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Raising Funds
from Silicon Valley
W a r s a w S c h o o l o f
E c o n o m i c s ( S G H )
M a y 2 0 1 5
What Silicon Valley investors look
for in Polish companies…
What are the differences/surprises
for Polish Startups & Entrepreneurs?
WHY ME?
HOW TO PICK AN INVESTOR?
FOLLOW UP DISCUSSION:
Quick Introduction
What I am doing in Poland
Nine Factors Silicon Valley VC
Investors Look For
SILICON VALLEY FUNDING
Introduction
- From Wroclaw University of Technology, Jun and Oct 2014
Structuring Polish-US investor companies
Why Me?
14+ Years of Top-Notch Experience
Why Me?
Why is Poland the right place right now?
Why Poland?
Why Me?
Polish companies are already being funded
Why Poland?
Brainly, DocPlanner, UXPin, Estimote, Oort, others
MATTERMARK
MULTIPLE $M FINANCINGS
527 PL startups listed
ANGEL LIST
1,835 PL startups at pre-funding thru growth funding
2,624 PL founder-CEOs (out of 1,560,000 PL professionals on LI)
LINKEDIN
Why Me?
Sequoia Capital Famous Question – Why Now?
Why Poland?
Poland #15
Country with
Internet
Penetration
(25+M people)
Why Me?
Sequoia Capital Famous Question – Why Now?
Why Poland?
Poland #8
Country with
Smart Phone
Penetration
(22+M people)
In a great market — a market with lots of
real potential customers — the market
pulls product out of the startup
The Market – Existing, Quantifiable, And Proven Ability To Execute In It
Conversely, in a terrible market, you
can have the best product in the world
and an absolutely killer team, and it
doesn't matter — you're going to fail.
9 Factors
1
Retention is the single most
important thing for growth.
Rapid Growth – 30% forward revenue/user growth per period
(per year for M&A or IPO) or per month/quarter (early stage)
Every single user on their 31st day after
registration, what percentage of them are
monthly active? Thirty-second day, thirty-
third day, thirty-fourth day. And that allows
you, with only 10,000 customers, to get a
real idea of what this curve is going to look
like for your product.
2
9 Factors
Scale – $1Bn+ market cap potential (a “unicorn”), with line of sight to
$1Bn+ in revenues
The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones VentureSource are tracking
venture-backed private companies valued at $1 billion or more. See
how the club has expanded since the project began in January 2014.
The Billion Dollar Startup Club
9 Factors
3
One of the most common types of advice
we give at Y Combinator is to do things that
don't scale
Predictability – Recurring and visible revenue streams / user
growth (lifetime return customers)
The most common unscalable thing
founders have to do at the start is to recruit
users manually… founders ignore this path
because the absolute numbers seem so
small at first.
The mistake they make is to underestimate the power of
compound growth. We encourage every startup to measure
their progress by weekly growth rate. If you have 100 users,
you need to get 10 more next week to grow 10% a
week.” (that’s 14,000 users in Y1 and 2 million users in Y2)
9 Factors
4
Pricing before product – plan
distribution first; is your pricing
scalable?
Product and Customer Diversity – Multiple proven products,
features, customers, industry distribution channels, find customers
Uncontrolled distribution
leads to all manner of head-
ache and profit-bleeding.”.
It’s possible to niche market and
mass sell… Whether Apple or
Estee Lauder, sustainable high-
profit brands usually begin with
controlled distribution. Remember
that more customers isn’t the goal;
more sustained profit is.
5
9 Factors
Startup probabilities of success where cofounders don't have a long history are bad; when things go
wrong, there is no history to bind… A bad early hire can kill a company; in the early days the goal is
to not hire and stay small as long as possible… Be proud of how much can be done with fewer
employees; more equals high burn rate, complexity & slower decisions… Founders underestimate
how hard it is to recruit; the best employees have options; mission belief is the differentiator.
Proven Management Team – Track record managing growth increases
investor confidence in execution
The most important thing and the prime directive for
founders managing a startup is always keep momentum….
