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5 Trends Shaping Today’s Fund Industry

Theresa Hamacher, CFA
President
NICSA

RR Donnelly FundSuite User Conference
May 22, 2012


                                         1
Agenda

         Alternative investments
         Product regulation
         Distribution
         Emerging markets
         Social media
                                   2
Trend #1
The Great Convergence




                        3
The Wall Between Mutual Funds and Hedge
Funds. . .




                                          4
. . . Has Been Breached




                          5
Mutual Funds Look More Like Hedge Funds



 Janus Global
                   Putnam Absolute   DWS Alternative
 Market Neutral
                   Return 100 Fund   Asset Allocation
     Fund


   ProFunds
   UltraShort       SPDR® Gold        PowerShare DB
Emerging Markets      Shares         Double Long ETN
  Index Fund


                                                        6
Alternative Funds are Growing. . .




                                     7
. . . While Equity Funds Overall Are Struggling




                                                  8
Hedge Funds Will Look More Like Mutual
Funds. . .

          JOBS Act of 2012
     Jumpstart our Business Startups

  Accept up to 2,000             Advertise to the
investors (vs. 500 now)           general public


  Still available only to “qualified purchasers” or
                “accredited investors”
                                                      9
. . . Including in Their Level of Regulation. . .


        Dodd-         Hedge fund managers register as
        Frank              investment advisers



       Adviser          Subject to SEC rules on chief
                      compliance officer, codes of ethics,
     registration        record retention, advertising


                      SEC to establish rules for verifying
      JOBS Act            investor income, assets


                                                             10
. . . Which Changes Their Operating Model


        Over 70% of hedge funds now have

         at least 1 employee dedicated to

        compliance, according to the latest

                   PwC survey




                                              11
Trend #2
    It’s a Complex /
Non-Complex World




                       12
Regulators are Prepared for Simple or
Complex. . .




  Mutual funds              Hedge funds
                                          13
. . . But Not for the In Between




 Mutual funds         Hybrid       Hedge funds



                                                 14
Reconsidering the Rules Here. . .


  SEC          Concept release on mutual fund use of derivatives


  SEC       Moratorium on new ETFs using derivatives and leverage


 CFTC           Expanded commodity pool operator registration


  IRS    Suspends private letter rulings on indirect commodity exposure


 FINRA      Sanctions for improper leveraged and inverse ETF sales



                                                                          15
. . . And in Europe


      UCITS           NewCITS

   Non-complex?       Complex?



                                 16
Trend #3
 You Say “Products,”
And I Say “Solutions”




                        17
What Retirement Means to You and Me. . .




                                           18
. . . And What It Means to the Financial Industry

                                                   Mutual funds
           Life annuity
                                 SEP IRA
  401(k)
                                              Roth 401(k)
                  SIMPLE IRA
Fixed annuity
                                403(b)

           IRA                    Collective investment trust
                          457

                                         Variable annuity
  Defined benefit plan

                                                                19
The Investment Industry Provides Products. . .

       Mutual          Managed                       Investment
                                    Annuities
       funds           accounts                        advisers


        ICI             MMI           IRI               IAA


      Life insurance        Hedge funds         Collective trusts

                                                 Coalition for
         ACLI                 MFA                   CTs



                                                                    20
. . . While Financial Advisers Provide Solutions
                          Funds


                         Wrap account


                         Brokerage account


                          Unified management account




                                                       21
The Fund Industry Fights Back with Target
Dates. . .

                            High Yield       TIPS


                    Bonds                           International




                                                                    Emerging
        Small Cap
                                                                     Markets



                                    Target
     Large Cap                       Date                             Alternatives

                                     Fund


                                                                                     22
. . . But Only in Retirement Plans


           81% of investors owning
         funds outside of a retirement
          plan at work use a financial
         adviser, according to the ICI



                                         23
Rethinking the Role and Responsibilities of
Brokers

    SEC       Considering a fiduciary standard for brokers


                   Revising fiduciary rule applying to
    DOL                    retirement plans

                Considering negotiated commissions for
    SEC          funds as part of review of Rule 12b-1

                Recommends that SEC review financial
    GAO            planner titles and designations

