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MEDITERRANEAN ECOLOGICAL
FOOTPRINT TRENDS
CONTENT

Global Footprint Network                     1   Global Footprint Network                     EDITOR
   Foreword                                      Promotes a sustainable economy by            Alessandro Galli
                                                 advancing the Ecological Footprint,          Scott Mattoon
Foreword Plan Blue                           2
                                                 a tool that makes sustainability
Introduction                                 3   measureable.
                                                                                              AUTHORS
The Ecological Footprint                     8
                                                                                              Alessandro Galli
                                                 Funded by:
of World Regions                                                                              David Moore
                                                 MAVA Foundation
                                                 Established in 1994, it is a family-led,     Nina Brooks
Drivers of Mediterranean Ecological
Footprint and biocapacity changes                Swiss-based philanthropic foundation         Katsunori Iha
                                            10
over time                                        whose mission is to engage in strong         Gemma Cranston
                                                 partnerships to conserve biodiversity
Mapping consumption, production             13   for future generations.                      CONTRIBUTORS AND REVIEWER
and trade activities for the
Mediterranean Region                                                                          Jean-Pierre Giraud
                                                 In collaboration with:                       Steve Goldfinger
Mediterranean Ecological Footprint          17   WWF Mediterranean                            Martin Halle
of nations                                       Its mission is to build a future in which    Pati Poblete
                                                 people live in harmony with nature.
Linking ecological assets and               20                                                Anders Reed
                                                 The WWF Mediterranean initiative aims
economic competitiveness                                                                      Mathis Wackernagel
                                                 at conserving the natural wealth of the
Toward sustainable development:             22   Mediterranean and reducing human
human welfare and planetary limits               footprint on nature for the benefit of all.   DESIGN
                                                                                              MaddoxDesign.net
National Case Studies                       24
                                                 UNESCO Venice
Conclusions                                 28   Is developing an educational and             ADVISORS
                                                 training platform on the application         Deanna Karapetyan
Appendix A                                  32   of the Ecological Footprint in SEE and       Hannes Kunz
  Calculating the Ecological Footprint           Mediterranean countries, using in             (Institute for Integrated Economic
                                                 particular the network of MAB Biosphere
Appendix B                                  35                                                 Research - www.iier.ch)
                                                 Reserves as special demonstration and
  The carbon-plus approach                                                                    Paolo Lombardi
                                                 learning places.
Appendix C
                                                                                               (WWF Mediterranean Programme)
                                            36
  Ecological Footprint: Frequently asked         Plan Bleu                                    André Schneider
  questions                                      Plan Bleu aims to produce information         (André Schneider Global Advisory SA)
                                                 and knowledge in order to alert              Yves de Soye
Glossary of Ecological Footprint terms      38
                                                 decision-makers and other stakeholders
References                                  40   to environmental risks and sustainable
                                                 development issues in the Mediterranean,
Biocapacity and Ecological Footprint Data   42   and to shape future scenarios to guide
                                                 decision-making processes.
GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK FOREWORD
                                          Yes, ecological health is important—all agree—but what’s in it for our economies? This is
                                          the question we address with the Mediterranean Footprint report. We believe that if we
                                          carefully look at the resource trends, the link will be obvious. We will see that it is in each
                                                                                                                                            I   n a world of growing ecological

                                                                                                                                                overshoot—when our demands for

                                                                                                                                            nature’s products and services exceed
                                          country’s most central self-interest to combat ecological deficits and overreliance on fossil
                                          fuel quickly and aggressively.                                                                    the planet’s ability to renew them—the

                                                                                                                                            winning economic strategies will be
                                          Such action does not depend on whether our global neighbors follow suit. In fact, each
                                          country’s own actions will become more urgent and valuable the less others do.                    those that manage biocapacity on the

                                                                                                                                            one hand, and reduce demand for it
                                          Let me spell out the argument: Why would it be in any individual country’s interest to address
                                          a problem that seems to be global in nature?                                                      on the other.

Mathis Wackernagel                        Consider the nature of the most prominent environmental challenge: Climate change. Even           Those countries and cities trapped
President, Global Footprint Network       though climate change transcends country boundaries, the fossil fuel dependence that              in energy- and resource-intensive
www.footprintnetwork.org
                                          contributes to it carries growing economic risks for the emitting country—particularly for
                                                                                                                                            infrastructure (and economic activities)
many of the Mediterranean countries paying for expensive oil-imports. Working our way out of this addiction takes time, and the
longer we wait to radically rethink and retool our societies, the costlier and harder it will be.                                           will become dangerously fragile, and

                                                                                                                                            will not be able to adapt in time to meet
But climate change is not an issue in isolation. Rather, it is a symptom of a broader challenge: Humanity’s systematic overuse of the
planet’s finite resources.                                                                                                                   the emerging resource constraints. But

                                                                                                                                            those which do, and build economies
Our natural systems can only generate a finite amount of raw materials (fish, trees, crops, etc.) and absorb a finite amount of waste
(such as carbon dioxide emissions). Global Footprint Network quantifies this rate of output through a measure called “biocapacity.”          that work with, rather than against,
Biocapacity is as measurable as GDP—and, ultimately, more significant, as access to basic living resources underlies every economic          nature’s budget will be able to secure
activity a society can undertake.
                                                                                                                                            the wellbeing of their people.
For centuries, we have treated biocapacity as an essentially limitless flow. Today, though, humanity’s demand for biocapacity
outstrips global supply by 50 percent. In the Mediterranean region, as this report shows, demands on biocapacity now exceed the
region’s supply by more than 150 percent.
PLAN BLEU FOREWORD


                                                                                                                              T
                                         In 1989, Plan Bleu published a pioneering report on “Futures for the Mediterranean         he “State of the Environment and
                                         Basin” which recommended a design for the Mediterranean Strategy for                       Development in the Mediterranean”,
                                         Sustainable Development (MSSD). With the issuance of an update in 2005,
                                                                                                                              published by Plan Bleu in 2009, attempted to
                                         entitled “A sustainable future for the Mediterranean: the Blue Plan’s environment
                                         and development outlook” the report’s recommendations were adopted by the            provide answers regarding water and energy.

                                         Barcelona Convention Contracting Parties at their 14th conference in Portoroz,       The promotion of water demand management
                                         Slovenia, 8-11 November 2005.                                                        and the use of related indicators, such as

                                         Plan Bleu’s key function as the “Mediterranean Environment and Development           efficiency demand per sector and exploitation
                                         Observatory” (MEDO), draws heavily upon its expertise in sustainable                 index of the renewable resources, should aid
                                         development indicators. Within MEDO, 134 initial indicators were selected
                                                                                                                              better inclusion of water scarcity. The main
                                         and adapted to the follow-up of the implementation of Agenda 21 in the
Hugues Ravenel                                                                                                                responses to the growth of the major
                                         Mediterranean. Of these, 34 priority indicators were subsequently chosen to
Director, Plan Bleu
                                         monitor the progress made by the Mediterranean countries focusing upon the           socio-economic drivers and environmental
www.planbleu.org
                                         objectives defined for 9 MSSD priority issues including:                              pressures are a) to develop more sustainable
                                                                                                                              energy consumption and b) encourage
    Improving integrated water resource and water demand management;
                                                                                                                              diversification of energy sources with a bigger
    Ensuring sustainable management of energy;                                                                                share of renewable energy.
    Mitigating and adapting to the effects of climate change.
                                                                                                                              The MSSD and the related indicators are being
                                                                                                                              revised by taking into account the impact of
In addition, some composite indicators such as the Human Development Index (HDI) and Ecological Footprint were
considered to monitor overall progress in terms of sustainable development.                                                   climate change on the Mediterranean environment
                                                                                                                              and society. All this work on indicators and MSSD
The MSSD priority indicators are unable to fully describe the complexity and diversity of sustainable development
issues in the Mediterranean regions. Some additional indicators were thus selected, defined and populated in order to          is also linked to the activities of the Centre for
tackle priority issues such as: water, energy, tourism, the conservation of rural and coastal areas. These analyses, widely   Mediterranean Integration in Marseille and the
disseminated in Plan Bleu publications and continuously updated, are nicely complemented by the analysis of Ecological        priority areas of the Union for the Mediterranean.
Footprint and biocapacity trends in the Mediterranean region that is included in this report.



2
MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS
INTRODUCTION
WHAT’S AT STAKE                                                                           TRACKING HUMAN DEMAND ON
Since the rise of agriculture, the           the performance of their economies are       BIOCAPACIT Y:
Mediterranean region has been shaped         undermining the health of their ecological
                                                                                          INTRODUCING THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
by its diverse and vast ecological           assets and mortgaging their long-term
resources. Ecological changes, from          security.                                    Pursuing a more sustainable approach to development and economic prosperity
                                                                                          means better understanding the choices before us. For this, governments need the
forest loss to desertification, have                                                       knowledge and tools to manage their ecological assets as well as their demand
                                             Never has the situation been so critical:
always been part of its history, but                                                      for renewable resources and ecological services. The Ecological Footprint
                                             The Mediterranean’s accessibility to
never has human pressure on the                                                           methodology offers a way to do so, globally and at the regional and country level.
                                             essential     life-supporting  ecological
Mediterranean’s ecological assets been                                                    The Ecological Footprint is an accounting tool that measures one aspect of
                                             resources and services is increasingly at
as intense as it is today.                                                                sustainability: How much of the planet’s regenerative capacity humans demand to
                                             risk. At a time when the world is going
                                                                                          produce the resources and ecological services for their daily lives and how much
Growing demands on the Mediterranean         further into ecological overshoot, failure   regenerative capacity they have available from existing ecological assets. It does
region’s limited ecological resources and    to take action is becoming a fundamental     so by means of two indicators:
services now threaten the foundation         threat.
of its social and economic well-being.                                                       O N T H E D E M A N D S I D E the Ecological Footprint measures the
                                                                                             biologically productive land and sea area—the ecological assets—that a
In 2008, every country in the region
                                                                                             population requires to produce the renewable resources and ecological
but one demanded more ecological                                                             services it uses.
resources and services than were                                                             ON THE SUPPLY SIDE Biocapacity tracks the ecological assets
available within their respective borders.                                                   available in countries, regions or at the global level and their capacity to
                                                                                             produce renewable resources and ecological services.
Simply stated, the Mediterranean region
is running a severe ecological deficit,                                                    In economic terms, assets are often defined as something durable that is not directly
                                                                                          consumed, but yields a flow of products and services that people do consume.
a situation that will only worsen unless
                                                                                          Ecological assets are thus here defined as the biologically productive land and
effective resource management becomes                                                     sea areas that generate the renewable resources and ecological services that
central to policy-making.                                                                 humans demand. They include: cropland for the provision of plant-based food and
                                                                                          fiber products; grazing land and cropland for animal products; fishing grounds
To achieve lasting socio-economic                                                         (marine and inland) for fish products; forests for timber and other forest products;
success, solutions are needed that                                                        uptake land to sequester waste (CO2, primarily from fossil fuel burning); and space
manage Earth’s limited ecological assets.                                                 for shelter and other urban infrastructure (see box 1).
Instead, however, we see that many of
the actions taken by Greece, Italy and
other Mediterranean countries to improve

                                                                                                                                                                            3
CARBON                                                                                                                                                   GRAZING LAND
    accounts for the amount of forest land                                                                                             represents the area of grassland used, in
    required to accommodate for the carbon                                                                                              addition to crop feeds, to raise livestock
    Footprint, meaning to sequester CO2                                                                                                for meat, diary, hide and wool products.
    emissions, primarily from fossil fuels                                                                                                    It comprises all grasslands used to
    burning, international trade and land use                                                                                                provide feed for animals, including
    practices, that are not uptake by oceans.                                                                                                 cultivated pastures as well as wild
                                                                                                                                                         grasslands and prairies.



