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Crouching Tiger& Flying Dragon
India                 China
 (Federal Republic)       (Communist state)

India is to Services   China is to Manufacturing
Year:               INDIA              CHINA
2010
GDP                 $ 1.704 Trillion   $ 5.878 Trillion

GNI (per capita):   $ 1340             $ 4260
                    (Rs.71,626.8)
GDP(official        $ 1.430 Trillion   $ 5.878 Trillion
exchange rate):
GDP (PPP):          $ 4.06 Trillion    $ 10.09 Trillion



                                       Source: CIA-The world fact book
Indian GDP in 2050, measured by purchasing
power parity (PPP), will be $85.97 trillion.
China, in second place, will have a GDP of $
80.02 trillion and the US $ 39.07 trillion.


The Indian economy will have to grow at an
average annual rate of 8.1% a year for the
next 39 years.

                             Source: US banking Cite Group
In 1985, 93 % of the population had
an annual household income of less
than 90,000 Indian rupees.

By 2005, this had dropped by about
two-fifths to 54 % of the population.

By 2025, we see the deprived segment
shrinking even further to only 22 %
of the total population.
GDP (real growth rate)

India                9%




China                     11%




        0%   2%     4%      6%   8%     10%   12%
                  China 45.8% of GDP
                           and
                   India 29.5% of GDP
                       (then 13.3%)
INDIA              CHINA

Revenues       $ 183.6 Billion   $ 1.227 Trillion


Expéditeurs    $ 209 Billion     $ 1.323 Trillion


Public Debt    50.6% of GDP      16.3% of GDP


Budget Surplus -5.6 % of GDP     - 1.6% of GDP
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
 8.00%
 6.00%
  4.00%
  2.00%       15.70%
                          9.70%
  0.00%

          China
                       India
INDIA               CHINA

Income level            Lower Middle Income   Upper Middle Income

Ave age of schooling    5.1                   6.4 (25% more)
of adults


Unemployment            10 %                  6.1%



                         Inflation Rate
  15.00%
                                                  9.75%
  10.00%
                                   5.80%                        China
   5.00%
                                                                India
   0.00%
           0      0.5          1       1.5    2           2.5
INDIA                     CHINA

Reserve of Foreign       $287.1 billion             $2.876 trillion
exchange and Gold


Debt External            $316.9 billion             $529.2 billion


                               FDI Investment

                                                $578.80
          $600.00
Billion




          $400.00                         $297.60
                                                                      Abroad
                          $188.60
          $200.00    $91.86                                           Home

            $0.00
                       India                China
INDIA             CHINA

Exports           $ 225.6 billion     $1.327 trillion


Imports           $ 287.5 billion     $ 357.7 billion

Oil consumption   $ 3.182 million     $ 9.189 million
                  bbl/day             bbl/day

Current Account   - $ 51.78 billion   $ 305.4 billion
Balance           (deficit)           (surplus)
Indian Accounts at the Swiss
Bank alone are 10 times more
than all the countries put
together. With all the black
money from the Swiss Bank, we
will have enough annual budget
for the next 12 years minus the
growth.
Age Structure         INDIA           CHINA

Population           1.216 billion   1.341 billion

0-14 years:          29.7%           17.6%

15-64 years:         64.9%           73.6%

65 years and over:   5.5%            8.9%

Human Development    0.547           0.687
Index:
The demographic dividend will
ensure that India has the largest
number of working-age people in
the world (over 800 million)
between 2015 and 2035.

                 Source: US banking Cite Group
India's working-age population will increase
by 240 million over the next two decades.

About 25 % of the world's new workers will
be Indian in the next three years. Over half of
India's population is below 25 years. By 2020,
the average age of an Indian is expected to be
29 years.
                              Source: Deutsche Bank
Labour force by occupation             GDP(composition by sector)

                                                  10.20%


38.10%            34.10%
                                                             43%



                                         46.90%
         27.80%
                           Sevices

                           Industries

                           Agriculture
Labour force by occupation          GDP (composition by sector)


                                                      19%
 34%


                52%
                                      54.70%
                                                       26.30%
   14%                Agriculture
                      Industries
                      Services
India's services-driven economy
has not been as capital-hungry as
China's manufacturing-based
one, and household savings have
been sufficient for the required
investments so far, rectifying this
imbalance offers the key to
accelerating India's growth rate in
the future.
Indian Economy is domestically driven.
India could emerge as the world's third
largest economy by 2030, benefiting from
strong domestic demand and favorable
demographics standard.