What happens when growth slows down is people start
getting unhappy and quitting and everything falls apart.
9 Factors
6
Globalization means copying things that
work… There is no innovation; you go
from building 1 to n typewriters (…)
Weak Competitive Landscape – Emerging leader taking share from
legacy vendors unable to respond (new and disruptive)
Technologization / technology, by contrast,
involves doing new things… True technology
companies—Palantir, SpaceX—involve going
from 0 to 1. This means going from
typewriters to word processors.
9 Factors
7
When you are starting a startup you need
revenue. You need validation. You need
users. You need commitment. Free trials
get you none of those things… You think
you've made progress but at the end of
the free trial you’re going to have to sell
them all over again
Strong Economic Model – Quantifiable and proven inputs for unit cost of
customer acquisition, revenues, margins and contributions over time
Two things you should be doing when you're
starting your company: talking to your users
(selling) or building your product. As a founder,
you have some unique advantages that make it
possible for you to be really, really good at sales:
passion for the product and your knowledge of the
industry and the problem that you're solving.
9 Factors
8
If you’re going to spend the best years of your
life working on something, you better make it
something you care about. The mission is not
the exact problem you’re going to solve, but
it’s the North Star. It’s telling you the direction
in which you should go.
The Elevator Pitch – One Sentence that Describes it All
9 Factors
Frequency, Density, and Pain have become three
variables that I now look at to analyze almost any problem.
Frequency: Does the problem you’re solving occur often?
Density: Do a lot of people face this problem?
Pain: Is the problem just an annoyance, or something you
absolutely must resolve?
Frequency, Density and Pain question can help you to
identify how often people have this problem? How many
people have this problem? Do they care?
9
How to Pick Investors?
How to Pick Investors?
One of the really cool things that's happening
right now is this massive proliferation of ways
to start a company and ways to get your
company funded
MORE OPTIONS THAN EVER TO GET A NEW COMPANY FUNDED:
— Aaron Harris, a partner at Y Combinator
HOW DOES A POLISH COMPANY RAISE MONEY IN THE USA?
VC Funding not only route…
Set up a US affiliate which accepts US
funding (for legal reasons).
When there is a liquidation (sale, IPO),
the flow of funds need to be established
to pass to the international owners
(either directly via shares in US entity or
flow of funds).
Because of some commoditization of basic
entity set-up services in US, this can be
done for small amounts of money
The US company is the economic
and voting entity. The Polish affiliate
is the R&D and operations entity.
$1,000 to set up entity $25,000 to
$50,000 to close financing deal.
Angel Funding, Syndicate Funding,
Crowdfunding viable
How to Pick Investors?
Team Leadership skills, operating knowhow
and industry knowledge are all tremendously
important. However, most entrepreneurs seem
to make their decisions more on perceived
brand, past successes and ability to intro.
How to Pick Investors?
Look at their portfolio list
Subtract out the extremely successful companies. a) they have no time for you
& b) everybody who has a super successful out-of-the-gate company loves
their VC because there was no conflict
Call the companies that are doing well but not yet household names. Ask
about the criteria above
More importantly, call the companies that struggled. You’ll learn most about
VCs when you find out how they handled themselves in tough situations. Make
sure to call 3-4 members of the management team to avoid one person’s bias
Past successes aren’t always relevant to future ones (web vs. mobile,
Traditional software vs. SaaS, SEO marketing vs. social marketing)
REFERENCE CHECK IS BEST WAY TO CHOOSE A VC:
How to Pick Investors?
Helpfulness, contacts are important…
Team Leadership? Most Important.
In almost every company there is executive management fighting…
Politics are a part of human nature and thus a part of all startups…
Knowing whom to back within an organization that is feuding and
when to back them is one of the hardest things about a VCs job.
And in the end must trust their own judgment..
How to Pick Investors?
REFERENCE CHECK IS BEST WAY TO CHOOSE A VC:
What are the differences / surprises for PL startups / entrepreneurs?
Additional Questions – I will get back to you
(1) LINKEDIN: Peter Szymanski
(2) EMAIL: Peter@SiliconValleyCounsel.com
Beta Test Silicon Valley Counsel online?