    FOREST                                                                                                                                             FISHING GROUNDS
    represents the area of forests required to                                                                                         represent the area of marine and inland
    support the annual harvest of fuel wood,                                                                                           waters necessary to generate the annual
    pulp and timber products.                                                                                                           primary production required to support
                                                                                                                                           catches of aquatic species (fish and
                                                                                                                                               seafood) and from aquaculture.




    CROPLAND                                                                                                                                                  BUILT-UP LAND
    consists of the area required to grow all                                                                                            represents the area of land covered by
    crop products required for human                                                                                                                human infrastructure such as
    consumption (food and fibre), as well                                                                                                     transportation, housing, industrial
    as to grow livestock feeds, fish meals,                                                                                                          structures and reservoirs for
    oil crops, and rubber.                                                                                                                      hydroelectric power generation.




      Box 1: Land use categories comprising the Ecological Footprint (see Borucke et al., 2013 for additional information on the calculation methodology for each of these categories).
4
MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS



A country’s Ecological Footprint of
consumption is derived by tracking the
ecological assets demanded to absorb
its waste and to generate all the
commodities it produces, imports and
exports (see box 2).
All commodities (or CO2 waste) carry
with them an embedded amount of
bioproductive land and sea area
necessary to produce (or sequester)
them; international trade flows can thus    Ecological Footprint of Consumption                         Ecological Footprint of Production                             Net Ecological Footprint of Trade
be seen as flows of embedded Ecological
Footprint.
                                            The Ecological Footprint of consumption            The Ecological Footprint of production indicates the                 The Ecological Footprint of imports and
                                            indicates the consumption of biocapacity           consumption of biocapacity resulting from production                 exports indicate the use of biocapacity within
                                            by a country’s inhabitants.                        processes within a given geographic area, such as a                  international trade.
                                                                                               country or region.
                                                                                                                                                                    Embedded in trade between countries is a use of
                                            In order to assess the total domestic demand for                                                                        biocapacity, the net Ecological Footprint of trade
                                            resources and ecological services of a             It is the sum of all the bioproductive areas within a country        (the Ecological Footprint of imports minus the
                                            population, we use the Ecological Footprint of     necessary for supporting the actual harvest of primary               Ecological Footprint of exports). If the Ecological
                                            consumption (EFc). EFc accounts for both the       products (cropland, pasture land, forestland and fishing             Footprint embodied in exports is higher than that
                                            export of national resources and ecological        grounds), the country’s built-up area (roads, factories,             of imports, then a country is a net exporter of
                                                                                               cities), and the area needed to absorb all fossil fuel carbon        renewable resources and ecological services.
                                            services for use in other countries, and the
                                            import of resources and ecological services for    emissions generated within the country.
                                                                                                                                                                    Conversely, a country whose Footprint of imports
                                            domestic consumption.
                                                                                                                                                                    is higher than that embodied in exports depends
                                                                                               This measure mirrors the gross domestic product (GDP),               on the renewable resources and ecological
                                            EFc is most amenable to change by individuals      which represents the sum of the values of all goods and              services generated by ecological assets from
                                            through changes in their consumption behavior.     services produced within a country’s borders.                        outside its geographical boundaries.




                                          Box 2: Tracking production, consumption and net trade with the Ecological Footprint: The Ecological Footprint associated with each country’s total consumption
                                          is calculated by summing the Footprint of its imports and its production, and subtracting the Footprint of its exports. This means that the resource use and emissions
                                          associated with producing a car that is manufactured in China, but sold and used in Italy, will contribute to Italy’s rather than China’s Ecological Footprint
                                          of consumption.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5
Both Ecological Footprint and biocapacity results are           GLOBAL ECOLOGICAL OVERSHOOT                                                 2011). In other words, in 2008 human demand on the
expressed in a globally comparable, standardized unit                                                                                       Earth’s ecological assets was 50 percent greater than
                                                                While ecological assets have long been ignored as
called a “global hectare” (gha)—a hectare of biologically                                                                                   their capacity to keep up with this demand.
                                                                irrelevant to a country’s economy, the goods and services
productive land or sea area with world average
                                                                that sustain a healthy human society (access to food, safe                  This situation is known as “ecological overshoot” and its
bioproductivity in a given year (see Borucke et al., 2013
                                                                water, sanitation, manufactured goods and economic                          consequences can be seen in the form of climate change,
for details).
                                                                opportunity) all depend on the functioning of healthy                       water scarcity, land use change and land degradation,
While the Ecological Footprint quantifies human                  ecosystems.                                                                 declining fisheries, loss of biodiversity, food crises and
demand, biocapacity acts as an ecological benchmark                                                                                         soaring energy costs.
                                                                According to Global Footprint Network’s most recent
and quantifies nature’s ability to meet this demand. A
                                                                National Footprint Accounts, in 2008 humanity consumed                      If human demand on nature continues to exceed what
population’s Ecological Footprint can be compared
                                                                resources and ecological services 1.5 times faster than                     Earth can regenerate, then substantial changes in
with the biocapacity that is available—domestically or
                                                                Earth could renew them—a 100 percent jump from                              the resource base may occur, undermining economic
globally—to support that population, just as expenditure is
                                                                1961, when approximately 74 percent of the planet’s                         performance and human welfare.
compared with income in financial terms. If a population’s
                                                                biocapacity was consumed (Global Footprint Network,
demand for ecological assets exceeds the country’s
supply, that country is defined as running an ecological—or
more precisely, a biocapacity—deficit. Conversely, when                                      20

demand for ecological assets is less than the biocapacity
available within a country’s borders, the country is said to
                                                               Global Hectares (billions)



                                                                                            15                                                                                              OVERSHOOT
have an ecological—or biocapacity—reserve.

The total Ecological Footprint of a country is a function
of the average consumption pattern of each individual,
                                                                                            10
the efficiency in production and resource transformation,
and the number of individuals in the country. Biocapacity                                                    BIOCAPACITY = Area x Yield
is determined by the available biologically productive                                                         (SUPPLY)
land and sea areas and the capacity of these assets                                         5
                                                                                                             ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT = Population x Consumption x Resource
to produce resources and services useful for humans                                                               (SUPPLY)                        per person   intensity
(this is determined by the prevailing technology and
                                                                                            0
management practices implemented in these areas).                                           1960   1965   1970   1975     1980     1985        1990        1995       2000        2005

                                                                Figure 1: Trends in total Ecological Footprint and biocapacity between 1961 and 2008. The increase in biocapacity is due to an increase
                                                                in land bioproductivity as well as in the areas used for human purposes. However, the increase in the Earth’s productivity is not enough to
                                                                compensate for the demands of a growing global population.
6
MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS



Humanity crossed the threshold in              Spain offer a particular example of the
1971, when the world went into global          interplay between ecological constraints
                                                                                                    In this report, the Mediterranean region
ecological overshoot. Recent studies           and economic performance. Using the
(Moore et al., 2012) project that, if we       Ecological Footprint and biocapacity             is defined as those countries that directly border
continue on a “business-as-usual” path, it     measures, we investigate the main drivers
will take twice the ecological assets of the   of increased human pressure in the
                                                                                              the Mediterranean Sea plus three countries, Jordan,
biosphere to meet our demands by the           region and explore the likely implications      Macedonia and Portugal, which are ecologically
early 2030s. This level of overshoot is        of growing ecological deficits for the
physically impossible in the long run. With    Mediterranean region’s ecosystems and
                                                                                                  characterized by biomes that are typical of
growing resource scarcity and exceeded         economies.                                       the Mediterranean region. Only countries with
planetary boundaries, leaders need to
                                               Global Footprint Network published this        populations greater than 500,000 are included in
be informed not only by value-added
                                               report in October 2012 as a foundation for
measures of economic activities, but also
                                               the debate on the strategies and policies                  Ecological Footprint results.
asset balances and how they impact our
                                               required to best guarantee a sustainable
quality of life.
                                               future for all in the region. Key findings of
Global Footprint Network launched its          the report that were published in advance
Mediterranean initiative to bring the          in “Why Are Resource Limits Now
reality of ecological constraints to the       Undermining Economic Performance?”
center of Mediterranean policy debate,         (Global Footprint Network, 2012) might
and to support decision-makers with tools      be considered the first discussion on this
that will help them weigh policy trade-offs.   critical issue. Global Footprint Network
These tools will enable policy analysts        now invites governments and other
and decision-makers to more fully identify     decision-makers to join the dialogue, and
the risks that resource and ecosystem          act to safeguard their economies and
limitations pose to their countries’           their peoples’ well-being.
economic and social well-being.

In this report, we examine the nature of
and trends in the demands that residents
in the Mediterranean region are placing
on the Earth’s ecological assets. The
chapter on Greece, Italy, Portugal and
                                                                                                                                                                7
THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF WORLD REGIONS
In less than 50 years, humanity doubled its demand for renewable resources and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               North America
ecological services (see Figure 2). At a global level, the causes are easily identified.
                                                                                                                                                                                                          1961                 EU
Population growth recorded a 118 percent increase from 1961 to 2008, the period                                                                                                                                                Other Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                   8




                                                                                                                                           Ecological Footprint (gha per capita)
studied for this report, while the world’s per capita Ecological Footprint increased by 15                                                                                                                                     Latin America
percent (from 2.4 to 2.7 gha per person).                                                                                                                                          7                                           Middle East/Central Asia

                                                                                                                                                                                   6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                   5
                                                  Built-up Land   Forest Land   Fishing Grounds   Grazing Land   Cropland   Carbon
                                                                                                                                                                                   4
                                           2.0
                                                                                                                                                                                   3
      Ecological Footprint (# of Earths)




                                                                                                                                                                                   2
                                           1.5
                                                                                                                                                                                   1

                                                 World biocapacity                                                                                                                 0
                                           1.0                                                                                                                                         0   1   2      3          4         5            6        7
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Population (billions)
                                           0.5


                                                                                                                                                                                                          2008
                                           0.0                                                                                                                                     8




                                                                                                                                           Ecological Footprint (gha per capita)
                                             1960                 1970            1980              1990             2000       2008
                                                                                                                                                                                   7
Figure 2: Humanity’s Ecological Footprint by land use type, 1961-2008. The largest component of the
Ecological Footprint today is the carbon Footprint (55 percent). This component represents more than half the                                                                      6
Ecological Footprint for one-quarter of the countries tracked, and it is the largest component for approximately
half the countries tracked. All Ecological Footprint and biocapacity values provided in this study are reported                                                                    5
in constant 2008 global hectare value. Details on constant gha can be found in Borucke et al., 2013.
                                                                                                                                                                                   4

