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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
COMPANY UPDATE




DELIVERING COMPETITIVE &
INNOVATIVE PERFORMANCE
CREDIT SUISSE 2013 ENERGY SUMMIT
VAIL, FEBRUARY 5 2013
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013   1
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
COMPANY UPDATE
PETER VOSER
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013   2
DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE

Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves.
Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are
consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions.
Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing
impact.

The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this announcement "Shell", "Shell Group" and "Royal
Dutch Shell" are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words "we", "us"
and "our" are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by
identifying the particular company or companies. "Subsidiaries", "Shell subsidiaries" and "Shell companies" as used in this announcement refer to companies in which
Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which
Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as "associated companies" or "associates" and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to
as "jointly controlled entities". In this announcement, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as "equity-accounted investments". The term "Shell
interest" is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23 per cent shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership
interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.

This announcement contains forward looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell and the Shell Group. All
statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future
expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual
results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things,
statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell and the Shell Group to market risks and statements expressing management‟s expectations, beliefs, estimates,
forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as "anticipate", "believe", "could",
"estimate", "expect", "goals", "intend", "may", "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "probably", "project", "risks", "seek", "should", "target", "will" and similar terms and
phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Shell and the Shell Group and could cause those results to differ materially from those
expressed in the forward looking statements included in this announcement, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b)
changes in demand for Shell's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry
competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful
negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative,
fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and
regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the
approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward looking statements contained in this
announcement are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on
forward looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell's 20-F for the year ended 31 December 2011 (available at
www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward looking statement speaks only as of the date of this
announcement, 5 February 2013. Neither Shell nor any of its subsidiaries nor the Shell Group undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward
looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or
inferred from the forward looking statements contained in this announcement.

Shell may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this announcement that the SEC strictly prohibits Shell from including in its filings with the SEC. U.S. investors
are urged to consider closely the disclosure in Shell's Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from
the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                                          3
RECONFIRMING OUR GROWTH AGENDA


ON TRACK FOR 2012-15 TARGETS
 Maintaining our long term focus; managing short-term headwinds

   2012 reported CCS earnings $27 billion, total CFFO $46 billion; delivering growth
   Expected Q1 2013 dividend increase 4.7%, $0.45 per share, reflecting growth momentum



GROWTH DELIVERY
 12 billion boe resources on stream + 20 billion boe in development funnel

   Exploration & deals add ~4 billion boe resources potential 2012
   Growth priority: integrated gas, deep-water, resources plays


CAPITAL DISCIPLINE + TRACK RECORD
   2010-12 start-ups reach >10% of 2012 CFFO & ~20% of 2012 production; more to come
   Robust 2013-17 project flow
   Strong build in optionality - capital constraints driving hard portfolio choices




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                       4
FOCUS ON SAFETY AND ASSET INTEGRITY
2012 UPDATE

„GOAL ZERO‟ ON SAFETY                                                                         SPILLS - OPERATIONAL
injuries – TRCF/million working hours                               million working hours     Volume in thousand tonnes
5                                                                                       900    10

4                                                                                       800     8

3                                                                                       700     6

2                                                                                       600     4

1                                                                                       500     2
0                                                                                       400     0
         '03     '04   '05    '06      '07      '08     '09     '10     '11     '12                  '03   '04   '05      '06   '07   '08   '09   '10   '11   '12
                 Working hours
                 TRCF


ENERGY INTENSITY - REFINERIES
Energy Intensity Index (EEITM)
104
102
100
    98
    96                                                                                                    HSSE PRIORITY
    94                                                                                                    PERFORMANCE + TRANSPARENCY
    92
           '03     '04    '05        '06     '07      '08     '09     '10     '11     '12




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc         31 January 2013                                                                                                          5
STRATEGY AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION

                                                          TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT

                                                          $ billion
UPSTREAM                                                   40
 Growth strategy; price upside
 Priority: deep-water, integrated gas, resources plays

                                                           30
DOWNSTREAM
 Optimize re-shaped portfolio
 Selective growth                                         20

CLIMATE CHANGE
 Grow gas and biofuels                                    10
 CCS and energy efficiency


FINANCIAL OUTLOOK                                           0
 Investing for growth and competitive payout
 Through-cycle returns and risk management
                                                          -10
                                                                      2012       2013                 2012        2013


                                                                        Upstream                 Europe         Asia Pacific
            SUSTAINED INVESTMENT:                                       Downstream + Corporate   Africa,        Americas
                                                                                                 Middle East,
            ~80% UPSTREAM                                               Acquisitions
                                                                                                 CIS
                                                                                                                DS + Corp.
                                                                        Divestments



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                     6
RECONFIRMING OUR OUTLOOK



                                                                         2012                                        OUTLOOK

 Cash flow from operations                                       $46 billion                            2012-15: $175-200 billion
                                                            ($43 billion ex W/C)

 Net capex                                                          $30 billion                         2012-15: $120-130 billion

 Dividends distributed                                             $10.8 billion                               2013 >$11 billion

 Oil and gas production outcome                                3.3 million boe/d                      2017/18: ~4.0 million boe/d

 Gearing                                                                  9%                                            0-30%




             NO CHANGE TO SHELL’S AMBITIOUS TARGETS
             DIVIDEND INCREASE REFLECTS DELIVERY
             EXPECTED STRONG PROJECT PIPELINE AND OPTIONS
             CAPITAL CEILING DRIVES HARD CHOICES




CFFO & capex outlook @$80-$100/bbl Brent and assumes improved US gas and Downstream environment from 2012; CFFO excludes working capital movements
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                 7
IMPROVING OUR PERFORMANCE

EARNINGS                                                                   TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN
$ billion CCS
                                                                 +45%       80%
 30

                                                                            60%

                                                                            40%
 10
                                                                            20%

                                                                             0%
                  2010                     2011                   2012                                    2010-2012
-10                                                                        -20%
                                                                                          Shell   Other majors
                                                                           -40%

CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS                                                  VOLUMES
$ billion                                                                  million boe per day                              million tonnes per annum
                                                                 + ~70%
                                                                            3.5                                                                      20
40



