The document discusses future technology trends and predictions from 1999 and today. It summarizes Ray Kurzweil's predictions from 1999 that have come true, such as smartphones, augmented reality, driverless cars, and wireless devices. It also discusses emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, robotics, 3D printing, and how these will impact jobs and skills. The document recommends taking care of yourself, constantly learning, experimenting, and staying adaptable to thrive in this changing environment.
7. Basic Domestic and hunting tools
10,000 BC – Agriculture, domestic animals plants
1450s- Printing press
1750 -1850 -First Industrial Revolution
1850 – 1920 – Second Industrial Revolution
Developments from First, Second and Cold Wars
1970s - PCs
1990s - Internet
2010 – Internet of Things
2010 – Third Industrial Revolution –
democratisation of tools of production – 3D
printing, local manufacturing
11. We are not great at
predicting what will
happen –
Transport yourself back to 1999 and think whether you could
have ever predicted Google, Facebook, social media, sudden
toppling of autocratic governments, electric self-driving cars,
automatic drones, domestic robots - smartphones that allow
us to manage our lives from anywhere?
14. Artificial Intelligence & Robotics
Nanotechnology & 3D Printing
Synthetic Biology
Energy & Environmental Systems
Medicine & Neuroscience
Networks & Computing Systems
Space & Physical Sciences
Core technology tracks at Singularity University
15. Future predictions in
1999
Ray Kurzweil
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiri
tual_Machines_.281999.29
16. • Most books will be read on screens rather than paper.
• Personal worn computers provide monitoring of body functions, automated identity
and directions for navigation.
• Cables are disappearing. Computer peripheries use wireless communication.
• People can talk to their computer to give commands (e.g. Siri)
• Computer displays built into eyeglasses for augmented reality are used. (Google
Glass)
• Computers can recognize their owner's face from a picture or video.
• Research has been initiated on reverse engineering the brain through both destructive
and non-invasive scans.
• Intelligent roads and driverless cars will be in use, mostly on highways.
• People use personal computers the size of rings, pins, credit cards and books.
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17. • Thin, lightweight, handheld displays with very high resolutions are the preferred means for
viewing documents..
• Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
• Most learning is accomplished through intelligent, adaptive online courseware presented by
computer-simulated teachers. In the learning process, human adults fill the counselor and
mentor roles instead of being academic instructors.
• Most human workers spend the majority of their time acquiring new skills and knowledge.
• Blind people wear special glasses that interpret the real world for them through speech.
Sighted people also use these glasses to amplify their own abilities.
• Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in
conversations.
• Access to the Internet is completely wireless and provided by wearable or implanted
computers.
• Devices that deliver sensations to the skin surface of their users (i.e.--tight body suits and
gloves) are also sometimes used in virtual reality to complete the experience - "Virtual sex”.
• The vast majority of business interactions occur between humans and simulated retailers, or
between a human's virtual personal assistant and a simulated retailer.
• Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
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18. • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment (inside of furniture, jewelry, walls,
clothing, etc.).
• People experience 3-D virtual reality through glasses and contact lenses that beam images
directly to their retinas
• Cables connecting computers and peripherals have almost completely disappeared.
• Destructive scans of the brain and noninvasive brain scans have allowed scientists to
understand the brain much better..
• Computers do most of the vehicle driving—-humans are in fact prohibited from driving on
highways unassisted.
• Furthermore, when humans do take over the wheel, the onboard computer system constantly
monitors their actions and takes control whenever the human drives recklessly. As a result, there
are very few transportation accidents.
• Prototype personal flying vehicles using microflaps exist. They are also primarily computer-
controlled.
• Human-robot relationships begin as simulated personalities become more convincing.
• Virtual artists—creative computers capable of making their own art and music—emerge in all
fields of the arts.
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19. • A $1,000 personal computer is 1,000 times more powerful than the human brain.
• The vast majority of computation is done by computers and not by human brains.