                                                                                                                                                                                   3
These global trends, however, hide the huge variability that exists at the regional level.
Europe and Middle East/Central Asia experienced the largest increase in their per                                                                                                  2
capita Ecological Footprint (+1.2 and +1.1 gha per person, respectively), but while
                                                                                                                                                                                   1
Europe’s population growth was relatively slow (+29 percent), population grew 330
percent in Middle East/Central Asia. North America had a smaller increase in per capita                                                                                            0
consumption (+ 0.6 gha per person) and a 63 percent growth in population. At the other                                                                                                 0   1   2      3           4        5            6         7

end of the spectrum, Africa saw its per capita Ecological Footprint decline (-0.1 gha per                                                                                                          Population (billions)
person), while its population increased by 255 percent. In the Asia-Pacific region, per
capita Ecological Footprint increased slightly (+0.6 gha per person), while population                                                 Figure 3: Ecological Footprint and population by world’s regions in 1961 and 2008.The area within each
grew by 136 percent (See Figure 3).                                                                                                    bar represents the total Ecological Footprint for each region.
8
MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS



The Mediterranean region experienced significant increases in both population and per                                                 later, residents in this income group (approximately 279 million people) fell into more
capita consumption. From 1961 to 2008, the region’s population grew from 242 million to                                              Footprint ranges, suggesting a greater disparity in access to ecological resources and
478 million, a 96 percent increase, while its per capita Ecological Footprint increased by                                           services. (Despite this increased variability, approximately 126 million people living
52 percent. Together these increases led to a 197 percent increase of the Mediterranean’s                                            in middle-income countries in 2008 had a per capita Ecological Footprint ranging
                                                                                                                                     from 1.5 to 2.0 gha, evidence of a higher consumption level for more people).

                                                 Built-up Land   Forest Land   Fishing Grounds   Grazing Land   Cropland   Carbon                                                          ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT (GHA PER CAPITA) 1961

                                          1500                                                                                                                   100
     Ecological Footprint (million gha)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Middle income
                                          1200                                                                                                                    80




                                                                                                                                         Population (millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               High income


                                          900                                                                                                                     60



                                          600                                                                                                                     40



                                          300                                                                                                                     20


                                            0                                                                                                                      0
                                            1960                 1970            1980              1990             2000      2008                                     0.0 - 0.5   0.5 - 1.0   1.0 - 1.5   1.5 - 2.0   2.0 - 2.5   2.5 - 3.0   3.0 - 3.5   3.5 - 4.0   4.0 - 4.5   4.5 - 5.0   5.0 - 5.5   5.5 - 6.0

Figure 4: Mediterranean’s total Ecological Footprint, by land-use type, 1961-2008. The largest component
of the Ecological Footprint today is the carbon Footprint (47 percent), followed by cropland (28 percent).
In 1961, cropland was the largest component (33 percent), followed by the carbon Footprint (25 percent).                                                                                 ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT (GHA PER CAPITA) 2008
                                                                                                                                                                 200


total demand for ecological resources and services during the 47-year period studied
                                                                                                                                                                 150




                                                                                                                                         Population (millions)
for this report (see Figure 4). The region’s income levels indicate how population and
per capita Footprint values go hand in hand with the Mediterranean’s growing demand
for ecological resources and services (Figure 5). While Mediterranean high-income
                                                                                                                                                                 100
countries’ total Footprint grew primarily because of an increase in individual consumption
levels—that is, an increase in their per capita Footprint—middle-income countries’ growing
total Footprint was driven by both an increase in per capita consumption levels and
population growth. But these different patterns of change were also marked by shifts in                                                                           50

residents’ access to ecological assets. Growing per capita consumption trends in high-
income countries was accompanied by greater equality in access to ecological resources
                                                                                                                                                                   0
and services—by 2008, almost all residents in Mediterranean high-income countries                                                                                      0.0 - 0.5   0.5 - 1.0   1.0 - 1.5   1.5 - 2.0   2.0 - 2.5   2.5 - 3.0   3.0 - 3.5   3.5 - 4.0   4.0 - 4.5   4.5 - 5.0   5.0 - 5.5   5.5 - 6.0
(approximately 178 million people) had a per capita Footprint ranging from 4.5 to 5.0 gha.
                                                                                                                                     Figure 5: Distribution of Ecological Footprint and population by national income in 1961 and 2008. Per
Changes in middle-income countries brought the opposite effect, however. While in                                                    capita Footprint ranges are indicated on the x-axis, while the height of each bar is proportional to the
                                                                                                                                     number of people in that range. Mediterranean countries are here divided in income groups according to
1961 residents in middle-income countries (approximately 95 million people) fell into                                                their per capita GNI values in 2008, as indicated by the World Bank. Additional information on the income
two per capita Footprint ranges (0.5 to 1.0 gha and 1.5 to 2.0 gha), almost 50 years                                                 thresholds used in defining groups can be found in the Glossary section.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9
DRIVERS OF MEDITERRANEAN ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT AND BIOCAPACITY CHANGES OVER TIME
The Mediterranean region is characterized by its geographic, climatic and cultural
                                                                                                                                                          Built-up Land    Forest Land       Fishing Grounds    Grazing Land          Cropland   Carbon
diversity. Countries in the region have varying development levels and a wide range of
                                                                                                                                                    3.5
economic activities. A crossroads of the East and West, the region has lived and still lives




                                                                                                     Ecological Footprint (gha per capita)
through a turbulent, intertwined history. But every country in the Mediterranean shares an                                                          3.0
environmental fragility, with residents demand for ecological resources and services far
exceeding the regenerative capacity of their own ecological assets.                                                                                 2.5


From 1961 to 2008, the Mediterranean’s per capita Ecological Footprint grew by 52                                                                   2.0
percent (from 2.1 to 3.1 gha), mainly because of the region’s 185 percent increase in the
                                                                                                                                                    1.5
carbon Footprint component. Demand on other ecological assets increased only slightly
or even decreased—cropland +29 percent; forest +23 percent; grazing -6 percent; fishing                                                              1.0
-54 percent. Demand for built-up land increased 20 percent (see Figure 6).
                                                                                                                                                    0.5

                                                                                                                                                    0.0
                                                                                                                                                      1960                1970                1980               1990                   2000          2008




                                                                                               Figure 6: Per capita Ecological Footprint within the Mediterranean region, by component,
                                                                                               1961-2008 (top) and the role of per capita Footprint and population in determining the total
       From 1961 to 2008, the Mediterranean’s per capita                                       regional Footprint (bottom).


       Ecological Footprint grew by 52 percent (from 2.1 to
       3.1 gha), mainly because of the region’s 185 percent
                                                                                                                                                                Total Ecological Footprint          Ecological Footprint per capita          Population

            increase in the carbon Footprint component.                                                                                              3




                                                                                                                          Relative value (1961=1)
      Per capita biocapacity decreased by 16 percent—from                                                                                            2

            1.5 gha to 1.3 gha—from 1961 to 2008.

                                                                                                                                                     1
      Between 1961 and 2008, the Mediterranean region’s
        ecological deficit had increased by 230 percent.
                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                     1960                 1970                 1980                1990                  2000         2008




10
MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS



                                          Built-up Land   Forest Land     Fishing Grounds      Grazing Land       Cropland          During this time, improvements in agricultural practices and other environmental factors
                                 2.0                                                                                                slightly increased the productivity of the Mediterranean region’s ecological assets, thus
                                                                                                                                    contributing to an increase in the region’s total biocapacity. However, as population
                                                                                                                                    growth outstripped gains in productivity (Figure 7), per capita biocapacity decreased by
    Global Hectares Per Capita




                                 1.5                                                                                                16 percent—from 1.5 gha to 1.3 gha—from 1961 to 2008.
                                                                                                                                    These changes in biocapacity, consumption and population trends had a profound impact
                                                                                                                                    on the region’s ability to meet its own demands. In 1961, residents in the region had
                                 1.0
                                                                                                                                    already used more resources and ecosystem services than the Mediterranean ecosystems’
                                                                                                                                    could renew. Less than 50 years later, the region’s ecological deficit had increased by
                                 0.5
                                                                                                                                    230 percent (Figure 8).


                                                                                                                                                                    4
                                 0.0
                                   1960         1970               1980               1990                2000               2008




                                                                                                                                       Global hectares per capita
                                                                                                                                                                    3

Figure 7: Per capita biocapacity within the Mediterranean region, by component, 1961-2008 (top)
and its contributing factors (bottom).
                                                                                                                                                                    2



                                                                                                                                                                    1

                                               Area        Bioccapacity per capita     Yield         Population

                                  3
                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                                                                    1960   1965   1970   1975    1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005
      Relative value (1961=1)




                                                                                                                                    Figure 8: Mediterranean region’s per capita Ecological Footprint (red line), and biocapacity (green line).
                                  2                                                                                                 The widening gap between demand and supply expanded the ecological deficit (shaded red) 230 percent
                                                                                                                                    from 1961 to 2008, ever increasing the region’s ecological debt over time.



                                  1


                                                                                                                                                                        Today, the Mediterranean region’s total Ecological
                                  0
                                  1960          1970             1980                1990              2000            2008
                                                                                                                                                                           Footprint exceeds local biocapacity by more
                                                                                                                                                                                            than 150 percent.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             11
IN 2008, THE COMPONENTS                    Decisions made by governments and
                                           businesses have a substantial influence on
OF THE MEDITERRANEAN’S
                                           the region’s Ecological Footprint. Citizens
                                                                                           Gross Fixed Capital Formation
ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT                       have no direct control over how a country                                                                                                             Other
                                           produces its electricity, for example, or
WERE:
                                           the intensity of its agricultural production.        Government
                                                                                                                                                                        Recreation and culture                                           Food and non-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         alcoholic beverages
                                           However, individuals’ daily activities                                                                                       Alcoholic beverages,
                                           are also primary Footprint drivers:                                                                                          tobacco and narcotics


     short-lived goods and services        Socio-economic factors, development
                                           level and wealth, the food, goods and
     directly paid by households           services consumed, as well as the wastes                                                                                                Transportation


     (driven by individual behavior,       generated, all contribute to the region’s per                                                                                                                                Housing, water,
                                           capita Footprint.                                                    Households                                                                                              electricity, gas and other fuels

     78 percent of the total Footprint);
                                           Figure 9 and 10 further break down the
                                           Ecological Footprint of Mediterranean
     consumption of ecological             residents. They indicate who is demanding
                                           what and where the pressures (Ecological        Figure 9: Breakdown of the per capita Ecological Footprint of an average Mediterranean resident, in 2008.
     resource and services due to          Footprint hotspots) lie.                        The left chart indicates how much of the Ecological Footprint of consumption is paid for directly by household for
                                                                                           short-lived goods (HH), how much by government, and how much is for expenditure of long-lasting goods (GFCF).
     long-term capital investments         Among the daily consumption and service         The second graph breaks down the consumption directly paid for by households (HH) into its main categories.