20                                                                            3                                                                      17



  0                                                                         2.5                                                                      14
                2010                      2011                    2012                     2010               2011                     2012
               Upstream                                Corporate                      Oil + Gas production volumes       LNG sales volumes
               Downstream                              Divestments/other              2010-2012 asset sales

                                                                                                       TSR is averaged across year-end. Source: Datastream
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                  8
2010-12 TRACK RECORD

                          START-UPS 2010-12                                       FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: ~20 START-UPS 2010-12
  2010                                                                            $ billion                                               million boe per day
  USA: Perdido                                                                       10
  Singapore: Chemicals
                                                                                                                                                          0.6
  North America: tight gas
  Nigeria: Gbaran Ubie Ph1                                                                                                                                0.4
                                                                                       5
  Norway: Gjoa
  Canada: AOSP-1                       Raízen                                                                            Qatar + AOSP-1                   0.2
                                                                                                                         CFFO impact
         2011                                                                          0                                                                  0.0
         Iraq:West Qurna
         Netherlands: Schoonebeek
         Brasil: Raízen                                2012
                                                       Qatar: Pearl GTL ramp-up       -5
         NA: tight gas
                                                       Oman: Harweel
         Qatar: Qatargas 4 LNG
                                                       USA: Caesar Tonga Ph 1
         Qatar: Pearl GTL                              Malaysia: Gumusut-Kakap                           Cash flow                  Production (RHS)
         Oman: Qarn Alam                               (early production)           -10                  Organic capex
                                                       Australia Pluto LNG T1                     2010      2011     2012    2013     2014      2015
                                                       NA: tight gas/shales
                                                       Eagle Ford


                                                                                                 2012 IMPACT FROM 10-12 PROJECTS
                                                                                                     >10% OF GROUP CFFO
         Qatar: Pearl GTL                          Malaysia: Gumusut-Kakap                           ~20% OF PRODUCTION
                                                                                                 FURTHER GROWTH POTENTIAL

CFFO and capex outlook at $100 Brent
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                      9
CASH FLOW AND PAYOUT

CASH GENERATION                                                                        DIVIDEND TRACK RECORD
$ billion                                   $ billion                                  $ billion                                                       $ billion
                   2010-12                                         2012                                                                                     65
140                                           60
                                                                                       10
120
              DOWN
100           STREAM                                                                    8
                                              40          DOWN
 80                                                       STREAM                        6                                                                   55
 60
                                              20                                        4
 40            UP                                          UP
             STREAM                                      STREAM
 20                                                                                     2
  0                                             0                                       0                                                                   45
             Sources            Uses                     Sources          Uses                2006      2007    2008    2009   2010   2011   2012 13Q1
            Cash flow from operations               Dividend and buyback                                                                          rolling
                                                                                                   Dividends declared
            Asset sales                             Capex + equity acc. investments                FTSE 100 total dividends
                                                    Acquisitions                                   paid (RHS)
STRONG BALANCE SHEET
$ billion

                                                                                 30%
30                                                                  Gearing                           STRONG BALANCE SHEET
                                                                      range
                                                                                 20%
20                                                                                                    GENERATING SURPLUS CASH
10                                                                               10%                  SUSTAINED DIVIDEND
                                                                                                       PERFORMANCE
  0                                                                              0%
             2009               2010             2011              2012
            Net Debt                                Gearing (RHS)


CFFO excluding working capital movements

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     31 January 2013                                                                                                      10
WORKING OUR PORTFOLIO FOR GROWTH & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY

DIVESTMENTS 2010-2012                                                             ACQUISITIONS 2010-2012




                  $21                                                                        $17
                                                       Onshore assets, Nigeria                                                Permian, USA
                 billion                                                                    billion




        Upstream                                                                       Upstream
        Downstream                                     Holstein, Gulf of Mexico        Downstream                                 Beryl, UK


REFOCUSED DOWNSTREAM:                                                             GROWTH OIL + GAS:
 Europe; Africa; Latin-America                                                    Resources plays
                                                                                   Increased stakes in Shell fields
LATE LIFE/NON-STRATEGIC UPSTREAM:                                                  New exploration acreage
 Upstream ~130 kboe/d
 Strategic partnering                                                            SELECTIVE GROWTH DOWNSTREAM:
                                                                                   Brazil biofuels, retail, Gasnor gas to transport



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                   11
HYDROCARBON MATURATION + RETURNS

CONVERTING RESOURCES TO PRODUCTION…                                                                     …AND RETURNS

billion boe                                                                                             $ billion                                            %

       Longer-term upside                                                                                250                                             40
35                                                       Abadi FLNG Phase 1
                                                         Tukau Timur
                                                         Zaedyus
                                                                                      Gbaran Ubie Ph2
                                                         Zabazaba                                        200
                                                                                      Rab Harweel
                                                                                      Erha North ph3                                                     30
25                                                       Tempa Rossa                  ML South
                                                         Fram                         BC-10 ph3
                                                         Malikai                      Eagle Ford         150
                                                         Forcados Yokri               Permian
                                                         Southern Swamp                                                                                  20
                                                         AOSP debottl.
15                                                       NA tight gas/shales                             100
                                                                                      Majnoon FCP
                                                                                      Petai
                                                         Pluto (Woodside)             Amal Steam
                                                         Harweel                      Kashagan Ph1                                                       10
                                                         NA tight gas/shales          BC10 Ph2             50
                                                         Eagle Ford                   NWS North Rankin 2
  5
                                                         Caesar Tonga                 AOSP debottlenecking
                                                         Gumusut-Kakap
                                                         (early oil)                                       0                                             0
                                                                                                                2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
          2008            2009       2010        2011                          2012      2013 E
 -5                                                                                                                 Capital in service
                                                                                                                    Capital other
                On-stream                   Study
                                                                                                                    Return on capital in service (RHS)
                Under Construction          Production
                                                                                                                    Return on capital employed (RHS)
          SUSTAINED PROJECT FLOW
               12 BILLION BOE ON STREAM
               20 BILLION BOE IN ~60 PROJECTS IN FUNNEL

