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Support Prices
Moon in the Mirror
A price guarantee for farmers
• The Agricultural Prices Commission was set up in January
  1965 to advise the Government on price policy for
  agricultural commodities, with a view to evolving a
  balanced and integrated price structure in the perspective
  of the overall needs of the economy (emphasis added)
  and with due regard to the interests of the producer and
  the consumer” (GOI, 1965).
• Later on extended to 25 crops
   – Cereals: Paddy, Wheat, Jowar, Bajra, Maize, Ragi, Barley
   – Pulses: Moong, Urad, Arhar, Gram,
   – Oilseeds: Groundnut, Rapeseed and
     Mustard, Niger, soybean, Sunflower, Sesamum and Safflower
   – Fiber Crops: Cotton and Jute
   – Others: Sugarcane, VFC Tobacco, Onion, Potato, Coconut
Various Committees
•   1965: LK Jha Committee
•   1980: Sen Committee
•   1990: Hanumanth Rao Committee
•   1995: Report of the Task Force on Terms of
    Trade between Agriculture and Non-
    Agricultural Sectors
Strategies
• Announcement of MSP for major Foodgrains
• Procurement prices for purchasing surplus
  from the cultivators
• Public Distribution System and building proper
  buffer stocks for the purchased
• zonal restrictions for the movement of
  foodgrains to manage the supply and demand.
Factors considered
1.    Cost of production
2.    Changes in input prices
3.    Input-output price parity
4.    Trends in market prices
5.    Demand and supply
6.    Inter-crop price parity
7.    Effect on industrial cost structure
8.    Effect on cost of living
9.    Effect on general price level
10.   International price situation
11.   Parity between prices paid and prices received by the farmers.
12.   Effect on issue prices and implications for subsidy
Regional Variations
• Costs of Production per Quintal of Paddy 2012-13
   – Andhra Pradesh       : Rs. 1207.11
   – Chhattisgarh         : Rs. 1111.07
   – Jharkand             : Rs. 1433.98
   – Maharashtra          : Rs. 1766.92
   – Uttarakand           : Rs. 813.96
   – Punjab               : Rs. 908.48
• MSP for Quintal
   – Common Variety       : Rs. 1250
   – Fine Variety         : Rs. 1280
Problems in estimating yields
• Considerable divergence exists between yields obtained from Crop
  Cutting Experiments (CCEs) and those from Comprehensive Scheme
  (CS Scheme) to study Cost of Cultivations both by Department of
  Economics and Statistics (DES) of Ministry of Agriculture
• In the last ten years between 2001-01 to 2009-10 on average the
  yields estimated by CCEs were lower than CS Scheme across crops
  viz.,
   –   Paddy (19.7%)
   –   Maize (10.80%)
   –   Tur (17.12%)
   –   Soybean (16.41%)
   –   Groundnut (-0.82%)
   –   Cotton (301.97%)
• CACP takes the yields from the CS scheme significantly
  underestimating per quintal cost of production.
• CACP collects the data from CS Scheme through 5800 centres
  through the state agriculture universities where as the CCEs are
  done across 9,73,184 centres with the help of State Governments.
FARM HARVEST PRICES AND MINIMUM SUPPORT
          PRICES OF PADDY IN AP
           Farm Harvest Price           Minimum Support
                                              Price
   YEAR     Kharif    Rabi      Average Grade-A Commo
                                                     n
  1998-99 510.53      426.17     486.35   470       440
  1999-00 559.42      524.44     538.66   520       490
  2000-01 507.93      478.58     499.61   540       510
  2001-02 565.77      529.40     550.16   560       530
  2002-03 623.29      578.08     609.27   560       530
  2003-04 569.37      572.27     570.38   560       530
  2004-05 605.49      604.07     605.02   580       550
  2005-06 648.21      579.59     616.95   600       570
  2006-07 670.19      622.22     650.30   610       580
  2007-08 777.76      767.17     773.66   675       645
  2008-09 1035.75     892.28     963.56   921       950
  2009-10 1100.67     955.76    1072.66  1030       1000
  2010-11 880.65      850.76     865.70  1080       1030
  2011-12 AP Govt
  Source: DES,
               1050                      1110       1080
Prices recommended by AP government for 2012-13
Crops                     Cost of Rec. Support     MSP in 2012-13
                   Cultivation Rs Price Rs /acre       Rs/Quintal
                            /acre
Paddy (Fine var)              ,              ,               1280
Paddy (Common)               ,                ,              1250
Groundnut                    ,               ,              3700
Jowar                            ,           ,              1520
Maize                        ,              ,               1175
Redgram                          ,          ,               3850
Blackgram                    ,              ,               4300
Greengram                     ,                ,            4300
Soyabean                      ,             ,
Cotton                         ,             ,
Sugarcane                   ,
Ragi                        ,                 ,              1500
Sunflower                   ,                ,               3700
Sesame                      ,               ,                4200
State governments irresponsible
                   MSPs recommended for 2013-14 (Rs/q)