     undertaken by households,             categories shaping the “household”
                                           component, those that contributed the
     businesses and governments            most to the Ecological Footprint of the
                                           average Mediterranean resident were
     (Gross Fixed Capital Formation,
                                           “Food and non-alcoholic beverages” (35
                                                                                                                                                                                      Carbon              Cropland          Grazing Land
     or GFCF, 15 percent);                 percent of the household total), “Housing,                                                                                                 Fishing Grounds     Forest Land       Built-up Land
                                           water, electricity, gas and other fuels” (19                                       Food and non-alcoholic beverages
                                           percent) and human “Transportation” (19                                    Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics
                                                                                                                                            Clothing and footwear
     services directly paid by             percent). While “Food and non-alcoholic                                  Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels
                                           beverages” put more demand on cropland          Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance
                                                                                                                                                             Health
     government, which ultimately          assets than it did on other land-use                                                                      Transportation
                                                                                                                                                   Communication
     benefit households, that are not       types, the other two household activities                                                        Recreation and culture
                                           caused a demand mainly on the carbon                                                                          Education
                                                                                                                                            Restaurants and hotels
     for long-term investments, such       sequestration capacity of the planet                                                Miscellaneous goods and services
                                                                                                                                                               Gov.
     as law enforcement, education,        (see Figure 10).                                                                                                   GFCF
                                                                                                                                                                   0%             20%               40%            60%                 80%                 100%

     public health, and defense
     (7 percent of the total Footprint).
                                                                                           Figure 10: Percentage contribution to the household Ecological Footprint of an average Mediterranean
                                                                                           resident of each category of biologically productive land, in 2008. Footprint values by land
                                                                                           category for government consumptions as well as capital formation are also provided as reference.
12
MAPPING CONSUMPTION PRODUCTION AND TRADE ACTIVITIES FOR THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION
Evaluating a country or region’s demand                                       reported in Figure 11 and compared with              more than 50 years. From 1961 to 2008,         gha of Mediterranean ecological assets
for biocapacity does not completely inform                                    the region’s biocapacity trend for the               Mediterranean countries’ gap between           were exported to the top ten trading
us of the risks to domestic production                                        period 1961–2008.                                    Ecological Footprint of production and         partners. Of these, the biggest exports
systems, since an ecological deficit can                                                                                            biocapacity more than tripled from 0.3         of biocapacity were to the Netherlands
be maintained not only through domestic                                       In 1961, Mediterranean biocapacity met
                                                                                                                                   gha per person (14 percent of the total        (6.5 million gha), the United States (6.2
overuse, but also through imports and/                                        only 73 percent of the region’s demand—
                                                                                                                                   demand) to 1.1 gha per person (34              million gha) and the United Kingdom (5.3
or a reliance on the global commons                                           its Ecological Footprint of consumption—
                                                                                                                                   percent of total demand).                      million gha). Netherlands’ imports were
as a sink for carbon emissions. To more                                       for renewable resources and ecological
                                                                                                                                                                                  mostly composed of renewable resources
fully understand a population’s resource                                      services. By 2008, only 40 percent of                Already by 1961, Mediterranean trade
                                                                                                                                                                                  from cropland (50 percent) and fishing
demands, then, means to track both local                                      the region’s Footprint of consumption was            patterns had made the region a net importer
                                                                                                                                                                                  grounds assets (49 percent); the carbon
production and consumption trends, as                                         met by local biocapacity.                            of Ecological Footprint, with 13 percent of
                                                                                                                                                                                  Footprint embedded in electricity, fossil
well as trends in trade.                                                                                                           local demand (EFC) satisfied by resources
                                                                              Production     activities   within     the                                                          fuels and energy-intensive commodities
                                                                                                                                   and ecological services generated
Trends in the Ecological Footprint                                            Mediterranean geographical boundaries                                                               was the biggest component of the exports
                                                                                                                                   by ecological assets from outside the
embedded in Mediterranean’s production                                        have demanded more resources and                                                                    to United States and United Kingdom (93
                                                                                                                                   region’s geographical boundaries. The
(EFP) and consumption (EFC) activities are                                    services than are regionally available for                                                          percent and 88 percent of the total).
                                                                                                                                   Mediterranean’s dependence on trade
                                                                                                                                   continuously increased over the decades,       From 1977 to 2008, growth in the
                                                                                                                                   so much that by 2008 the Ecological            physical quantity of exports—and their
                                                                                                                                   Footprint embedded in net trade imports        embedded Footprint—was particularly
                                 Ecological Footprint of consuption      Ecological Footprint of production          Biocapacity
                                                                                                                                   accounted for 26 percent of total Footprint    strong, especially to the EU. In 2008,
                             4                                                                                                     of consumption.                                the Ecological Footprint embedded in
                                                                                                                                                                                  exports to the top ten trading partners
                                                                                                                                   Comparing EFC and EFP indicates the net
                                                                                                                                                                                  was approximately 88 million gha. The
                                                                                                                                   flows of Ecological Footprint embedded
                             3                                                                                                                                                    biggest Footprint export flows were to
Global hectares per capita




                                                                                                                                   in trade among countries. However, it
                                                                                                                                                                                  Belgium (26 million gha), the United
                                                                                                                                   does not inform us of the actual imports
                                                                                                                                                                                  Kingdom (17 million gha) and the United
                                                                                                                                   and exports flows and the Ecological
                             2                                                                                                                                                    States (11 million gha). Footprint exports
                                                                                                                                   Footprint embedded in each of them.
                                                                                                                                                                                  to Belgium were composed of carbon
                                                                                                                                   Figure 12 shows the detailed breakdown         Footprint (50 percent) as well as cropland
                             1                                                                                                     of the Ecological Footprint embedded in        (25 percent) and fishing grounds assets
                                                                                                                                   exports from the Mediterranean region          (25 percent). Carbon Footprint was also
                                                                                                                                   to its top ten trading partners for the year   the biggest component for the United
                             0                                                                                                     1977 and 20081; Figure 13 illustrates the      Kingdom (90 percent of total) and the
                             1960                  1970               1980             1990                   2000         2008    Footprint embedded in Mediterranean’s          United States (95 percent).
Figure 11: Mediterranean region’s Ecological Footprint of production (EFP) and consumption (EFC)                                   imports from top ten trading partners and
compared to available biocapacity (BC), 1961-2008. EFP can be said to represent the biocapacity used                               its changes over the same period.
for producing GDP within a country while EFC represents the biocapacity embedded in all commodities,
goods and services consumed by the residents of that country. Comparing EFC vs. BC indicates the extent                            In 1977, resources and ecological
of the total ecological deficit, which is made up by trade, resource overuse and use of global commons as                                                                          1
                                                                                                                                                                                  1977 is the first year that comprehensive data is
carbon sinks. The difference between EFC and EFP indicates the Footprint embedded in net trade activities.                         services worth approximately 24 million        available to run the multi-lateral trade analysis.
ECOLOGICAL DEBTORS
                                                             ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
FOOTPRINT IS                                                 E X P O R T S I N 197 7
                                                             24 MILLION GHA
            0-50% larger than Biocapacity

            50-100% larger than Biocapacity
            100-150% larger than Biocapacity

            150% larger than Biocapacity

            Data not available




ECOLOGICAL CREDITORS
BIOC APACIT Y IS

            0-50% larger than Footprint

            50-100% larger than Footprint
                                                             ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
            100-150% larger than Footprint                   EXPORTS IN 2008
            150% larger than Footprint                       88 MILLION GHA

            Data not available




ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
         Carbon

         Fishing Grounds

         Cropland

The size of the arrows is a function of the extent of the
trade flows, and the color represents the corresponding
land use type.

For ease in visualization only the main three traded Foot-
print components are reported in the maps



Figure 12: Ecological Footprint exports to major
trade partners of the Mediterranean region in
1977 (inset) and 2008, and the ecological deficit
(red) or reserve (green) status of those partners.
UN COMTRADE and FAO bilateral trade data
were used to calculate the Ecological Footprint
embedded in exports. Intra-regional trade was not
included in the analysis.
14
ME DITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS



The large contribution of the carbon           gha) and Saudi Arabia (1.8 million gha).      The same situation, however, also offers
Footprint in the region’s exports, and the                                                   opportunity. The majority of the region’s
                                               The Ecological Footprint embedded in
fact that export revenues are needed to                                                      ecological resource and service exports
                                               the Mediterranean’s imports increased
pay for imports, suggest that the region is                                                  are now to countries that are experiencing
                                               to 142 million gha in 2008, primarily
highly exposed to energy price volatility.                                                   ecological deficits (Brazil and the Russian
                                               because of the carbon Footprint
Such volatility is likely to expand with oil                                                 Federation are the primary exceptions). In
                                               component. In 2008, carbon Footprint
shortages or carbon pricing.                                                                 an era of tightening resource constraints,
                                               accounted for 52 percent of the total
                                                                                             Mediterranean countries that improve
At the same time, carbon Footprint             imports, followed by imports of resources
                                                                                             their resource efficiency and sustain a
exposes importing countries to risk as well:   from cropland and fishing grounds assets
                                                                                             positive ecological trade balance would
The increasing costs of imported fossil        (24 percent each). Electricity, fossil
                                                                                             benefit from increased commodity prices
fuels are already a significant burden on       fuels and energy-intensive commodities
                                                                                             and improve their economic performance
economies depending on importing them;         (determining carbon Footprint imports)
                                                                                             and the well-being of their populations.
carbon taxes would cause even more             were mostly imported from Germany
stress on economies, with the greatest         (19 million gha), China (15 million gha)
impact on those countries with a high          and the Russian Federation (11 million
carbon Footprint demand.                       gha), while renewable resources were
                                               imported primarily from Belgium (7.5
The Ecological Footprint embedded in
                                               million gha), Netherlands (7 million gha)
imports to the Mediterranean from the
                                               and Germany (6 million gha).
region’s top ten trading partners also
changed significantly from 1977 to              As the region increased its Ecological
2008, from approximately 30 million            Footprint imports, trade patterns shifted
global hectares to approximately 142           and the Mediterranean’s major trade                       Between 1977 and 2008, the Ecological Footprint
million gha (see Figure 13).                   partners moved toward larger ecological
                                               deficits. In a few instances, trade
                                                                                                             embedded in the Mediterranean’s imports
Of the 30 million global hectares imported
                                               relationships from 1977 to 2008 shifted                   increased from 30 to 142 million global hectares.
in 1977, 38 percent was composed
                                               from countries that had ecological reserves
of renewable resources from cropland
                                               (Canada, Argentina, and Saudi Arabia)
assets followed by fishing grounds assets
                                               to countries with ecological deficits
(37 percent) and carbon Footprint (25
                                               (Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and                    During this same period, trade patterns shifted and
percent). Renewable resources were
                                               China).                                                    the Mediterranean’s major trade partners moved
imported primarily from Norway (3.7
million gha), Argentina (2.1 million gha)      This situation exposes the Mediterranean
and United Kingdom (2.0 million gha),          region to risks: Growing dependence
                                                                                                                  toward larger ecological deficits.
while electricity, fossil fuels and energy-    on exporting countries that themselves
intensive commodities (determining             run ever larger ecological deficits may
carbon Footprint imports) were imported        amplify possibilities for future resource
from mainly the United States (2.1 million     disruptions in the region.
                                                                                                                                                                               15
ECOLOGICAL DEBTORS
                                                             ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
FOOTPRINT IS                                                 I M P O R T S I N 197 7
                                                             30 MILLION GHA
            0-50% larger than Biocapacity

            50-100% larger than Biocapacity
            100-150% larger than Biocapacity

            150% larger than Biocapacity

            Data not available




ECOLOGICAL CREDITORS
BIOC APACIT Y IS

            0-50% larger than Footprint

            50-100% larger than Footprint
                                                             ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
            100-150% larger than Footprint                   IMPORTS IN 2008
            150% larger than Footprint                       14 2 M I L L I O N G H A

            Data not available




ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
         Carbon

         Fishing Grounds

         Cropland

The size of the arrows is a function of the extent of the
trade flows, and the color represents the corresponding
land use type.

