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Concepts & methods from complex systems studies that can help inform NRM   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Presented to the Landscape Science Cluster, University of Adelaide, 28 May 2009.
How do we deal with complexity in the design, management & restoration of ecosystems and landscapes? Ecosystems and landscapes are complex systems
APPLICATIONS ecosystem & landscape design, management & restoration environmental indicators THEORY ecological complexity METHODS ecological informatics (models, analysis,  data management & visualisation) Complex Systems Laboratory Research Program
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Outline
Complex Systems
What is a complex system? “ The whole is more than the sum of the parts.” A system composed of multiple interacting elements having a comportment that is difficult to analyse or describe using only one scale or resolution. (Parrott, 2002.  Trans. of the ASAE .)
What is a complex system?
What is a complex system? Locally interacting entities Emergent structures & processes Feedback What is a complex system?
Complex Systems Key characteristics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Parrott & Li, 2005,  Ecological Society of America Evening Session on Ecological Complexity ) Complexity  Implications for natural resource management
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Complexity  Challenges for natural  resource management
Modelling  Ecological Complexity
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Modelling ecological complexity Considerations
Example:  Modelling ecological resilience
Model: WIST   (Weather-driven, Individual-based, Spatially-explicit, Terrestrial ecosystem model) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Parrott & Kok 2001, 2002 in  Ecological Modelling ) Modelling ecological resilience
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Modelling ecological resilience
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Modelling ecological resilience
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Parrott, 2004,  Ecological Complexity) Case 1:   Study of the resilience of a grassland ecosystem subject to frequent disturbance   Modelling ecological resilience
Ecosystem biomass:  spatiotemporal dynamics
Case 2:   Relationship between grazing intensity and spatiotemporal complexity in a model ecosystem  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Parrott, 2004,  ESA Annual Meeting) Modelling ecological resilience
Modelling ecological resilience Measuring spatiotemporal complexity Dataset: biomass recorded monthly for 10mx10m grid cells
Modelling ecological resilience (Parrott, 2005,  Ecological Complexity;  Parrott et al., 2008,  Ecological Informatics . ) Measuring spatiotemporal complexity
Results over many simulations: Grazing intensity (# of herbivores) Grazing duration (years) Spatiotemporal complexity of vegetation biomass (Parrott, 2004,  ESA Annual Meeting) Modelling ecological resilience
Example:  Understanding community assembly through modelling
Understanding community assembly Species Interaction
Understanding community assembly ,[object Object],Separate communities linked via dispersal (Filotas et al.,  Ecological Complexity , 2008)
Understanding community assembly dispersal Regional species pool (2 20  species; random interaction web) random species introductions Landscape of locally connected communities (typical grid size: 128 x 128 cells) Species  in potentia Local community ( n  interacting species)
Understanding community assembly Spatial patterns of community similarity (Filotas et al.,  in revision )
Understanding community assembly low dispersal regional species pool high dispersal Dispersal rate Dispersal rate Fraction of interacting pairs Structure of the interaction webs (Filotas et al.,  in revision )
Understanding community assembly Dispersal rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Understanding community assembly Using modelling to find optimal community assembly sequences  (Côté & Parrott, 2005; Côté, Parrott & Sabourin, 2007)
Understanding community assembly
Understanding community assembly ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conclusions
[object Object],[object Object],Work in progress...
Acknowledgements Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Les Fonds Québécois sur la Recherche en Nature et Technologies Canadian Foundation for Innovation Québec Supercomputing Network ALL  of the students in the Complex Systems Laboratory, past & present.
Concepts & methods from complex systems studies that can help inform NRM   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Presented to the Landscape Science Cluster, University of Adelaide, 28 May 2009.

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Dr Lael Parrott at the Landscape Science Cluster Seminar, May 2009

  • 1.
  • 2. How do we deal with complexity in the design, management & restoration of ecosystems and landscapes? Ecosystems and landscapes are complex systems
  • 3. APPLICATIONS ecosystem & landscape design, management & restoration environmental indicators THEORY ecological complexity METHODS ecological informatics (models, analysis, data management & visualisation) Complex Systems Laboratory Research Program
  • 4.
  • 6. What is a complex system? “ The whole is more than the sum of the parts.” A system composed of multiple interacting elements having a comportment that is difficult to analyse or describe using only one scale or resolution. (Parrott, 2002. Trans. of the ASAE .)
  • 7. What is a complex system?
  • 8. What is a complex system? Locally interacting entities Emergent structures & processes Feedback What is a complex system?
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Modelling Ecological Complexity
  • 13.
  • 14. Example: Modelling ecological resilience
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Ecosystem biomass: spatiotemporal dynamics
  • 20.
  • 21. Modelling ecological resilience Measuring spatiotemporal complexity Dataset: biomass recorded monthly for 10mx10m grid cells
  • 22. Modelling ecological resilience (Parrott, 2005, Ecological Complexity; Parrott et al., 2008, Ecological Informatics . ) Measuring spatiotemporal complexity
  • 23. Results over many simulations: Grazing intensity (# of herbivores) Grazing duration (years) Spatiotemporal complexity of vegetation biomass (Parrott, 2004, ESA Annual Meeting) Modelling ecological resilience
  • 24. Example: Understanding community assembly through modelling
  • 25. Understanding community assembly Species Interaction
  • 26.
  • 27. Understanding community assembly dispersal Regional species pool (2 20 species; random interaction web) random species introductions Landscape of locally connected communities (typical grid size: 128 x 128 cells) Species in potentia Local community ( n interacting species)
  • 28. Understanding community assembly Spatial patterns of community similarity (Filotas et al., in revision )
  • 29. Understanding community assembly low dispersal regional species pool high dispersal Dispersal rate Dispersal rate Fraction of interacting pairs Structure of the interaction webs (Filotas et al., in revision )
  • 30.
  • 31. Understanding community assembly Using modelling to find optimal community assembly sequences (Côté & Parrott, 2005; Côté, Parrott & Sabourin, 2007)
  • 33.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37. Acknowledgements Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Les Fonds Québécois sur la Recherche en Nature et Technologies Canadian Foundation for Innovation Québec Supercomputing Network ALL of the students in the Complex Systems Laboratory, past & present.
  • 38.