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Canada Natural Resources –
Analysis and Commentary
PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA
MAY 17, 2020
Paul Young - Bio
‱ CPA, CGA
‱ Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
‱ SME – Risk Management
‱ SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
‱ SME – Public Policy
‱ SME – Emerging Technology
‱ SME – Financial Solutions
‱ SME – Business Process Change
‱ SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
 4th Qrt – Canada
 Oil Rigs and Oil Prices – March 2020
 GDP and Natural Resources
 Additional Training
 Government Policies
 Stock Market and Commodity Prices
 Gerald Butts and Oil
 Justin Trudeau and Resourcefulness
 Wages
Natural Resources /
Canada
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca
/n1/daily-
quotidien/200414/dq200414
a-eng.pdf
Oil Prices and Oil Rigs Oil Links -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/
oil-and-gas-sector-whats-happening-
outlook-2020-and-beyond
GDP
GDP by Sector (Average Growth)
GDP by Sector
Natural Resources Sector
 Forestry - https://www.baytoday.ca/coronavirus-covid-19-local-news/canadian-forestry-industry-bracing-for-
brutal-2020-2270373
 Metal Mining- https://www.osler.com/en/resources/regulations/2020/covid-19-s-impact-on-mining
 Vanadium, Lithium and Rare Metals - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-
news-headlines/quebec-lithium-mine-s-bankruptcy-flags-canadian-market-obstacles-analysts-say-58533815
or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/clean-technology-and-green-economy-canada
 Canada Smelting – smelting/fabrication - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/canadians-want-to-seize-
opportunity-in-critical-minerals-847674353.html
 LNG/Natural Gas - https://www.northernsentinel.com/news/despite-covid-19-lng-canada-committed-to-first-
cargo-delivery-by-mid-2020/
Government Policies / Legislation
 Anti-pipelines - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/pipeline-capacity-poll-1.4979805 or
https://www.nationalobserver.com/2019/01/04/news/pipeline-shortfall-not-only-thing-punishing-canadian-
oilpatch
 Rail shipments and Goods - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/tasker-crude-by-rail-eight-fold-increase-1.4842410
 C69 - https://openparliament.ca/bills/42-1/C-69/ “An Act to enact the Impact Assessment Act and the
Canadian Energy Regulator Act, to amend the Navigation Protection Act and to make consequential
amendments to other Act”
 Carbon Taxation - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/yukon-chamber-mines-carbon-tax-1.4691472
 All levels of government across Canada have made changes to both taxation and regulatory policies
Source - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/annual-survey-of-mining-companies-2017
Stock Market and Commodity Prices
Gerald Butts and Oil
‱ Butts did not support Northern
Gateway or East-West
‱ Keystone stumbling block was Obama
which he did not say in his interviews
‱ Butts brought in the failed FIT
Policy -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/
ontario-disaster-architects-
1.3884108
‱ Butts tweets have been anti-oil
and pro-climate change
‱ https://ottawasun.com/opinion/let
ters/you-said-it-whats-the-
carbon-tax-problem
Justin Trudeau and Natural Resources
 https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-davos-future-look-economy-harper-1.3412182
 https://business.financialpost.com/business/energy/varcoe-oilpatch-in-rebellion-as-ottawa-plows-ahead-on-
bill-c-69/wcm/e5e15cab-b220-45f3-a29a-
ca7290dfa272?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR2vsjIYWtPsq0eaNYt-
11WYJhMy80fRWQQD6MNV3b30ISA1u0cNzenCxk8#Echobox=1560516484
 “My predecessor wanted you to know Canada for its resources," Trudeau reminded. "I want you to know
Canadians for our resourcefulness."
 Trudeau misled people back in 2016 about the importance of Natural Resources development was to Canada.
 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-management-of-natural-resources-canada-june-
2019
 FYI
 It is never about jobs, but votes!
Wages
Power Production / Utility Sector
Source -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/electricit
y-generation-co2-and-environmental-impact-
whats-next
Training and Development
 If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning and
development then feel free
to review my material on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
 These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies
Corporate Taxation
Here is what I told a Liberal?
You appear to be anti-business as such likely will not read my posts, but will take the NDP at their word when it comes to taxation, right?
 Corporation pay carbon tax, excise taxes, payroll taxes, royalties, corporate income tax - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-corporate-and-business-taxation-flows-to-
government
 Mutual funds and pension funds invest in corporations - https://www.investopedia.com/university/mutualfunds/mutualfunds.asp
 Top 1% - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-top-1-wealthiest-canada-june-2019
 Many corporations do not get direct business subsidies - https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/11/introduction-to-government-subsidies.asp (Direct subsidies are loans,
grants, etc.)
