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Revolution happening in geothermal energy industry

  Geothermal energy supplies more than 10,000 MW to 24 countries worldwide and now produces
  enough electricity to meet the needs of 60 million people. It is considered possible to produce up to
  8.3% of the total world electricity with geothermal resources, serving 17% of the world population.
  Thirty nine countries (located mostly in Africa, Central/South America, and the Pacific) can
  potentially obtain 100% of their electricity from geothermal resources (Dauncey, 2001). Already 24
  countries are using geothermal energy source for producing electricity and another 22 countries will
  add to the list by 2010.

  In addition to large power generation, geothermal is also used for direct use purposes worldwide. In
  2005, 72 countries reported using geothermal energy for direct heating, providing more than 16,000
  MW of geothermal energy. Geothermal energy is used directly for a variety of purposes, including
  space heating, snow melting, aquaculture and more.

Snapshots of status and potential of geothermal energy

      Renewable                Capacity (GW)             Market Size (billion $)
                                                                                         Market Size
        Energy
                                                                                        Growth Rate (%)
        Source          2008      Future Estimates      2008     Future Estimates


        Geothermal       14                 20           7.5            13.1                   8



  According to market studies, investment in geothermal energy is growing at 24% a year. This
  exceptional investing growth rate is expected to continue - and increase even faster - for the
  foreseeable future.

                               New Investments in Geothermal Energy ($ billions)

             2004       2005        2006         2007    2008          2004-08 CAGR (%)


               0.9       0.4          1.0         0.9      2.2                     24



Technology Advancement
       Estimated World Geothermal Electricity Potential with Present Technology with Technology
                                                  Improvement
As seen from the chart above, with technology improvement, the total electicity generation potential
from geothermal increases 100%. The technology improvements are likely to come primarily from
innovative concepts such as enhanced geothermal.

Until recently, geothermal power systems have only exploited resources where naturally occurring
water and rock porosity is sufficient to carry heat to the surface. However, the vast majority of
geothermal energy within drilling reach is in dry and non-porous rock. Enhanced Geothermal
Systems (EGS) are a new type of geothermal power technologies that do not require natural
convective hydrothermal resources. EGS technologies "enhance" and/or create geothermal
resources in this hot dry rock (HDR) through hydraulic stimulation.

With technology advancement, it is estimated that the following countries could meet 100 percent of
electricity demand with geothermal energy.

       Countries that Could Meet 100 Percent of Electricity Demand with Geothermal Energy

                                                                                 Estimated Geothermal
                                                                                  Capacity Required to
                              Population          Total Electricity Demand           Meet Electricity
      Country
                             (Thousands)           (Million Kilowatt-hours)              Demand
                                                                                       (Megawatts)
                                                                                             1



      Bolivia                    9,694                       5,040                          639

      Burundi                    8,856                        140                           18

 Comoros Islands                  860                         20                             3

    Costa Rica                   4,534                       8,350                         1,059
Djibouti           848       200       25

     Dominica             73        80       10

      Ecuador           13,481    12,940    1,641

    El Salvador          6,953     4,690     595

      Ethiopia          85,219     2,860     363

        Fiji             844       1,050     133

      Grenada            106       150       19

    Guadeloupe           448       1,100     140

     Guatemala          13,686     7,280     923

     Honduras            7,246     5,340     677

      Iceland            303       8,530    1,082

     Indonesia          234,342   120,330   15,263

       Kenya            38,550     5,500     698

    Madagascar          20,215     1,050     133

      Malawi            14,288     1,400     178

     Martinique          400       1,120     142

     Montserrat           10        20        3

    Mozambique          21,813    13,170    1,670

     Nicaragua           5,676     2,720     345

      Panama             3,399     5,660     718

 Papua New Guinea        6,458     3,700     469

        Peru            28,221    24,970    3,167

    Philippines         89,651    53,670    6,807

      Rwanda            10,009     100       13

Saint Kitts and Nevis     40       130       16

    Saint Lucia          167       300       38
Saint Vincent                    121                        120                            15

      Solomon Islands                   507                         60                             8

           Somalia                     8,956                       270                            34

            Sudan                     39,445                      3,940                          500

          Tanzania                    41,464                      1,880                          238

            Tonga                       101                         40                             5

           Uganda                     31,903                      1,980                          251

          Vanuatu                       232                         40                             5

           Yemen                      23,066                      4,460                          566

            Total                    772,185                     304,400                        38,610
1
    Assuming a capacity factor of 90 percent, typical of new geothermal power plants.

Government mandates and incentives for geothermal energy

     Currently, geothermal as a renewable energy source is being explored in a significant manner only
     in a fraction of the total number of countries worldwide, but this number is likely to increase with
     advanced technologies as Enhanced Geothermal is expanding the range of potential regions that
     could be sources of geothermal energy. In those countries that have existing proven geothermal
     resources (such as the USA and Philippines), the governments have released mandates and
     programmes that show exceptional support for this renewable energy source. This support is in the
     form of tax breaks, grants, subsidies and more.

     How can individuals and entrepreneurs benefit from this dramatic
     opportunity?