                        Chartered Global Research study.
1.   The entire world network will not work, due to
     collapse in data transfer.

2.   No updates will be available for any of the
     known
     software's, because most of the apps are
     developed by Indians.

3.   Microsoft, Google, pay-pal, oracle and other
     software giants will be forced to relocate to
     India.
INDIA                                     CHINA


Improved Water source:                  Improved Water source:
  urban: 96% of population               urban: 98% of population
  rural: 84% of population               rural: 82% of population
  Total: 88% of population               Total: 89% of population

Sanitation Facility Improved:           Sanitation Facility Improved:
  urban: 54% of population               urban: 58% of population
  rural: 21% of population               rural: 52% of population
  Total: 31% of population               Total: 55% of population


                           INDIA                     CHINA
Maternal Morality rates    230 deaths/100,000 live   38 deaths/100,000 live
                           births                    births

Life Expectancy at birth   66.8 years                74.68 years
Increasing people's incomes, reducing
poverty and improving the living
standards and quality of life.

Expanding access to basic public
services, increasing the educational
level of the population.
India shouldn’t try to grow as rapidly as China

      “Growth has to be aimed within a
    relevant country context. India has its
      own unique past, a very different
   present, and will chart her own version
    of the future. In that future, the most
        critical component is to keep
               democracy safe.”
India is no. 1 talent supplier in the world.


India's advantage in having a large pool of
English speaking people.

India has the advantage of having a
vibrant, energetic and creative NGO sector.
   The Chinese 'Great Leap Forward', began in
    1949.(62 years for China to develop)

   It took India 20 Years to develop after the free-
    trade bills were passed by Rajiv Gandhi in 1991.

    India’s literacy rate in 1991 was 52.21% and now it
    is 75.04%.(youth literacy is 84%)

    Indian Middle class is the soon going to be largest
    in the world.
Yoga, Spirituality.
                                              Ancient Medicines-Ayurved




                            India’s Soft Powers




                                                     Multitude of
Ancient Science and Astronomy         religions, communities, rhythms, cultures &
                                                      festivals.
India’s Problem
Infrastructure sector.

Insufficient investments.

Losing the best and the brightest abroad.

Constraint's in labor market needed for
manufacturing Industry.
CHINA             INDIA

(Death sentence)
But if a growing GDP is not to become a
cruel irony for India's 445 million still-
desperately poor people, the
government must begin the second
stage of economic liberalization without
losing any further time.
China’s Problem
Middle Income Trap (transition from middle income to
high income status).

Ageing population - "one child" policy.

High domestic savings rate and correspondingly low
domestic demand.


As China's per capita income rises, its 1.34 billion people
will increasingly yearn for real freedom: a free press, an
open Internet and, most crucially, democracy.
The Dark Side of Development-China
Reverse engineering and stolen blueprints

25 Million People involved illicit manufacture.


Network of highly sophisticated underground
supply chain with other countries.


Fake Pharmaceuticals business.
Shadow Economy
Delisting of Dubious Chinese companies from NYSE and
NASDAQ.


Global hub for duplicate designer brands and labels.



Weapons Supplier of the world.



High level of Human trafficking because of high supply of
prostitutes from China all over the world.
You want a fastest
growing economy in
the world where you
are work with “gun
on your head” or a
second fastest
growing economy in
the world with
“democratic system”.
Hard Core Facts:
China and US economy are interconnected
economically as China has invested a lot of money
into the US.

China and India are in a race to invest in Africa,
Middle East, etc.


India’s tardiness at the bureaucratic levels,
contrasts with the "single mindedness" on the
Chinese side.
Need to build a Quality Brand Name for India :
Strong Government with a clear perspective.


A consistent and thoughtful marketing effort.