 Tax deductions are not subsidies. Corporations have to qualified for tax deductions - https://taxfoundation.org/corporate-tax-rates-around-world-2018/ - Countries need to be
competitive with all their tax, environmental and other government policies.
 There are rules around income movement it is called transfer pricing. The rules have change based on BEPS - https://www.osler.com/en/resources/regulations/2018/canada-begins-
ratification-process-for-multilateral-tax-convention-to-implement-beps
 You want to fixed income taxation then go after the tax code - https://www.brookings.edu/research/a-golden-opportunity-to-simplify-the-tax-system-options-for-reforming-a-
complex-tax-code/
 Governments around the world need to go after tax havens - https://medium.com/@nslewis/tax-havens-make-gdp-screwy-c241430447d9 - Liberals refused to go after tax havens as
the panama papers have shown there are liberals with holdings in tax havens - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/stephen-bronfman-trudeau-paradise-papers-1.4382511
 Trudeau and Morneau have trust funds. Maybe it is time to go after trust funds - https://www.advisor.ca/tax/tax-news/cra-to-demand-more-info-on-trusts-beginning-in-2021/
 Clean technology gets direct subsidies and you do not mention that issue, why? https://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/total-destruction-of-the-market-investments-
in-clean-tech-cool-off-as-subsidies-ends - I guess you are ok with subsidizing power under the FIT agreement - https://torontosun.com/news/provincial/ontario-lost-up-to-1-2-
billion-selling-clean-energy-at-a-loss-engineers
 Many # companies are just an easy way for people to set up a small business. Small business has already told the Liberals their tax policies are harming them, and you say nothing,
why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/small-business-under-attack-by-government-canada
What needs to
happen
 Trudeau team needs to get the softwood lumber dispute
resolved and look at ways to expand lumber exports to
CETA and TPP -
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/overall-
impact-of-softwood-lumber-dispute-minimal-for-canada-
economist~1108540
 Trudeau’s team has too many radicals that are putting their
own interest over what is best for Canada. NR development
will lag until there is change in government
 There lacks integrated strategy between all levels of
government to get projects off the ground
 Canada needs to revisit its taxation and regulatory policies
 More emphasis on the skill trades and engineering area as
part of supporting the natural resources sector.
 Better partnering with NR companies as part of leaving a
legacy around for communities, i.e. roads, housing, water,
etc.
 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-
going-on-with-canadas-competitiveness

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Canada and Natural Resources Development and Export Strategy

  • 1. Canada Natural Resources – Analysis and Commentary PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA MAY 17, 2020
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio ‱ CPA, CGA ‱ Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2) ‱ SME – Risk Management ‱ SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting ‱ SME – Public Policy ‱ SME – Emerging Technology ‱ SME – Financial Solutions ‱ SME – Business Process Change ‱ SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Agenda  4th Qrt – Canada  Oil Rigs and Oil Prices – March 2020  GDP and Natural Resources  Additional Training  Government Policies  Stock Market and Commodity Prices  Gerald Butts and Oil  Justin Trudeau and Resourcefulness  Wages
  • 4. Natural Resources / Canada Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca /n1/daily- quotidien/200414/dq200414 a-eng.pdf
  • 5. Oil Prices and Oil Rigs Oil Links - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ oil-and-gas-sector-whats-happening- outlook-2020-and-beyond
  • 6. GDP GDP by Sector (Average Growth) GDP by Sector
  • 7. Natural Resources Sector  Forestry - https://www.baytoday.ca/coronavirus-covid-19-local-news/canadian-forestry-industry-bracing-for- brutal-2020-2270373  Metal Mining- https://www.osler.com/en/resources/regulations/2020/covid-19-s-impact-on-mining  Vanadium, Lithium and Rare Metals - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest- news-headlines/quebec-lithium-mine-s-bankruptcy-flags-canadian-market-obstacles-analysts-say-58533815 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/clean-technology-and-green-economy-canada  Canada Smelting – smelting/fabrication - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/canadians-want-to-seize- opportunity-in-critical-minerals-847674353.html  LNG/Natural Gas - https://www.northernsentinel.com/news/despite-covid-19-lng-canada-committed-to-first- cargo-delivery-by-mid-2020/
  • 8. Government Policies / Legislation  Anti-pipelines - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/pipeline-capacity-poll-1.4979805 or https://www.nationalobserver.com/2019/01/04/news/pipeline-shortfall-not-only-thing-punishing-canadian- oilpatch  Rail shipments and Goods - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/tasker-crude-by-rail-eight-fold-increase-1.4842410  C69 - https://openparliament.ca/bills/42-1/C-69/ “An Act to enact the Impact Assessment Act and the Canadian Energy Regulator Act, to amend the Navigation Protection Act and to make consequential amendments to other Act”  Carbon Taxation - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/yukon-chamber-mines-carbon-tax-1.4691472  All levels of government across Canada have made changes to both taxation and regulatory policies Source - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/annual-survey-of-mining-companies-2017
  • 9. Stock Market and Commodity Prices
  • 10. Gerald Butts and Oil ‱ Butts did not support Northern Gateway or East-West ‱ Keystone stumbling block was Obama which he did not say in his interviews ‱ Butts brought in the failed FIT Policy - https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/ ontario-disaster-architects- 1.3884108 ‱ Butts tweets have been anti-oil and pro-climate change ‱ https://ottawasun.com/opinion/let ters/you-said-it-whats-the- carbon-tax-problem
  • 11. Justin Trudeau and Natural Resources  https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-davos-future-look-economy-harper-1.3412182  https://business.financialpost.com/business/energy/varcoe-oilpatch-in-rebellion-as-ottawa-plows-ahead-on- bill-c-69/wcm/e5e15cab-b220-45f3-a29a- ca7290dfa272?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR2vsjIYWtPsq0eaNYt- 11WYJhMy80fRWQQD6MNV3b30ISA1u0cNzenCxk8#Echobox=1560516484  “My predecessor wanted you to know Canada for its resources," Trudeau reminded. "I want you to know Canadians for our resourcefulness."  Trudeau misled people back in 2016 about the importance of Natural Resources development was to Canada.  https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-management-of-natural-resources-canada-june- 2019  FYI  It is never about jobs, but votes!