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                 12
INVESTMENT PRIORITIES

ORGANIC CAPEX 2013
$ billion
                                                                     Reserves-rich plays with long-term drivers
                   FUTURE                      LONGER TERM           Iraq, Nigeria, Kazakhstan, Heavy Oil & Arctic
30
                OPPORTUNITIES                                        Slower pace + capital allocation

                 RESOURCES
                    PLAYS
                                                                            Integrated infrastructure + global capabilities
                                                       GROWTH               Standardized developments + technology
20               DEEP-WATER                            PRIORITY
                                                                            Leveraging Shell‟s scale + market growth
                 INTEGRATED
                     GAS

10                                                                   Extending cash flows through technology
                  UPSTREAM                                           Focused exploration + licence renewals
                                               ENGINES
                                                                     Long-term engine; taking steps to enhance profitability
                DOWNSTREAM                                           Selective growth in chemicals, biofuels, growth markets
 0


               INVESTMENT CHOICES DRIVEN ON A GLOBAL THEMATIC BASIS
               MORE EFFICIENT DEPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL, PEOPLE, TECHNOLOGY

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                            13
DOWNSTREAM ENGINE



                                                                                                                   Long-term engine
                                                Gasnor
                                             acquisition          Lubes Russia                                     Cost + portfolio steps to
                                                           Rhineland Connect
                                                                                                                    enhance profitability
              LNG to
                                US gas-to-
              transport
                                chemicals                                                China Retail + Lubes
                                                  Qatar chemicals
                                                                      China refining                               Selective growth in chemicals,
                                                SADAF expansion
                                                                      and chemicals                                 biofuels, growth markets
                                                                                       Singapore Chemicals
                                                                                       Cracker debottleneck



    Key country
    Under development                                                                         Clyde refinery
                                                                                              conversion to
    Options
                                                                                              terminal
    2012+ deals


2006                                 2010                            2011                           2013                        FUTURE

                                                                                                                                Qatar chemicals
                                                                                                                                Gas-to-chemicals US
                                                                                                                                China

Nanhai chemicals                     Singapore chemicals             Raízen                         Port Arthur


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                              14
UPSTREAM GROWTH PORTFOLIO UNDER CONSTRUCTION

                                                   AOSP                Kashagan                 Forcados
                                                   debottlenecking      Phase1                   Yokri
                                                   Bonga
    FUTURE                                         North
 OPPORTUNITIES                                     West   
                                                                          Majnoon                Southern   
                                                                                                 Swamp AG
                                                                          FCP 
                                      North
                                      American
                                                    North American tight gas   
                                      tight gas
 RESOURCES                       Eagle                          North American    
                                                                liquids rich shales
    PLAYS                        Ford   
                                                   BC-10               Gumusut         Malikai   
                      Caesar Tonga Ph 1
                                                   phase 2              - Kakap                  Sabah Gas
                                                                    Petai
                                                   Cardamom                                      Kebabangan (KBB)
 DEEP-WATER                                              Mars B, W.Boreas, S. Deimos      
                                                                                                 Gorgon LNG T1-3                 Prelude 
                                     Pluto                       North
                                     (Woodside)                  Rankin 2
 INTEGRATED
                                                                                      NWS Gas – GWF – Phase A                 Wheatstone
     GAS

                                                              Amal                    Clair Ph2             Corrib            ~30 PROJECTS
                                                              Steam
                                     Harweel                                          Fram                                     7 BILLION BOE
  UPSTREAM                                         Bab THG &HB-2
                                                                                                                Tempa
                                                                                                                                 RESOURCES
   ENGINE                                                                             Schiehallion
                                                          SAS                         Redevelopment             Rossa           0.9 MBOE/D

Start-up/                2012 start-ups                   2013-2014                          2015-2016                      2017+
Peak Production           0.2 mboe/d                      0.5 mboe/d                         0.3 mboe/d                  0.1 mboe/d

 Shell operated               2012 FID
                                                                                                                                      Production @ $80 Brent scenario

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      31 January 2013                                                                                                         15
INDUSTRY-LEADING INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO



                                                                                                                    Leveraging Shell‟s scale + market
North America: developing                                                                                            growth
new gas value chain options

                       Green Corridor GTT
                                                                       Pearl GTL                                    Technology and project delivery
                                                                       Ramp up 2012
                                                                                                                     capabilities

                                                                             Hazira
                                                                                                                    Potential doubling of capacity
                    On     Under
                    stream construction
Liquefaction                                                                                                        2012: ~0.8* mboe/d; 20 mtpa
Regas                                                                                                                LNG
Gas-to-transport                                                          Australia: major growth
GTL                                                                       projects under construction
2012 progress

CAPEX                                                   RESOURCES                                           SHELL GLOBAL LNG GROWTH
$ billion                                               8.2 billion boe                                     million tonnes per annum
6
                                                                                                            40
4
                                                                                                            20
2

0                                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                    2007             2012                      ~2020+
             2012                    2013
                                                           On stream         Under construction     Study        On stream           Under construction         Options
                                                                                                                 * includes   feedgas from non-integrated ventures
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc    31 January 2013                                                                                                                16
NORTH AMERICA & AUSTRALIA
INTEGRATED GAS CLOSE-UP

NORTH AMERICA                                                                          AUSTRALIA/INDONESIA

                                                                                                                          Sunrise FLNG
                                                                                                                                                   Abadi FLNG



                                                                                                     Browse BCT                 Prelude FLNG
           LNG Canada
                                                                                                     LNG
                                Green Corridor GTT
                                                                                              Pluto LNG
                                                                                              1(Woodside) North West Shelf
                                                                                       North Rankin 2
                                     Great Lakes GTT                                                          NWS GWF Ph1
                                                           Pennsylvania                  Gorgon LNG
                                                           Gas-to-Chemicals                              Wheatstone LNG                                  Arrow
                                                                                           Gorgon T4
     On stream                       Gulf Coast GTT
     Under construction                               Elba LNG
                                       GTL Gulf Coast
     Options
                                           LNG Options
   0.3 mtpa gas to transport under construction                                          7 mtpa under construction
   LNG options, GTL, Gas-to-Chemicals under study                                        New LNG + FLNG options under study
    for 2014+ FID                                                                         Increased Browse equity; Prelude dilution