- Connect and I will send you a link… sneak peak…
Summary
SNEAK PEAK – LAUNCHING JUNE 22, 2015
SNEAK PEAK
KINDLY VOTE https://www.missionmainstreetgrants.com/b/30729
Never been easier to start a technology company…
In the USA or anywhere else…
Why?... Decreasing costs, market factors…
On the other hand… Silicon Valley is very
expensive…
Global Trends
What about the Silicon Valley funding bubble?Global Trends
Maybe in the
future…
Today we are
in a boom!
It’s become 2x more expensive to scale a startup in
Silicon Valley in 2015 versus 2009
The combined inflation of real estate and
wage costs in Silicon Valley have a
dramatic impact of the operating expenses
of startups. This chart compares the op-ex
(excluding marketing spend) of a
hypothetical 20 person Series A startup and
a hypothetical 80 person Series B startup
over the past five years in Silicon Valley. In
both cases, the op-ex figures double from
$2.5M to $5.0M and from $7.9M to $15.6M
respectively.
Global Trends
More powerful
phones =
more potential for
powerful apps
Global Trends
Smartphone costs declining… 5% annually from 2008-2013…
Global Trends
Bandwidth costs declining… 27% annually from 1999-2013…
Declining cost /
Performance of
bandwidth enables faster
collection & transfer of
data to facilitate richer
connections / interactions
Global Trends
Compute costs declining 33% annually (1990-2013)
Decreasing cost /
performance curve
enables computational
power at core of
digital infrastructure….
Each new
computing cycle
typically
generates 10x
the installed
base of previous
cycle…
Global Trends
Mobile internet has potential to be 10x bigger than desktop internet…
Global Trends Mobile usage continues to rise rapidly…
25% of total web
usage vs. 14%
year over year
Global Trends Mobile traffic as % of Internet Traffic
25% in 2015,
rising fast
Internet use is huge but growth slowing...
+9% in 2013
+11% in 2012
+16% in 2011...
Global Trends
Global Trends Smart phones have lots of upside remaining
Only 30% of Global
5.2B unit Phone
Market are Smart
Phones, More
Shipments Each
Year
Global Trends Mobile is constantly changing
Global smartphone
Operating System is
97% Different Than
10 Years Ago
Global Trends Tablets Growing +50% Per Year
Faster than PC
Ever Did
Global Trends Mobile + Tablets Shipment = 5x of TV + PC
Just 10 Years
Since Inception
Creates
Opportunity…
How big will Streaming Mobile Video be in 5 years?Global Trends
Global Trends
Cloud Technology/Apps Challenging Physical
Products Pain Points
Global Trends Sensors Growing >30% Per Year, Where in 5 Years?
Beacon Valley
Poland has strong
Position in sensors
Global Trends User Generated Content = 2/3 of All Content
Sharing Content
Not Slowing Down
Where Does It
All Go?
Global Trends User Generated Content = 2/3 of All Content
1.8 B Photos
Uploaded Daily
Are your Photos
And Messages
Organized?
Global Trends Which Way Are Mobile Apps Moving?
Sharing with Friends
And Finding New
Friends…
Not Researching
Information…
Global Trends Technology Has Changed Communications
Facebook, Twitter,
Linkedin, Instagram,
Pinterest, and Tinder…
Change how people
Interact / Communicate
UI Simplicity makes
their virality
Global Trends For Apps, User Interface Needs to Be Super Simple
The Ultimate App =
Press 1 Button
To Get Instant
Gratification
Global Trends Evolution of Messaging
Smaller Groups
Small Messages
More Frequent
Communication
What’s Next? An
Encyclopedia of
Tweetable Premises?
Global Trends What about the Blockchain / Crypto Currency?
Too Many Smart
People Believe
It’s Here to Stay
Who will find the
1st Mainstream
App / Use Case?