Crop               Announced MSP     Announced MSP       Recommended MSP
                   (Rs/q) 2011-12    (Rs/q) 2012-13      (Rs/q) 2013-14
Paddy              1110              1280                2811
Blackgram          3300              4300                7295
Soybean            1650              2200                4382
Groundnut          2700              3700                8019
Sunflower          2800              3700                7412
Sesame             3400              4200                7847
Ragi               1050              1500                2925
Maize              980               1175                2100
Jowar              1000              1520                2862
Redgram                              3850                7277
Greengram                            4300                7287
Government of Andhra Pradesh
Procurement of various food grains by the
           Government (2004-05 to 2010-11)
Year       Rice               Wheat               Coarse grains             Total
           Prod     Procur.   Prod.    Procur.    Prod.    Procu    Prod.      Procu.
2004-05    885.3    246.85    721.5    167.95     276.0    8.27     1882.8     423.07
2005-06    831.3    276.56    686.4    147.87     334.6    11.51    1852.3     435.94
2006-07    917.9    251.06    693.5    92.26      340.6    0.00     1952.0     343.32
2007-08    933.5    287.36    758.1    111.28     339.2    2.03     2030.8     400.67
2008-09    966.9    336.85    785.7    226.89     407.6    13.75    2160.2     577.49
2009-10    991.8    301.34    806.8    253.82     400.3    4.08*    2198.9     555.08

2010-11                                225.25*

Source: Koushik Basu (2010) Economics of Food grain management in India and Data from
Directorate of Economics and Statistics and updated from Ministry of Food and Civil
Supplies website.
States where the C2 cost projection by CACP were not covered
Crop
         by MSP
         A.P, Assam, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, M.P, Tamil Nadu & West
Paddy
         Bengal
Jowar    A.P, Karnataka, M.P, Maharashtra & Tamil Nadu
Bajra    Gujarat, Haryana, U.P, Maharashtra
Maize    A.P, H.P, Karnataka, M.P, Rajasthan & U.P
Ragi     Karnataka, Tamil Nadu
Tur
        A.P, Gujarat, Karnataka & Orissa
[Arhar]
Moong    A.P, Maharashatra, Orissa & Rajasthan
Urd      M.P, Maharashtra, Orissa, Rajasthan & Tamil Nadu
Gram     Haryana, Rajasthan
Barley   Rajasthan
Real Prices lower than MSP (2010-11)
Crop                           MSP           M.P.   Maha - Gujarat Rajasthan
                                                    rashtra

Paddy                          1000          850           785,853
Jowar                          880           601                     851
Maize                          880           860                     793
Bajra                          880           700




Source: CACP Kharif Price Report,, 2011-12
Prices to Farmers
       during 2010-11 and 2011-12
Crop           2010-11 Rs/Quintal 2011-12 Rs/Quintal
Cotton                     6500                3600
Turmeric                  14000                4000
Chillies                  12000                5500
Redgram                    5000                3500
Blackgram                  5200                3500
Bajra                      4000                2000
Jowar                      2500                1800
Onion                     16000                2500
Sweet Orange              75000               60000
Swaminathan recommendation?
                                     C2+50%                    Addl
            Product           Market Target Addl exp           exp (in
Crop        ion cost MSP      price  price  (in Cr)  C2+ 0%    Cr)
Paddy          1530    1250     1300    2295   14575    1683     6039.2
Jowar          1994    1500     1400    2990     379    2193      189.3
Bajra          1258    1175      955    1887      40    1383       18.6
Maize          1147    1175     1244    1720    1209    1262       43.9
Ragi           1177    1500     1289    1765      13    1295        0.2
Redgram        3668    4000     3826    5502     174    4035       21.6
Greengram      3840    4500     4712    5556      78    4224             0
Blackgram      3495    4300     4103    4628     128    3845             0
Groundnut      3746    3700     4678    5619     580    4120             0
Soya           1918    2200     2932    2877       0    2110             0