FDI attractiveness.


Creation of zones and infrastructure for business.


More of Privatization.
The total amounts of fossil fuel, farmland
and fresh water and many other critical
resources are fixed and will seriously impact
China and India's potential for economic
growth. So growth wont be judged by the
“growth of GDP" but on the basis of
sustainability and energy efficiency
development in Future .
navrajtiwari@gmail.com IIPM Bangalore

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India and China

  • 2. India China (Federal Republic) (Communist state) India is to Services China is to Manufacturing
  • 3. Year: INDIA CHINA 2010 GDP $ 1.704 Trillion $ 5.878 Trillion GNI (per capita): $ 1340 $ 4260 (Rs.71,626.8) GDP(official $ 1.430 Trillion $ 5.878 Trillion exchange rate): GDP (PPP): $ 4.06 Trillion $ 10.09 Trillion Source: CIA-The world fact book
  • 4. Indian GDP in 2050, measured by purchasing power parity (PPP), will be $85.97 trillion. China, in second place, will have a GDP of $ 80.02 trillion and the US $ 39.07 trillion. The Indian economy will have to grow at an average annual rate of 8.1% a year for the next 39 years. Source: US banking Cite Group
  • 5. In 1985, 93 % of the population had an annual household income of less than 90,000 Indian rupees. By 2005, this had dropped by about two-fifths to 54 % of the population. By 2025, we see the deprived segment shrinking even further to only 22 % of the total population.
  • 6. GDP (real growth rate) India 9% China 11% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% China 45.8% of GDP and India 29.5% of GDP (then 13.3%)
  • 7. INDIA CHINA Revenues $ 183.6 Billion $ 1.227 Trillion Expéditeurs $ 209 Billion $ 1.323 Trillion Public Debt 50.6% of GDP 16.3% of GDP Budget Surplus -5.6 % of GDP - 1.6% of GDP
  • 8. 16.00% 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 15.70% 9.70% 0.00% China India
  • 9. INDIA CHINA Income level Lower Middle Income Upper Middle Income Ave age of schooling 5.1 6.4 (25% more) of adults Unemployment 10 % 6.1% Inflation Rate 15.00% 9.75% 10.00% 5.80% China 5.00% India 0.00% 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
  • 10. INDIA CHINA Reserve of Foreign $287.1 billion $2.876 trillion exchange and Gold Debt External $316.9 billion $529.2 billion FDI Investment $578.80 $600.00 Billion $400.00 $297.60 Abroad $188.60 $200.00 $91.86 Home $0.00 India China
  • 11. INDIA CHINA Exports $ 225.6 billion $1.327 trillion Imports $ 287.5 billion $ 357.7 billion Oil consumption $ 3.182 million $ 9.189 million bbl/day bbl/day Current Account - $ 51.78 billion $ 305.4 billion Balance (deficit) (surplus)
  • 12. Indian Accounts at the Swiss Bank alone are 10 times more than all the countries put together. With all the black money from the Swiss Bank, we will have enough annual budget for the next 12 years minus the growth.
  • 13. Age Structure INDIA CHINA Population 1.216 billion 1.341 billion 0-14 years: 29.7% 17.6% 15-64 years: 64.9% 73.6% 65 years and over: 5.5% 8.9% Human Development 0.547 0.687 Index:
  • 14. The demographic dividend will ensure that India has the largest number of working-age people in the world (over 800 million) between 2015 and 2035. Source: US banking Cite Group
  • 15. India's working-age population will increase by 240 million over the next two decades. About 25 % of the world's new workers will be Indian in the next three years. Over half of India's population is below 25 years. By 2020, the average age of an Indian is expected to be 29 years. Source: Deutsche Bank
  • 16. Labour force by occupation GDP(composition by sector) 10.20% 38.10% 34.10% 43% 46.90% 27.80% Sevices Industries Agriculture
  • 17. Labour force by occupation GDP (composition by sector) 19% 34% 52% 54.70% 26.30% 14% Agriculture Industries Services
  • 18. India's services-driven economy has not been as capital-hungry as China's manufacturing-based one, and household savings have been sufficient for the required investments so far, rectifying this imbalance offers the key to accelerating India's growth rate in the future.
  • 19. Indian Economy is domestically driven. India could emerge as the world's third largest economy by 2030, benefiting from strong domestic demand and favorable demographics standard. Chartered Global Research study.
