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Making Sense of
Real-time Streams
        Nova Spivack
       CEO, Bottlenose
    nova@novaspivack.com
A Major Shift has
Happened On the Web
2010


       Social networking




       Search
2011



 Social networking = 19% of
 consumer time spent online
               Comscore, December 2011
2011

           Social networking

   Search & Navigation
Dec. 2011
7 of top 50 sites getting
12% more traffic from
Facebook than Google. Up 5
sites in previous month.
                  Source: Ben Elowitz
Top sites,
Growth in
Visits

Facebook
vs.
Google

2011
Social Starting to
Displace Search
AOL           Instant Messaging      Facebook
                                MySpace Napster    Twitter Instagram
    USENET    Email                 Skype         LinkedIn    Path

 Messaging                      Messaging             Messaging
Online Services                Social Networks        Mobile Apps




   1980             1990             2000         2010



              Documents                     Documents
                   Websites                 Blogs & UGC
                       Yahoo                    Delicious
             Word
                                            Flickr Youtube
          Processing        Google             Wordpress
               Groupware                     Moveable Type
The PC          The Web     The Stream




1980     1990     2000    2010
The message is
 The medium
Total Amount of Messaging Has at Least Doubled




Source: Alan Lepofsky, Constellation Research
2012




       Everyone gets at least
         several thousand
             messages
              per day
I get 13,000
messages/day
Message Volumes
  Continue to
    Increase
Twitter Messages Per Day
450,000,000
400,000,000
350,000,000
300,000,000
250,000,000
200,000,000
150,000,000
100,000,000
 50,000,000
         -
              Nov-09
                       Jan-10
                                Mar-10
                                         May-10
                                                  Jul-10
                                                           Sep-10
                                                                    Nov-10
                                                                             Jan-11
                                                                                      Mar-11
                                                                                               May-11
                                                                                                        Jul-11
                                                                                                                 Sep-11
                                                                                                                          Nov-11
                                                                                                                                   Jan-12
                                                                                                                                            Mar-12
                                                                                                                                                     May-12
                                                                    Source: @bottlenoseapp Bottlenose.com
We keep piling on more things to
               share and track




                 1990                  2000   2010
Source: Nova Spivack, Bottlenose.com
Spam is the New Normal
The Success of
Social Networks
Are their Biggest
   Challenge
Messages/Day
                                                          Message
                                                          Volume




                 Gap will continue to widen                Available
                                                           Attention




                                                         Engagement




   2000                                    2010   2020   2030
   Source: @bottlenoseapp Bottlenose.com
Welcome to
“The Sharepocalypse”
What’s the Solution
To Information Overload?
“It’s not information overload,
       it’s filter failure”

                    -- Clay Shirky
How Do You Filter
  The Stream?
You Can’t Use
 PageRank….
A New Approach:
The Physics of Ideas
 
                                                                            Momentum	
  
Velocity	
                                                                  Mass	
  *	
  Velocity	
  
#men%ons	
  /                                                               	
  
unit	
  %me	
                                                               	
  
                                                                            	
  
                  Waves	
                       Tsunamis	
  




                  Bubbles	
                     Currents	
  




                                Mass	
  	
  #	
  unique	
  People	
  Men%oning	
  
Velocity	
     Waves	
                           Tsunamis	
  

                                             Topic
                        Topic	
  
               Topic                    Topic
                                        Topic Topic
                            Topic

               Bubbles	
                         Currents	
  

               Topic
                                Topic    Topic           Topic

                                         Topic
                Topic




                                                                Mass	
  
Velocity	
     Waves	
                           Tsunamis	
  

                                                     Link
                       Link	
  
               Link                      Link
                                         Link        Link
                           Link

               Bubbles	
                         Currents	
  

               Link
                                  Link    Link           Link

                                          Link
                Link




                                                                Mass	
  
Velocity	
     Waves	
                           Tsunamis	
  

                                            Person
                      Person	
  
               Person                  Person
                                       Person Person
                           Person

               Bubbles	
                         Currents	
  

               Person
                             Person   Person             Person

                                        Person
                Person




                                                                Mass	
  
Velocity	
     Waves	
                           Tsunamis	
  

                                             Topic
                        Topic	
  
               Topic                    Topic
                                        Topic           Topic
                            Topic

