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Royal Dutch Shell plc
July 28, 2016
Second quarter 2016 results
Re-shaping Shell,
to create a world-class investment case
“Let’s make the future”
Ben van Beurden
Chief Executive Officer
Royal Dutch Shell
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves.
Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society
of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) 2P + 2C definitions.
Resources and potential: Our use of the term “resources and potential” are consistent with SPE 2P + 2C + 2U definitions.
Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact.
Shales: Our use of the term ‘shales’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage.
The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this release “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes
used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in
general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell
subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this release refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated
arrangements over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has significant influence but neither
control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture,
partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This release contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical
fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these
statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing
management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’,
‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and
similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in
the forward-looking statements included in this release, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c)
currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with
the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries
and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market
conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements
in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. There can be no assurance that future dividend payments will match or
exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this release are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in
this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year
ended December 31, 2015 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this release and
should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this release, July 28, 2016. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries
undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ
materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this release.
With respect to operating costs synergies indicated, such savings and efficiencies in procurement spend include economies of scale, specification standardisation and operating efficiencies
across operating, capital and raw material cost areas.
We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this release that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC.
U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
Definitions & cautionary note
3
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 4
Strategy
“Let’s make the future”
Leader: value +
influence
Reducing our
carbon intensity
Shared value
with society
World-class
investment case
STRATEGIC
 Focus portfolio on resilient positions
 Invest in advantaged projects
 Value chain integration
 FCF/share + ROCE growth
 Conservative financial
management
OPERATIONAL
 Reset cost and capital spending
 First class execution projects +
operations
 Unrelenting focus on HSSE and
licence to operate
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Re-shape Shell
Driving strategy in multiple time horizons
Relentless portfolio high-grading
Strong free cash flow and returns
Cash engines: today Growth priorities: 2016+ Future opportunities: 2020+
Competitive + resilient
Funds dividends + balance sheet
FCF + ROACE pathway
Affordable growth in
advantaged positions
Material value + upside
Managed exposure
Path to profitability
Cash engines 2020+
CONVENTIONAL
OIL + GAS
CHEMICALS
OIL
PRODUCTS
DEEP WATERINTEGRATED
GAS
OIL SANDS
MINING
SHALES NEW
ENERGIES
5
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Thousand boe/d Thousand boe/dUnit costs $/boe
6
Operating costs exclude identified items; deep water excludes idle rig costs
Re-shape Shell
H1 2016 delivery
 Reducing costs + improving uptime
 Delivering growth projects
 HSSE priority
Cash engines: today Growth priorities: 2016+ Future opportunities: 2020+
Conventional oil and gas Deep water Shales
Unit costs $/boe Unit costs $/boe
Unit operating costs Production (RHS)
Thousand boe/d
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Competitive financial data as published. Free cash flow: cash flow from operations less cash used in investing activities. $/ADR for European companies.
ROACE underlying: European companies: CCS basis excluding identified items. US companies: reported earnings excluding special non-operating items. Capital employed on gross debt
basis.
