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November 29th, 2012




           Country Presentation


by: Ghassan Dib
PRESENTATION CONTENT
Strengths and Weaknesses of data collection
process
Indicators presentation
Use of indicators in National or regional EE
and RE policy monitoring and evaluation
Conclusion and recommendations
Introduction
• The work shown in this report was initiated jointly by the
  Plan Bleu, in partnership with RCREEE, to formulate
  ''energy conservation indicators'' in 10 Southern
  Mediterranean countries and MENA region, namely:
  Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Libya,
  Palestine, Tunisia and Yemen.

• This project that aims to contribute to the construction of
  energy efficiency indicators and to interpret them for the
  entire Southern Mediterranean region.

• Special thanks to all people who contributed in helping
  the experts understand the business of indicators and to
  all the Lebanese institutions that helped in providing the
  required data.
Introduction
• The Lebanese economy is service-oriented; main
  growth sectors include banking and tourism. The GDP
  is $39 billion and is divided per sector as follows:
  agriculture: 5%, industry: 16%, services: 79%.

• The electricity production in Lebanon is 10,282 GWh
  per year. Lebanon imports 1.114 billion kWh from
  neighboring countries. Lebanon dependency ratio is
  very high (Above 95%) since electricity is either
  imported or produced by imported fuel with a very small
  fraction produced by Hydro and some renewable
  systems.
Data Collection
• As seen in the table below, the data needed at the
  macro level were mainly available. The data related to
  the energy totals was also available.

• The exercise revealed that data of the energy in the
  sectors are not being collected faithfully. Also, other
  problems appeared when we came to interpret the data.
Data Collection
• The major difficulties in the collection were in the lack of
  availability of the data and not because of a lack of
  cooperation. Most of the bodies, institutions and
  ministries provided the necessary help and provided
  whatever is available.

• The energy demand is higher than the produced
  energy and hence the power from the government is
  provided for 20 hours in Beirut area and up to 14 hours
  per day in the remaining regions of Lebanon. This led
  to the installation of small generators in the different
  regions to compensate for the deficiencies.

• These generators are also not accounted for in the
  collected numbers as electricity produced since there
  are no statistics for them.
Primary Energy and GDP
 Primary energy consumption (ktoe) and GDP constant (LC constant price) base
    year (2000 or 2003) =100%

150%
                 Primary energy consumption

                 GDP at constant price
140%


130%


120%


110%


100%


90%


80%


70%
   1999   2000    2001      2002         2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Energy Context- Values and
                         trends consumption per
  Energy dependency and primary energy
         capita (ktoe/1000 hab)
                                                                   Average Primary Energy
      Energy Dependency Ratio                                     Consumption per habitant

97%
                                                          1.800
                         Energy dependence Ratio                       Average Primary Energy Consumption per
                                                                       habitant
97%                                                       1.600



                                                          1.400
96%


                                                          1.200
96%

                                                          1.000

95%
                                                          0.800


95%                                                       0.600
  1998     2000   2002   2004    2006     2008     2010       1998   2000   2002     2004     2006     2008     2010
Macro indicators

   Intensities of Primary and Final Energy (ktoe/ 1000 LC)

    0.00140

    0.00130

    0.00120

    0.00110

    0.00100

    0.00090

    0.00080

    0.00070

    0.00060
                  Intensity of Primary Energy
    0.00050
                  Intensity of Final Energy
    0.00040
          1999   2000       2001       2002     2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Transformation sector
   Specific consumption of power generation (toe/GWH)

                Specific Consumption of Power Generation



    270.00


    250.00


    230.00


    210.00


    190.00

                       Specific Consumption of Power
    170.00
                       Generation

    150.00
         1999   2000       2001      2002     2003     2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Transformation sector
• Up to the year 2011, there was no gas or oil production
  in Lebanon. The energy transformation is mostly from
  oil to electricity. The power plants in Lebanon are mainly
  Thermal power plants with approximately 2000 MW
  installed capacity. The efficiency of the thermal plants is
  low because most of them are old plants that should be
  retired.