                                                                                                     Green Corridor GTT
                                            LNG Canada                  Great Lakes GTT                  NWS GWF
                                         US Gas-to-Chemicals            Gulf Coast GTT                Wheatstone LNG
                                              Elba LNG                    Arrow LNG                   Gorgon LNG T1-3
            US GTL                           Sunrise LNG                  Abadi LNG                    Prelude FLNG                 Northwest Shelf
    Gulf Coast LNG Options                 Gorgon LNG T4                 Browse LNG                    North Rankin 2               Pluto (Woodside)

                                                                                                                            Start
            Assess                              Select                        Define           FID       Execute             up           Operate

           Feasibility                          Concept                     Project                                                       Ramp-up to
                                               Selection                  Specifications                Construction                     full capacity
             Study

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     31 January 2013                                                                                                     17
GLOBAL DEEP-WATER
LEADING IOC DEEP-WATER PORTFOLIO



                                                                                                                Established production
                                                                                                                 leadership

                                                                                                                Standardized developments +
                                                                                                                 production technology
                               Mars-B
                               Cardamom                                               Malaysia /
            Gulf of Mexico                                                             Brunei
                                                         Nigeria                                                Frontier exploration potential
      On stream                                           Bonga North West
      Under construction                 Brazil                                  Gumusut-Kakap
      New exploration                         BC-10 ph2                         Malikai                       2012: 0.3 mboe/d
                                                                                 Sabah Gas Kebabangan KBB
                                                                                 Petai




CAPEX                                                     RESOURCES
$ billion                                                 3.3 billion boe
  8

  6

  4

  2

  0
              2012                   2013                    On stream      Under construction      Study                              Perdido Spar


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     31 January 2013                                                                                         18
BUILDING UP GLOBAL LEADERSHIP IN RESOURCES PLAYS
 TIGHT/SHALE OIL AND GAS

                                                                                                                BUILDING NEW TIGHT/SHALE ACREAGE
                                                                                                                „000 km2 cumulative                cumulative spend
                                                                                                                gross acreage                               $ billion
                                                                                                                60                                                 20

                                                                                                                                     Entry cost                    15
                     Tight gas                               Germany                                            40
Liquids rich shale                                                 Ukraine                                                                         Acreage         10
                                                                                       Changbei
                                                                  Turkey
                                                                                                                20
                                                                                          Sichuan                                                                 5
                                                               Egypt        Oman 
                                                                                                                 0                                                 0
  Gas Liquids Rich                    Colombia
                                                                                                                       2008   2009     2010       2011   2012
             On stream
             E&A                             Sao Francisco                                       Arrow          RESOURCES ADDED
                                                                                                                billion boe
             Positive initial                                      Karoo
            exploration
                                        Neuquen
                                                                                                                 3      Marcellus
                                                                                                                        Eagle Ford
                                                                                                                                           LRS
                                                                                                                                                         Permian
             2012 Portfolio Build                                                                                         Arrow
                                                                                                                 2
 CAPEX                                                       RESOURCES
 $ bln                                                                                                           1
                                                             10.6 billion boe
  10
                                                                                                                 0
   8
                                                                                                                          2010             2011         2012
   6                                                                                                                   Liquids       Gas     Resources-Based Deals
   4
   2                                                                                                                   2010-2012 DELIVERY:
   0
                                                                                                                       ~7 BILLION BOE
              2012*                   2013
           LRS                  Dry gas
                                                                On stream       Under construction      Study          ~$3/BOE (E&A+DEALS)
                                                                Future potential (prospective resources)
 *2012 includes $3.5 billion acreage deals
 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      31 January 2013                                                                                                           19
NORTH AMERICA RESOURCES PLAYS PROGRESS
TIGHT/SHALE OIL AND GAS


                                                                                                                         ~30,000 km2 portfolio, 60%
                                                                                                                         liquids-rich

                   Canol
                                                                                                                        Eagle Ford LRS development
                                                                                                                         underway
 Montney             Groundbirch        
       Deep Basin
            Foothills
                         Duvernay
                                                                                                                       Drilling focus shifted to LRS
              Exshaw                                                                                                     from dry gas

                                     Pinedale
                                                                                                                        ~10,000 km2 new acreage 2012
                  Niobrara                      Utica            Marcellus
                                                                               Gas
                                                                                                                          Permian acquisition $1.9
            Monterey                            Mississippi Lime                                                           billion
                                                                               Liquids Rich Shales
                       Permian                     Haynesville                                                             Additions to existing positions
                              Eagle Ford                                 Positive initial exploration / appraisal
                                                                          Onstream
                                                                                                                        Integrated gas options
CAPEX                                                         PRODUCTION
$ billion                                                      mboe/day                               bcfe/day
10                                                             0.4
   8                                                                                                           2
   6
                                                                  0.2
   4                                                                                                           1
   2
   0                                                              0.0                                          0
  -2                                                                     2010        2011     2012   2013E                                   Piloncillo, Eagle Ford
          2010     2011               2012      2013E
            LRS                      Dry gas                                   Liquids       Gas
            Divestments              Acquisitions
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      31 January 2013                                                                                                        20
TURNING NEW INVESTMENT INTO CASH FLOW

2013 CAPEX & OUTCOME                                                            IMPACT OF KEY UPSTREAM START-UPS

$ billion                                                                       $ billion

                                                                                  20
                              Exploration &
 30                             Appraisal
                                                                                  15


                                 2017+                                            10
                                                                                                                                      2013+
      Key Projects Start-up




                                                                                                         CFFO

                                2015-16                                            5
 20
                                                                                                                       2010-12