Cotton                 3600             4174      98    3061             0
               2783             3884
Sunflower      3992    3700     3650    5988     172    4391        5.5
Total                                          17614             6318.3
Procurement of rice during 2009-10
              by FCI and State Agencies
                                                                           (In '000 tonnes)

                          2009-10 *(OCTOBER to SEPTEMBER)
State / U.T
                          FCI                  State agencies           Total

Andhra Pradesh                             6228                   204                6432
Assam                                          8                    0                   8
Bihar                                       283                   549                 832
Chandigarh                                   14                     0                  14
Chhatisgarh                                 437                  2705                3141
Haryana                                      81                  1737                1818
Jharkhand                                    15                     7                  23
Karnataka                                    72                    10                  83
Kerala                                         0                  261                 261
Madhya Pradesh                                 0                  194                 194
Maharashtra                                  55                   156                 211
Orissa                                      190                  2277                2467
Punjab                                      474                  8801                9275
Tamil Nadu                                     0                 1143                1143
Uttar Pradesh                               374                  2317                2691
Uttaranchal                                 207                   169                 375
West Bengal                                 252                   914                1166
Total :                                    8690                 21443               30134
Neg. - below 500 tonnes           *Position as on 30/07/2010.
Current Status MSP
• MSP, if implemented properly, can effectively play the
  expected roles: to act as incentive price, crop pattern
  and input intensity navigator, risk abater and
  technology promoter
• Not an incentive price for the crop or technology
  adoption
• Largely, the crops which received raw deal in terms of
  relative prices were the ones grown by resource poor
  farmers and in slow growth regions.
• Not a remunerative price
• Do not drive rational land use pattern
Main issues
• Faulty Price determining mechanism
   – Estimating costs of cultivations
   – Factors taken into account by CCEA
• Problems in administering
   – Not in all crops and regions
   – No procurement operations like in Odisha
   – Dependency on Rice millers like in AP
   – Only land owning farmers getting benefit like in Chhattisgarh
• Not a statutory right
• Minimum Support Price becoming Maximum Price because of levi
• Restricting Open Market prices using Essential Commodities Act
• Higher MSPs may lead to inflation and encourage cheaper imports
• Impact of NFSB

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Moon in the Mirror: Support Prices to Farmers