Financial dashboard
%
Gearing
%
ROACE
$/share
Free cash flow per share
%
Total shareholder return
Shell Peer group
3 years to Q2 2016 12 months to Q2 2016
Simon Henry
Chief Financial Officer
Royal Dutch Shell
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 9
Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items
$ billion
Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016
Q2 2016
Financial highlights
$ billion Q2 2015 Q2 2016
Upstream (0.5) (1.3)
Integrated Gas 1.4 0.9
Downstream (CCS) 3.0 1.8
Corporate & minorities (0.1) (0.3)
CCS net earnings 3.8 1.0
CCS earnings, $ per share 0.60 0.13
Cash flow from operations 6.1 2.3
ROACE (%) 7.6 2.5
Dividends 3.0 3.7
Dividend, $ per share 0.47 0.47
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 10
Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items
$ billion
Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016
Q2 2016
Financial highlights
Environment Choice
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 11
Cash investment: Cash flow from investing activities
Cash performance + payout
$ billion
Cash flow
$ billion
Dividend, buyback + gearing
$ billion, 2016 Q2 4Q rolling
Cash generation
 Priorities for cash:
 Debt reduction
 Dividends
 Buybacks + capital investment
CFFO
Cash investment Free cash flow (RHS)
Cash investment
BG acquisition – cash element
Dividend and buyback
Downstream + Corporate
Dividend declared
Buyback
End period gearing (RHS)
$ billion
%
Integrated Gas
Upstream
~20
43
Gearing range
CFFO CFFI
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 12
Integration with BG
BG performance
Thousand boe per day
Queensland LNG
Thousand boe per day
Brazil pre-salt
$ billion
Synergies: BG
Production
Number of cargoes delivered in the quarter (RHS)
1st LNG Train 1
Dec 2014
T2 start up
Nov 2015 #
Cidade Itaguaí
Q3 2015
FPSO Cidade de Maricá
Q1 2016
 Actions taken for ~50% of synergies capture:
 Staff + contractors
 Offices
 Exploration
 Procurement + others
2.5
4
4.5
ExplorationCosts
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 13
* $60 oil price scenario 2018 (2016 RT Brent)
Manage down-cycle
Pulling levers to manage financial framework
2016-18 levers
Divestments
Reduce
capital
investment
Reduce
operating
costs
Deliver new
projects
 Reducing our cash break-even
 Further options available
 +/- $10 Brent = ~5 billion CFFO
$ billion
2015 baseline:
Shell + BG
2016
2017-2018
potential
Operating costs 46
Trend to 40
(underlying)
Multi-billion p.a.
Capital investment 36 ~29 25-30
Divestments 6 + 5
6-8 in
progress
30 over
2016-18
Projects start-up post-2014
(CFFO)
n/a ~$2 billion
~10 billion
by 2018*
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 14
Manage down-cycle
Divestments
Integrated gas split out from Upstream from 2011 onwards
$ billion
Divestment program
 $30 billion 2016-18
 Progressing $6-8 billion 2016
 5-10 countries; ~10% of production
Downstream/Corporate High grading ‘tail’
Infrastructure + mature positions
Refocus portfolio
Upstream
Integrated Gas
2016-2018 completed + announced $ billion
Completed – MLP 0.8
– Denmark marketing 0.3
– N.Z.: Maui pipeline 0.2
– MGL IPO 0.1
– Others 0.1
Total completed 1.5
Announced – Showa Shell ~1.4
– Malaysia refining
~0.2– Anasuria cluster
– Maclure
Total announced ~1.6
TOTAL ~3.1
In progress – Motiva JV end
– N.Z.: upstream
strategic review
– Thailand strategic
review
– Selective North Sea
strategic review
Divestments
Reduce capital
investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver new
projects
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
25-30
15
2016 excludes BG purchase price
$ billion
Capital investment
Manage down-cycle
Lower & more predictable capital investment
 Planning for $25-$30 billion range
 $30 billion/year ceiling
 Trending lower in range today
 Options to further reduce below $25 billion if warranted
Shell BG
-25%
Divestments
Reduce capital
investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver new
projects
Shell + BG C.I. on a cash basis
58
47
41
36
53
43
37
33 31 ~2929 ~26
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 16
Manage down-cycle
Reduce operating cost
Excluding identified items
$ billion
Operating cost
Shell BG
Divestments
Reduce capital
investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver new
projects
 Substantial reductions delivered
 “Lower for ever” mindset + BG synergies
 Staff, supply chain + contractors
