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RYAN VAN WAGENEN
D i r e c t o r a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y
2018 European Private
Equity Sector Update
2
2018 PRIVATE EQUITY:
EUROPEAN TRENDS
S E C T O R O V E R V I E W
3
The Private Equity Market in Europe
The European private equity (PE) market as a
whole (buyouts and exits) showed,
yet again, a marked improvement in 2017 on both
a volume and value basis. Volume increased by
6.9% to 2,183 transactions and value was up
14.4% to €250.1bn. This means that European PE
activity has reached a post-crisis high on both
fronts, with all asset classes being sought after
and showing a further growth after a very strong
2016. The European deals market has as such
grown impressively by a CAGR of 9.2% since
2012, despite geopolitical uncertainty and tremors,
as well as market volatility and low growth
macroeconomic conditions.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
4
European Buyout Trends
This value surge represents the comeback of
the European megadeal. In 2017, there were
30 buyouts valued at more than €1bn, a more
than 30% increase year on year and the
highest number of megadeals since the
financial crisis. Indeed, no other deal size
bracket showed such a marked improvement in
2017 as the €1bn-plus segment.
While this resurgence in activity follows a
significant drop in buyout value in 2016 of
7.6%, and therefore could be seen as a return
to normality, it is worth noting that both
dealmaking volume and value have reached
yet again a post-crisis record in Europe.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
5
European Buyout By Deal Size
In the US, markets have rallied to record highs
since the inauguration of President Trump.
Meanwhile, stock market volatility, at least for
the time being, has decreased. This is likely to
be a result of the administration’s pro-business
agenda. The most notable example of this has
been the corporate tax overhaul that will accrue
to company earnings.
Monetary policy remains loose, especially in
Europe where the interest rate is essentially
zero, and therefore the debt necessary to
finance buyouts continues to be cheap. There
also remains a supply-demand imbalance, with
more equity capital than there are opportunities
to invest that capital, sustaining the high-price
environment.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
6
European Exit Trends
The exit market improved in 2017, going up to
1,023 company sales, a good 4.1% uplift year
on year. However, on a value basis, exits leapt
by 18.4% to €165bn. This was largely the result
of a spike in Q2, a period in which six of the top
ten largest exits of the year were made,
including the three largest disposals of 2017.
These included Blackstone’s sale of UK
logistics company Logicor to China Investment
Corporation for €12.25bn; the €6.9bn exit of
AWAS, a Dublin- based aircraft lessor,
alongside its co-investor the Canada Pension
Plan Investment Board to Dubai Aerospace
Enterprise; and NB Private Equity Partners’
offloading of pharmaceutical developer
Patheon to Thermo Fisher for €6.5bn.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
7
Geography of European Deals
The UK and Ireland remains Europe’s largest
private equity market and this is likely to remain
the case for the foreseeable future. The long-
term nature of private equity funds means that
dealmaking activity trails fundraising and the
typical five-year deployment terms by which
funds are bound.
However, it appears that the UK and Ireland is
losing its dominance. Between 2012 and 2015,
the region accounted for 25% of buyout volume
and 32% of value. While still comfortably ahead
of neighbouring countries, this has slipped to
22% of all European buyouts and 29% of
aggregate value in 2016–2017.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
8
European Deals Split by Industry
The sectoral composition of Europe’s buyout activity remains
relatively static over time in that the most in-demand industries for
investment are: industrials and chemicals, technology, media and
telecommunications (TMT), business services, consumer, pharma,
medical and biotech, and financial services.
However, some of these have shown signs of falling out of favour
among private equity investors. For instance, consumer has slipped
out of the top three sectors, on both a volume and value basis over
the last year.
This might be expected. The UK and Ireland represents the region’s
largest buyout market. At the same time, fund managers have
signalled a wariness for investments in companies exposed to
inflationary effects linked to Brexit. Businesses that have inputs
denominated in euro and other overseas currencies but are
dependent on a weaker sterling for revenues are under pressure
and seen as riskier bets.