  • 2. A price guarantee for farmers • The Agricultural Prices Commission was set up in January 1965 to advise the Government on price policy for agricultural commodities, with a view to evolving a balanced and integrated price structure in the perspective of the overall needs of the economy (emphasis added) and with due regard to the interests of the producer and the consumer” (GOI, 1965). • Later on extended to 25 crops – Cereals: Paddy, Wheat, Jowar, Bajra, Maize, Ragi, Barley – Pulses: Moong, Urad, Arhar, Gram, – Oilseeds: Groundnut, Rapeseed and Mustard, Niger, soybean, Sunflower, Sesamum and Safflower – Fiber Crops: Cotton and Jute – Others: Sugarcane, VFC Tobacco, Onion, Potato, Coconut
  • 3. Various Committees • 1965: LK Jha Committee • 1980: Sen Committee • 1990: Hanumanth Rao Committee • 1995: Report of the Task Force on Terms of Trade between Agriculture and Non- Agricultural Sectors
  • 4. Strategies • Announcement of MSP for major Foodgrains • Procurement prices for purchasing surplus from the cultivators • Public Distribution System and building proper buffer stocks for the purchased • zonal restrictions for the movement of foodgrains to manage the supply and demand.
  • 5. Factors considered 1. Cost of production 2. Changes in input prices 3. Input-output price parity 4. Trends in market prices 5. Demand and supply 6. Inter-crop price parity 7. Effect on industrial cost structure 8. Effect on cost of living 9. Effect on general price level 10. International price situation 11. Parity between prices paid and prices received by the farmers. 12. Effect on issue prices and implications for subsidy
  • 6. Regional Variations • Costs of Production per Quintal of Paddy 2012-13 – Andhra Pradesh : Rs. 1207.11 – Chhattisgarh : Rs. 1111.07 – Jharkand : Rs. 1433.98 – Maharashtra : Rs. 1766.92 – Uttarakand : Rs. 813.96 – Punjab : Rs. 908.48 • MSP for Quintal – Common Variety : Rs. 1250 – Fine Variety : Rs. 1280
  • 7. Problems in estimating yields • Considerable divergence exists between yields obtained from Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) and those from Comprehensive Scheme (CS Scheme) to study Cost of Cultivations both by Department of Economics and Statistics (DES) of Ministry of Agriculture • In the last ten years between 2001-01 to 2009-10 on average the yields estimated by CCEs were lower than CS Scheme across crops viz., – Paddy (19.7%) – Maize (10.80%) – Tur (17.12%) – Soybean (16.41%) – Groundnut (-0.82%) – Cotton (301.97%) • CACP takes the yields from the CS scheme significantly underestimating per quintal cost of production. • CACP collects the data from CS Scheme through 5800 centres through the state agriculture universities where as the CCEs are done across 9,73,184 centres with the help of State Governments.
  • 8. FARM HARVEST PRICES AND MINIMUM SUPPORT PRICES OF PADDY IN AP Farm Harvest Price Minimum Support Price YEAR Kharif Rabi Average Grade-A Commo n 1998-99 510.53 426.17 486.35 470 440 1999-00 559.42 524.44 538.66 520 490 2000-01 507.93 478.58 499.61 540 510 2001-02 565.77 529.40 550.16 560 530 2002-03 623.29 578.08 609.27 560 530 2003-04 569.37 572.27 570.38 560 530 2004-05 605.49 604.07 605.02 580 550 2005-06 648.21 579.59 616.95 600 570 2006-07 670.19 622.22 650.30 610 580 2007-08 777.76 767.17 773.66 675 645 2008-09 1035.75 892.28 963.56 921 950 2009-10 1100.67 955.76 1072.66 1030 1000 2010-11 880.65 850.76 865.70 1080 1030 2011-12 AP Govt Source: DES, 1050 1110 1080
  • 9. Prices recommended by AP government for 2012-13 Crops Cost of Rec. Support MSP in 2012-13 Cultivation Rs Price Rs /acre Rs/Quintal /acre Paddy (Fine var) , , 1280 Paddy (Common) , , 1250 Groundnut , , 3700 Jowar , , 1520 Maize , , 1175 Redgram , , 3850 Blackgram , , 4300 Greengram , , 4300 Soyabean , , Cotton , , Sugarcane , Ragi , , 1500 Sunflower , , 3700 Sesame , , 4200
  • 10. State governments irresponsible MSPs recommended for 2013-14 (Rs/q) Crop Announced MSP Announced MSP Recommended MSP (Rs/q) 2011-12 (Rs/q) 2012-13 (Rs/q) 2013-14 Paddy 1110 1280 2811 Blackgram 3300 4300 7295 Soybean 1650 2200 4382 Groundnut 2700 3700 8019 Sunflower 2800 3700 7412 Sesame 3400 4200 7847 Ragi 1050 1500 2925 Maize 980 1175 2100 Jowar 1000 1520 2862 Redgram 3850 7277 Greengram 4300 7287 Government of Andhra Pradesh
