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MOBILE AIR CONDITIONING
  India policy workshop

                        Industry perspective



                I V Rao
    Managing Executive Officer (Engg)
        Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
                 SIAM
Presentation Outline


  Indian Automotive Industry



Automotive refrigerant evolution



      The Way forward
.
Indian Auto Industry – Vision 2016
                         “ To emerge as the destination of choice in the
                        world for design and manufacture of automobiles
                                   and auto components with
                          1. Target output of $ 145 Bn   2. GDP contribution of 10%


                          3. Additional Employment generation of 25 Million

What does this mean ?                                     As a result, Indian
                                                          Automobile production in
                                                          the world would become

                           2006       2016                              2006    2016

 Contribution to GDP(%)                        2 times     Passenger
                             5%       10%
                                                           Vehicle
                                                                        11th     7th

 Employment (billion)         13       38      3 times
                                                           Commercial
                                                           Vehicle
                                                                        4th      4th
 Revenue ($ billion)         34        145     4 times

 Export ($ billion)          4.1       35      9 times     2 Wheeler    2nd      2nd
Passenger Car segment growth
‱ India Passenger Car Industry is bound to double by 2015-16.
‱ 7th Largest Passenger car Market by 2016
                                                                   3.04 Mn
‱ More than 60% sales take place in the Hatch segment




                                                   1.51 Mn


                                                                CAGR: 12 %

                           CAGR: 13.5 %

  0.05 Mn
Market Challenges
The Green House Effect
   ïŹ In India Transport
     contribute to 10% of total
     CO2 emissions.

   ïŹ Reducing the CO2
     emissions is the biggest
     challenge for all the
     stakeholders




                                                                 Source: Initial National Communication to UNFCC;
                                                                                      MoEF, Government of India




Contribution of CO2 emission by transport sector to be reduced
Air conditioning in Indian market

Changing customer profile & expectations




More of necessity than comfort




Non A/C vehicles may opt for an aftermarket fitment
MAC refrigerants




Relative emission of MAC in CO2 eq. to other sources
Towards a Greener Tomorrow
    Customers         Environment            Regulators




           Auto                     Refrigerants
           Industry                 industry




  Greener Vehicles                      Greener
                                        Refrigerants
Regulation roadmap
                                                                                                              Technology Maturity &
                                                                                                              Cost - Key issues for
                                                                        Work on alternative                   adoption in India
                                                                        refrigerants as CO2, HFO
                                                                        etc                                                       India
                                                                                                        Asia Future legislation ??
                                                     Systems with
                                                                                        Estimated
                                                     improved sealing         NA-CARB legislation timing -
                                                     to ensure low
                                                                                        New refrigerant
                                                     leak rates
                                                                   EU      New type approval
                                                                           Refrigerant GWP<150

      Changeover                                     EU   Low leak rates
EU
      CFC---> HFC

     Changeover to HFC - Performance &
                                           India Changeover
     Technology maturity                   2003 CFC---> HFC


          1990s                     2000          2005           2010            2015            2020            2025            2030




               Technology maturity & adaptation is critical for India
Indian experience of CFC replacement
1. Indian auto OEMs changed from CFC to HFC in 2003

 Changeover required lot of design efforts & enhancements

 Huge effort on the part of OEMs & Aircon system suppliers

 Addition of infrastructure to handle both CFC & HFC in the market


2. Pro-active phase out of ODS like CFCs on August
   1, 2008, 17 months prior to the agreed schedule

 Withdrawal of CFC & related infrastructure from service industry


 Provision of retro fitment kits for the after market
The way forward..
 The proposed solution should take consideration of:
Reduce total environmental footprint thru’ lifecycle of vehicle

Low impact on weight & Fuel efficiency

Safety of occupants

Global applicability irrespective of the climate of the region

Ease of serviceability / Retro fitment for existing fleet

Cost to OEMs /consumer
Improved
                  R152a    R134a
         HFO
         1234yf           CO2

TEWI??
                          ??

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MOBILE AIR CONDITIONING INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE

  • 1. MOBILE AIR CONDITIONING India policy workshop Industry perspective I V Rao Managing Executive Officer (Engg) Maruti Suzuki India Ltd SIAM
  • 2. Presentation Outline Indian Automotive Industry Automotive refrigerant evolution The Way forward
.
  • 3. Indian Auto Industry – Vision 2016 “ To emerge as the destination of choice in the world for design and manufacture of automobiles and auto components with 1. Target output of $ 145 Bn 2. GDP contribution of 10% 3. Additional Employment generation of 25 Million What does this mean ? As a result, Indian Automobile production in the world would become
 2006 2016 2006 2016 Contribution to GDP(%) 2 times Passenger 5% 10% Vehicle 11th 7th Employment (billion) 13 38 3 times Commercial Vehicle 4th 4th Revenue ($ billion) 34 145 4 times Export ($ billion) 4.1 35 9 times 2 Wheeler 2nd 2nd
  • 4. Passenger Car segment growth ‱ India Passenger Car Industry is bound to double by 2015-16. ‱ 7th Largest Passenger car Market by 2016 3.04 Mn ‱ More than 60% sales take place in the Hatch segment 1.51 Mn CAGR: 12 % CAGR: 13.5 % 0.05 Mn
  • 6. The Green House Effect ïŹ In India Transport contribute to 10% of total CO2 emissions. ïŹ Reducing the CO2 emissions is the biggest challenge for all the stakeholders Source: Initial National Communication to UNFCC; MoEF, Government of India Contribution of CO2 emission by transport sector to be reduced
  • 7. Air conditioning in Indian market Changing customer profile & expectations More of necessity than comfort Non A/C vehicles may opt for an aftermarket fitment
  • 8. MAC refrigerants Relative emission of MAC in CO2 eq. to other sources
  • 9. Towards a Greener Tomorrow Customers Environment Regulators Auto Refrigerants Industry industry Greener Vehicles Greener Refrigerants
  • 10. Regulation roadmap Technology Maturity & Cost - Key issues for Work on alternative adoption in India refrigerants as CO2, HFO etc India Asia Future legislation ?? Systems with Estimated improved sealing NA-CARB legislation timing - to ensure low New refrigerant leak rates EU New type approval Refrigerant GWP<150 Changeover EU Low leak rates EU CFC---> HFC Changeover to HFC - Performance & India Changeover Technology maturity 2003 CFC---> HFC 1990s 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Technology maturity & adaptation is critical for India
  • 11. Indian experience of CFC replacement 1. Indian auto OEMs changed from CFC to HFC in 2003 Changeover required lot of design efforts & enhancements Huge effort on the part of OEMs & Aircon system suppliers Addition of infrastructure to handle both CFC & HFC in the market 2. Pro-active phase out of ODS like CFCs on August 1, 2008, 17 months prior to the agreed schedule Withdrawal of CFC & related infrastructure from service industry Provision of retro fitment kits for the after market
  • 12. The way forward.. The proposed solution should take consideration of: Reduce total environmental footprint thru’ lifecycle of vehicle Low impact on weight & Fuel efficiency Safety of occupants Global applicability irrespective of the climate of the region Ease of serviceability / Retro fitment for existing fleet Cost to OEMs /consumer
  • 13. Improved R152a R134a HFO 1234yf CO2 TEWI?? ??