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DP Environmental systems and
societies
            Topic 6 The issue of
            global warming
Animations and simulations:
Greenhouse       Greenhouse effect
                 Greenhouse gas photons to IR
gases and
                 Global warming
global warming   Overview
CO2 the largest contributor to greenhouse
gases (not including water vapor)
Human sources of greenhouse gases
Effects of Global Warming
             Cause biomes to shift their distribution
              patterns
              (How could this occur with fragmented, isolated habitats
              moving across urban areas, agricultural systems, transport
              networks? Could it happen at the speeds of temperature
              change given?)
             Change the location of crop growing areas
              (what would be the geopolitical consequences of this?)
             Change Weather Patterns (Cyclones
              increase in frequency and intensity)
             Cause Coastal Flooding (Predicted sea
              level rise would swamp low-lying areas)
             Cause a change in the distribution of
              diseases limited by temperature (Such as
              Malaria)
Feedback systems – Negative

                            Increased
                           evaporation
         Global
                                 in
       temperature
                            temperate
                              regions



                 Increased
                 snowfall in
                    polar
                  icecaps
Feedback systems – Negative



         Global            Increased
       temperature        plant growth




                 Decreased
                 CO2 levels
Ice Core Data




Clathrates – trapped methane bubbles in
ice
Feedback systems – Positive



         Global              Increased
       temperature            ice melts




                 Increased
                  methane
                   levels
Feedback systems – Positive


                          Decreased
         Global
                          ocean CO2
       temperature
                           solubility




                 Increased
                atmospheric
                 CO2 levels
Pollution management
                         strategies
THE KYOTO
PROTOCOL
            The Kyoto Protocol emerged from the UN
            Conference on Climate Change held in Japan.
            Parties to the Protocol agreed to reduce the
            emission of gases like carbon dioxide and
            methane, which are thought to contribute to global
            warming. Initially, industrialised countries were to
            aim for a reduction of five per cent below 1990
            levels, with further reductions to be agreed in
            2012.

            Many countries negotiated special circumstances
            and in some cases arranged and increase in GHG
            emissions (eg Iceland and Australia.
Carbon taxes:
• A tax related to how much fossil fuel is
  used (very successful in Britain)
Carbon trading:
• A market system where industry non-
  polluters can sell carbon permits to
  polluters
Carbon offset schemes:
• Companies can invest in carbon
  decreasing projects
AND SEA LEVEL RISE…

                      Carry on as usual
                      Implement Kyoto
                      (developed
                      countries reduce
                      emissions)
                      Stabilise
                      emissions at 2000
                      levels globally
                      Reduce
                      emissions
                      globally 25%
                      Reduce
                      emissions
                      globally 75%
KYOTO PROBLEMS
     General perception that it would damage
     the economy
     (The reason given by the president of one
     of the richest countries in the world and one
     of the biggest polluters)

     Difficult to monitor and police. How could
     this be done effectively in all countries
     signed up to it?

     How can it be fair to countries in different
     stages of development if the baseline is set
     at 1990 levels?
THE PRECAUTIONARY
PRINCIPLE
     The principle of precaution changes the burden of proof
     so that those carrying out the pollution need to prove it
     does no harm. This was an argument put forward in the
     early days of the global warming debate to promote
     precautionary action.

     Do you think this is a sound principle?


       More recently the principle has been used in the global
       war on terror to invade Iraq and lock up suspects in
       America.
Arguments around global warming
Misconceptions on Global Warming
         • Ozone and CFC’s have very little to do
           with global warming!
         (However CFC’s do cause some warming, they are a
            detraction from the main issues and controlled
            fairly effectively under the Montreal Protocol.)
         • Global warming does not mean
           everywhere will get hotter.
         • Sea level rise is caused mainly by melting
           ice – thermal expansion
         • The green house effect is a bad thing.
MR. TATTERSALL’S LESSON – 1986
A LEVEL GEOGRAPHY – The Ice Age is Coming
The other side:
Global warming
is caused by the
Sun
         • Increasing temperature increases CO2
         (release from the ocean due to decreased
         solubility) and H2O (increased evaporation)
         which is the real greenhouse gas
         • Increasing solar radiation also directly
         warms the globe (hence correlation of data)
Global warming caused by the Sun:
Short time period




        Source: http://www.global-warming-and-the-climate.com
Global warming caused by the Sun:
Long time period




             Source: www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/abrupt/data2.html
Oceanic source of CO2




CO2 solubility curve
Water vapor is by far the biggest greenhouse
gas




          Source: www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
• Can a gas that consists of less than 0.5%
  of the atmosphere (CO2) have any
  influence on global warming?
• Could it be possible that the Sun (the
  climatic driver of the entire earth) and the
  ocean (70% of the face of the entire earth)
  be the cause?
Important videos
• An inconvenient truth
             vs
• The great global warming swindle
The Precautionary Principle
• If an action or policy has a
  suspected risk of causing harm
  to the public or to the
  environment, in the absence of
  scientific consensus that the
  action or policy is harmful, the
  burden of proof that it is not
  harmful falls on those taking the
  action