 Divestments, growth, FX impacts
-$4 bn
~40
49
46
44
42
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
BC-10 Ph3
 Shell 50%
Gorgon start-up
 15.6 mtpa LNG
 Shell 25%


17
Deliver new projects
2016 investment decisions and planned start-ups
Divestments
Reduce capital
investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver new
projects
Kashagan
 300 kboe/d
 Shell 17%
Stones
 50 kboe/d
 Shell 100%
Pennsylvania FID
 1.6 mtpa polyethylene plant
 Shell 100%
Nanhai 2nd cracker FID
 1.2 mtpa ethylene plant
 Shell 50%
7th FPSO 1st oil – ‘Maricá’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25%
8th FPSO – ‘Saquarema’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25%
LNG Canada delay of FID
 13 mtpa LNG
 Shell 50%
9th FPSO – ‘Caraguatauba’
 100 kboe/d
 Shell 30%
ML South start-up
 35 kboe/d
 Shell 35%
FID
Lake Charles delay of FID
 ~15 mtpa LNG
 Shell capacity interest 100%
 2016 start-ups: >250 kboe/d ; 3.9 mtpa LNG
 New chemicals investment
 LNG FIDs postponed


 
 Start-up

Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 18
Deliver new projects
Conventional exploration: progress H1 2016
Million boe
Fort Sumter discoveryGoM: cumulative resources added (2010-2016)
 Added ~1.3 billion boe in GoM 2010+
 Heartland + near field focus; vicinity to infrastructure; deep geological basin knowledge
Divestments
Reduce capital
investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver new
projects
Appomattox
Vito
Cardamom
South Deimos
Vicksburg
Vito appraisal
Appomattox
appraisal
Rydberg
Kaikias
Powernap
Kaikias appraisal
Powernap appraisal
Kepler North
Fort Sumter
 Oil discovery in Gulf of Mexico heartland;
Norphlet play
 >125 million boe resources added, with follow-
up wells in 2016 and 2017
 Shell 100 %
Shell lease
Discovery
Fort Sumter
Rydberg
VicksburgAppomattox
future Appo TLP
Mississippi canyon Desoto canyon
TLP
Ben van Beurden
Chief Executive Officer
Royal Dutch Shell plc
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 20
Transformation
CREATE A
WORLD CLASS
INVESTMENT CASE
Improved capital
efficiency: reduced
investment/FCF ratio
Energy transition:
CO2 footprint & new
energies strategy
Simpler company: Exit
~10% production;
5-10 countries
Less cost + fewer
people with BG than
Shell stand-alone:
12,500 fewer staff
Capital efficiency:
2013 spending
halved & $45 billion
mitigated
Improving our
metrics:
FCF/share; ROCE;
net debt
$30bn divestments:
Innovative deals like
Motiva, Showa
and MLP
Portfolio growth:
1 mboe/d adds
$10 bln cash flow
2019-2021
average
2013-2015
average
Brent
ROACE
~$60
~10%
~$90
8%
Organic free cash flow $20-25 billion p.a.$5 billion p.a.
$60 oil price scenario (2016 RT Brent)
Questions & Answers
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Q3 2016 Outlook
Q3 – Q3 OUTLOOK: Year-ago baseline reflects Shell’s earnings seasonality
 Upstream
 Nigeria SPDC security impact: ~-35 kboe/d
 Integrated gas
 Maintenance: ~-15 kboe/d
 Downstream
 Refinery availability marginally increase
 Chemicals availability increase
 Divestment impact Marketing volumes: ~-200 kboe/d
 PPA - depreciation charge: up to $0.3 billion
 Shell + BG earnings sensitivity (2016):
 Brent: $10/bbl Brent +/- ~$5 billion earnings per annum, of which:
 Upstream +/- ~$3 billion
 Integrated Gas +/- ~$2 billion (4-6 month LNG price lag versus Brent)
 Henry Hub: $1/mmbtu +/- ~$250 million earnings per annum
22
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 23
Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items
$ billion
Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016
Q2 2016
Upstream results
Environment Choice
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 24
Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items
$ billion
Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016
Q2 2016
Integrated gas results
Environment Choice
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
Choice: +30%
25
Q2 2016
Oil and gas production
Million boe per day
Upstream + Integrated Gas – oil & gas
Million tonnes
LNG liquefaction volumes
3.00
3.25
3.50
3.75
2.75
2.50
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 26
Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items
Q2 2016
Downstream results
$ billion
Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016
$ billion
Earnings mix
Marketing
Refining & Trading
Chemicals
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016
$/barrel
Shell oil & gas realisations