               Bubbles	
                         Currents	
  

               Topic
                                Topic   Topic           Topic

                                         Topic
                Topic




                                                                Mass	
  
Core Technology:
                   The StreamOS
     A high-level javascript and HTML5 platform for applications that
                     analyze real-time streams of data




                           Sentiment   Analytics   Automation   Personalization
  Semantic
Classification
Crowd Computing Architecture




         1.5MB Javascript Engine
   1500 Messages Processed/Second/CPU
       50K CPUs/Month and growing
Demo of StreamSense™

   (Bottlenose.com)
Making Sense of the Stream
    is not about Search
and it’s not about Filtering

   It’s about Discovery…
Thank You

nova@bottlenose.com
http://bottlenose.com

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Spivack making sense of streams talk 2012

  • 1. Making Sense of Real-time Streams Nova Spivack CEO, Bottlenose nova@novaspivack.com
  • 2. A Major Shift has Happened On the Web
  • 3. 2010 Social networking Search
  • 4. 2011 Social networking = 19% of consumer time spent online Comscore, December 2011
  • 5. 2011 Social networking Search & Navigation
  • 6. Dec. 2011 7 of top 50 sites getting 12% more traffic from Facebook than Google. Up 5 sites in previous month. Source: Ben Elowitz
  • 9.
  • 10. AOL Instant Messaging Facebook MySpace Napster Twitter Instagram USENET Email Skype LinkedIn Path Messaging Messaging Messaging Online Services Social Networks Mobile Apps 1980 1990 2000 2010 Documents Documents Websites Blogs & UGC Yahoo Delicious Word Flickr Youtube Processing Google Wordpress Groupware Moveable Type
  • 11. The PC The Web The Stream 1980 1990 2000 2010
  • 12. The message is The medium
  • 13. Total Amount of Messaging Has at Least Doubled Source: Alan Lepofsky, Constellation Research
  • 14. 2012 Everyone gets at least several thousand messages per day
  • 16. Message Volumes Continue to Increase
  • 17. Twitter Messages Per Day 450,000,000 400,000,000 350,000,000 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 100,000,000 50,000,000 - Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Source: @bottlenoseapp Bottlenose.com
  • 18. We keep piling on more things to share and track 1990 2000 2010 Source: Nova Spivack, Bottlenose.com
  • 19. Spam is the New Normal
  • 20. The Success of Social Networks Are their Biggest Challenge
  • 21. Messages/Day Message Volume Gap will continue to widen Available Attention Engagement 2000 2010 2020 2030 Source: @bottlenoseapp Bottlenose.com
  • 23. What’s the Solution To Information Overload?
  • 24. “It’s not information overload, it’s filter failure” -- Clay Shirky
  • 25. How Do You Filter The Stream?
  • 26. You Can’t Use PageRank….
  • 27. A New Approach: The Physics of Ideas
  • 28.   Momentum   Velocity   Mass  *  Velocity   #men%ons  /   unit  %me       Waves   Tsunamis   Bubbles   Currents   Mass    #  unique  People  Men%oning  
  • 29. Velocity   Waves   Tsunamis   Topic Topic   Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Bubbles   Currents   Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Mass  
  • 30. Velocity   Waves   Tsunamis   Link Link   Link Link Link Link Link Bubbles   Currents   Link Link Link Link Link Link Mass  
  • 31. Velocity   Waves   Tsunamis   Person Person   Person Person Person Person Person Bubbles   Currents   Person Person Person Person Person Person Mass  
  • 32. Velocity   Waves   Tsunamis   Topic Topic   Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Bubbles   Currents   Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Topic Mass  
  • 33. Core Technology: The StreamOS A high-level javascript and HTML5 platform for applications that analyze real-time streams of data Sentiment Analytics Automation Personalization Semantic Classification
  • 34. Crowd Computing Architecture 1.5MB Javascript Engine 1500 Messages Processed/Second/CPU 50K CPUs/Month and growing
  • 35. Demo of StreamSense™ (Bottlenose.com)
  • 36. Making Sense of the Stream is not about Search and it’s not about Filtering It’s about Discovery…