  • 11. Procurement of various food grains by the Government (2004-05 to 2010-11) Year Rice Wheat Coarse grains Total Prod Procur. Prod. Procur. Prod. Procu Prod. Procu. 2004-05 885.3 246.85 721.5 167.95 276.0 8.27 1882.8 423.07 2005-06 831.3 276.56 686.4 147.87 334.6 11.51 1852.3 435.94 2006-07 917.9 251.06 693.5 92.26 340.6 0.00 1952.0 343.32 2007-08 933.5 287.36 758.1 111.28 339.2 2.03 2030.8 400.67 2008-09 966.9 336.85 785.7 226.89 407.6 13.75 2160.2 577.49 2009-10 991.8 301.34 806.8 253.82 400.3 4.08* 2198.9 555.08 2010-11 225.25* Source: Koushik Basu (2010) Economics of Food grain management in India and Data from Directorate of Economics and Statistics and updated from Ministry of Food and Civil Supplies website.
  • 12. States where the C2 cost projection by CACP were not covered Crop by MSP A.P, Assam, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, M.P, Tamil Nadu & West Paddy Bengal Jowar A.P, Karnataka, M.P, Maharashtra & Tamil Nadu Bajra Gujarat, Haryana, U.P, Maharashtra Maize A.P, H.P, Karnataka, M.P, Rajasthan & U.P Ragi Karnataka, Tamil Nadu Tur A.P, Gujarat, Karnataka & Orissa [Arhar] Moong A.P, Maharashatra, Orissa & Rajasthan Urd M.P, Maharashtra, Orissa, Rajasthan & Tamil Nadu Gram Haryana, Rajasthan Barley Rajasthan
  • 13. Real Prices lower than MSP (2010-11) Crop MSP M.P. Maha - Gujarat Rajasthan rashtra Paddy 1000 850 785,853 Jowar 880 601 851 Maize 880 860 793 Bajra 880 700 Source: CACP Kharif Price Report,, 2011-12
  • 14. Prices to Farmers during 2010-11 and 2011-12 Crop 2010-11 Rs/Quintal 2011-12 Rs/Quintal Cotton 6500 3600 Turmeric 14000 4000 Chillies 12000 5500 Redgram 5000 3500 Blackgram 5200 3500 Bajra 4000 2000 Jowar 2500 1800 Onion 16000 2500 Sweet Orange 75000 60000
  • 15. Swaminathan recommendation? C2+50% Addl Product Market Target Addl exp exp (in Crop ion cost MSP price price (in Cr) C2+ 0% Cr) Paddy 1530 1250 1300 2295 14575 1683 6039.2 Jowar 1994 1500 1400 2990 379 2193 189.3 Bajra 1258 1175 955 1887 40 1383 18.6 Maize 1147 1175 1244 1720 1209 1262 43.9 Ragi 1177 1500 1289 1765 13 1295 0.2 Redgram 3668 4000 3826 5502 174 4035 21.6 Greengram 3840 4500 4712 5556 78 4224 0 Blackgram 3495 4300 4103 4628 128 3845 0 Groundnut 3746 3700 4678 5619 580 4120 0 Soya 1918 2200 2932 2877 0 2110 0 Cotton 3600 4174 98 3061 0 2783 3884 Sunflower 3992 3700 3650 5988 172 4391 5.5 Total 17614 6318.3
  • 16. Procurement of rice during 2009-10 by FCI and State Agencies (In '000 tonnes) 2009-10 *(OCTOBER to SEPTEMBER) State / U.T FCI State agencies Total Andhra Pradesh 6228 204 6432 Assam 8 0 8 Bihar 283 549 832 Chandigarh 14 0 14 Chhatisgarh 437 2705 3141 Haryana 81 1737 1818 Jharkhand 15 7 23 Karnataka 72 10 83 Kerala 0 261 261 Madhya Pradesh 0 194 194 Maharashtra 55 156 211 Orissa 190 2277 2467 Punjab 474 8801 9275 Tamil Nadu 0 1143 1143 Uttar Pradesh 374 2317 2691 Uttaranchal 207 169 375 West Bengal 252 914 1166 Total : 8690 21443 30134 Neg. - below 500 tonnes *Position as on 30/07/2010.
  • 17. Current Status MSP • MSP, if implemented properly, can effectively play the expected roles: to act as incentive price, crop pattern and input intensity navigator, risk abater and technology promoter • Not an incentive price for the crop or technology adoption • Largely, the crops which received raw deal in terms of relative prices were the ones grown by resource poor farmers and in slow growth regions. • Not a remunerative price • Do not drive rational land use pattern
  • 18. Main issues • Faulty Price determining mechanism – Estimating costs of cultivations – Factors taken into account by CCEA • Problems in administering – Not in all crops and regions – No procurement operations like in Odisha – Dependency on Rice millers like in AP – Only land owning farmers getting benefit like in Chhattisgarh • Not a statutory right • Minimum Support Price becoming Maximum Price because of levi • Restricting Open Market prices using Essential Commodities Act • Higher MSPs may lead to inflation and encourage cheaper imports • Impact of NFSB