Regional Workshop: National Energy Efficiency Action Plans Kempinski Hotel, Amman, Jordan 5 - 6 December, 2010

1. Arab EE Guideline Monitoring & Evaluation
Concept & Progress
Regional Workshop:
National Energy Efficiency Action Plans
Amman, 5-6 December, 2010
Ashraf Kraidy
Senior Expert
Regional Center for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
www.rcreee.org

2. EE Policy Purpose
Effective EE EE Market
Policy Creation or
Transformation
Stimulate the demand
for EE projects
Lead the projects from the
inception ideas to the actual
implementation
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3. Effective EE Policy Dynamics
Design
NEEAP 1
Policy 3 EE Market
Redefine
assessment Years Implement
stimulation
Plan
EE measures
Evaluate
quantifying
Evaluation
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4. Policy Cycle within the Arab EE Guideline
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5. Definition Of NEEAP
target and Potential
GWh/y technically
and economically
Contribution to
Quantify savings energy saving by
achieved sector &
Revision of Design policy
policy and package by
targets sector
Monitoring
and
Evaluation of Cost analysis for
Evaluation polices and projects within
Steps and services polices
procedures
Implementation
and monitoring
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6. While designing the monitoring and evaluation system for the region
An important question should be addressed:
What makes Arab EE Guideline implementation is difficult in the region..?
The EE market have been characterized by
Week demand for EE services and products,
the absence of market development tools and measures
and underdeveloped supply leave the market stuck in a deadlock
Tailored –made approach for Monitoring and Evaluation system
is highly needed for the region
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7. Gap-analysis identifying barriers and obstacles
Target Legal Agency S&L Financial Obligation ESCO Transport Awareness
framework Incentives
ALG x x x x x x
EGY x x x x x x
JOR x x x x x x
LEB x x x x
LIB
MOR x x x x x x
PAL x x x
SYR x x x x x
TUN x x x x x x x x x
YEM x
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8. Monitoring and Evaluation Methodology
Monitoring and Evaluation system
is needed not only for the policy implementation and evaluation
but also when developing the NEEAP itself.
Main methodological challenge related to NEEAP is to
assess relationship between potentials, targets and effects of measures
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9. Monitoring and Evaluation Approach
Top – Down Approach
Bottom – Up Approach
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10. Top Down Approach
• Purely statistical approach
• Based on available national statistics and indicators
Advantages
- Simple (i.e. well defined calculation process and inputs)
- Less costly to implement then detailed bottom-up methods
Disadvantages
- Does not consider individual EE measures and their impact
- Does not show cause and effect relationships between measures
and their resulting energy savings
- Require huge amount of data
- Data availability and reliability
- Needs modeling and expert judgment to overcome the lack of data
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11. Bottom – Up Approach
Disadvantages of this approach:the implementation of specific EE
Energy savings obtained through
measures to be evaluated
1. This approach have two methodologies:
Long time needed to achieve solid results
2. 1- compare measurementsfield of evaluating and quantifying EE
High experience in the of energy use made before and after
implementation of an EE measure
measures
- May be very costly due to measurement equipment
3. Monitoring and targeting system to be in theEE projects!
- Recommended to be used only for large scale place
4. 2- EE measure is awarded come certain amount of energy savings prior
Implementation should with a before targets
to its actual realization
5. Accurate data depends on professional experience or frequent
- Has significantly lower costs and is especially appropriate for
replicable measures with well known impacts
measurements
- Should be used whenever possible, especially for simple
6. Calculation should always be updated and with known impacts!
measures capable for wide replications according to prices changes
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12. EE targets in the Region
Countries Date of Achieving Target
Algeria (2007-2011) 1% per year
(2020) 12%
Morocco
(2030) 15%
Tunisia (2011) 20%
Egypt (2022) 8.3%
Jordan
(2020) 20%
Yemen
(2025) 15% in Power sector
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13. The need to EE Indicators
- Primary energy demand would increase by an
average of 5% per annum
- Electricity consumption growth rate by 8% per year
Energy Security
Long term policies on EE Dependency
Policy design and monitoring require the use of relevant
indicators to optimize decision making and assessing
policy choice at both global and sector level
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14. The Study of EE Indicators by RCREEE
“Study and implementation of a set of energy
efficiency indicators and data base in Southern and
Eastern Mediterranean countries”
Objectives of the study:
Strengthening the capacity of RCREEE MS in monitoring
their energy policies by using the EE indicators.
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15. Levels of Indicators
Global • Energy intensity
• GHG emissions per GDP
• The structural changes effect
Sectorial • Specific Energy Consumption
Diffusion • Market share of efficient technology
• Energy efficient practice
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16. EE Indicators Study Implementation
Cooperation & co-financing
Agreement
• 12 months study
• International Consultant, national private experts, governmental focal points
• Steps:
1. Setting the Indicators
2. Data Collection
3. Training on the methodology
4. workshops & Round table
5. Dissemination and publication of the results
Energy data & indicators
Network
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17. RCREEE Direct Activities to Support
the Arab EE Guideline
Support drawing NEEAPs for all member states
Support the guideline Implementation, evaluation
and reporting (Watch Role)
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18. Support drawing NEEAPs
Coordination plan (MED-EMIP, MED-ENEC, LAS,
ESCWA and RCREEE) to support countries to draw a
3 year (NEEAP)
1. Prepare NEEAP Template
2. Workshop “National plans for energy regional
challenges” Tunisia July, 2010
3. National workshops, Ministerial Meetings, National
events and consultancy services Lebanon, Jordan,
Syria, Libya, Algeria, Morocco and Egypt
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19. Support the guideline Implementation
(watch role of RCREEE)
RCREEE will play the watch role for implementing and
evaluating the NEEAPs
• Tunisia workshop recommended “To request a regional
institution to monitor the qualitative progress and
quantitative impact of national energy efficiency action
plans (NEEAP) and to publish regularly an annual report
about its findings to be widely distributed and discussed
through the stakeholders’ networks”
• Resolution of the last EE workgroup and then the RE&EE
Experts Committee meeting that RCREEE will be this
regional institution
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20. Objectives
• RCREEE to provide most efficient support to LAS in the field of the
implementation of the Arab EE directive.
• This includes regular monitoring and reporting activities addressing
authorities and the public as well as consulting and training.
• Developing evaluation methodology and finding criteria for the
screening and the evaluation of National Energy Efficiency Action Plans
(NEEAP) and defining the content, structure and format of the outcome
and reports
• Awareness raising through disseminating of study findings:
1. Supporting awareness raising on the energy efficiency through
communication elements (newsletter, press releases), expert
articles and media campaigns
2. Organizing meetings and events 2011-2013
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21. Watch Role Function….1
• Developing evaluation methodology and finding criteria
for the screening and the evaluation of National Energy
Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAP) and defining the
content, structure and format of the outcome and
reports
• According to NEEAPs, an update of evaluation of
political and legislative measures, instruments in the
field of energy efficiency within the framework of the
EE Directive
• Revision and updating the format of the envisioned
annual report
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22. Watch Role Function…2
• Prepare a draft of the first Arab Energy Efficiency
Progress Report 2011
• Help to keep communication and exchange of
information alive with up to 4 highly relevant
committees working in the same subject area
• Support events for awareness raising, marketing and
communication
• Make available or give access to newest international
developments about the subject
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23. www.rcreee.org

24. Thank you for your attention.
Regional Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
Nasr City, Cairo, Egypt
Tel. +2 02 241 54 691
Fax +2 02 241 54 661
Eng. Ashraf Kraidy kraidy.ashraf@gtz.de
www.rcreee.org