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SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
LOOKING AS A WEB ANALYST TO CONVERSION OPTIMIZATION!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Evidence based growth
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Conversion	rate	op-miza-on	
Analytics
 Psychology
Lots of Experiments
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
F!
FIND
T!
TELL
A!
ANALYZE
C!
COMBINE
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
F!
FIND
T!
TELL
A!
ANALYZE
C!
COMBINE
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
Ü  ANALYZING HOW USER
BEHAVIOUR IS CHANGING!!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
@AM_Klaassen / @tomvdberg1
We started with them
7 years ago
Flow optimization
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
A
2009
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
B
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
B
A
Winner
Flow optimization
Dialogue optimization
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
A
2012
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
B
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Winner
B
A
Flow optimization
Customer Journey Optimization
Dialogue optimization
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
#ConvConOnline Dialogue & Testing Agency
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Did you already decided which hotel you want to stay in?
Are you currently comparing the price of the rooms in this
hotel at other websites?
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Book with your Valk account and get a €5 bonus
Easily control your booking with your Valk account
SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
Ü  INJECTING FEEDBACK FORM
RESPONSES INTO ANALYTICS!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Tools	for	running	experiments
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Front	end	development
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
We	measure	results	in	Google	Analy-cs
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
They	do	have	analy-cs	–	but	not	enough
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Event	tracking	varia-on	behaviour
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Why	not	use	Google	Tag	Manager?
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Jorrin Quest
hDp://gtmtes-ng.com		
So	we	opened	up	our	library	for	you
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
ü  Easy setup
ü  Free
ü  Preview mode
hDp://gtmtes-ng.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Results	spreadsheet	through	the	analy-cs	API
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Download	our	Excel	for	free:	hDp://ondi.me/vis
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Download	our	Excel	for	free:	hDp://ondi.me/vis
SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
Ü  AUTOMATED GTM / GA /
EXCEL RESULTS SET-UP !
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	test:	Order	flow
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	test:	Set	comple-on	
A
 B
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Test	result!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  No effect on conversion

à Don’t implement
Ă  Re-test with higher volumes


•  Conclusion!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  What’s	the	alterna-ve?	
Frequentist
statistics
Bayesian 
statistics
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	test:	Set	comple-on	
A
 B
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Bayesian	Test	evalua-on
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Focus	on	risk	assessment	
88,4%
A test result is the probability that B outperforms A:
ranging from 0% - 100%
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
!
IMPLEMENT B! PROBABILITY! * EFFECT ON REVENU!
Expected risk
 11,6%
 - € 69.791
Expected uplift
 88,4%
 € 213.530
Contribution
 € 180.733
* Based on 6 months and an average order value of € 175
•  Make	a	risk	assessment
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Implement	B	
B
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
abtestguide.com/bayesian/!
Roy Schieving
Annemarie Klaassen
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Conclusion	Bayesian	
ü  Easier to understand and
communicate
ü  Better suits the business 
ü  Don’t throw away good ideas
(indicatively signicant)
ü  Higher implementation rate and
revenue
€	0	
€	1.000.000	
€	2.000.000	
€	3.000.000	
€	4.000.000	
€	5.000.000	
€	6.000.000	
1	 3	 5	 7	 9	 11	13	15	17	19	21	23	25	27	29	31	33	35	37	39	
Expected impact on revenue in 1 year
€	Frequen-st	 €	Bayesian
SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
Ü  BAYESIAN STATISTICS APPLIED ON
EXPERIMENT RESULTS!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Book with your Valk account and get a €5 bonus
Easily control your booking with your Valk account
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
50%
50%
A
B
•  A/B-test
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Traffic	alloca-on	over	-me	
A
B
Trac
Time
Prot or loss?
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
The	mul-	arm	bandit	problem
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  So	this	will	happen	in	your	experiment:	
A
B
Trac
Time
More Prot!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Explore
 Exploit
?
•  Explore	/	Exploit	dilemma
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Limited time frame Automation
•  When	use	Bandits?	
Earn over learn
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Website
GTM testing
A	
B	
Google Tag
Manager
User
has Test
cookie
No
Yes
Trac
Random

50/50
Show 

A or B
•  A/B	test
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Website
GTM testing
A	
B	
Google Tag
Manager
User
has Test
cookie
No
Yes
Trac
Random

50/50
Show 

A or B
Must be dynamic!
•  Bandit
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Website
GTM testing
A	
B	
Google Tag
Manager
User
has Test
cookie
No
Yes
Get trac
allocation
Show 

A or B
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
•  Bandit
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Get trac
allocation
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Get trac
allocation
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Get trac
allocation
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Get trac
allocation
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Get trac
allocation
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Website
GTM testing
A	
B	
Google Tag
Manager
User
has Test
cookie
No
Yes
Get trac
allocation
Show 

A or B
Hourly check
GA data for test
Algorithm
Write Trac
allocation,js
•  Bandit
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	case
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	case		
ü  Older target group
ü  Comparing price on
other sites
ü  Behavior of others
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	1		
Control!

No message

Variation B! Copy default
Variaton C!


Variation D!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
11,1%
10,6%
10,4%
10,5%
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Example	1	–	Effect	on	revenue	
A
B
Trac
Time
+ € 6.637
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
•  Conclusion	Bandits	
ü  Less regret during testing
ü  No implementation costs

ü  It never stops!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Lay-over	no-ca-ons
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
www.smartno-ca-ons.com
SUBTITLE BELOW!
What gets you excited?!
Ü  AUTOMATED PERSUASIVE
MESSAGING FOR YOUR WEBSITE!
Ton.Wesseling@onlinedialogue.com
www.smartno-ca-ons.com
SUBTITLE BELOW!
Ü  ANALYSING HOW USER
BEHAVIOUR IS CHANGING!!
Ü  INJECTING FEEDBACK FORM
RESPONSES INTO ANALYTICS!
Ü  AUTOMATED GTM / GA /
EXCEL RESULTS SET-UP !
Ü  BAYESIAN STATISTICS APPLIED ON
EXPERIMENT RESULTS!
Ü  AUTOMATED PERSUASIVE
MESSAGING FOR YOUR WEBSITE!
SUBTITLE BELOW!
Thank you!!
TWITTER: @TONW – EMAIL: TON@ONLINEDIALOGUE.COM!

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Keynote Ton Wesseling at the Web Analytics Wednesday Copenhagen #wawcph at September 7th 2016