                                                                                   0
                                2013-14                                                        2010-12
                                                                                  -5
 10
                                                                                                                        2013+
                                                                                 -10
                              Upstream Base,
                              Downstream +
                                Corporate                                        -15               ORGANIC
                                                                                                    CAPEX
  0                                                                              -20
                                                                                            2010     2011        2012        2013        2014        2015
                                                                       Longer
                                                 2012-15 CFFO
                                                                       Term
                                                                                            SPENDING PROGRAMME +
                                                ~50% of capex on stream by                  NEAR-TERM CASH FLOW
                                                2015

                                                                                CFFO outlook @$100 Brent and assumes improved US gas environment from 2012; CFFO
                                                                                excludes working capital movements
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc             31 January 2013                                                                                              21
PRIORITY ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

ON TRACK FOR AMBITIOUS CFFO GROWTH + INVESTMENT PLAN
($100 scenario)
$ billion
                                                                                    $100/bbl
  50
                                                         macro
                                                                       Portfolio/
                                                                                                          Free
                                                                                                                            Growth outlook:
                                                                        Choice1
                                        $112/bbl                                                          cashflow             New projects
  40
                  $91/bbl                                                                                                      Enhanced unit cash flow
                                                                                                                               Macro uplift
  30
                                                              2012 trend


  20                                                                                                                        Investment for sustained
                                                                                                                            growth 2012-15:
  10                                                                                                                           ~$120-130 billion net spend
                                                                                                                               >$16 billion asset sales

    0
                  2009 – 2012              2012                                          2012 – 2015
                    average                                                            average potential 2

              Cash flow from operations/ex working capital                Dividends + buybacks
              Net Capital Investment                                      Macro sensitivity3




1 Portfolio/Choice negative impact on 2012 cash flow target: reduced NA gas drilling, divestments, project slippage
2 CFFO   & capex outlook at $100, assumes improved US gas, WTI and Downstream environment from 2012; CFFO excludes working capital movements
3 Potentialimpact in $100 scenario from continuation of 2012 Downstream environment, Henry Hub, WCS and WTI discounts
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                       22
PRODUCTION & POTENTIAL

OIL & GAS PRODUCTION + OUTCOMES                                              UPSTREAM CAPEX + CFFO SCENARIO
million boe/day
4
                                                                             Longer
                                                                             Term

2


                                                                             Growth
                                                                             Priority
0
            2011                     2012                        17-18 avg
           Production + potential            2012+ asset sales
                                                                             Upstream
                                                                             Engine

2012 PERFORMANCE                                                                                                                  $ billion
million boe/day                                                                            0      5     10   15    20     25      30
                                                                                                 2012                2012
                                                                                        Capex:               CFFO:
                                                                                                 2013                2015 potential
3.4


                                                                                      PRODUCTION IS AN OUTCOME OF
3.2
                                                                                      INVESTMENT DECISIONS
                           Controllable
                                                                                      CASHFLOW GROWTH >
3.0                                                                                   PRODUCTION GROWTH
                                                                                      MULTIPLE PATHWAYS TO DELIVERY
                                                                                      OF TARGETS


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     31 January 2013                                                                                23
MAINTAINING OUR FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK


                                                                  CASH PERFORMANCE

                                                             $175-$200 billion CFFO 2012-15
                                                             Grow free cash flow
                                                             CFFO drives investment + payout




                            PAY-OUT                                                                                        INVESTMENT

          Dividend linked to business results                                                                 $120-$130 billion net capex 2012-15
          Scrip dividend with buy back offset                                                                 ~$33 billion net capex 2013
          Expected dividend growth 2013                                                                       Affordability, profitability, portfolio




                                                                       BALANCE SHEET

                                                             0 – 30% gearing through cycle
                                                             Balance sheet underpins investment
                                                             Capital employed grows steadily




CFFO & capex outlook @$80-$100/BBL Brent and assumes improved US gas and Downstream environment from 2012
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                                                                                 24
SHELL




                 FUTURE                        LONGER TERM
              OPPORTUNITIES



                 RESOURCES
                    PLAYS


                                                       GROWTH     ON TRACK FOR 2012-15 TARGETS
                DEEP-WATER                             PRIORITY

                                                                  GROWTH DELIVERY
                INTEGRATED
                    GAS
                                                                  CAPITAL DISCIPLINE + TRACK RECORD

                  UPSTREAM
                                               ENGINES


               DOWNSTREAM




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013                                             25
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
Q&A




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   31 January 2013   26

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Peter Voser - Credit Suisse 2013 Energy Summit in Vail, Colorado, February 5, 2013