Global Trends Online Education is Global, Brainly.PL $9M Funding
Raising Funds
from Silicon Valley
B u s i n e s s L i n k P o l a n d
M a y 2 0 1 5
What Silicon Valley investors look
for in Polish companies…
KINDLY VOTE https://www.missionmainstreetgrants.com/b/30729

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Silicon Valley Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) Presentation 2015.05.23

  • 1. Raising Funds from Silicon Valley W a r s a w S c h o o l o f E c o n o m i c s ( S G H ) M a y 2 0 1 5 What Silicon Valley investors look for in Polish companies…
  • 2. What are the differences/surprises for Polish Startups & Entrepreneurs? WHY ME? HOW TO PICK AN INVESTOR? FOLLOW UP DISCUSSION: Quick Introduction What I am doing in Poland Nine Factors Silicon Valley VC Investors Look For SILICON VALLEY FUNDING Introduction - From Wroclaw University of Technology, Jun and Oct 2014 Structuring Polish-US investor companies
  • 3. Why Me? 14+ Years of Top-Notch Experience
  • 4. Why Me? Why is Poland the right place right now? Why Poland?
  • 5. Why Me? Polish companies are already being funded Why Poland? Brainly, DocPlanner, UXPin, Estimote, Oort, others MATTERMARK MULTIPLE $M FINANCINGS 527 PL startups listed ANGEL LIST 1,835 PL startups at pre-funding thru growth funding 2,624 PL founder-CEOs (out of 1,560,000 PL professionals on LI) LINKEDIN
  • 6. Why Me? Sequoia Capital Famous Question – Why Now? Why Poland? Poland #15 Country with Internet Penetration (25+M people)
  • 7. Why Me? Sequoia Capital Famous Question – Why Now? Why Poland? Poland #8 Country with Smart Phone Penetration (22+M people)
  • 8. In a great market — a market with lots of real potential customers — the market pulls product out of the startup The Market – Existing, Quantifiable, And Proven Ability To Execute In It Conversely, in a terrible market, you can have the best product in the world and an absolutely killer team, and it doesn't matter — you're going to fail. 9 Factors 1
  • 9. Retention is the single most important thing for growth. Rapid Growth – 30% forward revenue/user growth per period (per year for M&A or IPO) or per month/quarter (early stage) Every single user on their 31st day after registration, what percentage of them are monthly active? Thirty-second day, thirty- third day, thirty-fourth day. And that allows you, with only 10,000 customers, to get a real idea of what this curve is going to look like for your product. 2 9 Factors
  • 10. Scale – $1Bn+ market cap potential (a “unicorn”), with line of sight to $1Bn+ in revenues The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones VentureSource are tracking venture-backed private companies valued at $1 billion or more. See how the club has expanded since the project began in January 2014. The Billion Dollar Startup Club 9 Factors 3
  • 11. One of the most common types of advice we give at Y Combinator is to do things that don't scale Predictability – Recurring and visible revenue streams / user growth (lifetime return customers) The most common unscalable thing founders have to do at the start is to recruit users manually… founders ignore this path because the absolute numbers seem so small at first. The mistake they make is to underestimate the power of compound growth. We encourage every startup to measure their progress by weekly growth rate. If you have 100 users, you need to get 10 more next week to grow 10% a week.” (that’s 14,000 users in Y1 and 2 million users in Y2) 9 Factors 4
  • 12. Pricing before product – plan distribution first; is your pricing scalable? Product and Customer Diversity – Multiple proven products, features, customers, industry distribution channels, find customers Uncontrolled distribution leads to all manner of head- ache and profit-bleeding.”. It’s possible to niche market and mass sell… Whether Apple or Estee Lauder, sustainable high- profit brands usually begin with controlled distribution. Remember that more customers isn’t the goal; more sustained profit is. 5 9 Factors
  • 13. Startup probabilities of success where cofounders don't have a long history are bad; when things go wrong, there is no history to bind… A bad early hire can kill a company; in the early days the goal is to not hire and stay small as long as possible… Be proud of how much can be done with fewer employees; more equals high burn rate, complexity & slower decisions… Founders underestimate how hard it is to recruit; the best employees have options; mission belief is the differentiator. Proven Management Team – Track record managing growth increases investor confidence in execution The most important thing and the prime directive for founders managing a startup is always keep momentum…. What happens when growth slows down is people start getting unhappy and quitting and everything falls apart. 9 Factors 6