$/barrel
Industry refining margins
$/tonne
Industry chemicals margins
Q2 2016
Prices & margins
$/mmbtu
US ethane
Western Europe naphtha
NE/SE Asia naphtha
US West Coast
US Gulf Coast coking
Rotterdam complex
Singapore
Oil
Gas (RHS)
27
Royal Dutch Shell plc
July 28, 2016
Second quarter 2016 results
Re-shaping Shell,
to create a world-class investment case
“Let’s make the future”
Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016

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Royal Dutch Shell plc second quarter 2016 results webcast presentation

  • 1. Royal Dutch Shell plc July 28, 2016 Second quarter 2016 results Re-shaping Shell, to create a world-class investment case “Let’s make the future”
  • 2. Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell
  • 3. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) 2P + 2C definitions. Resources and potential: Our use of the term “resources and potential” are consistent with SPE 2P + 2C + 2U definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact. Shales: Our use of the term ‘shales’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this release “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this release refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This release contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this release, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. There can be no assurance that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this release are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this release and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this release, July 28, 2016. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this release. With respect to operating costs synergies indicated, such savings and efficiencies in procurement spend include economies of scale, specification standardisation and operating efficiencies across operating, capital and raw material cost areas. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this release that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. Definitions & cautionary note 3
  • 4. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 4 Strategy “Let’s make the future” Leader: value + influence Reducing our carbon intensity Shared value with society World-class investment case STRATEGIC  Focus portfolio on resilient positions  Invest in advantaged projects  Value chain integration  FCF/share + ROCE growth  Conservative financial management OPERATIONAL  Reset cost and capital spending  First class execution projects + operations  Unrelenting focus on HSSE and licence to operate
  • 5. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Re-shape Shell Driving strategy in multiple time horizons Relentless portfolio high-grading Strong free cash flow and returns Cash engines: today Growth priorities: 2016+ Future opportunities: 2020+ Competitive + resilient Funds dividends + balance sheet FCF + ROACE pathway Affordable growth in advantaged positions Material value + upside Managed exposure Path to profitability Cash engines 2020+ CONVENTIONAL OIL + GAS CHEMICALS OIL PRODUCTS DEEP WATERINTEGRATED GAS OIL SANDS MINING SHALES NEW ENERGIES 5
  • 6. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Thousand boe/d Thousand boe/dUnit costs $/boe 6 Operating costs exclude identified items; deep water excludes idle rig costs Re-shape Shell H1 2016 delivery  Reducing costs + improving uptime  Delivering growth projects  HSSE priority Cash engines: today Growth priorities: 2016+ Future opportunities: 2020+ Conventional oil and gas Deep water Shales Unit costs $/boe Unit costs $/boe Unit operating costs Production (RHS) Thousand boe/d
  • 7. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Competitive financial data as published. Free cash flow: cash flow from operations less cash used in investing activities. $/ADR for European companies. ROACE underlying: European companies: CCS basis excluding identified items. US companies: reported earnings excluding special non-operating items. Capital employed on gross debt basis. Financial dashboard % Gearing % ROACE $/share Free cash flow per share % Total shareholder return Shell Peer group 3 years to Q2 2016 12 months to Q2 2016
  • 8. Simon Henry Chief Financial Officer Royal Dutch Shell