For ease in visualization only the main three traded Foot-
print components are reported in the maps



Figure 13: Ecological Footprint imports from
major trade partners of the Mediterranean region
in 1977 (inset) and 2008, and the ecological
deficit (red) or reserve (green) status of those
partners. UN COMTRADE and FAO bilateral
trade data were used to calculate the Ecological
Footprint embedded in imports. Intra-regional
trade was not included in the analysis.
16
ME DITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS
MEDITERRANEAN ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF NATIONS
In 1961, only six countries in the              debtor status during this period, while        were Algeria (1.6 gha), Syria (1.5 gha),                         and Syria (49 percent), cropland for
Mediterranean region had more                   the other Mediterranean countries saw          Morocco (1.3 gha), Montenegro (1.2 gha)                          Morocco (45 percent) and the Occupied
ecological assets available to produce          a worsening of their ecological deficits.       and the Occupied Palestinian Territories                         Palestinian Territories (71 percent), and
the resources and services, on aggregate,       Cyprus’ ecological deficit grew by 3.1          (0.5 gha). Carbon was the main Footprint                         forest for Montenegro (39 percent).
than their residents consumed. All other        gha per capita, the largest deficit increase    component for Algeria (37 percent)
countries consumed significantly more            in the region. Jordan reported the smallest       Footprint 0-50% greater than biocapacity                        Biocapacity more than 150% greater than Footprint

than their domestic ecosystems produced         deficit increase, at + 0.3 gha per capita.         Footprint 50-100% greater than biocapacity                      Biocapacity 100-150% greater than Footprint
                                                                                                  Footprint 100-150% greater than biocapacity                     Biocapacity 50-100% greater than Footprint
(see Figure 14).                                                                                  Footprint more than 150% greater than biocapacity               Biocapacity 0-50% greater than Footprint
                                                The large variability in the per capita
By 2008, the deficit situation had spread        Footprints of individual countries reflects
to every Mediterranean country but              the existing socio-economic differences in
the possible exception of Montenegro            the region—the more affluent a country,
                                                                                                 1961
(data set for this country is not sufficiently   the greater its demand for ecological
reliable).                                      resources and services (and the higher its
                                                per capita consumption). On the supply
Algeria experienced the largest change
                                                side, differences in per capita biocapacity
in per capita ecological deficit, moving
                                                are mainly due to biophysical and climatic
from a reserve of +0.7 gha per person
                                                conditions—for example, water shortages
in 1961 to an ecological deficit of -1.1
                                                affecting land productivity—as well as
gha per person in 2008. This was due
                                                population density.
to both consumption increases (causing
the total Ecological Footprint to grow)         In 2008, the Former Yugoslavian
and population growth (which decreased          Republic of Macedonia was found to
the per capita biocapacity budget).             have the highest per capita Ecological
Only Algeria’s oil revenues allowed it to       Footprint value (5.4 gha) among the
maintain its ecological deficit for the first                                                      2008
                                                Mediterranean countries (Figure 15),
few decades after independence. But             followed by Slovenia (5.2 gha), Greece
by the late 1980s, declining oil prices         (4.9 gha), France (4.9 gha) and Spain
took a toll on Algeria’s petroleum-based        (4.7 gha). In all of these countries, carbon
economy, diminishing its capacity to            was the main Footprint component,
pay for importing external ecological           ranging from 46 percent (France) to 72
resources and services. As revenues             percent (Macedonia TFYR) of the total
and     imports     declined,    Algeria’s      value. The second highest component
Ecological Footprint stabilized limiting        was cropland, with a contribution ranging
residents’ access to ecological resources       from 15 percent (Macedonia TFYR) to 27
and services.                                   percent (Spain).
                                                                                               Figure 14: Ecological deficit (red) or reserve (green) status of the Mediterranean countries in 1961 (top)
Morocco, Libya, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey       The five countries with the smallest per        and 2008 (bottom). Ecological reserve is defined as a domestic Ecological Footprint of consumption less
also shifted from ecological creditor to                                                       than domestic biocapacity; ecological deficit as a domestic Ecological Footprint of consumption greater than
                                                capita Ecological Footprint in 2008            domestic biocapacity.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      17
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Mediterranean report final

