2. Overall Scenario
DD CSK KXP RCB MI KKR SH RR
Qualifies directly 0 16 0 12 8 8 8 8
Tied for qualification 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 0
Does not qualify 16 0 16 0 8 4 8 8
Out of 16 possible combinations of results (assuming no washouts)…
So, life is simple for MI, SH & RR. Win means in. Lose means out.
And simpler still for CSK. And simplest for DD & KXP.
3. CSK
1. Finishes in the top-2 in 14 out of the 16 combinations.
2. Will finish 3rd if they lose to KXP, and KKR & RCB win their matches.
4. RCB
1. Will finish in the top-2 if they beat DD.
2. Even if they lose, RCB gets thru direct if KKR beats RR.
3. If RCB loses to DD and RR beats KKR, then they’ll tie with KKR and er…
still get thru with their terrific NRR.
4. So it’s simple - Beat DD & be in the top-2. Or lose to DD and come 4th.
5. What if it rains? Not to worry. Still thru. Should be in top-2. But can come
3rd if CSK & KKR win their matches. So, much safer if KKR loses.
5. MI
1. If they beat SH, then thru. Else out.
2. Can sneak into top-2 in 4 of the 16 scenarios. What would help…
1. MI wins big
2. KXP thrashes CSK
3. DD beats RCB
4. RR narrowly beats KKR
6. KKR
1. If they beats RR, then thru.
2. If they lose, then they are either directly out, or competing with RCB on
NRR. So, out.
3. The good news is - If they beat RR, they are assured of a top-2 finish…
unless CSK beats KXP and RCB beats DD.
7. SH
1. If they beat MI, then thru. Else out.
2. Can sneak into top-2 in 4 of the 16 scenarios. What would help…
1. SH wins big
2. KXP thrashes CSK
3. DD beats RCB
4. RR narrowly beats KKR
8. RR
1. If they beat KKR, then thru. Else out.
2. Can get into top-2 in 6 of the 16 scenarios. What would help…
1. KXP thrashes CSK
2. DD beats RCB
3. SH vs MI is a close match with preferably MI winning
9. Who do I support in the next 4 games?
If you
support…
KXP vs CSK RR vs KKR RCB vs DD SH vs MI
CSK CSK RR DD Sleep early
RCB KXP RR RCB Party late
MI KXP RR (narrow victory) DD MI
KKR KXP KKR DD Yawn!
SH KXP RR (narrow victory) DD SH
RR KXP RR DD MI (narrow victory)
Note: Fans of KXP and DD can take the weekend off.