  • 9. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 9 Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items $ billion Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Q2 2016 Financial highlights $ billion Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Upstream (0.5) (1.3) Integrated Gas 1.4 0.9 Downstream (CCS) 3.0 1.8 Corporate & minorities (0.1) (0.3) CCS net earnings 3.8 1.0 CCS earnings, $ per share 0.60 0.13 Cash flow from operations 6.1 2.3 ROACE (%) 7.6 2.5 Dividends 3.0 3.7 Dividend, $ per share 0.47 0.47
  • 10. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 10 Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items $ billion Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Q2 2016 Financial highlights Environment Choice
  • 11. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 11 Cash investment: Cash flow from investing activities Cash performance + payout $ billion Cash flow $ billion Dividend, buyback + gearing $ billion, 2016 Q2 4Q rolling Cash generation  Priorities for cash:  Debt reduction  Dividends  Buybacks + capital investment CFFO Cash investment Free cash flow (RHS) Cash investment BG acquisition – cash element Dividend and buyback Downstream + Corporate Dividend declared Buyback End period gearing (RHS) $ billion % Integrated Gas Upstream ~20 43 Gearing range CFFO CFFI
  • 12. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 12 Integration with BG BG performance Thousand boe per day Queensland LNG Thousand boe per day Brazil pre-salt $ billion Synergies: BG Production Number of cargoes delivered in the quarter (RHS) 1st LNG Train 1 Dec 2014 T2 start up Nov 2015 # Cidade Itaguaí Q3 2015 FPSO Cidade de Maricá Q1 2016  Actions taken for ~50% of synergies capture:  Staff + contractors  Offices  Exploration  Procurement + others 2.5 4 4.5 ExplorationCosts
  • 13. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 13 * $60 oil price scenario 2018 (2016 RT Brent) Manage down-cycle Pulling levers to manage financial framework 2016-18 levers Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects  Reducing our cash break-even  Further options available  +/- $10 Brent = ~5 billion CFFO $ billion 2015 baseline: Shell + BG 2016 2017-2018 potential Operating costs 46 Trend to 40 (underlying) Multi-billion p.a. Capital investment 36 ~29 25-30 Divestments 6 + 5 6-8 in progress 30 over 2016-18 Projects start-up post-2014 (CFFO) n/a ~$2 billion ~10 billion by 2018*
  • 14. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 14 Manage down-cycle Divestments Integrated gas split out from Upstream from 2011 onwards $ billion Divestment program  $30 billion 2016-18  Progressing $6-8 billion 2016  5-10 countries; ~10% of production Downstream/Corporate High grading ‘tail’ Infrastructure + mature positions Refocus portfolio Upstream Integrated Gas 2016-2018 completed + announced $ billion Completed – MLP 0.8 – Denmark marketing 0.3 – N.Z.: Maui pipeline 0.2 – MGL IPO 0.1 – Others 0.1 Total completed 1.5 Announced – Showa Shell ~1.4 – Malaysia refining ~0.2– Anasuria cluster – Maclure Total announced ~1.6 TOTAL ~3.1 In progress – Motiva JV end – N.Z.: upstream strategic review – Thailand strategic review – Selective North Sea strategic review Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects
  • 15. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 25-30 15 2016 excludes BG purchase price $ billion Capital investment Manage down-cycle Lower & more predictable capital investment  Planning for $25-$30 billion range  $30 billion/year ceiling  Trending lower in range today  Options to further reduce below $25 billion if warranted Shell BG -25% Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Shell + BG C.I. on a cash basis 58 47 41 36 53 43 37 33 31 ~2929 ~26
  • 16. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 16 Manage down-cycle Reduce operating cost Excluding identified items $ billion Operating cost Shell BG Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects  Substantial reductions delivered  “Lower for ever” mindset + BG synergies  Staff, supply chain + contractors  Divestments, growth, FX impacts -$4 bn ~40 49 46 44 42