  • 1. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC COMPANY UPDATE DELIVERING COMPETITIVE & INNOVATIVE PERFORMANCE CREDIT SUISSE 2013 ENERGY SUMMIT VAIL, FEBRUARY 5 2013 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 1
  • 2. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC COMPANY UPDATE PETER VOSER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 2
  • 3. DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this announcement "Shell", "Shell Group" and "Royal Dutch Shell" are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words "we", "us" and "our" are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. "Subsidiaries", "Shell subsidiaries" and "Shell companies" as used in this announcement refer to companies in which Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as "associated companies" or "associates" and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to as "jointly controlled entities". In this announcement, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as "equity-accounted investments". The term "Shell interest" is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23 per cent shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This announcement contains forward looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell and the Shell Group. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell and the Shell Group to market risks and statements expressing management‟s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goals", "intend", "may", "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "probably", "project", "risks", "seek", "should", "target", "will" and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Shell and the Shell Group and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward looking statements included in this announcement, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward looking statements contained in this announcement are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell's 20-F for the year ended 31 December 2011 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward looking statement speaks only as of the date of this announcement, 5 February 2013. Neither Shell nor any of its subsidiaries nor the Shell Group undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward looking statements contained in this announcement. Shell may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this announcement that the SEC strictly prohibits Shell from including in its filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in Shell's Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 3
  • 4. RECONFIRMING OUR GROWTH AGENDA ON TRACK FOR 2012-15 TARGETS  Maintaining our long term focus; managing short-term headwinds  2012 reported CCS earnings $27 billion, total CFFO $46 billion; delivering growth  Expected Q1 2013 dividend increase 4.7%, $0.45 per share, reflecting growth momentum GROWTH DELIVERY  12 billion boe resources on stream + 20 billion boe in development funnel  Exploration & deals add ~4 billion boe resources potential 2012  Growth priority: integrated gas, deep-water, resources plays CAPITAL DISCIPLINE + TRACK RECORD  2010-12 start-ups reach >10% of 2012 CFFO & ~20% of 2012 production; more to come  Robust 2013-17 project flow  Strong build in optionality - capital constraints driving hard portfolio choices Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 4
  • 5. FOCUS ON SAFETY AND ASSET INTEGRITY 2012 UPDATE „GOAL ZERO‟ ON SAFETY SPILLS - OPERATIONAL injuries – TRCF/million working hours million working hours Volume in thousand tonnes 5 900 10 4 800 8 3 700 6 2 600 4 1 500 2 0 400 0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 Working hours TRCF ENERGY INTENSITY - REFINERIES Energy Intensity Index (EEITM) 104 102 100 98 96  HSSE PRIORITY 94  PERFORMANCE + TRANSPARENCY 92 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 5
  • 6. STRATEGY AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT $ billion UPSTREAM 40  Growth strategy; price upside  Priority: deep-water, integrated gas, resources plays 30 DOWNSTREAM  Optimize re-shaped portfolio  Selective growth 20 CLIMATE CHANGE  Grow gas and biofuels 10  CCS and energy efficiency FINANCIAL OUTLOOK 0  Investing for growth and competitive payout  Through-cycle returns and risk management -10 2012 2013 2012 2013 Upstream Europe Asia Pacific SUSTAINED INVESTMENT: Downstream + Corporate Africa, Americas Middle East, ~80% UPSTREAM Acquisitions CIS DS + Corp. Divestments Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 6
  • 7. RECONFIRMING OUR OUTLOOK 2012 OUTLOOK Cash flow from operations $46 billion 2012-15: $175-200 billion ($43 billion ex W/C) Net capex $30 billion 2012-15: $120-130 billion Dividends distributed $10.8 billion 2013 >$11 billion Oil and gas production outcome 3.3 million boe/d 2017/18: ~4.0 million boe/d Gearing 9% 0-30%  NO CHANGE TO SHELL’S AMBITIOUS TARGETS  DIVIDEND INCREASE REFLECTS DELIVERY  EXPECTED STRONG PROJECT PIPELINE AND OPTIONS  CAPITAL CEILING DRIVES HARD CHOICES CFFO & capex outlook @$80-$100/bbl Brent and assumes improved US gas and Downstream environment from 2012; CFFO excludes working capital movements Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 7
  • 8. IMPROVING OUR PERFORMANCE EARNINGS TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN $ billion CCS +45% 80% 30 60% 40% 10 20% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2010-2012 -10 -20% Shell Other majors -40% CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS VOLUMES $ billion million boe per day million tonnes per annum + ~70% 3.5 20 40 20 3 17 0 2.5 14 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 Upstream Corporate Oil + Gas production volumes LNG sales volumes Downstream Divestments/other 2010-2012 asset sales TSR is averaged across year-end. Source: Datastream Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 8
