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Colorado Business Economic
Outlook Forum
    Paul Kluck, SIOR
    First Vice President
    CBRE
Regional Distribution: Percentage of U.S. Population Reached Within 500 Miles




CBRE | Page 2
Industrial Supply & Demand Trends
   Metro Denver

        6.0                                                                10.0%


        5.0
                                                                           8.0%

        4.0
                                                                    5.3%   6.0%

        3.0




                                                                                   Vacancy
                                                               3.2MSF
  MSF




                                                                           4.0%
        2.0

                                                                           2.0%
        1.0

                                                                           0.0%
        0.0
                2006    2007    2008    2009     2010   2011    2012 YTD

        -1.0                                                               -2.0%
                       Completions     Net Absorption    Vacancy



CBRE | Page 3
Denver Industrial Rental Rates
 $7.00
                                               Rental Rate
 $6.80

 $6.60

 $6.40

 $6.20

 $6.00

 $5.80                                                $5.88

 $5.60

 $5.40

 $5.20
     2006       2007   2008      2009   2010   2011    2012 YTD




CBRE | Page 4
2012 Major Industrial Transactions

TENANT / BUYER                  ADDRESS                          SF        TYPE


CoorsTek                        4455 Table Mountain Dr         336,606     Sale

Rocky Mountain Bottle Co.       16200 Table Mountain Pky       227,132   Renewal

Goodwill Industries of Denver   4355 Kearney St                221,677   New Lease

FedEx SmartPost                 20321-20431 E 35th Dr          200,000   New Lease

Ford Motor Company              4401 Florence St               186,078   Renewal

OnTrac                          5000 Lima St                   151,929   New Lease

Tolmar                          1201 Cornerstone Dr, Windsor   144,293     Sale

Condit Exhibition               5151 Bannock St                107,524   New Lease

Natural Grocers                 4403 Table Mountain Dr         107,134   New Lease

Precision Building Systems      445-475 W 53rd Pl              100,750   Renewal




CBRE | Page 5
Current Built-To-Suit Projects


                          Niagara Water       319,158 SF
                          Win Wholesale       250,000 SF
                          Interline Brands    319,158 SF
                          US Foods            400,000 SF



                          United Natural Foods 553,757 SF




                          Leprino Foods       350,000 SF Expansion
                                                     Recently Completed




                          Fiberspar           165,000 SF
                                                     Recently Completed

CBRE | Page 6
Where are we in the Industrial Cycle?


   Phase II - Expansion
   Phase II - Expansion                Phase III - Hypersupply
                                        Phase III - Hypersupply
   •Declining Vacancy                      •Increasing Vacancy
   •New Construction                       •New Construction
   •Rent Growth                            •Rent Growth Positive
                                           but Declining

                                                   •Increasing Vacancy
                •Declining Vacancy                 •More Completions
                •Limited Construction
                                                   •Rent Growth Negative
                •Rent Growth Negative              or <Inflation Rate
                or <Inflation Rate




     Phase I - Recovery
     Phase I - Recovery                 Phase IV - Recession
                                         Phase IV - Recession


CBRE | Page 7
FORECAST

• All the signs are pointing toward a
  rent spike in 2013
 •Vacancy dropping

 •Increased Absorption

 •Very little, if any, spec development

 •Continued BTS activity

 •Tenants have been signing longer term leases
 to lock in low rates

 •Owners have been pushing rents on renewals




 CBRE | Page 8
Two-Buck Kluck’s 2012
                       Forecast




                        TWO
                    V
                The Buck Stops Here!




CBRE | Page 9

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Denver Industrial Market Update 2013

  • 1. Colorado Business Economic Outlook Forum Paul Kluck, SIOR First Vice President CBRE
  • 2. Regional Distribution: Percentage of U.S. Population Reached Within 500 Miles CBRE | Page 2
  • 3. Industrial Supply & Demand Trends Metro Denver 6.0 10.0% 5.0 8.0% 4.0 5.3% 6.0% 3.0 Vacancy 3.2MSF MSF 4.0% 2.0 2.0% 1.0 0.0% 0.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD -1.0 -2.0% Completions Net Absorption Vacancy CBRE | Page 3
  • 4. Denver Industrial Rental Rates $7.00 Rental Rate $6.80 $6.60 $6.40 $6.20 $6.00 $5.80 $5.88 $5.60 $5.40 $5.20 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD CBRE | Page 4
  • 5. 2012 Major Industrial Transactions TENANT / BUYER ADDRESS SF TYPE CoorsTek 4455 Table Mountain Dr 336,606 Sale Rocky Mountain Bottle Co. 16200 Table Mountain Pky 227,132 Renewal Goodwill Industries of Denver 4355 Kearney St 221,677 New Lease FedEx SmartPost 20321-20431 E 35th Dr 200,000 New Lease Ford Motor Company 4401 Florence St 186,078 Renewal OnTrac 5000 Lima St 151,929 New Lease Tolmar 1201 Cornerstone Dr, Windsor 144,293 Sale Condit Exhibition 5151 Bannock St 107,524 New Lease Natural Grocers 4403 Table Mountain Dr 107,134 New Lease Precision Building Systems 445-475 W 53rd Pl 100,750 Renewal CBRE | Page 5
  • 6. Current Built-To-Suit Projects Niagara Water 319,158 SF Win Wholesale 250,000 SF Interline Brands 319,158 SF US Foods 400,000 SF United Natural Foods 553,757 SF Leprino Foods 350,000 SF Expansion Recently Completed Fiberspar 165,000 SF Recently Completed CBRE | Page 6
  • 7. Where are we in the Industrial Cycle? Phase II - Expansion Phase II - Expansion Phase III - Hypersupply Phase III - Hypersupply •Declining Vacancy •Increasing Vacancy •New Construction •New Construction •Rent Growth •Rent Growth Positive but Declining •Increasing Vacancy •Declining Vacancy •More Completions •Limited Construction •Rent Growth Negative •Rent Growth Negative or <Inflation Rate or <Inflation Rate Phase I - Recovery Phase I - Recovery Phase IV - Recession Phase IV - Recession CBRE | Page 7
  • 8. FORECAST • All the signs are pointing toward a rent spike in 2013 •Vacancy dropping •Increased Absorption •Very little, if any, spec development •Continued BTS activity •Tenants have been signing longer term leases to lock in low rates •Owners have been pushing rents on renewals CBRE | Page 8
  • 9. Two-Buck Kluck’s 2012 Forecast TWO V The Buck Stops Here! CBRE | Page 9