• The eyeglasses and headphones that used to deliver virtual reality are now obsolete thanks to
computer implants that go into the eyes and ears. The implants are either permanent or removable.
They allow direct interface with computers, communications and Internet-based applications.
• Computer implants designed for direct connection to the brain are also available. They are capable
of augmenting natural senses and of enhancing higher brain functions like memory & overall
intelligence.
• Computers are now capable of learning and creating new knowledge entirely on their own and with
no human help. By scanning the enormous content of the Internet, some computers "know" literally
everything (every scientific discovery, book and movie, public statement, etc.) generated by human
beings.
• Direct brain implants allow users to enter full-immersion virtual reality—with complete sensory
stimulation—without any external equipment. People can have their minds in a totally different place
at any moment.
• The manufacturing, agricultural and transportation sectors of the economy are almost entirely
automated and employ very few humans. Across the world, poverty, war and disease are almost
nonexistent thanks to technology alleviating want.
• The rise of Artificial Intelligence creates a real "robot rights" movement, and there is open, public
debate over what sorts of civil rights and legal protections machines should have. The existence of
humans with heavy levels of cybernetic augmentation and of larger numbers of other people with
less extreme cybernetic implants lead to further arguments over what constitutes a "human being.”
• Artificial Intelligences claim to be conscious and openly petition for recognition of the fact. Most
people admit and accept this new truth.
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36. Quality of life will
continue to increase
while the cost to
decrease - billions of
people will be lifted out
of poverty – freeing
more time to work on
innovation
44. My favourite books in
2014:
1. The Startup of You – Ben Hoffman, founder Linkedin
2. Daring greatly: How the Courage to be Vulnerable transforms the way
we live, love, parent and lead – Brene Brown
3. The Maker Movement Manifesto - Mark Hatch, Techshop
4. ReWork: Change the way you work forever – Jason Fried, David
Heinemeier
5. Delivering Happiness – Tony Hsieh, Zappos
6. The Spiritual Machine – Ray Kurzweil
7. The Anatomy of Peace: How to Resolve the Heart of Conflict –
Arbinger Institute
8. Quiet: The Power of Introverts in a world that cannot stop talking –
Susan Cain
9. Playful Parenting - Lawrence Cohen
50. Startup
24
Innovation bootcamp for companies and individuals in 24 hours.
20/21st March 2015 – first open bootcamp in
Guernsey
www.startupme.co/startup24/
Project Loon is aiming to bring Internet though wi-fi on hot ballons to the poorest nations. With basic mobile technologies, farmers in Africa has access to more data at his fingertips where he is and whatever he is doing than a Guernsey Deputy that may not be best friends with mobiles. Perhaps we are not thinking big enough in Guernsey – instead of sorting the broadband with existing infrastructure we should just have a hot air balloon stuck above Sausmarez Park.
Every single industry in the world is being disrupted and will be subject to the exponential Moore’s Law. Many jobs will be outsourced not to India, China or Africa but to robots. Poorer countries around the world are skipping old-school technologies like copper telephony and jumping straight onto the newest tech powered by the Internet and mobile.
So what does all of this mean for us and for you?
Your job will not exist in 10 years time. Jobs like “social media guru”, facebook ads manager, community manager on Youtube, Chief Information Officer – this titles did not exist. Think how many millions of jobs disruptive innovators like Amazon, Facebook and Google have create directly and indirectly though their social ecosystems, e-commerce platforms. These 3 companies alone had exponentially more profound influence on global employment than the any of the top 3 governments globally including USA.
Old jobs are being disrupted and new created by ambitious entrepreneurs and scientists whose aim is nothing less than to change the world.
Anything possible to outsource will be outsourced. Global competition intensify. Having a tax advantage is not going to be enough. The key skill that robots and artificial intelligence will not be able to recreate in the short term is creative problem solving, ambition, reaching for impossible, gathering communities, creating and innovation. All sorts of
Big Adventure
Storytelling
Camp GLP
Art of Hosting
Web Summit
Y Combinator