This document discusses challenges and opportunities for ensuring adequate raw materials supply for pandemic vaccines. It identifies critical raw materials and managing inventory, supply, and communication as key issues. The presentation outlines Merck Millipore's pandemic preparedness plan, which focuses on mapping vaccine manufacturer needs, assessing its own capacity and capabilities, and strengthening internal and external communication to support pandemic response. Close collaboration between vaccine manufacturers and suppliers is emphasized to develop risk assessments, inventory plans, and communication protocols to maximize preparedness.
1. Pandemic Vaccine Supply
Challenges & Opportunities: A Raw Materials Perspective
Priyabrata Pattnaik, Ph.D.
Director – Worldwide Vaccine Initiative
9th – 12th June, 2014
Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre
S I N G A P O R E
4. Pandemic Influenza – A look back
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Pandemic Year
& Common Name
Origin Subtype WW Mortality
1918
“Spanish Flu”
Unclear H1N1 20 – 50 Million
1957-1958
“Asian Flu”
Southern China H2N2 (Avian) 1 – 4 Million
1968-1969
“Hong Kong Flu”
Southern China H3N2 (Avian) 1 – 4 Million
2009-2010
“A(H1N1) 2009”
North America H1N1 (Swine) 100,000 – 400,000
Adapted from WHO Report of the Review Committee on the Functioning of the International Health Regulations (2005) in Relation
to Pandemic (H1N1) 2009
5. Global Action Plan on Influenza Vaccines
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“if a pandemic were to occur, the potential
vaccine supply would fall several billion doses short
of the amount needed…..”
- Geneva, World Health Organization, 2006
Global pandemic influenza action plan to increase vaccine supply
Approaches Identified:
1. Increase Seasonal Vaccine Use
2. Increase Production Capacity
3. Further Research and Development
6. Increasing Production Capacity
6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
ManufacturingCapacity
(MillionsofDoses)
Year
Manufacturing Capacity (Millions of Doses)
Countries Manufacturing Influenza Vaccine
CountriesManufacturing
InfluenzaVaccines
~4X
increase in capacity
~2x
# of countries producing influenza
vaccine
Figure derived from Partridge et al, Vaccine 28 (2010), 4709-4712, Partridge et al, Vaccine 31 (2013), 728-731, WHO Global
pandemic influenza action plan, (2006)
7. 7
President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, (2010), Report to the President on Reengineering the Influenza
Vaccine Production Enterprise to Meet the Challenges of Pandemic Influenza.
Varied
Production Platforms
Unique
process requirements
Further Research & Development
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Pandemic Vaccine Raw Materials
Challenges & Opportunities
10. 1 - Defining Critical Raw Materials
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Alignment with suppliers
is essential!
• Does the supplier know
their product is being used
in this process?
• Does the supplier
understand implications of
a pandemic?
11. 1- Defining Critical Raw Materials (Cont.)
CHALLENGES
Lack of visibility
Supplier may not know:
what their products are used for
how much would be needed in case
of a pandemic
Vaccine manufacturer may not know:
supplier’s surge capacity limitations
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OPPORTUNITIES
Information sharing
Suppliers should share:
capacity limitations
inventory concerns
at-risk products
Vaccine manufacturers should share:
process-specific Bill of Materials
timing of orders,
expectations of delivery times
Develop joint risk-assessments and risk mitigation strategy
12. 2 - Managing Inventory & Supply
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100 units
60 units
150 units
A
B
C
Seasonal
Production
1,000 units
1,200 units
2,000 units
Pandemic
Production
Need to Bridge the Gap
13. 2 - Managing Inventory & Supply (Cont.)
CHALLENGES
Inventory management
Major financial implications to carrying
inventory for all parties
Storage and distribution may not align
with pandemic scenario needs
Second sourcing
Some raw materials may not have
alternative suppliers
Where alternatives are available,
significant validation work may be
required
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OPPORTUNITIES
Increase control over inventory
management
Identify what each party is willing to
commit
Consider options:
Supplier managed inventory
Vaccine manufacturer managed
inventory
Hybrid model
Increase visibility of forecast to
n-1 and n-2 suppliers
Work with suppliers to develop aligned inventory & supply plans
14. 14
3 - Managing Communication
Image source: headguruteacher.com
15. 3 - Managing Communication (Cont.)
CHALLENGES
Numerous parties involved
Suppliers, governments, vaccine
manufacturers, contract manufacturers,
distribution channels
Communication channels, contact points
can be unclear
Right frequency unknown
Absence of agreed upon plans can result
in too much or too little communication
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OPPORTUNITIES
Dedicated point of contact
Pandemic preparedness & response
contact to handle all communication
between supplier and vaccine
manufacturer
Same person responsible to interface
with government agencies, CMOs,
suppliers, etc.
Predetermined triggers and
communication frequency
e.g. Inter pandemic – quarterly,
alert phase – bi-weekly or weekly,
pandemic phase – daily.
Work with suppliers to develop joint communication plans
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Merck Millipore’s Pandemic Preparedness Plan
17. Merck Millipore’s History of Preparedness
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Have had in place since 2005 and continuously updating
2005: HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan
2006: Business Continuity Plan (BCP)
2007: Pandemic Preparedness Plan
2009: Updated (H1N1)
Etc…
• Crisis Management & Response
Plans
• WW Pandemic Tracking
• Implementation of in-house
trainings
• Identification of critical assets and
resources
• Travel bans, social distancing, etc
18. Merck Millipore’s Preparedness Update
1. Vaccine Manufacturer Needs Mapping
2. Merck Millipore Capacity & Capabilities
3. Internal & External Communication
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3 focus areas for the latest update:
20. Summary
Raw materials supply is critical to pandemic preparedness
Vaccine manufacturers need to work closely with suppliers:
Develop joint risk assessments and risk mitigation plans
Develop aligned inventory and supply plans
Develop joint communication plans
Merck Millipore’s Pandemic Preparedness Plan
Focusing on the opportunities above
Actively engaging our customers & encouraging discussion
Merck Millipore can help to maximize your preparedness!
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