• The hydraulic power plants installed capacity is 220MW.
  The share in the RE is picking up. Government laws
  should support the installation of RE plants like Wind
  and PV.
Industry Indicators
   Intensity of industry sector

            Final energy consumption of Industry Sector (Ktoe)



    1,400

    1,200

    1,000

     800

     600

     400         Final energy consumption of
                 Industry Sector
     200

       0
        1999   2000     2001      2002         2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Industry Indicators
 The Industry sector contributes 16% of the GDP and
  consumes approximately 20% of the final energy
  consumption. Although the share of the industry sector
  is known, the consumption per industry type was not
  found.
 The government has to encourage this sector by
  introducing new favorable laws.
Residential sector
 The residential sector consumes approximately 25% of
  the final energy consumption.
 The residential sector is growing rapidly in Lebanon with
  the active real estate sector. The power needs are also
  increasing with the number of dwelling and because of
  the penetration of the air conditioning units into the
  market. The increase in the power needs was
  accomplished by small generators at very high kWh
  cost, since the government installed capacity did not
  increase since the year 2000.
 The government should support the use of solar water
  heaters and PV and wind power generation.
Residential sector
   Equipment Rate of Solar Heater water (m2/1000 hab)

                 Diffusion Rate of Solar Water Heaters in
                            Residential sector


    90.00

    80.00

    70.00

    60.00

    50.00

    40.00

    30.00

    20.00                                                Diffusion Rate of Solar Water
                                                         Heaters in Residential sector
    10.00

     0.00
        1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006      2007       2008       2009
SWH current and future
Tertiary Indicators
   The services sector is the dominant economic sector (79% of
    the GDP), and heavily depends on trade, imports, exports,
    tourism, hotels, restaurants, & entertainment industry, but
    mostly on the financial industry.
   Lebanon has over 80 banks both local and international,
    serving the needs of public & private sectors via established
    correspondents worldwide. The country also has a large
    number of insurance companies both international & local.
   The tertiary sector contributes 79% of the GDP and
    consumes approximately 5 to 10% of the final energy
    consumption.
   The same problems faced in data collection in the industry
    are also faced in the tertiary sector where it was not possible
    to get the consumption per sector (Hotel, Hospitals, etc.).
Transport Indicators
 The transport sector consumes approximately 42% of
  the final energy consumption. The number of cars in the
  last years has been increasing at the rate of 8% per
  year, which is a high rate.
 There is no public transportation by the government, but
  rather there is some private companies operating some
  buses on specified routes. There are no trains or trams
  and the infrastructure for the bus stops is also missing.
 This sector consumes a little less than half the energy in
  the country and this can be greatly improved by the
  introduction of a good public transportation system.
Conclusion
   Difficulties in data collection because of lack of
    information.
   Other difficulties: neighborhood generators.
    Data collection for the private generators must
    be established to monitor and control this
    necessary but undesirable business and make
    sure it is shrinking not growing.
   Exposure to other countries made it clear that
    Lebanon needs to formulate a systematic
    approach for indicators calculation.
   Lebanon should benefit from the network of
    experts and focal points that make it easier to
    learn.
Conclusion
   Establish a systematic approach for data
    collection and indicators calculation to help in
    decision making and check the results of
    actions taken by the government to direct the
    country economy into a more green economy.
    This is being overcome by an joint effort from
    LCEC, CAS, EDL and MEW.
   Because of the high dependency of Lebanon
    on imported energy in one form or the other, it
    is recommended that the government support
    the market development of renewable energies
    including Solar water heaters, decentralized PV
    and wind power plants.

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Lebanon presentation cairo nov2012