  • 20. 1. The entire world network will not work, due to collapse in data transfer. 2. No updates will be available for any of the known software's, because most of the apps are developed by Indians. 3. Microsoft, Google, pay-pal, oracle and other software giants will be forced to relocate to India.
  • 21. INDIA CHINA Improved Water source: Improved Water source:  urban: 96% of population  urban: 98% of population  rural: 84% of population  rural: 82% of population  Total: 88% of population  Total: 89% of population Sanitation Facility Improved: Sanitation Facility Improved:  urban: 54% of population  urban: 58% of population  rural: 21% of population  rural: 52% of population  Total: 31% of population  Total: 55% of population INDIA CHINA Maternal Morality rates 230 deaths/100,000 live 38 deaths/100,000 live births births Life Expectancy at birth 66.8 years 74.68 years
  • 22. Increasing people's incomes, reducing poverty and improving the living standards and quality of life. Expanding access to basic public services, increasing the educational level of the population.
  • 23. India shouldn’t try to grow as rapidly as China “Growth has to be aimed within a relevant country context. India has its own unique past, a very different present, and will chart her own version of the future. In that future, the most critical component is to keep democracy safe.”
  • 24. India is no. 1 talent supplier in the world. India's advantage in having a large pool of English speaking people. India has the advantage of having a vibrant, energetic and creative NGO sector.
  • 25. The Chinese 'Great Leap Forward', began in 1949.(62 years for China to develop)  It took India 20 Years to develop after the free- trade bills were passed by Rajiv Gandhi in 1991.  India’s literacy rate in 1991 was 52.21% and now it is 75.04%.(youth literacy is 84%)  Indian Middle class is the soon going to be largest in the world.
  • 26. Yoga, Spirituality. Ancient Medicines-Ayurved India’s Soft Powers Multitude of Ancient Science and Astronomy religions, communities, rhythms, cultures & festivals.
  • 27. India’s Problem Infrastructure sector. Insufficient investments. Losing the best and the brightest abroad. Constraint's in labor market needed for manufacturing Industry.
  • 28. CHINA INDIA (Death sentence)
  • 29. But if a growing GDP is not to become a cruel irony for India's 445 million still- desperately poor people, the government must begin the second stage of economic liberalization without losing any further time.
  • 30. China’s Problem Middle Income Trap (transition from middle income to high income status). Ageing population - "one child" policy. High domestic savings rate and correspondingly low domestic demand. As China's per capita income rises, its 1.34 billion people will increasingly yearn for real freedom: a free press, an open Internet and, most crucially, democracy.
  • 31. The Dark Side of Development-China Reverse engineering and stolen blueprints 25 Million People involved illicit manufacture. Network of highly sophisticated underground supply chain with other countries. Fake Pharmaceuticals business.
  • 32. Shadow Economy Delisting of Dubious Chinese companies from NYSE and NASDAQ. Global hub for duplicate designer brands and labels. Weapons Supplier of the world. High level of Human trafficking because of high supply of prostitutes from China all over the world.
  • 33. You want a fastest growing economy in the world where you are work with “gun on your head” or a second fastest growing economy in the world with “democratic system”.
  • 34. Hard Core Facts: China and US economy are interconnected economically as China has invested a lot of money into the US. China and India are in a race to invest in Africa, Middle East, etc. India’s tardiness at the bureaucratic levels, contrasts with the "single mindedness" on the Chinese side.
  • 35. Need to build a Quality Brand Name for India : Strong Government with a clear perspective. A consistent and thoughtful marketing effort. FDI attractiveness. Creation of zones and infrastructure for business. More of Privatization.
  • 36. The total amounts of fossil fuel, farmland and fresh water and many other critical resources are fixed and will seriously impact China and India's potential for economic growth. So growth wont be judged by the “growth of GDP" but on the basis of sustainability and energy efficiency development in Future .