  • 14. Globalization means copying things that work… There is no innovation; you go from building 1 to n typewriters (…) Weak Competitive Landscape – Emerging leader taking share from legacy vendors unable to respond (new and disruptive) Technologization / technology, by contrast, involves doing new things… True technology companies—Palantir, SpaceX—involve going from 0 to 1. This means going from typewriters to word processors. 9 Factors 7
  • 15. When you are starting a startup you need revenue. You need validation. You need users. You need commitment. Free trials get you none of those things… You think you've made progress but at the end of the free trial you’re going to have to sell them all over again Strong Economic Model – Quantifiable and proven inputs for unit cost of customer acquisition, revenues, margins and contributions over time Two things you should be doing when you're starting your company: talking to your users (selling) or building your product. As a founder, you have some unique advantages that make it possible for you to be really, really good at sales: passion for the product and your knowledge of the industry and the problem that you're solving. 9 Factors 8
  • 16. If you’re going to spend the best years of your life working on something, you better make it something you care about. The mission is not the exact problem you’re going to solve, but it’s the North Star. It’s telling you the direction in which you should go. The Elevator Pitch – One Sentence that Describes it All 9 Factors Frequency, Density, and Pain have become three variables that I now look at to analyze almost any problem. Frequency: Does the problem you’re solving occur often? Density: Do a lot of people face this problem? Pain: Is the problem just an annoyance, or something you absolutely must resolve? Frequency, Density and Pain question can help you to identify how often people have this problem? How many people have this problem? Do they care? 9
  • 17. How to Pick Investors?
  • 18. How to Pick Investors? One of the really cool things that's happening right now is this massive proliferation of ways to start a company and ways to get your company funded MORE OPTIONS THAN EVER TO GET A NEW COMPANY FUNDED: — Aaron Harris, a partner at Y Combinator
  • 19. HOW DOES A POLISH COMPANY RAISE MONEY IN THE USA? VC Funding not only route… Set up a US affiliate which accepts US funding (for legal reasons). When there is a liquidation (sale, IPO), the flow of funds need to be established to pass to the international owners (either directly via shares in US entity or flow of funds). Because of some commoditization of basic entity set-up services in US, this can be done for small amounts of money The US company is the economic and voting entity. The Polish affiliate is the R&D and operations entity. $1,000 to set up entity $25,000 to $50,000 to close financing deal. Angel Funding, Syndicate Funding, Crowdfunding viable How to Pick Investors?
  • 20. Team Leadership skills, operating knowhow and industry knowledge are all tremendously important. However, most entrepreneurs seem to make their decisions more on perceived brand, past successes and ability to intro. How to Pick Investors?
  • 21. Look at their portfolio list Subtract out the extremely successful companies. a) they have no time for you & b) everybody who has a super successful out-of-the-gate company loves their VC because there was no conflict Call the companies that are doing well but not yet household names. Ask about the criteria above More importantly, call the companies that struggled. You’ll learn most about VCs when you find out how they handled themselves in tough situations. Make sure to call 3-4 members of the management team to avoid one person’s bias Past successes aren’t always relevant to future ones (web vs. mobile, Traditional software vs. SaaS, SEO marketing vs. social marketing) REFERENCE CHECK IS BEST WAY TO CHOOSE A VC: How to Pick Investors?
  • 22. Helpfulness, contacts are important… Team Leadership? Most Important. In almost every company there is executive management fighting… Politics are a part of human nature and thus a part of all startups… Knowing whom to back within an organization that is feuding and when to back them is one of the hardest things about a VCs job. And in the end must trust their own judgment.. How to Pick Investors? REFERENCE CHECK IS BEST WAY TO CHOOSE A VC:
  • 23. What are the differences / surprises for PL startups / entrepreneurs? Additional Questions – I will get back to you (1) LINKEDIN: Peter Szymanski (2) EMAIL: Peter@SiliconValleyCounsel.com Beta Test Silicon Valley Counsel online? - Connect and I will send you a link… sneak peak… Summary
  • 24. SNEAK PEAK – LAUNCHING JUNE 22, 2015
  • 27. Never been easier to start a technology company… In the USA or anywhere else… Why?... Decreasing costs, market factors… On the other hand… Silicon Valley is very expensive… Global Trends
  • 28. What about the Silicon Valley funding bubble?Global Trends Maybe in the future… Today we are in a boom!