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
9
ABOUT RYAN
VAN WAGENEN
M O R E I N F O R M A T I O N
10
RYAN VAN WAGENEN
D i r e c t o r a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y
Professional Overview
•  Global Private Equity (2009 - Present)
•  Director since 2011 covering the technology sector
•  Leads team in modeling, diligence, and transaction negotiation
•  Citi Trends (2006-2009)
•  Operations role: Direct report of the executive director
Responsible for data entry, accounts payable, payroll, and
grant report entry
Education
•  Westminster College, B.S. Finance
Additional Information
•  Grew up in Cottonwood Heights
•  Youngest of five children
•  Still active in the outdoor community: Avid skier, Mountaineering
racer, hiker, and rock climber
11
PRIVATE EQUITY
GLOBAL TRENDS
R y a n V a n W a g e n e n , D i r e c t o r
a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y
I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N
S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8

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Ryan Van Wagenen - 2018 European Private Equity Sector Update

  • 1. 1 RYAN VAN WAGENEN D i r e c t o r a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y 2018 European Private Equity Sector Update
  • 2. 2 2018 PRIVATE EQUITY: EUROPEAN TRENDS S E C T O R O V E R V I E W
  • 3. 3 The Private Equity Market in Europe The European private equity (PE) market as a whole (buyouts and exits) showed, yet again, a marked improvement in 2017 on both a volume and value basis. Volume increased by 6.9% to 2,183 transactions and value was up 14.4% to €250.1bn. This means that European PE activity has reached a post-crisis high on both fronts, with all asset classes being sought after and showing a further growth after a very strong 2016. The European deals market has as such grown impressively by a CAGR of 9.2% since 2012, despite geopolitical uncertainty and tremors, as well as market volatility and low growth macroeconomic conditions. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 4. 4 European Buyout Trends This value surge represents the comeback of the European megadeal. In 2017, there were 30 buyouts valued at more than €1bn, a more than 30% increase year on year and the highest number of megadeals since the financial crisis. Indeed, no other deal size bracket showed such a marked improvement in 2017 as the €1bn-plus segment. While this resurgence in activity follows a significant drop in buyout value in 2016 of 7.6%, and therefore could be seen as a return to normality, it is worth noting that both dealmaking volume and value have reached yet again a post-crisis record in Europe. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 5. 5 European Buyout By Deal Size In the US, markets have rallied to record highs since the inauguration of President Trump. Meanwhile, stock market volatility, at least for the time being, has decreased. This is likely to be a result of the administration’s pro-business agenda. The most notable example of this has been the corporate tax overhaul that will accrue to company earnings. Monetary policy remains loose, especially in Europe where the interest rate is essentially zero, and therefore the debt necessary to finance buyouts continues to be cheap. There also remains a supply-demand imbalance, with more equity capital than there are opportunities to invest that capital, sustaining the high-price environment. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 6. 6 European Exit Trends The exit market improved in 2017, going up to 1,023 company sales, a good 4.1% uplift year on year. However, on a value basis, exits leapt by 18.4% to €165bn. This was largely the result of a spike in Q2, a period in which six of the top ten largest exits of the year were made, including the three largest disposals of 2017. These included Blackstone’s sale of UK logistics company Logicor to China Investment Corporation for €12.25bn; the €6.9bn exit of AWAS, a Dublin- based aircraft lessor, alongside its co-investor the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board to Dubai Aerospace Enterprise; and NB Private Equity Partners’ offloading of pharmaceutical developer Patheon to Thermo Fisher for €6.5bn. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 7. 7 Geography of European Deals The UK and Ireland remains Europe’s largest private equity market and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future. The long- term nature of private equity funds means that dealmaking activity trails fundraising and the typical five-year deployment terms by which funds are bound. However, it appears that the UK and Ireland is losing its dominance. Between 2012 and 2015, the region accounted for 25% of buyout volume and 32% of value. While still comfortably ahead of neighbouring countries, this has slipped to 22% of all European buyouts and 29% of aggregate value in 2016–2017. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 8. 8 European Deals Split by Industry The sectoral composition of Europe’s buyout activity remains relatively static over time in that the most in-demand industries for investment are: industrials and chemicals, technology, media and telecommunications (TMT), business services, consumer, pharma, medical and biotech, and financial services. However, some of these have shown signs of falling out of favour among private equity investors. For instance, consumer has slipped out of the top three sectors, on both a volume and value basis over the last year. This might be expected. The UK and Ireland represents the region’s largest buyout market. At the same time, fund managers have signalled a wariness for investments in companies exposed to inflationary effects linked to Brexit. Businesses that have inputs denominated in euro and other overseas currencies but are dependent on a weaker sterling for revenues are under pressure and seen as riskier bets. I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N - R Y A N V A N W A G E N E N – G L O B A L P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y – T E C H N O L O G Y S E C T O R S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8
  • 9. 9 ABOUT RYAN VAN WAGENEN M O R E I N F O R M A T I O N
  • 10. 10 RYAN VAN WAGENEN D i r e c t o r a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y Professional Overview •  Global Private Equity (2009 - Present) •  Director since 2011 covering the technology sector •  Leads team in modeling, diligence, and transaction negotiation •  Citi Trends (2006-2009) •  Operations role: Direct report of the executive director Responsible for data entry, accounts payable, payroll, and grant report entry Education •  Westminster College, B.S. Finance Additional Information •  Grew up in Cottonwood Heights •  Youngest of five children •  Still active in the outdoor community: Avid skier, Mountaineering racer, hiker, and rock climber
  • 11. 11 PRIVATE EQUITY GLOBAL TRENDS R y a n V a n W a g e n e n , D i r e c t o r a t G l o b a l P r i v a t e E q u i t y I N T E R N A L T R A I N I N G P R E S E N T A T I O N S O U R C E : P W C P R I V A T E E Q U I T Y T R E N D R E P O R T 2 0 1 8