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Water Futures

        Featured Futurists:
Eric Semler, Molly Myers and David
              Collett
“Whiskey is for drinking, water
is for fighting over.” – Mark Twain
Scarcity
China

   “With almost a quarter of its land
classified as desert, China ranks as the
       world’s most arid country.”

 “An estimated 300 million people in
 China have limited supply of water”
        (Sinha, 2011, p. 422).
China

“The south has a lot of water, the north
 little… if possible, it is okay to lend a
       little water.” – Mao Zedong
China and India

“Water is becoming a key security issue
in Sino-Indian relations and a potential
      source of enduring discord.”

 “China and India are water-stressed
 economies” (Chellaney, 2009, p. 38).
Allocation
Tibet

  “It has also been called ‘The Third
Pole’ because next to the North and
 South Poles, its glaciers contain the
largest volume of fresh frozen water
   on earth” (Borges, 2013, p. 114).
Tibet

   “More importantly, it is known as
 ‘The Water Tower of Asia’ since the
  rivers flowing out of those glaciers
 supply nearly a third of the world’s
population with their water” (Borges,
             2013, p. 114).
Tibet

“Without Tibet, China’s hydrological
 supremacy would be overturned
   from water independence to
dependence” (Sinha, 2011, p. 423).
History

“China has already dammed every major river on
the Tibetan Plateau – including the Mekong, the
  Salween, the Brahmaputra, the Yangtze, the
Yellow, the Indus, the Sutlej, the Shwelie and the
        Karnali” (Chellaney, 2011, p. 308).
Discussion

   China is considering diverting the
Brahmaputra River away from India and
  into China (Chellaney, 2009, p. 38).

 What are possible outcomes if China
  follows through with this plan?
Allocation

China and India will need to negotiate the
       use of water in the future.

“For that to happen, water has to become a
    source of cooperation, not conflict”
          (Chellaney, 2009, p. 39).
Trends
Trends

• Future conflicts will be over water.
• As the world population increases, scarcity of
  water will increase.
• Tension between China and India will increase.
• Tibet is critically important to China and will
  remain critically important.
• Riparian states will continue to negotiate
  treaties over water rights.
Water is the driving force of all nature.
          - Leonardo da Vinci
Join the Movement
Please join our movement to bring awareness to
        the trends surrounding this issue.

             Visit our site at:
      www.waterfutures.wordpress.com

  Find us on Twitter: @WaterFuturesNSU and
               @H2Oisourfuture
Join the Movement
Join the Movement
References
• Borges, P. (2013). Tibet: culture on the edge. World
   Literature Today, 87(2), 112-117.
• Chellaney, B. (2009). Coming water wars. The
       International Economy, 23(4), 38-39.
• Chellaney, B. (2011). Water: Asia's new battleground.
       Contemporary Southeast Asia, 24(2), 307-308.
• Sinha, U. K. (2011). China: geopolitics of a thirsty
       nation. Indian Foreign Affairs Journal, 6(4),
        422-436.

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Water Futures Eric

  • 1. Water Futures Featured Futurists: Eric Semler, Molly Myers and David Collett
  • 2. “Whiskey is for drinking, water is for fighting over.” – Mark Twain
  • 4. China “With almost a quarter of its land classified as desert, China ranks as the world’s most arid country.” “An estimated 300 million people in China have limited supply of water” (Sinha, 2011, p. 422).
  • 5. China “The south has a lot of water, the north little… if possible, it is okay to lend a little water.” – Mao Zedong
  • 6. China and India “Water is becoming a key security issue in Sino-Indian relations and a potential source of enduring discord.” “China and India are water-stressed economies” (Chellaney, 2009, p. 38).
  • 8. Tibet “It has also been called ‘The Third Pole’ because next to the North and South Poles, its glaciers contain the largest volume of fresh frozen water on earth” (Borges, 2013, p. 114).
  • 9. Tibet “More importantly, it is known as ‘The Water Tower of Asia’ since the rivers flowing out of those glaciers supply nearly a third of the world’s population with their water” (Borges, 2013, p. 114).
  • 10. Tibet “Without Tibet, China’s hydrological supremacy would be overturned from water independence to dependence” (Sinha, 2011, p. 423).
  • 11. History “China has already dammed every major river on the Tibetan Plateau – including the Mekong, the Salween, the Brahmaputra, the Yangtze, the Yellow, the Indus, the Sutlej, the Shwelie and the Karnali” (Chellaney, 2011, p. 308).
  • 12. Discussion China is considering diverting the Brahmaputra River away from India and into China (Chellaney, 2009, p. 38). What are possible outcomes if China follows through with this plan?
  • 13. Allocation China and India will need to negotiate the use of water in the future. “For that to happen, water has to become a source of cooperation, not conflict” (Chellaney, 2009, p. 39).
  • 15. Trends • Future conflicts will be over water. • As the world population increases, scarcity of water will increase. • Tension between China and India will increase. • Tibet is critically important to China and will remain critically important. • Riparian states will continue to negotiate treaties over water rights.
  • 16. Water is the driving force of all nature. - Leonardo da Vinci
  • 17. Join the Movement Please join our movement to bring awareness to the trends surrounding this issue. Visit our site at: www.waterfutures.wordpress.com Find us on Twitter: @WaterFuturesNSU and @H2Oisourfuture
  • 20. References • Borges, P. (2013). Tibet: culture on the edge. World Literature Today, 87(2), 112-117. • Chellaney, B. (2009). Coming water wars. The International Economy, 23(4), 38-39. • Chellaney, B. (2011). Water: Asia's new battleground. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 24(2), 307-308. • Sinha, U. K. (2011). China: geopolitics of a thirsty nation. Indian Foreign Affairs Journal, 6(4), 422-436.