  • 2. CONTENT Global Footprint Network 1 Global Footprint Network EDITOR Foreword Promotes a sustainable economy by Alessandro Galli advancing the Ecological Footprint, Scott Mattoon Foreword Plan Blue 2 a tool that makes sustainability Introduction 3 measureable. AUTHORS The Ecological Footprint 8 Alessandro Galli Funded by: of World Regions David Moore MAVA Foundation Established in 1994, it is a family-led, Nina Brooks Drivers of Mediterranean Ecological Footprint and biocapacity changes Swiss-based philanthropic foundation Katsunori Iha 10 over time whose mission is to engage in strong Gemma Cranston partnerships to conserve biodiversity Mapping consumption, production 13 for future generations. CONTRIBUTORS AND REVIEWER and trade activities for the Mediterranean Region Jean-Pierre Giraud In collaboration with: Steve Goldfinger Mediterranean Ecological Footprint 17 WWF Mediterranean Martin Halle of nations Its mission is to build a future in which Pati Poblete people live in harmony with nature. Linking ecological assets and 20 Anders Reed The WWF Mediterranean initiative aims economic competitiveness Mathis Wackernagel at conserving the natural wealth of the Toward sustainable development: 22 Mediterranean and reducing human human welfare and planetary limits footprint on nature for the benefit of all. DESIGN MaddoxDesign.net National Case Studies 24 UNESCO Venice Conclusions 28 Is developing an educational and ADVISORS training platform on the application Deanna Karapetyan Appendix A 32 of the Ecological Footprint in SEE and Hannes Kunz Calculating the Ecological Footprint Mediterranean countries, using in (Institute for Integrated Economic particular the network of MAB Biosphere Appendix B 35 Research - www.iier.ch) Reserves as special demonstration and The carbon-plus approach Paolo Lombardi learning places. Appendix C (WWF Mediterranean Programme) 36 Ecological Footprint: Frequently asked Plan Bleu André Schneider questions Plan Bleu aims to produce information (André Schneider Global Advisory SA) and knowledge in order to alert Yves de Soye Glossary of Ecological Footprint terms 38 decision-makers and other stakeholders References 40 to environmental risks and sustainable development issues in the Mediterranean, Biocapacity and Ecological Footprint Data 42 and to shape future scenarios to guide decision-making processes.
  • 3. GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK FOREWORD Yes, ecological health is important—all agree—but what’s in it for our economies? This is the question we address with the Mediterranean Footprint report. We believe that if we carefully look at the resource trends, the link will be obvious. We will see that it is in each I n a world of growing ecological overshoot—when our demands for nature’s products and services exceed country’s most central self-interest to combat ecological deficits and overreliance on fossil fuel quickly and aggressively. the planet’s ability to renew them—the winning economic strategies will be Such action does not depend on whether our global neighbors follow suit. In fact, each country’s own actions will become more urgent and valuable the less others do. those that manage biocapacity on the one hand, and reduce demand for it Let me spell out the argument: Why would it be in any individual country’s interest to address a problem that seems to be global in nature? on the other. Mathis Wackernagel Consider the nature of the most prominent environmental challenge: Climate change. Even Those countries and cities trapped President, Global Footprint Network though climate change transcends country boundaries, the fossil fuel dependence that in energy- and resource-intensive www.footprintnetwork.org contributes to it carries growing economic risks for the emitting country—particularly for infrastructure (and economic activities) many of the Mediterranean countries paying for expensive oil-imports. Working our way out of this addiction takes time, and the longer we wait to radically rethink and retool our societies, the costlier and harder it will be. will become dangerously fragile, and will not be able to adapt in time to meet But climate change is not an issue in isolation. Rather, it is a symptom of a broader challenge: Humanity’s systematic overuse of the planet’s finite resources. the emerging resource constraints. But those which do, and build economies Our natural systems can only generate a finite amount of raw materials (fish, trees, crops, etc.) and absorb a finite amount of waste (such as carbon dioxide emissions). Global Footprint Network quantifies this rate of output through a measure called “biocapacity.” that work with, rather than against, Biocapacity is as measurable as GDP—and, ultimately, more significant, as access to basic living resources underlies every economic nature’s budget will be able to secure activity a society can undertake. the wellbeing of their people. For centuries, we have treated biocapacity as an essentially limitless flow. Today, though, humanity’s demand for biocapacity outstrips global supply by 50 percent. In the Mediterranean region, as this report shows, demands on biocapacity now exceed the region’s supply by more than 150 percent.
  • 4. PLAN BLEU FOREWORD T In 1989, Plan Bleu published a pioneering report on “Futures for the Mediterranean he “State of the Environment and Basin” which recommended a design for the Mediterranean Strategy for Development in the Mediterranean”, Sustainable Development (MSSD). With the issuance of an update in 2005, published by Plan Bleu in 2009, attempted to entitled “A sustainable future for the Mediterranean: the Blue Plan’s environment and development outlook” the report’s recommendations were adopted by the provide answers regarding water and energy. Barcelona Convention Contracting Parties at their 14th conference in Portoroz, The promotion of water demand management Slovenia, 8-11 November 2005. and the use of related indicators, such as Plan Bleu’s key function as the “Mediterranean Environment and Development efficiency demand per sector and exploitation Observatory” (MEDO), draws heavily upon its expertise in sustainable index of the renewable resources, should aid development indicators. Within MEDO, 134 initial indicators were selected better inclusion of water scarcity. The main and adapted to the follow-up of the implementation of Agenda 21 in the Hugues Ravenel responses to the growth of the major Mediterranean. Of these, 34 priority indicators were subsequently chosen to Director, Plan Bleu monitor the progress made by the Mediterranean countries focusing upon the socio-economic drivers and environmental www.planbleu.org objectives defined for 9 MSSD priority issues including: pressures are a) to develop more sustainable energy consumption and b) encourage Improving integrated water resource and water demand management; diversification of energy sources with a bigger Ensuring sustainable management of energy; share of renewable energy. Mitigating and adapting to the effects of climate change. The MSSD and the related indicators are being revised by taking into account the impact of In addition, some composite indicators such as the Human Development Index (HDI) and Ecological Footprint were considered to monitor overall progress in terms of sustainable development. climate change on the Mediterranean environment and society. All this work on indicators and MSSD The MSSD priority indicators are unable to fully describe the complexity and diversity of sustainable development issues in the Mediterranean regions. Some additional indicators were thus selected, defined and populated in order to is also linked to the activities of the Centre for tackle priority issues such as: water, energy, tourism, the conservation of rural and coastal areas. These analyses, widely Mediterranean Integration in Marseille and the disseminated in Plan Bleu publications and continuously updated, are nicely complemented by the analysis of Ecological priority areas of the Union for the Mediterranean. Footprint and biocapacity trends in the Mediterranean region that is included in this report. 2
  • 5. MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS INTRODUCTION WHAT’S AT STAKE TRACKING HUMAN DEMAND ON Since the rise of agriculture, the the performance of their economies are BIOCAPACIT Y: Mediterranean region has been shaped undermining the health of their ecological INTRODUCING THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT by its diverse and vast ecological assets and mortgaging their long-term resources. Ecological changes, from security. Pursuing a more sustainable approach to development and economic prosperity means better understanding the choices before us. For this, governments need the forest loss to desertification, have knowledge and tools to manage their ecological assets as well as their demand Never has the situation been so critical: always been part of its history, but for renewable resources and ecological services. The Ecological Footprint The Mediterranean’s accessibility to never has human pressure on the methodology offers a way to do so, globally and at the regional and country level. essential life-supporting ecological Mediterranean’s ecological assets been The Ecological Footprint is an accounting tool that measures one aspect of resources and services is increasingly at as intense as it is today. sustainability: How much of the planet’s regenerative capacity humans demand to risk. At a time when the world is going produce the resources and ecological services for their daily lives and how much Growing demands on the Mediterranean further into ecological overshoot, failure regenerative capacity they have available from existing ecological assets. It does region’s limited ecological resources and to take action is becoming a fundamental so by means of two indicators: services now threaten the foundation threat. of its social and economic well-being. O N T H E D E M A N D S I D E the Ecological Footprint measures the biologically productive land and sea area—the ecological assets—that a In 2008, every country in the region population requires to produce the renewable resources and ecological but one demanded more ecological services it uses. resources and services than were ON THE SUPPLY SIDE Biocapacity tracks the ecological assets available within their respective borders. available in countries, regions or at the global level and their capacity to produce renewable resources and ecological services. Simply stated, the Mediterranean region is running a severe ecological deficit, In economic terms, assets are often defined as something durable that is not directly consumed, but yields a flow of products and services that people do consume. a situation that will only worsen unless Ecological assets are thus here defined as the biologically productive land and effective resource management becomes sea areas that generate the renewable resources and ecological services that central to policy-making. humans demand. They include: cropland for the provision of plant-based food and fiber products; grazing land and cropland for animal products; fishing grounds To achieve lasting socio-economic (marine and inland) for fish products; forests for timber and other forest products; success, solutions are needed that uptake land to sequester waste (CO2, primarily from fossil fuel burning); and space manage Earth’s limited ecological assets. for shelter and other urban infrastructure (see box 1). Instead, however, we see that many of the actions taken by Greece, Italy and other Mediterranean countries to improve 3
  • 6. CARBON GRAZING LAND accounts for the amount of forest land represents the area of grassland used, in required to accommodate for the carbon addition to crop feeds, to raise livestock Footprint, meaning to sequester CO2 for meat, diary, hide and wool products. emissions, primarily from fossil fuels It comprises all grasslands used to burning, international trade and land use provide feed for animals, including practices, that are not uptake by oceans. cultivated pastures as well as wild grasslands and prairies. FOREST FISHING GROUNDS represents the area of forests required to represent the area of marine and inland support the annual harvest of fuel wood, waters necessary to generate the annual pulp and timber products. primary production required to support catches of aquatic species (fish and seafood) and from aquaculture. CROPLAND BUILT-UP LAND consists of the area required to grow all represents the area of land covered by crop products required for human human infrastructure such as consumption (food and fibre), as well transportation, housing, industrial as to grow livestock feeds, fish meals, structures and reservoirs for oil crops, and rubber. hydroelectric power generation. Box 1: Land use categories comprising the Ecological Footprint (see Borucke et al., 2013 for additional information on the calculation methodology for each of these categories). 4
  • 7. MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS A country’s Ecological Footprint of consumption is derived by tracking the ecological assets demanded to absorb its waste and to generate all the commodities it produces, imports and exports (see box 2). All commodities (or CO2 waste) carry with them an embedded amount of bioproductive land and sea area necessary to produce (or sequester) them; international trade flows can thus Ecological Footprint of Consumption Ecological Footprint of Production Net Ecological Footprint of Trade be seen as flows of embedded Ecological Footprint. The Ecological Footprint of consumption The Ecological Footprint of production indicates the The Ecological Footprint of imports and indicates the consumption of biocapacity consumption of biocapacity resulting from production exports indicate the use of biocapacity within by a country’s inhabitants. processes within a given geographic area, such as a international trade. country or region. Embedded in trade between countries is a use of In order to assess the total domestic demand for biocapacity, the net Ecological Footprint of trade resources and ecological services of a It is the sum of all the bioproductive areas within a country (the Ecological Footprint of imports minus the population, we use the Ecological Footprint of necessary for supporting the actual harvest of primary Ecological Footprint of exports). If the Ecological consumption (EFc). EFc accounts for both the products (cropland, pasture land, forestland and fishing Footprint embodied in exports is higher than that export of national resources and ecological grounds), the country’s built-up area (roads, factories, of imports, then a country is a net exporter of cities), and the area needed to absorb all fossil fuel carbon renewable resources and ecological services. services for use in other countries, and the import of resources and ecological services for emissions generated within the country. Conversely, a country whose Footprint of imports domestic consumption. is higher than that embodied in exports depends This measure mirrors the gross domestic product (GDP), on the renewable resources and ecological EFc is most amenable to change by individuals which represents the sum of the values of all goods and services generated by ecological assets from through changes in their consumption behavior. services produced within a country’s borders. outside its geographical boundaries. Box 2: Tracking production, consumption and net trade with the Ecological Footprint: The Ecological Footprint associated with each country’s total consumption is calculated by summing the Footprint of its imports and its production, and subtracting the Footprint of its exports. This means that the resource use and emissions associated with producing a car that is manufactured in China, but sold and used in Italy, will contribute to Italy’s rather than China’s Ecological Footprint of consumption. 5
