Joe Duffy provides several picks for Friday through Sunday, including two Wise Guy picks and a Major pick for the NFL on Sunday. For Saturday, he recommends two Wise Guy college football picks and three Major picks, including the Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. He also provides additional analysis and a free pick for the Wake Forest at Rice game, favoring Wake Forest -19. He then gives analysis and leans for the Marshall at Boise State game before concluding with several more free pick recommendations.

1. Joe Duffy’s Picks has Friday, Wise Guy and Major. Saturday, nine Wise Guys, three Majors led
by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the
Year.. Sunday, NFL two Wise Guys (one side, one total) and Major. College very likely done,
but more NFL likely at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wake Forest at Rice
• Gametime temp 96
• Angle that says to fade abysmal teams is 198-149-6 applies to Wake, but lost its luster
last few years
• Rice a completely different tempo than fast-paced Utah Stat team that Wake saw last
week
• 72 percent of bets and 89 percent of money on Wake Forest
• 64 percent of bets and 81 percent of money on OVER
• Rice with three graduate transfers on OL starting
• Rice lookahead with Texas and Baylor next two weeks
• Wake Forest up-tempo with 58 runs and 47 passes
• Wake too athletic on offense
• Teams that allow 380 or more yards passing and are road favorites of 9 or more cover
58.3 percent of time

2. Free pick: WAKE FOREST -19
Marshall at Boise St
• Teams that trailed by 15 or more after first quarter and still won are go against of 18-6
since 2010 (fade Boise State)
o 2-0 if less than full week’s rest
• Marshall has nation’s leading 29 plays of 10 or more and Boise gave up five plays of 30
or more to FSU
• 78 percent of bets and 64 percent of money on Boise State
• 75 percent of money and 57 percent of bets on OVER
• Marshall 0-7 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Boise State 38-18-2 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
• Boise State QB Hank Backmeier tossed for 407 passing yards after taking over for Brook
Rypien
• Marshall 15 starters back
More free picks
WILLIAM & MARY +34 Virginia
Road underdogs, low total 428-313-24. Huge underdogs off a win 43-25-2 for 63.2 percent.
Virginia-William & Mary OVER 45
High line but not super high total goes over 243-169-10. In other words blowouts with lower
totals OVER 243-169-10.
Philadelphia-NY Mets
Phillies Zach Eflin 3 ER last 13 IP
• Road numbers not much worse than home, except that Phillies 3-11 road with him, 9-18
overall

3. Mets Steven Matz 7 ER last 30 IP
• Crazy splits with 2.01 home, .78 and 1.06
• Compare to road 6.08, .343, 1.56
Mets 0-6 at home -6.8 units
UNDER
San Francisco-LA Dodgers
Jeff Samardzija 6 ER in 5 IP last time out
• ERA and OPB slightly better on road, though WHIP much worse than home
• Shockingly, road team 18-10 in his starts this year
Clayton Kershaw 5.50 ERA last three starts
• But ERA is 2.53 at home, 1.01 WHIP overall and at home
• Dodgers 12-2 at home with him
Pick: UNDER