  • 29. It’s become 2x more expensive to scale a startup in Silicon Valley in 2015 versus 2009 The combined inflation of real estate and wage costs in Silicon Valley have a dramatic impact of the operating expenses of startups. This chart compares the op-ex (excluding marketing spend) of a hypothetical 20 person Series A startup and a hypothetical 80 person Series B startup over the past five years in Silicon Valley. In both cases, the op-ex figures double from $2.5M to $5.0M and from $7.9M to $15.6M respectively. Global Trends
  • 30. More powerful phones = more potential for powerful apps Global Trends Smartphone costs declining… 5% annually from 2008-2013…
  • 31. Global Trends Bandwidth costs declining… 27% annually from 1999-2013… Declining cost / Performance of bandwidth enables faster collection & transfer of data to facilitate richer connections / interactions
  • 32. Global Trends Compute costs declining 33% annually (1990-2013) Decreasing cost / performance curve enables computational power at core of digital infrastructure….
  • 33. Each new computing cycle typically generates 10x the installed base of previous cycle… Global Trends Mobile internet has potential to be 10x bigger than desktop internet…
  • 34. Global Trends Mobile usage continues to rise rapidly… 25% of total web usage vs. 14% year over year
  • 35. Global Trends Mobile traffic as % of Internet Traffic 25% in 2015, rising fast
  • 36. Internet use is huge but growth slowing... +9% in 2013 +11% in 2012 +16% in 2011... Global Trends
  • 37. Global Trends Smart phones have lots of upside remaining Only 30% of Global 5.2B unit Phone Market are Smart Phones, More Shipments Each Year
  • 38. Global Trends Mobile is constantly changing Global smartphone Operating System is 97% Different Than 10 Years Ago
  • 39. Global Trends Tablets Growing +50% Per Year Faster than PC Ever Did
  • 40. Global Trends Mobile + Tablets Shipment = 5x of TV + PC Just 10 Years Since Inception Creates Opportunity…
  • 41. How big will Streaming Mobile Video be in 5 years?Global Trends
  • 42. Global Trends Cloud Technology/Apps Challenging Physical Products Pain Points
  • 43. Global Trends Sensors Growing >30% Per Year, Where in 5 Years? Beacon Valley Poland has strong Position in sensors
  • 44. Global Trends User Generated Content = 2/3 of All Content Sharing Content Not Slowing Down Where Does It All Go?
  • 45. Global Trends User Generated Content = 2/3 of All Content 1.8 B Photos Uploaded Daily Are your Photos And Messages Organized?
  • 46. Global Trends Which Way Are Mobile Apps Moving? Sharing with Friends And Finding New Friends… Not Researching Information…
  • 47. Global Trends Technology Has Changed Communications Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin, Instagram, Pinterest, and Tinder… Change how people Interact / Communicate UI Simplicity makes their virality
  • 48. Global Trends For Apps, User Interface Needs to Be Super Simple The Ultimate App = Press 1 Button To Get Instant Gratification
  • 49. Global Trends Evolution of Messaging Smaller Groups Small Messages More Frequent Communication What’s Next? An Encyclopedia of Tweetable Premises?
  • 50. Global Trends What about the Blockchain / Crypto Currency? Too Many Smart People Believe It’s Here to Stay Who will find the 1st Mainstream App / Use Case?
  • 51. Global Trends Online Education is Global, Brainly.PL $9M Funding
  • 52. Raising Funds from Silicon Valley B u s i n e s s L i n k P o l a n d M a y 2 0 1 5 What Silicon Valley investors look for in Polish companies…