  • 8. Both Ecological Footprint and biocapacity results are GLOBAL ECOLOGICAL OVERSHOOT 2011). In other words, in 2008 human demand on the expressed in a globally comparable, standardized unit Earth’s ecological assets was 50 percent greater than While ecological assets have long been ignored as called a “global hectare” (gha)—a hectare of biologically their capacity to keep up with this demand. irrelevant to a country’s economy, the goods and services productive land or sea area with world average that sustain a healthy human society (access to food, safe This situation is known as “ecological overshoot” and its bioproductivity in a given year (see Borucke et al., 2013 water, sanitation, manufactured goods and economic consequences can be seen in the form of climate change, for details). opportunity) all depend on the functioning of healthy water scarcity, land use change and land degradation, While the Ecological Footprint quantifies human ecosystems. declining fisheries, loss of biodiversity, food crises and demand, biocapacity acts as an ecological benchmark soaring energy costs. According to Global Footprint Network’s most recent and quantifies nature’s ability to meet this demand. A National Footprint Accounts, in 2008 humanity consumed If human demand on nature continues to exceed what population’s Ecological Footprint can be compared resources and ecological services 1.5 times faster than Earth can regenerate, then substantial changes in with the biocapacity that is available—domestically or Earth could renew them—a 100 percent jump from the resource base may occur, undermining economic globally—to support that population, just as expenditure is 1961, when approximately 74 percent of the planet’s performance and human welfare. compared with income in financial terms. If a population’s biocapacity was consumed (Global Footprint Network, demand for ecological assets exceeds the country’s supply, that country is defined as running an ecological—or more precisely, a biocapacity—deficit. Conversely, when 20 demand for ecological assets is less than the biocapacity available within a country’s borders, the country is said to Global Hectares (billions) 15 OVERSHOOT have an ecological—or biocapacity—reserve. The total Ecological Footprint of a country is a function of the average consumption pattern of each individual, 10 the efficiency in production and resource transformation, and the number of individuals in the country. Biocapacity BIOCAPACITY = Area x Yield is determined by the available biologically productive (SUPPLY) land and sea areas and the capacity of these assets 5 ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT = Population x Consumption x Resource to produce resources and services useful for humans (SUPPLY) per person intensity (this is determined by the prevailing technology and 0 management practices implemented in these areas). 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Figure 1: Trends in total Ecological Footprint and biocapacity between 1961 and 2008. The increase in biocapacity is due to an increase in land bioproductivity as well as in the areas used for human purposes. However, the increase in the Earth’s productivity is not enough to compensate for the demands of a growing global population. 6
  • 9. MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS Humanity crossed the threshold in Spain offer a particular example of the 1971, when the world went into global interplay between ecological constraints In this report, the Mediterranean region ecological overshoot. Recent studies and economic performance. Using the (Moore et al., 2012) project that, if we Ecological Footprint and biocapacity is defined as those countries that directly border continue on a “business-as-usual” path, it measures, we investigate the main drivers will take twice the ecological assets of the of increased human pressure in the the Mediterranean Sea plus three countries, Jordan, biosphere to meet our demands by the region and explore the likely implications Macedonia and Portugal, which are ecologically early 2030s. This level of overshoot is of growing ecological deficits for the physically impossible in the long run. With Mediterranean region’s ecosystems and characterized by biomes that are typical of growing resource scarcity and exceeded economies. the Mediterranean region. Only countries with planetary boundaries, leaders need to Global Footprint Network published this populations greater than 500,000 are included in be informed not only by value-added report in October 2012 as a foundation for measures of economic activities, but also the debate on the strategies and policies Ecological Footprint results. asset balances and how they impact our required to best guarantee a sustainable quality of life. future for all in the region. Key findings of Global Footprint Network launched its the report that were published in advance Mediterranean initiative to bring the in “Why Are Resource Limits Now reality of ecological constraints to the Undermining Economic Performance?” center of Mediterranean policy debate, (Global Footprint Network, 2012) might and to support decision-makers with tools be considered the first discussion on this that will help them weigh policy trade-offs. critical issue. Global Footprint Network These tools will enable policy analysts now invites governments and other and decision-makers to more fully identify decision-makers to join the dialogue, and the risks that resource and ecosystem act to safeguard their economies and limitations pose to their countries’ their peoples’ well-being. economic and social well-being. In this report, we examine the nature of and trends in the demands that residents in the Mediterranean region are placing on the Earth’s ecological assets. The chapter on Greece, Italy, Portugal and 7
  • 10. THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF WORLD REGIONS In less than 50 years, humanity doubled its demand for renewable resources and North America ecological services (see Figure 2). At a global level, the causes are easily identified. 1961 EU Population growth recorded a 118 percent increase from 1961 to 2008, the period Other Europe 8 Ecological Footprint (gha per capita) studied for this report, while the world’s per capita Ecological Footprint increased by 15 Latin America percent (from 2.4 to 2.7 gha per person). 7 Middle East/Central Asia 6 Africa 5 Built-up Land Forest Land Fishing Grounds Grazing Land Cropland Carbon 4 2.0 3 Ecological Footprint (# of Earths) 2 1.5 1 World biocapacity 0 1.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Population (billions) 0.5 2008 0.0 8 Ecological Footprint (gha per capita) 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 7 Figure 2: Humanity’s Ecological Footprint by land use type, 1961-2008. The largest component of the Ecological Footprint today is the carbon Footprint (55 percent). This component represents more than half the 6 Ecological Footprint for one-quarter of the countries tracked, and it is the largest component for approximately half the countries tracked. All Ecological Footprint and biocapacity values provided in this study are reported 5 in constant 2008 global hectare value. Details on constant gha can be found in Borucke et al., 2013. 4 3 These global trends, however, hide the huge variability that exists at the regional level. Europe and Middle East/Central Asia experienced the largest increase in their per 2 capita Ecological Footprint (+1.2 and +1.1 gha per person, respectively), but while 1 Europe’s population growth was relatively slow (+29 percent), population grew 330 percent in Middle East/Central Asia. North America had a smaller increase in per capita 0 consumption (+ 0.6 gha per person) and a 63 percent growth in population. At the other 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 end of the spectrum, Africa saw its per capita Ecological Footprint decline (-0.1 gha per Population (billions) person), while its population increased by 255 percent. In the Asia-Pacific region, per capita Ecological Footprint increased slightly (+0.6 gha per person), while population Figure 3: Ecological Footprint and population by world’s regions in 1961 and 2008.The area within each grew by 136 percent (See Figure 3). bar represents the total Ecological Footprint for each region. 8
  • 11. MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS The Mediterranean region experienced significant increases in both population and per later, residents in this income group (approximately 279 million people) fell into more capita consumption. From 1961 to 2008, the region’s population grew from 242 million to Footprint ranges, suggesting a greater disparity in access to ecological resources and 478 million, a 96 percent increase, while its per capita Ecological Footprint increased by services. (Despite this increased variability, approximately 126 million people living 52 percent. Together these increases led to a 197 percent increase of the Mediterranean’s in middle-income countries in 2008 had a per capita Ecological Footprint ranging from 1.5 to 2.0 gha, evidence of a higher consumption level for more people). Built-up Land Forest Land Fishing Grounds Grazing Land Cropland Carbon ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT (GHA PER CAPITA) 1961 1500 100 Ecological Footprint (million gha) Middle income 1200 80 Population (millions) High income 900 60 600 40 300 20 0 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 0.0 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.5 1.5 - 2.0 2.0 - 2.5 2.5 - 3.0 3.0 - 3.5 3.5 - 4.0 4.0 - 4.5 4.5 - 5.0 5.0 - 5.5 5.5 - 6.0 Figure 4: Mediterranean’s total Ecological Footprint, by land-use type, 1961-2008. The largest component of the Ecological Footprint today is the carbon Footprint (47 percent), followed by cropland (28 percent). In 1961, cropland was the largest component (33 percent), followed by the carbon Footprint (25 percent). ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT (GHA PER CAPITA) 2008 200 total demand for ecological resources and services during the 47-year period studied 150 Population (millions) for this report (see Figure 4). The region’s income levels indicate how population and per capita Footprint values go hand in hand with the Mediterranean’s growing demand for ecological resources and services (Figure 5). While Mediterranean high-income 100 countries’ total Footprint grew primarily because of an increase in individual consumption levels—that is, an increase in their per capita Footprint—middle-income countries’ growing total Footprint was driven by both an increase in per capita consumption levels and population growth. But these different patterns of change were also marked by shifts in 50 residents’ access to ecological assets. Growing per capita consumption trends in high- income countries was accompanied by greater equality in access to ecological resources 0 and services—by 2008, almost all residents in Mediterranean high-income countries 0.0 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.5 1.5 - 2.0 2.0 - 2.5 2.5 - 3.0 3.0 - 3.5 3.5 - 4.0 4.0 - 4.5 4.5 - 5.0 5.0 - 5.5 5.5 - 6.0 (approximately 178 million people) had a per capita Footprint ranging from 4.5 to 5.0 gha. Figure 5: Distribution of Ecological Footprint and population by national income in 1961 and 2008. Per Changes in middle-income countries brought the opposite effect, however. While in capita Footprint ranges are indicated on the x-axis, while the height of each bar is proportional to the number of people in that range. Mediterranean countries are here divided in income groups according to 1961 residents in middle-income countries (approximately 95 million people) fell into their per capita GNI values in 2008, as indicated by the World Bank. Additional information on the income two per capita Footprint ranges (0.5 to 1.0 gha and 1.5 to 2.0 gha), almost 50 years thresholds used in defining groups can be found in the Glossary section. 9
  • 12. DRIVERS OF MEDITERRANEAN ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT AND BIOCAPACITY CHANGES OVER TIME The Mediterranean region is characterized by its geographic, climatic and cultural Built-up Land Forest Land Fishing Grounds Grazing Land Cropland Carbon diversity. Countries in the region have varying development levels and a wide range of 3.5 economic activities. A crossroads of the East and West, the region has lived and still lives Ecological Footprint (gha per capita) through a turbulent, intertwined history. But every country in the Mediterranean shares an 3.0 environmental fragility, with residents demand for ecological resources and services far exceeding the regenerative capacity of their own ecological assets. 2.5 From 1961 to 2008, the Mediterranean’s per capita Ecological Footprint grew by 52 2.0 percent (from 2.1 to 3.1 gha), mainly because of the region’s 185 percent increase in the 1.5 carbon Footprint component. Demand on other ecological assets increased only slightly or even decreased—cropland +29 percent; forest +23 percent; grazing -6 percent; fishing 1.0 -54 percent. Demand for built-up land increased 20 percent (see Figure 6). 0.5 0.0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 Figure 6: Per capita Ecological Footprint within the Mediterranean region, by component, 1961-2008 (top) and the role of per capita Footprint and population in determining the total From 1961 to 2008, the Mediterranean’s per capita regional Footprint (bottom). Ecological Footprint grew by 52 percent (from 2.1 to 3.1 gha), mainly because of the region’s 185 percent Total Ecological Footprint Ecological Footprint per capita Population increase in the carbon Footprint component. 3 Relative value (1961=1) Per capita biocapacity decreased by 16 percent—from 2 1.5 gha to 1.3 gha—from 1961 to 2008. 1 Between 1961 and 2008, the Mediterranean region’s ecological deficit had increased by 230 percent. 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 10
  • 13. MEDITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS Built-up Land Forest Land Fishing Grounds Grazing Land Cropland During this time, improvements in agricultural practices and other environmental factors 2.0 slightly increased the productivity of the Mediterranean region’s ecological assets, thus contributing to an increase in the region’s total biocapacity. However, as population growth outstripped gains in productivity (Figure 7), per capita biocapacity decreased by Global Hectares Per Capita 1.5 16 percent—from 1.5 gha to 1.3 gha—from 1961 to 2008. These changes in biocapacity, consumption and population trends had a profound impact on the region’s ability to meet its own demands. In 1961, residents in the region had 1.0 already used more resources and ecosystem services than the Mediterranean ecosystems’ could renew. Less than 50 years later, the region’s ecological deficit had increased by 0.5 230 percent (Figure 8). 4 0.0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 Global hectares per capita 3 Figure 7: Per capita biocapacity within the Mediterranean region, by component, 1961-2008 (top) and its contributing factors (bottom). 2 1 Area Bioccapacity per capita Yield Population 3 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Relative value (1961=1) Figure 8: Mediterranean region’s per capita Ecological Footprint (red line), and biocapacity (green line). 2 The widening gap between demand and supply expanded the ecological deficit (shaded red) 230 percent from 1961 to 2008, ever increasing the region’s ecological debt over time. 1 Today, the Mediterranean region’s total Ecological 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 Footprint exceeds local biocapacity by more than 150 percent. 11