                                                             24
Europe Grapples with Similar Issues


       RDR                MiFID II             PRIPS
                           Markets in
                                            Packaged Retail
  Retail Distribution       Financial
       Review                                 Investment
                          Instruments
                                               Products
                           Directives
         UK                   EU                  EU

  Entirely fee-based
                              Ban on
    compensation;                           Establish uniform
                        “inducements” for
       minimum                                 rules for all
                           independent
   qualifications for                           products
                             advisers
       advisers

                                                                25
Trend #4
It’s Not All About China




                           26
If Every Person in China Bought Just One. . .




                                                27
Percentage Growth is Stronger Elsewhere. . .




        Two years ended 2010. Source: Investment Company Institute   28
. . . Off a Larger Base




         Two years ended 2010. Source: Investment Company Institute   29
Blame it on Rio
                                    Brevan Howard to open Brazil office
                                    September 21, 2010


PIMCO to Open Brazil Office
April 18, 2012


                         The Principal Bets on Brazil with Acquisition
                         March 6, 2012



Credit Suisse seeks full control of Brazil unit
August 24, 2011

                                           Fidelity appoints head for Brazil
                                           “. . . first employee in Brazil”
                                           June 21, 2011



Why Brazil May Be U.S. Managers’ Best Bet for Asset Growth
October 27, 2012
                                                                               30
Trend #5
What’s in a Like?




                    31
Social Media in the Fund Industry

              6 in 10

                           1 in 5
               1 in 3

                          8 in 10

              3 in 20


                                    32
What’s in a Like?

                    Possible prohibited testimonial, per the
       SEC          Office of Compliance Inspections and
                                Examinations


                    An adoption, implying endorsement
      FINRA
                               or approval


   Commonwealth
        of                 Need to be disclaimed
   Massachusetts

                                                               33
Executives are Wary of Social Media


                        Gartner reports that 50%
                         of large organizations
                            blocked access
                          to social media in the
                           workplace in 2010.



                                                   34
. . . But Social Media is Essential to Many
Employees


         11% of workers spend 30% or more of

          their work day on social networking

            activities, according to the 2012

           National Business Ethics Survey




                                                35
Summary

      The great convergence

      It’s a complex / non-complex world

      You say “products,” and I say “solutions”

      It’s not all about China

      What’s in a Like?

                                                  36
Keep Up on the Trends Through NICSA


              news.nicsa.org
               @NICSAPres
           NICSA LinkedIn group
          Facebook: NICSAOnline
           nicsa.org/knowledge

                                      37

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5 Trends Shaping Today's Fund Industry