  • 9. 2010-12 TRACK RECORD START-UPS 2010-12 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: ~20 START-UPS 2010-12 2010 $ billion million boe per day USA: Perdido 10 Singapore: Chemicals 0.6 North America: tight gas Nigeria: Gbaran Ubie Ph1 0.4 5 Norway: Gjoa Canada: AOSP-1 Raízen Qatar + AOSP-1 0.2 CFFO impact 2011 0 0.0 Iraq:West Qurna Netherlands: Schoonebeek Brasil: Raízen 2012 Qatar: Pearl GTL ramp-up -5 NA: tight gas Oman: Harweel Qatar: Qatargas 4 LNG USA: Caesar Tonga Ph 1 Qatar: Pearl GTL Malaysia: Gumusut-Kakap Cash flow Production (RHS) Oman: Qarn Alam (early production) -10 Organic capex Australia Pluto LNG T1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 NA: tight gas/shales Eagle Ford  2012 IMPACT FROM 10-12 PROJECTS  >10% OF GROUP CFFO Qatar: Pearl GTL Malaysia: Gumusut-Kakap  ~20% OF PRODUCTION  FURTHER GROWTH POTENTIAL CFFO and capex outlook at $100 Brent Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 9
  • 10. CASH FLOW AND PAYOUT CASH GENERATION DIVIDEND TRACK RECORD $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion 2010-12 2012 65 140 60 10 120 DOWN 100 STREAM 8 40 DOWN 80 STREAM 6 55 60 20 4 40 UP UP STREAM STREAM 20 2 0 0 0 45 Sources Uses Sources Uses 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 13Q1 Cash flow from operations Dividend and buyback rolling Dividends declared Asset sales Capex + equity acc. investments FTSE 100 total dividends Acquisitions paid (RHS) STRONG BALANCE SHEET $ billion 30% 30 Gearing  STRONG BALANCE SHEET range 20% 20  GENERATING SURPLUS CASH 10 10%  SUSTAINED DIVIDEND PERFORMANCE 0 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 Net Debt Gearing (RHS) CFFO excluding working capital movements Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 10
  • 11. WORKING OUR PORTFOLIO FOR GROWTH & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY DIVESTMENTS 2010-2012 ACQUISITIONS 2010-2012 $21 $17 Onshore assets, Nigeria Permian, USA billion billion Upstream Upstream Downstream Holstein, Gulf of Mexico Downstream Beryl, UK REFOCUSED DOWNSTREAM: GROWTH OIL + GAS:  Europe; Africa; Latin-America  Resources plays  Increased stakes in Shell fields LATE LIFE/NON-STRATEGIC UPSTREAM:  New exploration acreage  Upstream ~130 kboe/d  Strategic partnering SELECTIVE GROWTH DOWNSTREAM:  Brazil biofuels, retail, Gasnor gas to transport Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 11
  • 12. HYDROCARBON MATURATION + RETURNS CONVERTING RESOURCES TO PRODUCTION… …AND RETURNS billion boe $ billion % Longer-term upside 250 40 35 Abadi FLNG Phase 1 Tukau Timur Zaedyus Gbaran Ubie Ph2 Zabazaba 200 Rab Harweel Erha North ph3 30 25 Tempa Rossa ML South Fram BC-10 ph3 Malikai Eagle Ford 150 Forcados Yokri Permian Southern Swamp 20 AOSP debottl. 15 NA tight gas/shales 100 Majnoon FCP Petai Pluto (Woodside) Amal Steam Harweel Kashagan Ph1 10 NA tight gas/shales BC10 Ph2 50 Eagle Ford NWS North Rankin 2 5 Caesar Tonga AOSP debottlenecking Gumusut-Kakap (early oil) 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 E -5 Capital in service Capital other On-stream Study Return on capital in service (RHS) Under Construction Production Return on capital employed (RHS) SUSTAINED PROJECT FLOW  12 BILLION BOE ON STREAM  20 BILLION BOE IN ~60 PROJECTS IN FUNNEL Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 12
  • 13. INVESTMENT PRIORITIES ORGANIC CAPEX 2013 $ billion  Reserves-rich plays with long-term drivers FUTURE LONGER TERM  Iraq, Nigeria, Kazakhstan, Heavy Oil & Arctic 30 OPPORTUNITIES  Slower pace + capital allocation RESOURCES PLAYS  Integrated infrastructure + global capabilities GROWTH  Standardized developments + technology 20 DEEP-WATER PRIORITY  Leveraging Shell‟s scale + market growth INTEGRATED GAS 10  Extending cash flows through technology UPSTREAM  Focused exploration + licence renewals ENGINES  Long-term engine; taking steps to enhance profitability DOWNSTREAM  Selective growth in chemicals, biofuels, growth markets 0  INVESTMENT CHOICES DRIVEN ON A GLOBAL THEMATIC BASIS  MORE EFFICIENT DEPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL, PEOPLE, TECHNOLOGY Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 13
  • 14. DOWNSTREAM ENGINE  Long-term engine Gasnor acquisition Lubes Russia  Cost + portfolio steps to Rhineland Connect enhance profitability LNG to US gas-to- transport chemicals China Retail + Lubes Qatar chemicals China refining  Selective growth in chemicals, SADAF expansion and chemicals biofuels, growth markets Singapore Chemicals Cracker debottleneck Key country Under development Clyde refinery conversion to Options terminal 2012+ deals 2006 2010 2011 2013 FUTURE Qatar chemicals Gas-to-chemicals US China Nanhai chemicals Singapore chemicals Raízen Port Arthur Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 14
  • 15. UPSTREAM GROWTH PORTFOLIO UNDER CONSTRUCTION AOSP  Kashagan Forcados debottlenecking Phase1 Yokri Bonga FUTURE North OPPORTUNITIES West  Majnoon Southern  Swamp AG FCP  North American North American tight gas  tight gas RESOURCES Eagle North American  liquids rich shales PLAYS Ford  BC-10  Gumusut Malikai  Caesar Tonga Ph 1 phase 2 - Kakap  Sabah Gas Petai Cardamom  Kebabangan (KBB) DEEP-WATER Mars B, W.Boreas, S. Deimos  Gorgon LNG T1-3 Prelude  Pluto North (Woodside) Rankin 2 INTEGRATED NWS Gas – GWF – Phase A Wheatstone GAS Amal Clair Ph2 Corrib  ~30 PROJECTS Steam Harweel Fram   7 BILLION BOE UPSTREAM Bab THG &HB-2 Tempa RESOURCES ENGINE Schiehallion SAS Redevelopment Rossa  0.9 MBOE/D Start-up/ 2012 start-ups 2013-2014 2015-2016 2017+ Peak Production 0.2 mboe/d 0.5 mboe/d 0.3 mboe/d 0.1 mboe/d  Shell operated 2012 FID Production @ $80 Brent scenario Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 15
  • 16. INDUSTRY-LEADING INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO  Leveraging Shell‟s scale + market North America: developing growth new gas value chain options Green Corridor GTT Pearl GTL  Technology and project delivery Ramp up 2012 capabilities Hazira  Potential doubling of capacity On Under stream construction Liquefaction  2012: ~0.8* mboe/d; 20 mtpa Regas LNG Gas-to-transport Australia: major growth GTL projects under construction 2012 progress CAPEX RESOURCES SHELL GLOBAL LNG GROWTH $ billion 8.2 billion boe million tonnes per annum 6 40 4 20 2 0 0 2007 2012 ~2020+ 2012 2013 On stream Under construction Study On stream Under construction Options * includes feedgas from non-integrated ventures Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 16