  • 17. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 BC-10 Ph3  Shell 50% Gorgon start-up  15.6 mtpa LNG  Shell 25%   17 Deliver new projects 2016 investment decisions and planned start-ups Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Kashagan  300 kboe/d  Shell 17% Stones  50 kboe/d  Shell 100% Pennsylvania FID  1.6 mtpa polyethylene plant  Shell 100% Nanhai 2nd cracker FID  1.2 mtpa ethylene plant  Shell 50% 7th FPSO 1st oil – ‘Maricá’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25% 8th FPSO – ‘Saquarema’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25% LNG Canada delay of FID  13 mtpa LNG  Shell 50% 9th FPSO – ‘Caraguatauba’  100 kboe/d  Shell 30% ML South start-up  35 kboe/d  Shell 35% FID Lake Charles delay of FID  ~15 mtpa LNG  Shell capacity interest 100%  2016 start-ups: >250 kboe/d ; 3.9 mtpa LNG  New chemicals investment  LNG FIDs postponed      Start-up 
  • 18. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 18 Deliver new projects Conventional exploration: progress H1 2016 Million boe Fort Sumter discoveryGoM: cumulative resources added (2010-2016)  Added ~1.3 billion boe in GoM 2010+  Heartland + near field focus; vicinity to infrastructure; deep geological basin knowledge Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Appomattox Vito Cardamom South Deimos Vicksburg Vito appraisal Appomattox appraisal Rydberg Kaikias Powernap Kaikias appraisal Powernap appraisal Kepler North Fort Sumter  Oil discovery in Gulf of Mexico heartland; Norphlet play  >125 million boe resources added, with follow- up wells in 2016 and 2017  Shell 100 % Shell lease Discovery Fort Sumter Rydberg VicksburgAppomattox future Appo TLP Mississippi canyon Desoto canyon TLP
  • 19. Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • 20. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 20 Transformation CREATE A WORLD CLASS INVESTMENT CASE Improved capital efficiency: reduced investment/FCF ratio Energy transition: CO2 footprint & new energies strategy Simpler company: Exit ~10% production; 5-10 countries Less cost + fewer people with BG than Shell stand-alone: 12,500 fewer staff Capital efficiency: 2013 spending halved & $45 billion mitigated Improving our metrics: FCF/share; ROCE; net debt $30bn divestments: Innovative deals like Motiva, Showa and MLP Portfolio growth: 1 mboe/d adds $10 bln cash flow 2019-2021 average 2013-2015 average Brent ROACE ~$60 ~10% ~$90 8% Organic free cash flow $20-25 billion p.a.$5 billion p.a. $60 oil price scenario (2016 RT Brent)
  • 22. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Q3 2016 Outlook Q3 – Q3 OUTLOOK: Year-ago baseline reflects Shell’s earnings seasonality  Upstream  Nigeria SPDC security impact: ~-35 kboe/d  Integrated gas  Maintenance: ~-15 kboe/d  Downstream  Refinery availability marginally increase  Chemicals availability increase  Divestment impact Marketing volumes: ~-200 kboe/d  PPA - depreciation charge: up to $0.3 billion  Shell + BG earnings sensitivity (2016):  Brent: $10/bbl Brent +/- ~$5 billion earnings per annum, of which:  Upstream +/- ~$3 billion  Integrated Gas +/- ~$2 billion (4-6 month LNG price lag versus Brent)  Henry Hub: $1/mmbtu +/- ~$250 million earnings per annum 22
  • 23. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 23 Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items $ billion Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Q2 2016 Upstream results Environment Choice
  • 24. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 24 Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items $ billion Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Q2 2016 Integrated gas results Environment Choice
  • 25. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 Choice: +30% 25 Q2 2016 Oil and gas production Million boe per day Upstream + Integrated Gas – oil & gas Million tonnes LNG liquefaction volumes 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 2.75 2.50
  • 26. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 26 Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items Q2 2016 Downstream results $ billion Earnings Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 $ billion Earnings mix Marketing Refining & Trading Chemicals
  • 27. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016 $/barrel Shell oil & gas realisations $/barrel Industry refining margins $/tonne Industry chemicals margins Q2 2016 Prices & margins $/mmbtu US ethane Western Europe naphtha NE/SE Asia naphtha US West Coast US Gulf Coast coking Rotterdam complex Singapore Oil Gas (RHS) 27
  • 28. Royal Dutch Shell plc July 28, 2016 Second quarter 2016 results Re-shaping Shell, to create a world-class investment case “Let’s make the future”
  • 29. Royal Dutch Shell July 28, 2016