% Windows phone7 5% Windows phone7 12% Symbian 57% Android 14% Android 49% 2010 2011 ZDC confidential 12
  • 14. 2-2. 3~4 OS 1 NOKIA C5-03 Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 13,800 13,800 2 APPLE iPhone 4(16GB) iOS 4 59,400 59,400 3 MOTOROLA ME525(Defy) Android OS v2.2 29,640 29,640 4 NOKIA N8 Symbian^3 34,800 34,800 5 SAMSUNG I9000(8GB) Android OS v2.1 28,200 28,200 6 HTC Desire S (G12) Android OS v2.3 29,400 29,400 7 NOKIA 5230 Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 14,400 14,400 8 M9(8GB) Android OS v2.2 29,988 29,988 9 NOKIA C6 Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 21,000 21,000 10 SAMSUNG i9100(16GB) Android OS v2.3 54,000 54,000 11 HTC Desire HD(G10) Android OS v2.2 32,388 32,388 12 HTC Desire(G7) Android OS v2.1 29,400 29,400 13 NOKIA 5800XM Symbian 9.4 S60 5.0 15,600 15,600 14 SAMSUNG Galaxy Ace S5830 Android OS v2.2 26,400 26,400 15 HTC Wildfire(G8) Android OS v2.1 15,600 15,600 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2011.6 ZDC confidential 13
  • 15. 2-3.Jailbreak TGBUS iphone Jailbreak URL iphone.tgbus.com confidential 14
  • 16. 2-3.Jailbreak TGBUS iphone Jailbreak URL iphone.tgbus.com confidential 14
  • 17. 2-3.Jailbreak TGBUS iphone Jailbreak URL iphone.tgbus.com confidential 14
  • 19. 3. 91 Android APP DOWNLOAD DOWNLOAD UC BROWSER WEB Browser Music Player SINA Weibo Twitter Fruit Ninja Free 360 EC Angry Bird Angry Bird Rio 91 91 Android 2011.8 Umeng Talking Tom Cat confidential 16
  • 21. 3-1-1.DL 1 =12 confidential 18
  • 22. 3-1-2.DL 60 120 1000 confidential 19
  • 23. 3-1-3. 汇 confidential 20
  • 24. 3-2-1. 30 10 confidential 21
  • 25. 3-2-2. imp >>> QQ 360 Sina Weibo EC EC confidential 22
  • 26. 3-2-3. A B CPM 600 720 CPC 7.2 21.6 imp 3 6 CTR 1% 3% CTR 1 confidential 23
  • 27. 3-2-4. imp M&A confidential 24
  • 28. 3-3-1. Papaya Mobile Android Papaya network 100 2011 1 500 confidential 25
  • 30. 4-1. 3 Adnetwork EC EC confidential 27
  • 32. !! ryotaro.ohara @bernouili confidential 29

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  23.  ーゲームが20%とのことだが、ほかにはどんな出稿主がいるのか\n会社によって全然違っているが、業界内の共通点としては、ターケティング性をあまり重視しないプロモーションの時に良く使う。広告主はブランド認知度高いの企業がメイン。\n例:\ndomob(この四半期で中国一imp数のAPP広告会社となっている、今までずっと有米広告が一位だった。中国のAPP広告業界はみんなの差があまりないから、すぐ明日にまた他社に抜かれる可能性もあるとdomobのBDディレクターが言った)の場合ネット業界内の広告主:QQの携帯ゲーム、360(プロモーション内容:最近開発した携帯最適化ツール)、SinaのWeiboなどの全インターネットユーザーに対応するプロモーションの時に良く出稿する。\nEC系:出稿内容:EC系サイト自体のプロモーション、と誰でも買うような商品のプロモーション(例えば:デジタル商品)。効果が低いので、ターゲットニッチな商品の出稿はほぼない。\nブランド認知度を向上するための広告も一部存在する。\n中国のAPP内ターけディングというのは:例えばL-senseの広告主が自動車関連が多く、手法は単価の高い機種に対する出稿する。(こんなもんだね)\nCASEEの副社長に聞いたこともあり、この会社も自動車関連の広告主が多い。単価が高いから、費用対効果が出しやすい。\nL-senseのマーケティング最高責任者と一緒に食事する時にこう言われた:市場を分析して、ターけディングをしぽって、ちゃんとした広告を企画してターケティング広告を出稿するコストは、一気に全ユーザーに広告配信のコストとあまりかわらない。企業にとっては、見て欲しいユーザーに広告の到達ができるし、その他のユーザーも広告が見れたから、ブランドの認知度も高まる。ターケティング広告の場合、効果が全然出ないリスクも存在するから、やはりimp数を重視したほうがいい。\n上記のような営業しかたで、広告主にターケティング広告はあまり意味がないというのを解釈した。\nPS:もしセミナでこの事情を説明すれば、この会社の社名と担当者の肩書きを出さないでと言ってった。\n\n
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  25. 今後も出荷台数の増加と共に市場は伸び続け、アドネットワーク側による媒体の囲い込みが\n  進んでいくが、資金量の多いところにM&Aにより集約されていく。\n  それにより総imp数が増え、ターゲティング性の高い、impに頼らない広告\n  が売れ始め、大手の広告主の出稿が回り始めるだろう。\n  またゲーム内課金のARPUがよいゲームが増えるに連れて(中国市場にマッチ\n  したゲームが展開しはじめる)ゲームの広告主が増えていく。\n
  26.  ーアプリ内課金はどんなもんか(ARPU、月商)\nA社の場合:この前の戦争系ゲームの会社。ARPUが教えてくれなかった。。\n収益は基本的には欧米市場の方がメイン、約5-10万ドル、国内は非常にすくない、何十万日本円程度。\n\n今中国のゲーム課金は通信キャリアの決済プラットフォームを利用する課金方法とオフィラインの現金カードを買って利用する方法がメインとなる。しかし、今まで中国の通信キャリアが不正課金に関する管理が不備であり、また中国三社の通信キャリア社がそれぞれ巨大なユーザー層を抱えており、キャリア間の課金手数料は高くなっている。このような制限があって、第三者の課金プラットフォームの成熟は中国モバイル事業の推進力の一つとなると思う。最近AliPayと盛大の課金プラットフォームの発展は注目されている。\n
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  28. とにかく関連分野での成功事例が大きなきっかけとなる。\n  ゲームなのかECなのか、そこはわからないが、顧客単価が高い、もしくはリピート率が高い\n  のであれば、積極的な広告出稿が可能となる。すると広告市場が潤いだし、媒体も増えだす。\n  また出稿主が成功すると、モデルを真似た企業が出始め、さらに広告市場が盛り上がる。\n
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