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Rapid-Fire Decisions
What Do These Have in Common?
Betas on Parade
But Fail Quickly

                   “None of us can predict
                   what our customers really
                   want. We're not setting out
                   to do things wrong, but we
                   can accept that we are
                   doing it wrong most of the
                   time. We need to find out
                   that it's wrong and fix it—
                   fast. It's amazing how smart
                   you'll look when you
                   respond to what your
                   customers say and do.”
                                     --Mike Moran
Moore’s Law
        Computers
        Software
        Memory
        Storage
        Bandwidth
You Can Always Change It
Time Compression
Motrin Headache
The “Mom Response”


   More than 15,000 tweets
   More than 400 media stories
   And 3,500 blog entries
   And then there’s YouTube…




                                  Courtesy Digitas
Mass Media Pickup




                    Courtesy Digitas
Golden Rules
   Good ideas are a dime a dozen
   Intention and behavior are two different
    things
   Don’t test on enthusiasts
   Seek input at every stage
   Open up interfaces
In Technology,
First Movers Rarely Win
First Mover   Winner        First Mover    Winner
Apple I       MS-DOS        Many players   iPod
Apple Newton Palm           Macintosh      Windows
Compuserve    AOL           Novell         TCP/IP
Yahoo         Google        Napster        iTunes
Compaq        Dell          Friendster     Facebook
AT&T          Nokia         Beta           VHS
MySpace       Facebook      Geocities      Blogs
Visicalc      Excel         WordPerfect    Word
Mapquest      Google Maps   1-2-3          Office
Tribal Instincts
   If there was no technology involved, would
    your idea appeal to basic tribal instincts?
   What is the analogy of your idea to the ways
    in which tribal communities work?
   Does your idea solve a compelling problem
    quickly and simply?
   Can your idea be described in 30 words or
    less?

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Getting Over Fear of Failure to Make Rapid Decisions

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. What Do These Have in Common?
  • 9. But Fail Quickly “None of us can predict what our customers really want. We're not setting out to do things wrong, but we can accept that we are doing it wrong most of the time. We need to find out that it's wrong and fix it— fast. It's amazing how smart you'll look when you respond to what your customers say and do.” --Mike Moran
  • 10. Moore’s Law Computers Software Memory Storage Bandwidth
  • 11. You Can Always Change It
  • 14. The “Mom Response”  More than 15,000 tweets  More than 400 media stories  And 3,500 blog entries  And then there’s YouTube… Courtesy Digitas
  • 15. Mass Media Pickup Courtesy Digitas
  • 16. Golden Rules  Good ideas are a dime a dozen  Intention and behavior are two different things  Don’t test on enthusiasts  Seek input at every stage  Open up interfaces
  • 17. In Technology, First Movers Rarely Win First Mover Winner First Mover Winner Apple I MS-DOS Many players iPod Apple Newton Palm Macintosh Windows Compuserve AOL Novell TCP/IP Yahoo Google Napster iTunes Compaq Dell Friendster Facebook AT&T Nokia Beta VHS MySpace Facebook Geocities Blogs Visicalc Excel WordPerfect Word Mapquest Google Maps 1-2-3 Office
  • 18. Tribal Instincts  If there was no technology involved, would your idea appeal to basic tribal instincts?  What is the analogy of your idea to the ways in which tribal communities work?  Does your idea solve a compelling problem quickly and simply?  Can your idea be described in 30 words or less?