  • 1. 5 Trends Shaping Today’s Fund Industry Theresa Hamacher, CFA President NICSA RR Donnelly FundSuite User Conference May 22, 2012 1
  • 2. Agenda Alternative investments Product regulation Distribution Emerging markets Social media 2
  • 3. Trend #1 The Great Convergence 3
  • 4. The Wall Between Mutual Funds and Hedge Funds. . . 4
  • 5. . . . Has Been Breached 5
  • 6. Mutual Funds Look More Like Hedge Funds Janus Global Putnam Absolute DWS Alternative Market Neutral Return 100 Fund Asset Allocation Fund ProFunds UltraShort SPDR® Gold PowerShare DB Emerging Markets Shares Double Long ETN Index Fund 6
  • 7. Alternative Funds are Growing. . . 7
  • 8. . . . While Equity Funds Overall Are Struggling 8
  • 9. Hedge Funds Will Look More Like Mutual Funds. . . JOBS Act of 2012 Jumpstart our Business Startups Accept up to 2,000 Advertise to the investors (vs. 500 now) general public Still available only to “qualified purchasers” or “accredited investors” 9
  • 10. . . . Including in Their Level of Regulation. . . Dodd- Hedge fund managers register as Frank investment advisers Adviser Subject to SEC rules on chief compliance officer, codes of ethics, registration record retention, advertising SEC to establish rules for verifying JOBS Act investor income, assets 10
  • 11. . . . Which Changes Their Operating Model Over 70% of hedge funds now have at least 1 employee dedicated to compliance, according to the latest PwC survey 11
  • 12. Trend #2 It’s a Complex / Non-Complex World 12
  • 13. Regulators are Prepared for Simple or Complex. . . Mutual funds Hedge funds 13
  • 14. . . . But Not for the In Between Mutual funds Hybrid Hedge funds 14
  • 15. Reconsidering the Rules Here. . . SEC Concept release on mutual fund use of derivatives SEC Moratorium on new ETFs using derivatives and leverage CFTC Expanded commodity pool operator registration IRS Suspends private letter rulings on indirect commodity exposure FINRA Sanctions for improper leveraged and inverse ETF sales 15
  • 16. . . . And in Europe UCITS NewCITS Non-complex? Complex? 16
  • 17. Trend #3 You Say “Products,” And I Say “Solutions” 17
  • 18. What Retirement Means to You and Me. . . 18
  • 19. . . . And What It Means to the Financial Industry Mutual funds Life annuity SEP IRA 401(k) Roth 401(k) SIMPLE IRA Fixed annuity 403(b) IRA Collective investment trust 457 Variable annuity Defined benefit plan 19
  • 20. The Investment Industry Provides Products. . . Mutual Managed Investment Annuities funds accounts advisers ICI MMI IRI IAA Life insurance Hedge funds Collective trusts Coalition for ACLI MFA CTs 20
  • 21. . . . While Financial Advisers Provide Solutions Funds Wrap account Brokerage account Unified management account 21
  • 22. The Fund Industry Fights Back with Target Dates. . . High Yield TIPS Bonds International Emerging Small Cap Markets Target Large Cap Date Alternatives Fund 22
  • 23. . . . But Only in Retirement Plans 81% of investors owning funds outside of a retirement plan at work use a financial adviser, according to the ICI 23
  • 24. Rethinking the Role and Responsibilities of Brokers SEC Considering a fiduciary standard for brokers Revising fiduciary rule applying to DOL retirement plans Considering negotiated commissions for SEC funds as part of review of Rule 12b-1 Recommends that SEC review financial GAO planner titles and designations 24
  • 25. Europe Grapples with Similar Issues RDR MiFID II PRIPS Markets in Packaged Retail Retail Distribution Financial Review Investment Instruments Products Directives UK EU EU Entirely fee-based Ban on compensation; Establish uniform “inducements” for minimum rules for all independent qualifications for products advisers advisers 25
  • 26. Trend #4 It’s Not All About China 26
  • 27. If Every Person in China Bought Just One. . . 27
  • 28. Percentage Growth is Stronger Elsewhere. . . Two years ended 2010. Source: Investment Company Institute 28
  • 29. . . . Off a Larger Base Two years ended 2010. Source: Investment Company Institute 29
  • 30. Blame it on Rio Brevan Howard to open Brazil office September 21, 2010 PIMCO to Open Brazil Office April 18, 2012 The Principal Bets on Brazil with Acquisition March 6, 2012 Credit Suisse seeks full control of Brazil unit August 24, 2011 Fidelity appoints head for Brazil “. . . first employee in Brazil” June 21, 2011 Why Brazil May Be U.S. Managers’ Best Bet for Asset Growth October 27, 2012 30
  • 31. Trend #5 What’s in a Like? 31
  • 32. Social Media in the Fund Industry 6 in 10 1 in 5 1 in 3 8 in 10 3 in 20 32
  • 33. What’s in a Like? Possible prohibited testimonial, per the SEC Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations An adoption, implying endorsement FINRA or approval Commonwealth of Need to be disclaimed Massachusetts 33
  • 34. Executives are Wary of Social Media Gartner reports that 50% of large organizations blocked access to social media in the workplace in 2010. 34
  • 35. . . . But Social Media is Essential to Many Employees 11% of workers spend 30% or more of their work day on social networking activities, according to the 2012 National Business Ethics Survey 35
  • 36. Summary The great convergence It’s a complex / non-complex world You say “products,” and I say “solutions” It’s not all about China What’s in a Like? 36
  • 37. Keep Up on the Trends Through NICSA news.nicsa.org @NICSAPres NICSA LinkedIn group Facebook: NICSAOnline nicsa.org/knowledge 37