  • 12. Wages
  • 13. Power Production / Utility Sector Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/electricit y-generation-co2-and-environmental-impact- whats-next
  • 14. Training and Development  If you like to learn more about trade and/or other subjects as part of your professional learning and development then feel free to review my material on https://www.udemy.com/ (search Paul Young CPA CGA)  These subjects address how to fixed issues with housing and/or systemic issues related to economy including government policies
  • 15. Corporate Taxation Here is what I told a Liberal? You appear to be anti-business as such likely will not read my posts, but will take the NDP at their word when it comes to taxation, right?  Corporation pay carbon tax, excise taxes, payroll taxes, royalties, corporate income tax - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-corporate-and-business-taxation-flows-to- government  Mutual funds and pension funds invest in corporations - https://www.investopedia.com/university/mutualfunds/mutualfunds.asp  Top 1% - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-top-1-wealthiest-canada-june-2019  Many corporations do not get direct business subsidies - https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/11/introduction-to-government-subsidies.asp (Direct subsidies are loans, grants, etc.)  Tax deductions are not subsidies. Corporations have to qualified for tax deductions - https://taxfoundation.org/corporate-tax-rates-around-world-2018/ - Countries need to be competitive with all their tax, environmental and other government policies.  There are rules around income movement it is called transfer pricing. The rules have change based on BEPS - https://www.osler.com/en/resources/regulations/2018/canada-begins- ratification-process-for-multilateral-tax-convention-to-implement-beps  You want to fixed income taxation then go after the tax code - https://www.brookings.edu/research/a-golden-opportunity-to-simplify-the-tax-system-options-for-reforming-a- complex-tax-code/  Governments around the world need to go after tax havens - https://medium.com/@nslewis/tax-havens-make-gdp-screwy-c241430447d9 - Liberals refused to go after tax havens as the panama papers have shown there are liberals with holdings in tax havens - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/stephen-bronfman-trudeau-paradise-papers-1.4382511  Trudeau and Morneau have trust funds. Maybe it is time to go after trust funds - https://www.advisor.ca/tax/tax-news/cra-to-demand-more-info-on-trusts-beginning-in-2021/  Clean technology gets direct subsidies and you do not mention that issue, why? https://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/total-destruction-of-the-market-investments- in-clean-tech-cool-off-as-subsidies-ends - I guess you are ok with subsidizing power under the FIT agreement - https://torontosun.com/news/provincial/ontario-lost-up-to-1-2- billion-selling-clean-energy-at-a-loss-engineers  Many # companies are just an easy way for people to set up a small business. Small business has already told the Liberals their tax policies are harming them, and you say nothing, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/small-business-under-attack-by-government-canada
  • 16. What needs to happen  Trudeau team needs to get the softwood lumber dispute resolved and look at ways to expand lumber exports to CETA and TPP - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/overall- impact-of-softwood-lumber-dispute-minimal-for-canada- economist~1108540  Trudeau’s team has too many radicals that are putting their own interest over what is best for Canada. NR development will lag until there is change in government  There lacks integrated strategy between all levels of government to get projects off the ground  Canada needs to revisit its taxation and regulatory policies  More emphasis on the skill trades and engineering area as part of supporting the natural resources sector.  Better partnering with NR companies as part of leaving a legacy around for communities, i.e. roads, housing, water, etc.  https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is- going-on-with-canadas-competitiveness