  • 1. November 29th, 2012 Country Presentation by: Ghassan Dib
  • 2. PRESENTATION CONTENT Strengths and Weaknesses of data collection process Indicators presentation Use of indicators in National or regional EE and RE policy monitoring and evaluation Conclusion and recommendations
  • 3. Introduction • The work shown in this report was initiated jointly by the Plan Bleu, in partnership with RCREEE, to formulate ''energy conservation indicators'' in 10 Southern Mediterranean countries and MENA region, namely: Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Libya, Palestine, Tunisia and Yemen. • This project that aims to contribute to the construction of energy efficiency indicators and to interpret them for the entire Southern Mediterranean region. • Special thanks to all people who contributed in helping the experts understand the business of indicators and to all the Lebanese institutions that helped in providing the required data.
  • 4. Introduction • The Lebanese economy is service-oriented; main growth sectors include banking and tourism. The GDP is $39 billion and is divided per sector as follows: agriculture: 5%, industry: 16%, services: 79%. • The electricity production in Lebanon is 10,282 GWh per year. Lebanon imports 1.114 billion kWh from neighboring countries. Lebanon dependency ratio is very high (Above 95%) since electricity is either imported or produced by imported fuel with a very small fraction produced by Hydro and some renewable systems.
  • 5. Data Collection • As seen in the table below, the data needed at the macro level were mainly available. The data related to the energy totals was also available. • The exercise revealed that data of the energy in the sectors are not being collected faithfully. Also, other problems appeared when we came to interpret the data.
  • 6. Data Collection • The major difficulties in the collection were in the lack of availability of the data and not because of a lack of cooperation. Most of the bodies, institutions and ministries provided the necessary help and provided whatever is available. • The energy demand is higher than the produced energy and hence the power from the government is provided for 20 hours in Beirut area and up to 14 hours per day in the remaining regions of Lebanon. This led to the installation of small generators in the different regions to compensate for the deficiencies. • These generators are also not accounted for in the collected numbers as electricity produced since there are no statistics for them.
  • 7. Primary Energy and GDP Primary energy consumption (ktoe) and GDP constant (LC constant price) base year (2000 or 2003) =100% 150% Primary energy consumption GDP at constant price 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 8. Energy Context- Values and trends consumption per Energy dependency and primary energy capita (ktoe/1000 hab) Average Primary Energy Energy Dependency Ratio Consumption per habitant 97% 1.800 Energy dependence Ratio Average Primary Energy Consumption per habitant 97% 1.600 1.400 96% 1.200 96% 1.000 95% 0.800 95% 0.600 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
  • 9. Macro indicators  Intensities of Primary and Final Energy (ktoe/ 1000 LC) 0.00140 0.00130 0.00120 0.00110 0.00100 0.00090 0.00080 0.00070 0.00060 Intensity of Primary Energy 0.00050 Intensity of Final Energy 0.00040 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 10. Transformation sector  Specific consumption of power generation (toe/GWH) Specific Consumption of Power Generation 270.00 250.00 230.00 210.00 190.00 Specific Consumption of Power 170.00 Generation 150.00 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 11. Transformation sector • Up to the year 2011, there was no gas or oil production in Lebanon. The energy transformation is mostly from oil to electricity. The power plants in Lebanon are mainly Thermal power plants with approximately 2000 MW installed capacity. The efficiency of the thermal plants is low because most of them are old plants that should be retired. • The hydraulic power plants installed capacity is 220MW. The share in the RE is picking up. Government laws should support the installation of RE plants like Wind and PV.
  • 12. Industry Indicators  Intensity of industry sector Final energy consumption of Industry Sector (Ktoe) 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 Final energy consumption of Industry Sector 200 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 13. Industry Indicators  The Industry sector contributes 16% of the GDP and consumes approximately 20% of the final energy consumption. Although the share of the industry sector is known, the consumption per industry type was not found.  The government has to encourage this sector by introducing new favorable laws.
  • 14. Residential sector  The residential sector consumes approximately 25% of the final energy consumption.  The residential sector is growing rapidly in Lebanon with the active real estate sector. The power needs are also increasing with the number of dwelling and because of the penetration of the air conditioning units into the market. The increase in the power needs was accomplished by small generators at very high kWh cost, since the government installed capacity did not increase since the year 2000.  The government should support the use of solar water heaters and PV and wind power generation.
  • 15. Residential sector  Equipment Rate of Solar Heater water (m2/1000 hab) Diffusion Rate of Solar Water Heaters in Residential sector 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 Diffusion Rate of Solar Water Heaters in Residential sector 10.00 0.00 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 16. SWH current and future
  • 17. Tertiary Indicators  The services sector is the dominant economic sector (79% of the GDP), and heavily depends on trade, imports, exports, tourism, hotels, restaurants, & entertainment industry, but mostly on the financial industry.  Lebanon has over 80 banks both local and international, serving the needs of public & private sectors via established correspondents worldwide. The country also has a large number of insurance companies both international & local.  The tertiary sector contributes 79% of the GDP and consumes approximately 5 to 10% of the final energy consumption.  The same problems faced in data collection in the industry are also faced in the tertiary sector where it was not possible to get the consumption per sector (Hotel, Hospitals, etc.).
  • 18. Transport Indicators  The transport sector consumes approximately 42% of the final energy consumption. The number of cars in the last years has been increasing at the rate of 8% per year, which is a high rate.  There is no public transportation by the government, but rather there is some private companies operating some buses on specified routes. There are no trains or trams and the infrastructure for the bus stops is also missing.  This sector consumes a little less than half the energy in the country and this can be greatly improved by the introduction of a good public transportation system.
  • 19. Conclusion  Difficulties in data collection because of lack of information.  Other difficulties: neighborhood generators. Data collection for the private generators must be established to monitor and control this necessary but undesirable business and make sure it is shrinking not growing.  Exposure to other countries made it clear that Lebanon needs to formulate a systematic approach for indicators calculation.  Lebanon should benefit from the network of experts and focal points that make it easier to learn.
  • 20. Conclusion  Establish a systematic approach for data collection and indicators calculation to help in decision making and check the results of actions taken by the government to direct the country economy into a more green economy. This is being overcome by an joint effort from LCEC, CAS, EDL and MEW.  Because of the high dependency of Lebanon on imported energy in one form or the other, it is recommended that the government support the market development of renewable energies including Solar water heaters, decentralized PV and wind power plants.