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ReSAKSS–Africa Lead Project
   Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural
Policy and Investment Planning and Implementation in
                          Africa
       Safari Park Hotel, Nairobi 11-13 April 2012



   Overview of the CAADP Agenda
    and ReSAKSS in West Africa
            By M. Yade
OUTLINE
• SOME BASIS TARGETS AND
  PRINCIPLES OF CAADP
• RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP
  IMPLEMENTATION
• STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
• ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK
  REPORTS (ATOR)


Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 2
Some basic Targets and
                   Principles of CAADP
• CAADP as a strategic framework by
  which to guide country development
  efforts and partnerships in the
  agricultural sector:
     • agriculture led growth for
       poverty reduction;
     • increased funding of agriculture
       (10%) and
     • at least 6% agriculture growth –
       all targeted at achieving MGD1
       and other welfare targets
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 3
Some basic Targets and Principles
            of CAADP

– (1) mobilize existing expertise , capacities
  and knowledge and provide first-rate
  analytical and advisory services to
  countries and Regional Economic
  Communities in the design,
  implementation, and evaluation of CAADP
  programs.
– (2) provide assistance to countries in the
  establishment of national knowledge
  system nodes to support CAADP
  implementation
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 4
Some basic Targets and Principles
              of CAADP
• Work with the national nodes to provide
  relevant and timely information to guide:
   – Mutual review at the continental level to
     review overall progress in the
     implementation of CAADP
   – Peer review at the regional level to promote
     dialogue and mutual learning around the
     review of progress and performance
   – Progress review at the national level to
     ensure that country level policies and
     programs are aligned with CAADP principles
     and on track to meet the country-specific
     targets and objectives
  Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 5
ReSAKSS as Part of CAADP
                Implementation
• National Nodes:
  – pursuing the same objectives at national level
  – ensuring the mobilisation and coordination of
    knowledge generating and dissemination networks
  – Comprising of:
     • An analytical node bringing together National
       Agricultural Research Institutes, universities,
       statistics offices, the technical arms of
       professional organisations, etc.
     • A framework for review, dialogue and advocacy
       coordinated at high level (Permanent Secretary of
       Director) including all stakeholders: government
       institutions, Professional associations,TFP, etc.
  Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 6
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
• CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND
  RAIP DESIGN WITH:
  – STOCK TAKING EXERCICE
  –MODELING WORK
  –Review of the consistency of
   the NAIP’s vis a vis their
   growth, poverty and funding
   targets
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
• TREND SCENARIO FOR GROWTH
  AND POVERTY REDUCTION;
• COMPARE TRENDS WITH CAADP
  AND MDG-1 TARGETS
• ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO
  MEET CAADP AND MDG-1
  TARGETS ;
• ASSESS FUNDING
  REQUIREMENTS
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION OF AG GROWTH TO POVERTY REDUCTION
 80


 70


 60


 50


 40


 30


 20


 10


 0
      BENIN     BURKINA      CAPE      GAMBIE     GHANA      GUINEE       LIBERIA   MALI    NIGER   NIGERIA   SENEGAL   TOGO
                 FASO        VERT                           CONAKRY

                                                    Agriculture   Non Agriculture sectors



 Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
     LONG TERM LINKAGES (=> 2015) BETWEEN
       AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AND POVERTY
       REDUCTION
                        450                                                                                                        35

                        400
Ag GDP (Millions US$)




                                                                                                                                   30




                                                                                                                                        Poverty reduction (%)
                        350
                                                                                                                                   25
                        300

                        250                                                                                                        20

                        200                                                                                                        15

                        150
                                                                                                                                   10
                        100
                                                                                                                                   5
                        50

                         0                                                                                                         0
                              Benin   Burkina   Cape Verde The Gambia   Ghana   Guinea   Liberia   Mali   Niger   Senegal   Togo
                                       Faso




                                                 Growth in Agricultural GDP               Reduction in national poverty rate



   Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
STRATEGIC CROPS FOR AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION

BENIN                                Filières vivrières (Racines et tubercules)
BURKINA FASO                         Filière bovine et mil/sorgho
CAP-VERT                             Filières vivrières
GAMBIE                               Céréales (mil/sorgho)* et filière bovine
GHANA                                Racines et tubercules et pêcheries
GUINEE                               Riz
LIBERIA                              Filières vivrières
MALI                                 Filières vivrières (Riz; Mil/Sorgho)*
NIGER                                Elevage
NIGERIA                              Manioc, Riz
SENEGAL                              Elevage et Filières vivrières (mil/sorgho Riz)*
SIERRA LEONE                         Manioc
TOGO                                 Filières vivrières
    Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
EXPECTED AG GROWTH IN 2015* UNDER
  DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
   16.0                                                                                                                             16.0
   14.0                                                                                                                             14.0
   12.0                                                                                                                             12.0
   10.0                                                                                                                             10.0
    8.0                                                                                                                             8.0
    6.0                                                                                                                             6.0
    4.0                                                                                                                             4.0
    2.0                                                                                                                             2.0
    0.0                                                                                                                             0.0




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                                               bau          national strategies              CAADP

 *For   Nigeria, the time horizon was extended to 2017 when the country is expected to halve the poverty rate compared to its 1996 level.

    Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
 EXPECTED POVERTY REDUCTION BY 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT
   SCENARIOS
                                      bau           national strategies            CAADP          MDG1

  40.0
  20.0
   0.0
 -20.0
 -40.0
 -60.0
 -80.0
-100.0




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 Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CURRENT AG EXPENDITURE RATIOS                                            REQUIRED AG EXPENDITURE
TO TOTAL EXPENDITURES (%)                                                GROWTH TO MEET 6%
                                                                         AGRICULTURAL GROWTH




Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

CURRENT FUNDING EFFICIENCY:
 ELASTICITY VIS-À-VIS AG GROWTH




Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
• SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF CHILD
  NUTRITION IN WEST AND CENTRAL
  AFRICA
• MARKET ANALYSIS IN WEST AFRICA:
  VERTICAL INTEGRATION AND
  INSTABILITY
• MONITORING OF THE MILLENIUM
  DEVELOPMENT GOAL 1 (MDG1) IN
  WEST AFRICA
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 16
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
• Study on the dynamics of food
  consumption in West Africa conducted
  jointly with MSU in 7 West African
  countries:
     – ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE
       SURVEYS
     – ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL FOOD BALANCES
     – REGRESSION ANALYSIS => MARGINAL
       BUDGET SHARES/DEMAND ELASTICITIES
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 17
Trends and Outlook Reports
• FRAMEWORK
       –    (POLICY/PRIMARY FACTOR ENDOWMENT)
       –    FUNDING
       –    PERFORMANCE
       –    LIVELIHOODS
       –    NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION
       –    CHALLENGES:
             • DATA QUALITY
             • CONTINUITY
             • DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY
             • SUSTAINABILITY

Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 18
Trends and Outlook Reports
• TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS
    – Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as
      coordinator
    – National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit,
      national accounting unit)
    – Budget unit in Ministries of Finance
    – Professional think tanks
    – Market information systems
    – M&E units in other relevant ministries such as
      livestock, environment, fisheries, trade, etc
    – NARS including Universities
    – Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit
 Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 19
Trends and Outlook Reports
• TEAM: REGIONAL
   – ReSAKSS WA EXPERTS
   – LEAD EXPERTS FOR EACH COMPONENT:
               • ENABLING ENVIRONMENT AND CAADP
                 STATUS
               • FUNDING,
               • MACRO PERFORMANCE,
               • AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE,
               • AGRICULTURAL TRADE
               • LIVELIHOODS
Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 20
Trends and Outlook Reports
• ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL
        – Drafting of terms of reference: list and
          specification of indicators, rationale,
          definitions, computation, sources and links to
          policy targets; profile of collaborators
        – Methodology workshops , quality review,
          technical backstopping
        – Regional synthesis of each component by
          ReSAKSS in collaboration with lead experts
        – Regional validation and dissemination
          workshop
        – Finalization of regional trends and outlook
          report

Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 21
Trends and Outlook Reports
• ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL
    – PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and
      monitors execution
    – Data collection and analysis by different subgroups
      following the components
    – Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit
      with data sheets as annexes
    – Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and
      submits to ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review
    – Technical meetings and national validation
      workshops
    – Finalization of national trends and outlook report
 Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 22
CAADP Compact                                                NAIP
 Country                [date signed]                              [Date drafted, reviewed and validated]
Benin                       15-Oct-09                            Draft: Sept-10     Review: 13 June -2010
Burkina Faso                 22-Jul-10                                         Draft: Sept-10
Cape Verde                  10-Dec-09                                         Draft: undated
Cote d'Ivoire               27-Jul-10
Gambia, The                 27-Oct-09                             Draft: Sept-10      Review: 13-Sept-10
Ghana                       27-Oct-09                             Draft: Sept-10      Review: 13-June-10
Guinea                       6-Apr-10                                        Draft: 14-Sept-10
Guinea Bissau               18-Jan-11
Liberia                      5-Oct-09                         Draft: 20-Sept-2010        Review: 13-June-10
Mali                        12-Oct-09                             Draft: Aug-10      Review: 27-Sept-10
Niger                       29-Sep-09                             Draft: June-10     Review: 27-Sept-10
Nigeria                     12-Oct-09                             Draft: Sept-10     Review: 13 June-10
Senegal                      9-Feb-10                             Draft: June-10     Review: 13-June-10
Sierra Leone                17-Sep-09                           Draft: May-2010        Review: 13-June-10
Togo                         19-Jul-09               Draft: June-10 Review: 13-June-10 Validate: 4-Feb-10
    Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa                                  Page 23
MERCI




Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa   Page 24

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Presentation resakss-wa

  • 1. ReSAKSS–Africa Lead Project Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural Policy and Investment Planning and Implementation in Africa Safari Park Hotel, Nairobi 11-13 April 2012 Overview of the CAADP Agenda and ReSAKSS in West Africa By M. Yade
  • 2. OUTLINE • SOME BASIS TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES OF CAADP • RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION • STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR) Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 2
  • 3. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP • CAADP as a strategic framework by which to guide country development efforts and partnerships in the agricultural sector: • agriculture led growth for poverty reduction; • increased funding of agriculture (10%) and • at least 6% agriculture growth – all targeted at achieving MGD1 and other welfare targets Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 3
  • 4. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP – (1) mobilize existing expertise , capacities and knowledge and provide first-rate analytical and advisory services to countries and Regional Economic Communities in the design, implementation, and evaluation of CAADP programs. – (2) provide assistance to countries in the establishment of national knowledge system nodes to support CAADP implementation Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 4
  • 5. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP • Work with the national nodes to provide relevant and timely information to guide: – Mutual review at the continental level to review overall progress in the implementation of CAADP – Peer review at the regional level to promote dialogue and mutual learning around the review of progress and performance – Progress review at the national level to ensure that country level policies and programs are aligned with CAADP principles and on track to meet the country-specific targets and objectives Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 5
  • 6. ReSAKSS as Part of CAADP Implementation • National Nodes: – pursuing the same objectives at national level – ensuring the mobilisation and coordination of knowledge generating and dissemination networks – Comprising of: • An analytical node bringing together National Agricultural Research Institutes, universities, statistics offices, the technical arms of professional organisations, etc. • A framework for review, dialogue and advocacy coordinated at high level (Permanent Secretary of Director) including all stakeholders: government institutions, Professional associations,TFP, etc. Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 6
  • 7. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP DESIGN WITH: – STOCK TAKING EXERCICE –MODELING WORK –Review of the consistency of the NAIP’s vis a vis their growth, poverty and funding targets Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 8. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • TREND SCENARIO FOR GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION; • COMPARE TRENDS WITH CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS • ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO MEET CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS ; • ASSESS FUNDING REQUIREMENTS Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 9. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION OF AG GROWTH TO POVERTY REDUCTION 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 BENIN BURKINA CAPE GAMBIE GHANA GUINEE LIBERIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA SENEGAL TOGO FASO VERT CONAKRY Agriculture Non Agriculture sectors Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 10. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS LONG TERM LINKAGES (=> 2015) BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION 450 35 400 Ag GDP (Millions US$) 30 Poverty reduction (%) 350 25 300 250 20 200 15 150 10 100 5 50 0 0 Benin Burkina Cape Verde The Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Mali Niger Senegal Togo Faso Growth in Agricultural GDP Reduction in national poverty rate Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 11. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS STRATEGIC CROPS FOR AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION BENIN Filières vivrières (Racines et tubercules) BURKINA FASO Filière bovine et mil/sorgho CAP-VERT Filières vivrières GAMBIE Céréales (mil/sorgho)* et filière bovine GHANA Racines et tubercules et pêcheries GUINEE Riz LIBERIA Filières vivrières MALI Filières vivrières (Riz; Mil/Sorgho)* NIGER Elevage NIGERIA Manioc, Riz SENEGAL Elevage et Filières vivrières (mil/sorgho Riz)* SIERRA LEONE Manioc TOGO Filières vivrières Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 12. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS EXPECTED AG GROWTH IN 2015* UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS 16.0 16.0 14.0 14.0 12.0 12.0 10.0 10.0 8.0 8.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 er ia e a al na ria go in e a i so al rd ne on bi er en eg ig To M Fa ha be am Ve N ig Le ui en B G Li N G na G e S rra ap ki ie ur C S B bau national strategies CAADP *For Nigeria, the time horizon was extended to 2017 when the country is expected to halve the poverty rate compared to its 1996 level. Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 13. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS EXPECTED POVERTY REDUCTION BY 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS bau national strategies CAADP MDG1 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 -100.0 go so n er i a na a ia l ria e e al ga ni bi ne rd on g er M Fa To ha be Be am ne Ni Ve ui g Le G Li Ni a Se G G in pe ra rk er Ca Bu Si Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 14. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CURRENT AG EXPENDITURE RATIOS REQUIRED AG EXPENDITURE TO TOTAL EXPENDITURES (%) GROWTH TO MEET 6% AGRICULTURAL GROWTH Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 15. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CURRENT FUNDING EFFICIENCY: ELASTICITY VIS-À-VIS AG GROWTH Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa
  • 16. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF CHILD NUTRITION IN WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICA • MARKET ANALYSIS IN WEST AFRICA: VERTICAL INTEGRATION AND INSTABILITY • MONITORING OF THE MILLENIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL 1 (MDG1) IN WEST AFRICA Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 16
  • 17. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • Study on the dynamics of food consumption in West Africa conducted jointly with MSU in 7 West African countries: – ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE SURVEYS – ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL FOOD BALANCES – REGRESSION ANALYSIS => MARGINAL BUDGET SHARES/DEMAND ELASTICITIES Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 17
  • 18. Trends and Outlook Reports • FRAMEWORK – (POLICY/PRIMARY FACTOR ENDOWMENT) – FUNDING – PERFORMANCE – LIVELIHOODS – NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION – CHALLENGES: • DATA QUALITY • CONTINUITY • DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY • SUSTAINABILITY Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 18
  • 19. Trends and Outlook Reports • TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS – Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as coordinator – National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit, national accounting unit) – Budget unit in Ministries of Finance – Professional think tanks – Market information systems – M&E units in other relevant ministries such as livestock, environment, fisheries, trade, etc – NARS including Universities – Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 19
  • 20. Trends and Outlook Reports • TEAM: REGIONAL – ReSAKSS WA EXPERTS – LEAD EXPERTS FOR EACH COMPONENT: • ENABLING ENVIRONMENT AND CAADP STATUS • FUNDING, • MACRO PERFORMANCE, • AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE, • AGRICULTURAL TRADE • LIVELIHOODS Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 20
  • 21. Trends and Outlook Reports • ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL – Drafting of terms of reference: list and specification of indicators, rationale, definitions, computation, sources and links to policy targets; profile of collaborators – Methodology workshops , quality review, technical backstopping – Regional synthesis of each component by ReSAKSS in collaboration with lead experts – Regional validation and dissemination workshop – Finalization of regional trends and outlook report Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 21
  • 22. Trends and Outlook Reports • ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL – PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and monitors execution – Data collection and analysis by different subgroups following the components – Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit with data sheets as annexes – Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and submits to ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review – Technical meetings and national validation workshops – Finalization of national trends and outlook report Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 22
  • 23. CAADP Compact NAIP Country [date signed] [Date drafted, reviewed and validated] Benin 15-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13 June -2010 Burkina Faso 22-Jul-10 Draft: Sept-10 Cape Verde 10-Dec-09 Draft: undated Cote d'Ivoire 27-Jul-10 Gambia, The 27-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13-Sept-10 Ghana 27-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13-June-10 Guinea 6-Apr-10 Draft: 14-Sept-10 Guinea Bissau 18-Jan-11 Liberia 5-Oct-09 Draft: 20-Sept-2010 Review: 13-June-10 Mali 12-Oct-09 Draft: Aug-10 Review: 27-Sept-10 Niger 29-Sep-09 Draft: June-10 Review: 27-Sept-10 Nigeria 12-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13 June-10 Senegal 9-Feb-10 Draft: June-10 Review: 13-June-10 Sierra Leone 17-Sep-09 Draft: May-2010 Review: 13-June-10 Togo 19-Jul-09 Draft: June-10 Review: 13-June-10 Validate: 4-Feb-10 Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 23
  • 24. MERCI Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 24