Aegis Capital Corp. Keynote: Global Online CEO Conference
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RedChip Virtual Conference Keynote Address
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Raghuram Selvaraju, Ph.D., M.B.A.
Managing Director / Head of Healthcare Equity Research
646.502.2464 (O)
646.784.2027 (C)
rselvaraju@aegiscap.com
July 16, 2014
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Perspectives on Healthcare Sector Market Performance
Recent healthcare sector market performance has been extremely strong
Biotechnology has been one of the standouts
Broad index performance has returned >30% within the past 12 months
Substantial asset inflows have occurred over the past four years and significant growth has taken place in the small / micro-cap sector
Healthcare stocks are non-correlated investments, to a certain extent
Defensive characteristics abound, as people must pay for medicines regardless of the prevailing macroeconomic condition
Healthcare is the only sector that provides more of the only truly priceless commodity, which is time
Innovations in therapeutic and diagnostic development are driving growth
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IPO Activity – Healthcare Looking Strong
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Follow-On Healthcare Offerings Also Showing Strength
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Risk-Tolerant Regulatory Environment
The pace of regulatory approvals has recently picked up in the United States, as well as elsewhere
Drugs, devices and diagnostics are being aimed at more and more specialized “niche” markets
The FDA Amendments Act (FDAAA) of 2007 ushered in new and more effective safety standards for the approval and monitoring of new drugs
FDA approvals in 2012 and 2013 soared to a new high of 39 novel drugs annually, 63% above the 2003 – 2011 pace of 24 novel drugs annually
Regulators have adopted a more risk-tolerant, pragmatic stance towards new medicines
Products that “ought to be approved” are getting approved
Several new approval pathways have been put in place that accelerate approval of life-saving medicines
Examples: Breakthrough Therapy designation (starting in 2012), 505(b)(2) approval route (introduced in 2002)
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Pharmaceutical Sector M&A
Pharmaceutical sector M&A activity represents a leading indicator for market sentiment in healthcare
The number of transactions has increased in recent months, with big pharmaceutical firms seeking tax inversions and new pipeline products
Transaction values have also soared, from $39 billion in 2009 to $74 billion in 2013
Several mega-mergers have been announced, but not yet consummated, in 2014 (e.g., Valeant / Allergan, AbbVie / Shire, Pfizer / AstraZeneca)
Investors look at valuations in M&A and licensing transactions to assess potential for exits
Valuation premiums are also on the rise
Capital that is liberated through M&A transactions can be redeployed into funding new innovations
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Growth Projections by Therapeutic Indication
Source: EvaluatePharma