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Allan Schur Ibm
1.
IBM Point of
View Plug in Vehicles and Recharging Infrastructure Implications Allan Schurr VP Strategy and Development Global Energy and Utility Industry © 2008 IBM Corporation
2.
Big Green Innovations Smarter
Power rethinks the electrical grid and empowers customers to make intelligent choices about energy use Monitoring power Real-time line of sight to Reducing waste and everywhere on the grid energy consumption greenhouse gas emissions INSTRUMENTED INTERCONNECTED INTELLIGENT Remote monitoring devices tell Virtual market-places between Power grids that use sensors, when and where faults occur, alert consumers and providers, smart meters, pricing, digital to impending overload condition, allowing consumers to trade controls and analytic tools to and locate inefficiencies are flexibility in usage for lower automatically monitor and control enabling smarter sourcing and costs. two-way energy flow. distribution of power. Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 2
3.
Big Green Innovations Plug-in
Electric Vehicle (PEV) Current State of Affairs Automaker activity ramping up, forecasting production levels by 2010 – 2008: Tesla Roadster, Think! – 2009: Fisher Karma – 2010: GM Volt, Saturn Vue Green, Toyota, Nissan, Mercedes – Post 2010: Renault/Nissan, Ford, Volvo, Volkswagen, Utilities are forming partnerships, preparing for pilots – SCE/Ford – EDF/Toyota – Dong Energy/Renault/Better Place – Vattenfall/Saab/Volvo IBM working with utilities, governments and automakers on plug-in car enablement 3 Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 3
4.
Big Green Innovations Behind
the momentum… Fuel Prices Climate Concerns Consumer Support Courtesy: World Resources Institute Courtesy: EIA Courtesy: Carnegie Mellon Electricity Industry Center (CEIC) Courtesy: EPRI Utility Grid Pressure Government Funding Technology Courtesy: Rocky Mountain Institute Start-Ups Race to Produce 'Green' Cars A smarter, greener grid 4 Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 4
5.
Big Green Innovations Significant
Policy Issues Tax Collection – What mechanisms will be used to replace lost road and excise tax revenue due to the reduced consumption of gasoline or diesel? Demand Management – Will automakers support systems that allow utilities to manage vehicle recharging (beyond price signals) to avoid local and system grid overload? – Will the potential buy-back of electricity from the vehicles by the utility be supported? Carbon Caps – Will utilities be granted a credit against their carbon cap if increased electric sales are displacing carbon emissions from gasoline and diesel? Interoperability and the Role of Standards – What standards are needed to ensure transactional convenience and economy between the cars, the grid, the recharge infrastructure, and other enabling technology? Incentives – What incentives will be available to consumer for the purchase of plug-in cars? – Will utilities offer special electric pricing for vehicle recharging, especially discounted off peak pricing? Will these be cost based, or subsidized? – Will charging infrastructure providers get tax or other incentives to build public infrastructure? Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 5
6.
Big Green Innovations Three
Charging Infrastructure Scenarios RESIDENTIAL CHARGING DOMINATES Easy availability of home infrastructure for likely market results in buyer self selection, and little demand for public charging PRIVATE PARTY SEEKS ATTRACTIVE DRIVER Not a personal ad, but business operators see driver profile match appealing market demographic and make investments in public charge points. Arms race for charging offers ensues PUBLIC INVESTMENT APPEALS TO AUTO MAKERS Lack of convenient home charging, and to achieve energy security and environmental goals, policy makers encourage public charging infrastructure, via incentives or direct investment Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 6
7.
Big Green Innovations Four
Key Impact Areas for Electricity Industry Energy Portfolio Supply Wholesale Strategy Adequacy Business New Revenues Grid & Capacity New Investment PEV Management Retail Customer T&D Business Care Business Alignment Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 7
8.
Big Green Innovations Key
Questions for Energy Retailers, Network Operators, and Integrated Utilities Business Model, New Revenue Streams Charging facilities construction & management Vehicle/battery financing Non-discriminatory access and transaction enablement CO2 offset measurement and reporting System Adequacy and Network Management? Generation supply Local distribution capacity Renewables integration Business Process Adaptation? Time based pricing and incentives Electricity resale program for public charging Vehicle sales process and electrical survey at homes Systems Readiness? Separate metering and TOU billing Point of sale and payment systems support Roaming Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 8
9.
Big Green Innovations From
EPRI, a vision of Plug-in Cars and Smart Grid Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 9
10.
Big Green Innovations IBM
Capabilities and Industry Relationships Retail Point of Sale & Telco Financial Svcs Self Service Service Provider ATM Solution Solutions Delivery Environment ATM Environment Real time, efficient Roaming Mgmt POS, fixed Enablement or mobile Financial Svcs Intelligent Exchanges Managed Business Transportation Intelligent Transformation Process Services Systems Utility & Optimization Road charging Network Billing and Payment Trade transactions, Real time traffic mgmt Smart Grid Settlement & Vehicle comms Clearing PHEV Solutions Utilities Automotive Government Petroleum Venture Capital Transportation Confidential Confidential IBM © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 10
11.
Thank You Aschurr@us.ibm.com
www.ibm.com/energy © 2008 IBM Corporation
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