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The Issue of global warming

  • 1. DP Environmental systems and societies Topic 6 The issue of global warming
  • 2.
  • 3. Animations and simulations: Greenhouse Greenhouse effect Greenhouse gas photons to IR gases and Global warming global warming Overview
  • 4. CO2 the largest contributor to greenhouse gases (not including water vapor)
  • 5. Human sources of greenhouse gases
  • 6.
  • 7. Effects of Global Warming  Cause biomes to shift their distribution patterns (How could this occur with fragmented, isolated habitats moving across urban areas, agricultural systems, transport networks? Could it happen at the speeds of temperature change given?)  Change the location of crop growing areas (what would be the geopolitical consequences of this?)  Change Weather Patterns (Cyclones increase in frequency and intensity)  Cause Coastal Flooding (Predicted sea level rise would swamp low-lying areas)  Cause a change in the distribution of diseases limited by temperature (Such as Malaria)
  • 8. Feedback systems – Negative Increased evaporation Global in temperature temperate regions Increased snowfall in polar icecaps
  • 9. Feedback systems – Negative Global Increased temperature plant growth Decreased CO2 levels
  • 10. Ice Core Data Clathrates – trapped methane bubbles in ice
  • 11. Feedback systems – Positive Global Increased temperature ice melts Increased methane levels
  • 12. Feedback systems – Positive Decreased Global ocean CO2 temperature solubility Increased atmospheric CO2 levels
  • 13. Pollution management strategies THE KYOTO PROTOCOL The Kyoto Protocol emerged from the UN Conference on Climate Change held in Japan. Parties to the Protocol agreed to reduce the emission of gases like carbon dioxide and methane, which are thought to contribute to global warming. Initially, industrialised countries were to aim for a reduction of five per cent below 1990 levels, with further reductions to be agreed in 2012. Many countries negotiated special circumstances and in some cases arranged and increase in GHG emissions (eg Iceland and Australia.
  • 14. Carbon taxes: • A tax related to how much fossil fuel is used (very successful in Britain) Carbon trading: • A market system where industry non- polluters can sell carbon permits to polluters Carbon offset schemes: • Companies can invest in carbon decreasing projects
  • 15. AND SEA LEVEL RISE… Carry on as usual Implement Kyoto (developed countries reduce emissions) Stabilise emissions at 2000 levels globally Reduce emissions globally 25% Reduce emissions globally 75%
  • 16. KYOTO PROBLEMS General perception that it would damage the economy (The reason given by the president of one of the richest countries in the world and one of the biggest polluters) Difficult to monitor and police. How could this be done effectively in all countries signed up to it? How can it be fair to countries in different stages of development if the baseline is set at 1990 levels?
  • 17. THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE The principle of precaution changes the burden of proof so that those carrying out the pollution need to prove it does no harm. This was an argument put forward in the early days of the global warming debate to promote precautionary action. Do you think this is a sound principle? More recently the principle has been used in the global war on terror to invade Iraq and lock up suspects in America.
  • 18. Arguments around global warming Misconceptions on Global Warming • Ozone and CFC’s have very little to do with global warming! (However CFC’s do cause some warming, they are a detraction from the main issues and controlled fairly effectively under the Montreal Protocol.) • Global warming does not mean everywhere will get hotter. • Sea level rise is caused mainly by melting ice – thermal expansion • The green house effect is a bad thing.
  • 19. MR. TATTERSALL’S LESSON – 1986 A LEVEL GEOGRAPHY – The Ice Age is Coming
  • 20. The other side: Global warming is caused by the Sun • Increasing temperature increases CO2 (release from the ocean due to decreased solubility) and H2O (increased evaporation) which is the real greenhouse gas • Increasing solar radiation also directly warms the globe (hence correlation of data)
  • 21. Global warming caused by the Sun: Short time period Source: http://www.global-warming-and-the-climate.com
  • 22. Global warming caused by the Sun: Long time period Source: www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/abrupt/data2.html
  • 23. Oceanic source of CO2 CO2 solubility curve
  • 24. Water vapor is by far the biggest greenhouse gas Source: www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
  • 25. • Can a gas that consists of less than 0.5% of the atmosphere (CO2) have any influence on global warming? • Could it be possible that the Sun (the climatic driver of the entire earth) and the ocean (70% of the face of the entire earth) be the cause?
  • 26. Important videos • An inconvenient truth vs • The great global warming swindle
  • 27. The Precautionary Principle • If an action or policy has a suspected risk of causing harm to the public or to the environment, in the absence of scientific consensus that the action or policy is harmful, the burden of proof that it is not harmful falls on those taking the action