  • 17. NORTH AMERICA & AUSTRALIA INTEGRATED GAS CLOSE-UP NORTH AMERICA AUSTRALIA/INDONESIA Sunrise FLNG Abadi FLNG Browse BCT Prelude FLNG LNG Canada LNG Green Corridor GTT Pluto LNG 1(Woodside) North West Shelf North Rankin 2 Great Lakes GTT NWS GWF Ph1 Pennsylvania Gorgon LNG Gas-to-Chemicals Wheatstone LNG Arrow Gorgon T4 On stream Gulf Coast GTT Under construction Elba LNG GTL Gulf Coast Options LNG Options  0.3 mtpa gas to transport under construction  7 mtpa under construction  LNG options, GTL, Gas-to-Chemicals under study  New LNG + FLNG options under study for 2014+ FID  Increased Browse equity; Prelude dilution Green Corridor GTT LNG Canada Great Lakes GTT NWS GWF US Gas-to-Chemicals Gulf Coast GTT Wheatstone LNG Elba LNG Arrow LNG Gorgon LNG T1-3 US GTL Sunrise LNG Abadi LNG Prelude FLNG Northwest Shelf Gulf Coast LNG Options Gorgon LNG T4 Browse LNG North Rankin 2 Pluto (Woodside) Start Assess Select Define FID Execute up Operate Feasibility Concept Project Ramp-up to Selection Specifications Construction full capacity Study Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 17
  • 18. GLOBAL DEEP-WATER LEADING IOC DEEP-WATER PORTFOLIO  Established production leadership  Standardized developments + production technology  Mars-B  Cardamom Malaysia / Gulf of Mexico Brunei Nigeria  Frontier exploration potential On stream  Bonga North West Under construction Brazil  Gumusut-Kakap New exploration  BC-10 ph2  Malikai  2012: 0.3 mboe/d  Sabah Gas Kebabangan KBB  Petai CAPEX RESOURCES $ billion 3.3 billion boe 8 6 4 2 0 2012 2013 On stream Under construction Study Perdido Spar Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 18
  • 19. BUILDING UP GLOBAL LEADERSHIP IN RESOURCES PLAYS TIGHT/SHALE OIL AND GAS BUILDING NEW TIGHT/SHALE ACREAGE „000 km2 cumulative cumulative spend gross acreage $ billion 60 20 Entry cost 15 Tight gas Germany 40 Liquids rich shale Ukraine Acreage 10 Changbei  Turkey 20 Sichuan  5 Egypt Oman  0 0 Gas Liquids Rich Colombia 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 On stream E&A Sao Francisco Arrow RESOURCES ADDED billion boe Positive initial Karoo  exploration Neuquen 3 Marcellus Eagle Ford LRS Permian 2012 Portfolio Build Arrow 2 CAPEX RESOURCES $ bln 1 10.6 billion boe 10 0 8 2010 2011 2012 6 Liquids Gas Resources-Based Deals 4 2 2010-2012 DELIVERY: 0 ~7 BILLION BOE 2012* 2013 LRS Dry gas On stream Under construction Study ~$3/BOE (E&A+DEALS) Future potential (prospective resources) *2012 includes $3.5 billion acreage deals Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 19
  • 20. NORTH AMERICA RESOURCES PLAYS PROGRESS TIGHT/SHALE OIL AND GAS  ~30,000 km2 portfolio, 60% liquids-rich Canol  Eagle Ford LRS development underway Montney Groundbirch  Deep Basin Foothills Duvernay   Drilling focus shifted to LRS Exshaw from dry gas Pinedale  ~10,000 km2 new acreage 2012 Niobrara Utica Marcellus Gas  Permian acquisition $1.9 Monterey Mississippi Lime billion Liquids Rich Shales Permian Haynesville  Additions to existing positions Eagle Ford Positive initial exploration / appraisal Onstream  Integrated gas options CAPEX PRODUCTION $ billion mboe/day bcfe/day 10 0.4 8 2 6 0.2 4 1 2 0 0.0 0 -2 2010 2011 2012 2013E Piloncillo, Eagle Ford 2010 2011 2012 2013E LRS Dry gas Liquids Gas Divestments Acquisitions Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 20
  • 21. TURNING NEW INVESTMENT INTO CASH FLOW 2013 CAPEX & OUTCOME IMPACT OF KEY UPSTREAM START-UPS $ billion $ billion 20 Exploration & 30 Appraisal 15 2017+ 10 2013+ Key Projects Start-up CFFO 2015-16 5 20 2010-12 0 2013-14 2010-12 -5 10 2013+ -10 Upstream Base, Downstream + Corporate -15 ORGANIC CAPEX 0 -20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Longer 2012-15 CFFO Term SPENDING PROGRAMME + ~50% of capex on stream by NEAR-TERM CASH FLOW 2015 CFFO outlook @$100 Brent and assumes improved US gas environment from 2012; CFFO excludes working capital movements Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 21
  • 22. PRIORITY ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE ON TRACK FOR AMBITIOUS CFFO GROWTH + INVESTMENT PLAN ($100 scenario) $ billion $100/bbl 50 macro Portfolio/ Free Growth outlook: Choice1 $112/bbl cashflow  New projects 40 $91/bbl  Enhanced unit cash flow  Macro uplift 30 2012 trend 20 Investment for sustained growth 2012-15: 10  ~$120-130 billion net spend  >$16 billion asset sales 0 2009 – 2012 2012 2012 – 2015 average average potential 2 Cash flow from operations/ex working capital Dividends + buybacks Net Capital Investment Macro sensitivity3 1 Portfolio/Choice negative impact on 2012 cash flow target: reduced NA gas drilling, divestments, project slippage 2 CFFO & capex outlook at $100, assumes improved US gas, WTI and Downstream environment from 2012; CFFO excludes working capital movements 3 Potentialimpact in $100 scenario from continuation of 2012 Downstream environment, Henry Hub, WCS and WTI discounts Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 22
  • 23. PRODUCTION & POTENTIAL OIL & GAS PRODUCTION + OUTCOMES UPSTREAM CAPEX + CFFO SCENARIO million boe/day 4 Longer Term 2 Growth Priority 0 2011 2012 17-18 avg Production + potential 2012+ asset sales Upstream Engine 2012 PERFORMANCE $ billion million boe/day 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2012 2012 Capex: CFFO: 2013 2015 potential 3.4 PRODUCTION IS AN OUTCOME OF 3.2 INVESTMENT DECISIONS Controllable CASHFLOW GROWTH > 3.0 PRODUCTION GROWTH MULTIPLE PATHWAYS TO DELIVERY OF TARGETS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 23
  • 24. MAINTAINING OUR FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK CASH PERFORMANCE  $175-$200 billion CFFO 2012-15  Grow free cash flow  CFFO drives investment + payout PAY-OUT INVESTMENT  Dividend linked to business results  $120-$130 billion net capex 2012-15  Scrip dividend with buy back offset  ~$33 billion net capex 2013  Expected dividend growth 2013  Affordability, profitability, portfolio BALANCE SHEET  0 – 30% gearing through cycle  Balance sheet underpins investment  Capital employed grows steadily CFFO & capex outlook @$80-$100/BBL Brent and assumes improved US gas and Downstream environment from 2012 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 24
  • 25. SHELL FUTURE LONGER TERM OPPORTUNITIES RESOURCES PLAYS GROWTH ON TRACK FOR 2012-15 TARGETS DEEP-WATER PRIORITY GROWTH DELIVERY INTEGRATED GAS CAPITAL DISCIPLINE + TRACK RECORD UPSTREAM ENGINES DOWNSTREAM Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 25
  • 26. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Q&A Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 31 January 2013 26