  • 14. IN 2008, THE COMPONENTS Decisions made by governments and businesses have a substantial influence on OF THE MEDITERRANEAN’S the region’s Ecological Footprint. Citizens Gross Fixed Capital Formation ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT have no direct control over how a country Other produces its electricity, for example, or WERE: the intensity of its agricultural production. Government Recreation and culture Food and non- alcoholic beverages However, individuals’ daily activities Alcoholic beverages, are also primary Footprint drivers: tobacco and narcotics short-lived goods and services Socio-economic factors, development level and wealth, the food, goods and directly paid by households services consumed, as well as the wastes Transportation (driven by individual behavior, generated, all contribute to the region’s per Housing, water, capita Footprint. Households electricity, gas and other fuels 78 percent of the total Footprint); Figure 9 and 10 further break down the Ecological Footprint of Mediterranean consumption of ecological residents. They indicate who is demanding what and where the pressures (Ecological Figure 9: Breakdown of the per capita Ecological Footprint of an average Mediterranean resident, in 2008. resource and services due to Footprint hotspots) lie. The left chart indicates how much of the Ecological Footprint of consumption is paid for directly by household for short-lived goods (HH), how much by government, and how much is for expenditure of long-lasting goods (GFCF). long-term capital investments Among the daily consumption and service The second graph breaks down the consumption directly paid for by households (HH) into its main categories. undertaken by households, categories shaping the “household” component, those that contributed the businesses and governments most to the Ecological Footprint of the average Mediterranean resident were (Gross Fixed Capital Formation, “Food and non-alcoholic beverages” (35 Carbon Cropland Grazing Land or GFCF, 15 percent); percent of the household total), “Housing, Fishing Grounds Forest Land Built-up Land water, electricity, gas and other fuels” (19 Food and non-alcoholic beverages percent) and human “Transportation” (19 Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear services directly paid by percent). While “Food and non-alcoholic Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels beverages” put more demand on cropland Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance Health government, which ultimately assets than it did on other land-use Transportation Communication benefit households, that are not types, the other two household activities Recreation and culture caused a demand mainly on the carbon Education Restaurants and hotels for long-term investments, such sequestration capacity of the planet Miscellaneous goods and services Gov. as law enforcement, education, (see Figure 10). GFCF 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% public health, and defense (7 percent of the total Footprint). Figure 10: Percentage contribution to the household Ecological Footprint of an average Mediterranean resident of each category of biologically productive land, in 2008. Footprint values by land category for government consumptions as well as capital formation are also provided as reference. 12
  • 15. MAPPING CONSUMPTION PRODUCTION AND TRADE ACTIVITIES FOR THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION Evaluating a country or region’s demand reported in Figure 11 and compared with more than 50 years. From 1961 to 2008, gha of Mediterranean ecological assets for biocapacity does not completely inform the region’s biocapacity trend for the Mediterranean countries’ gap between were exported to the top ten trading us of the risks to domestic production period 1961–2008. Ecological Footprint of production and partners. Of these, the biggest exports systems, since an ecological deficit can biocapacity more than tripled from 0.3 of biocapacity were to the Netherlands be maintained not only through domestic In 1961, Mediterranean biocapacity met gha per person (14 percent of the total (6.5 million gha), the United States (6.2 overuse, but also through imports and/ only 73 percent of the region’s demand— demand) to 1.1 gha per person (34 million gha) and the United Kingdom (5.3 or a reliance on the global commons its Ecological Footprint of consumption— percent of total demand). million gha). Netherlands’ imports were as a sink for carbon emissions. To more for renewable resources and ecological mostly composed of renewable resources fully understand a population’s resource services. By 2008, only 40 percent of Already by 1961, Mediterranean trade from cropland (50 percent) and fishing demands, then, means to track both local the region’s Footprint of consumption was patterns had made the region a net importer grounds assets (49 percent); the carbon production and consumption trends, as met by local biocapacity. of Ecological Footprint, with 13 percent of Footprint embedded in electricity, fossil well as trends in trade. local demand (EFC) satisfied by resources Production activities within the fuels and energy-intensive commodities and ecological services generated Trends in the Ecological Footprint Mediterranean geographical boundaries was the biggest component of the exports by ecological assets from outside the embedded in Mediterranean’s production have demanded more resources and to United States and United Kingdom (93 region’s geographical boundaries. The (EFP) and consumption (EFC) activities are services than are regionally available for percent and 88 percent of the total). Mediterranean’s dependence on trade continuously increased over the decades, From 1977 to 2008, growth in the so much that by 2008 the Ecological physical quantity of exports—and their Footprint embedded in net trade imports embedded Footprint—was particularly Ecological Footprint of consuption Ecological Footprint of production Biocapacity accounted for 26 percent of total Footprint strong, especially to the EU. In 2008, 4 of consumption. the Ecological Footprint embedded in exports to the top ten trading partners Comparing EFC and EFP indicates the net was approximately 88 million gha. The flows of Ecological Footprint embedded 3 biggest Footprint export flows were to Global hectares per capita in trade among countries. However, it Belgium (26 million gha), the United does not inform us of the actual imports Kingdom (17 million gha) and the United and exports flows and the Ecological 2 States (11 million gha). Footprint exports Footprint embedded in each of them. to Belgium were composed of carbon Figure 12 shows the detailed breakdown Footprint (50 percent) as well as cropland 1 of the Ecological Footprint embedded in (25 percent) and fishing grounds assets exports from the Mediterranean region (25 percent). Carbon Footprint was also to its top ten trading partners for the year the biggest component for the United 0 1977 and 20081; Figure 13 illustrates the Kingdom (90 percent of total) and the 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 Footprint embedded in Mediterranean’s United States (95 percent). Figure 11: Mediterranean region’s Ecological Footprint of production (EFP) and consumption (EFC) imports from top ten trading partners and compared to available biocapacity (BC), 1961-2008. EFP can be said to represent the biocapacity used its changes over the same period. for producing GDP within a country while EFC represents the biocapacity embedded in all commodities, goods and services consumed by the residents of that country. Comparing EFC vs. BC indicates the extent In 1977, resources and ecological of the total ecological deficit, which is made up by trade, resource overuse and use of global commons as 1 1977 is the first year that comprehensive data is carbon sinks. The difference between EFC and EFP indicates the Footprint embedded in net trade activities. services worth approximately 24 million available to run the multi-lateral trade analysis.
  • 16. ECOLOGICAL DEBTORS ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT FOOTPRINT IS E X P O R T S I N 197 7 24 MILLION GHA 0-50% larger than Biocapacity 50-100% larger than Biocapacity 100-150% larger than Biocapacity 150% larger than Biocapacity Data not available ECOLOGICAL CREDITORS BIOC APACIT Y IS 0-50% larger than Footprint 50-100% larger than Footprint ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT 100-150% larger than Footprint EXPORTS IN 2008 150% larger than Footprint 88 MILLION GHA Data not available ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT Carbon Fishing Grounds Cropland The size of the arrows is a function of the extent of the trade flows, and the color represents the corresponding land use type. For ease in visualization only the main three traded Foot- print components are reported in the maps Figure 12: Ecological Footprint exports to major trade partners of the Mediterranean region in 1977 (inset) and 2008, and the ecological deficit (red) or reserve (green) status of those partners. UN COMTRADE and FAO bilateral trade data were used to calculate the Ecological Footprint embedded in exports. Intra-regional trade was not included in the analysis. 14
  • 17. ME DITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS The large contribution of the carbon gha) and Saudi Arabia (1.8 million gha). The same situation, however, also offers Footprint in the region’s exports, and the opportunity. The majority of the region’s The Ecological Footprint embedded in fact that export revenues are needed to ecological resource and service exports the Mediterranean’s imports increased pay for imports, suggest that the region is are now to countries that are experiencing to 142 million gha in 2008, primarily highly exposed to energy price volatility. ecological deficits (Brazil and the Russian because of the carbon Footprint Such volatility is likely to expand with oil Federation are the primary exceptions). In component. In 2008, carbon Footprint shortages or carbon pricing. an era of tightening resource constraints, accounted for 52 percent of the total Mediterranean countries that improve At the same time, carbon Footprint imports, followed by imports of resources their resource efficiency and sustain a exposes importing countries to risk as well: from cropland and fishing grounds assets positive ecological trade balance would The increasing costs of imported fossil (24 percent each). Electricity, fossil benefit from increased commodity prices fuels are already a significant burden on fuels and energy-intensive commodities and improve their economic performance economies depending on importing them; (determining carbon Footprint imports) and the well-being of their populations. carbon taxes would cause even more were mostly imported from Germany stress on economies, with the greatest (19 million gha), China (15 million gha) impact on those countries with a high and the Russian Federation (11 million carbon Footprint demand. gha), while renewable resources were imported primarily from Belgium (7.5 The Ecological Footprint embedded in million gha), Netherlands (7 million gha) imports to the Mediterranean from the and Germany (6 million gha). region’s top ten trading partners also changed significantly from 1977 to As the region increased its Ecological 2008, from approximately 30 million Footprint imports, trade patterns shifted global hectares to approximately 142 and the Mediterranean’s major trade Between 1977 and 2008, the Ecological Footprint million gha (see Figure 13). partners moved toward larger ecological deficits. In a few instances, trade embedded in the Mediterranean’s imports Of the 30 million global hectares imported relationships from 1977 to 2008 shifted increased from 30 to 142 million global hectares. in 1977, 38 percent was composed from countries that had ecological reserves of renewable resources from cropland (Canada, Argentina, and Saudi Arabia) assets followed by fishing grounds assets to countries with ecological deficits (37 percent) and carbon Footprint (25 (Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and During this same period, trade patterns shifted and percent). Renewable resources were China). the Mediterranean’s major trade partners moved imported primarily from Norway (3.7 million gha), Argentina (2.1 million gha) This situation exposes the Mediterranean and United Kingdom (2.0 million gha), region to risks: Growing dependence toward larger ecological deficits. while electricity, fossil fuels and energy- on exporting countries that themselves intensive commodities (determining run ever larger ecological deficits may carbon Footprint imports) were imported amplify possibilities for future resource from mainly the United States (2.1 million disruptions in the region. 15
  • 18. ECOLOGICAL DEBTORS ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT FOOTPRINT IS I M P O R T S I N 197 7 30 MILLION GHA 0-50% larger than Biocapacity 50-100% larger than Biocapacity 100-150% larger than Biocapacity 150% larger than Biocapacity Data not available ECOLOGICAL CREDITORS BIOC APACIT Y IS 0-50% larger than Footprint 50-100% larger than Footprint ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT 100-150% larger than Footprint IMPORTS IN 2008 150% larger than Footprint 14 2 M I L L I O N G H A Data not available ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT Carbon Fishing Grounds Cropland The size of the arrows is a function of the extent of the trade flows, and the color represents the corresponding land use type. For ease in visualization only the main three traded Foot- print components are reported in the maps Figure 13: Ecological Footprint imports from major trade partners of the Mediterranean region in 1977 (inset) and 2008, and the ecological deficit (red) or reserve (green) status of those partners. UN COMTRADE and FAO bilateral trade data were used to calculate the Ecological Footprint embedded in imports. Intra-regional trade was not included in the analysis. 16
  • 19. ME DITE RRANEAN E CO LO GIC AL FO OTP RINT TRENDS MEDITERRANEAN ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF NATIONS In 1961, only six countries in the debtor status during this period, while were Algeria (1.6 gha), Syria (1.5 gha), and Syria (49 percent), cropland for Mediterranean region had more the other Mediterranean countries saw Morocco (1.3 gha), Montenegro (1.2 gha) Morocco (45 percent) and the Occupied ecological assets available to produce a worsening of their ecological deficits. and the Occupied Palestinian Territories Palestinian Territories (71 percent), and the resources and services, on aggregate, Cyprus’ ecological deficit grew by 3.1 (0.5 gha). Carbon was the main Footprint forest for Montenegro (39 percent). than their residents consumed. All other gha per capita, the largest deficit increase component for Algeria (37 percent) countries consumed significantly more in the region. Jordan reported the smallest Footprint 0-50% greater than biocapacity Biocapacity more than 150% greater than Footprint than their domestic ecosystems produced deficit increase, at + 0.3 gha per capita. Footprint 50-100% greater than biocapacity Biocapacity 100-150% greater than Footprint Footprint 100-150% greater than biocapacity Biocapacity 50-100% greater than Footprint (see Figure 14). Footprint more than 150% greater than biocapacity Biocapacity 0-50% greater than Footprint The large variability in the per capita By 2008, the deficit situation had spread Footprints of individual countries reflects to every Mediterranean country but the existing socio-economic differences in the possible exception of Montenegro the region—the more affluent a country, 1961 (data set for this country is not sufficiently the greater its demand for ecological reliable). resources and services (and the higher its per capita consumption). On the supply Algeria experienced the largest change side, differences in per capita biocapacity in per capita ecological deficit, moving are mainly due to biophysical and climatic from a reserve of +0.7 gha per person conditions—for example, water shortages in 1961 to an ecological deficit of -1.1 affecting land productivity—as well as gha per person in 2008. This was due population density. to both consumption increases (causing the total Ecological Footprint to grow) In 2008, the Former Yugoslavian and population growth (which decreased Republic of Macedonia was found to the per capita biocapacity budget). have the highest per capita Ecological Only Algeria’s oil revenues allowed it to Footprint value (5.4 gha) among the maintain its ecological deficit for the first 2008 Mediterranean countries (Figure 15), few decades after independence. But followed by Slovenia (5.2 gha), Greece by the late 1980s, declining oil prices (4.9 gha), France (4.9 gha) and Spain took a toll on Algeria’s petroleum-based (4.7 gha). In all of these countries, carbon economy, diminishing its capacity to was the main Footprint component, pay for importing external ecological ranging from 46 percent (France) to 72 resources and services. As revenues percent (Macedonia TFYR) of the total and imports declined, Algeria’s value. The second highest component Ecological Footprint stabilized limiting was cropland, with a contribution ranging residents’ access to ecological resources from 15 percent (Macedonia TFYR) to 27 and services. percent (Spain). Figure 14: Ecological deficit (red) or reserve (green) status of the Mediterranean countries in 1961 (top) Morocco, Libya, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey The five countries with the smallest per and 2008 (bottom). Ecological reserve is defined as a domestic Ecological Footprint of consumption less also shifted from ecological creditor to than domestic biocapacity; ecological deficit as a domestic Ecological Footprint of consumption greater than capita Ecological Footprint in 2008 domestic biocapacity. 17