     Geothermal energy industry presents attractive opportunities to a wide range of people, including
     investors and entrepreneurs.
Business opportunities by scale of investments required


 Scale of
                                                   Type of Opportunity
Investment

              Consulting and installation for home-based geothermal systems
    Low
              Training people for geothermal heat pump installations

              Setting up medium scale geothermal plants
  Medium
              Setting up manufacturing plants for components and accessories for the geothermal energy industry
              Setting up large-scale geothermal equipment and components manufacturing plants
              Setting up large geothermal power plants or home-based geothermal installations
   High       Involving in large-scale distribution of biofuels
             o Centralized grid-connected geothermal plants
             o Installing large-scale distributed (home or location-based) geothermal heat pumps

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Revolution happening in geothermal energy industry

  • 1. Revolution happening in geothermal energy industry Geothermal energy supplies more than 10,000 MW to 24 countries worldwide and now produces enough electricity to meet the needs of 60 million people. It is considered possible to produce up to 8.3% of the total world electricity with geothermal resources, serving 17% of the world population. Thirty nine countries (located mostly in Africa, Central/South America, and the Pacific) can potentially obtain 100% of their electricity from geothermal resources (Dauncey, 2001). Already 24 countries are using geothermal energy source for producing electricity and another 22 countries will add to the list by 2010. In addition to large power generation, geothermal is also used for direct use purposes worldwide. In 2005, 72 countries reported using geothermal energy for direct heating, providing more than 16,000 MW of geothermal energy. Geothermal energy is used directly for a variety of purposes, including space heating, snow melting, aquaculture and more. Snapshots of status and potential of geothermal energy Renewable Capacity (GW) Market Size (billion $) Market Size Energy Growth Rate (%) Source 2008 Future Estimates 2008 Future Estimates Geothermal 14 20 7.5 13.1 8 According to market studies, investment in geothermal energy is growing at 24% a year. This exceptional investing growth rate is expected to continue - and increase even faster - for the foreseeable future. New Investments in Geothermal Energy ($ billions) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2004-08 CAGR (%) 0.9 0.4 1.0 0.9 2.2 24 Technology Advancement Estimated World Geothermal Electricity Potential with Present Technology with Technology Improvement
  • 2. As seen from the chart above, with technology improvement, the total electicity generation potential from geothermal increases 100%. The technology improvements are likely to come primarily from innovative concepts such as enhanced geothermal. Until recently, geothermal power systems have only exploited resources where naturally occurring water and rock porosity is sufficient to carry heat to the surface. However, the vast majority of geothermal energy within drilling reach is in dry and non-porous rock. Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) are a new type of geothermal power technologies that do not require natural convective hydrothermal resources. EGS technologies "enhance" and/or create geothermal resources in this hot dry rock (HDR) through hydraulic stimulation. With technology advancement, it is estimated that the following countries could meet 100 percent of electricity demand with geothermal energy. Countries that Could Meet 100 Percent of Electricity Demand with Geothermal Energy Estimated Geothermal Capacity Required to Population Total Electricity Demand Meet Electricity Country (Thousands) (Million Kilowatt-hours) Demand (Megawatts) 1 Bolivia 9,694 5,040 639 Burundi 8,856 140 18 Comoros Islands 860 20 3 Costa Rica 4,534 8,350 1,059
  • 3. Djibouti 848 200 25 Dominica 73 80 10 Ecuador 13,481 12,940 1,641 El Salvador 6,953 4,690 595 Ethiopia 85,219 2,860 363 Fiji 844 1,050 133 Grenada 106 150 19 Guadeloupe 448 1,100 140 Guatemala 13,686 7,280 923 Honduras 7,246 5,340 677 Iceland 303 8,530 1,082 Indonesia 234,342 120,330 15,263 Kenya 38,550 5,500 698 Madagascar 20,215 1,050 133 Malawi 14,288 1,400 178 Martinique 400 1,120 142 Montserrat 10 20 3 Mozambique 21,813 13,170 1,670 Nicaragua 5,676 2,720 345 Panama 3,399 5,660 718 Papua New Guinea 6,458 3,700 469 Peru 28,221 24,970 3,167 Philippines 89,651 53,670 6,807 Rwanda 10,009 100 13 Saint Kitts and Nevis 40 130 16 Saint Lucia 167 300 38
  • 4. Saint Vincent 121 120 15 Solomon Islands 507 60 8 Somalia 8,956 270 34 Sudan 39,445 3,940 500 Tanzania 41,464 1,880 238 Tonga 101 40 5 Uganda 31,903 1,980 251 Vanuatu 232 40 5 Yemen 23,066 4,460 566 Total 772,185 304,400 38,610 1 Assuming a capacity factor of 90 percent, typical of new geothermal power plants. Government mandates and incentives for geothermal energy Currently, geothermal as a renewable energy source is being explored in a significant manner only in a fraction of the total number of countries worldwide, but this number is likely to increase with advanced technologies as Enhanced Geothermal is expanding the range of potential regions that could be sources of geothermal energy. In those countries that have existing proven geothermal resources (such as the USA and Philippines), the governments have released mandates and programmes that show exceptional support for this renewable energy source. This support is in the form of tax breaks, grants, subsidies and more. How can individuals and entrepreneurs benefit from this dramatic opportunity? Geothermal energy industry presents attractive opportunities to a wide range of people, including investors and entrepreneurs.
  • 5. Business opportunities by scale of investments required Scale of Type of Opportunity Investment Consulting and installation for home-based geothermal systems Low Training people for geothermal heat pump installations Setting up medium scale geothermal plants Medium Setting up manufacturing plants for components and accessories for the geothermal energy industry Setting up large-scale geothermal equipment and components manufacturing plants Setting up large geothermal power plants or home-based geothermal installations High Involving in large-scale distribution of biofuels o Centralized grid-connected geothermal plants o Installing large-scale distributed (home or location-based) geothermal heat pumps