India Equity Analytics Today: Buy Stock of Hindalco Industries Ltd

On Mid Quarter Analyst Meet, TCS commented on weak revenue growth momentum for 4QFY14E due to weak seasonality. Growth in 4QFY14E
would be lower than the preceding quarter and margin would decline 40-50 basis points on cross currency movement and higher investments.
However, sigh of relief was seen on FY15E outlook and comments on overall demand environment. .................................................................. (
Page : 13-15 )
Hindalco Industries Ltd: "BUY" 25th Mar 2014
Sesa Sterlite's 22 days smelting shut will help rival producer Hindalco Industries raise sales.With greater comfort on sustainability and visibility of
ramp up in UAIL operations, we raise our FY15E volume and consolidated EBITDA by ~2%. Currently the stock is trading at 0.7x in 1yr Forward
P/B and we believe with the changing political climate and improving auto mobile demand the stock will accumulate to 0.8x P/B. Hence at CMP
Rs.121.5 we are bullish on the stock to a medium term target price of Rs.140 which is a 15% upside addition.
................................................................ ( Page : 2-4)
We cover Persistent System as one of the few companies in the tier-II with potential to grow revenue at a range of 18-20%, specially focused on
emerging business and relationship building with marquee clients. Despite better predictability of growth and attractive visibility of its expansion
in new emerging verticals, we advice to book profit on the stock because of its premium valuation. ...............................................................
(Page : 11-12)
"BOOK PROFIT"
TCS : " Strong Fundamentals" "BUY" 20th Mar 2014
IEA-Equity
Strategy
25th Mar, 2014
Edition : 231
KPIT Tech: "On billion dollar journey" "BUY" 19th Mar 2014
Impressive organic growth despite inorganic thrust (acquired 10 companies in the last 10 yrs), Potential option value from success of its hybrid
engine venture Revolo (on trial). KPIT has targeted to reach $1bn sales by 2017. Its differentiated positioning and competitive edge in its focus
areas, imperatives to the success of smaller-sized IT vendors impress to investors. ........................................................................ ( Page : 19-
20)
HDFC Bank : "HOLD" 20th Mar 2014
Profitability of bank is likely to report better in next few quarters on the back of mobilization of FCNR deposits which would reflect better NII
growth for being a low cost carry, RBI allowed banks to use counter cycle buffer for making specific provisions against bad loans, declining share
of priority sector lending but still met regulatory requirement and exempted foreign deposits with tenure more than 3 years from SLR, CRR and
PSL. Now the economy is witnessing some sign of revival and market sentiment boost up on account of exit poll result. We raised our price
target to Rs.760/share which is upper side of our valuation band. .................... ( Page : 16-18)
Persistent System : "Persistently innovating.." 21th Mar 2014
PNB : "BUY" 24th Mar 2014
We upgrade PNB from neutral to add rating on account of external factors like better than expected GDP growth and CAD numbers which
showing some improvement along with softening inflation numbers. Recently market sentiments are also booted on account of opinion poll
result which revealed that BJP led NDA would close to formation of Government in coming general election. We raised our price target to
Rs.700 from Rs.600 earlier. ............................................................. ( Page : 8- 10)
Jindal steel & Power : Challenging Fundamentals "NEUTRAL" 24th Mar 2014
The Company has embarked on expansion projects of US$9bn in steel and power, backed by resource availability and steady cash flows.
Improving free-cash-flows and volumes would be visible from end-FY15. Profitability is geared to iron ore and coal, which, against the present
backdrop of improving iron-ore prices and higher coal consumption, would drive a re-rating. The stock quotes at 1.1x FY14e P/B. We initiate our
coverage on this stock with a target of Rs.285/share on the basis of improving steel business, and Recommend Neutral.
.................................................................. ( Page : 5-7)
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
India Equity Analytics
Daily Fundamental Report on Indian Equities

Hindalco Industries Ltd.
122 1-
140
132
15%
NA
2-
500440
25497
17848
6284
1M 1yr YTD A. Captive bauxite is only 21km away from the refinery
Absolute 24.7 38.1 30.6 B. Low reactive silica content which reduces caustic soda consumption
Rel. to Nifty 18.3 21.2 16.1 C.
D.
3QFY14 2QFY14 1QFY14
Promoters 37.0 37.0 37.0
FII 26.9 24.9 24.8
DII 13.3 14.4 14.3
Others 22.9 23.7 23.9
Financials : Q3FY14 Y-o-Y % Q-o-Q % Q3FY13 Q2FY14
Net Revenue 7273 5.8 15.4 6872 6305
EBITDA 629 8.1 16.5 582 540
PAT 344 -20.6 -3.7 434 357
EBIDTA % 9% 2.1 1.0 8% 9%
NPM % 5% -25.0 -16.5 6% 6%
. (In Crs)
2
Expansions ready to deliver…
With the change in political climate, we believe there will be demand from domestic
aluminium and copper consumer. Currently copper is going through a three month
low,we expect it to be better after election.
Key reasons for this low cost UAIL plant include:
Novelis Business:
Copper producer Sesa Sterlite Ltd will shut its smelter for 22 days starting April 26, for
maintenance purpose. It produces 30,000 tons of refined copper per month and exports
half of that to China. It will help rival producer Hindalco Industries raise sales. And also
for Hindalco the copper realization is stable with the previous quarter, so it will be
additional sales if orders executes.
Ongoing Positive thrusts:
The Q3FY14 financial results still do not include Mahan, Utkal and Aditya projects. All
three projects have started production under trial run. UAIL’s commercial production
started in December 2013. Management guided for FY15E and FY16E volumes of over
1mt and 1.5mt (full capacity), respectively. Integration of Aluminium smelters (a) Newly
commissioned aluminium smelters (UP and Odisha) to ramp up volumes going forward
and (b) Cost benefit of cheap alumina for its existing smelters with high quality,
proximate and captive bauxite mine, whose production is currently running at ~4mtpa
run-rate. We are expecting a good amount profit addition from these plants in H1FY15.
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
Political sentiment:
High trihydrate alumina content (40%) i.e., it is gibbsite form of bauxite with only 2%
bohemite (low quality bauxite)
Bauxite properties are such that process is carried out at relatively low temperature and
pressure leading to savings in energy cost.
Novelis’ business has started to improve with the benefit and strong demand from
automobiles. However, the pricing pressure is impacting margin. Novelis is one of the
world’s leading aluminium rolling and recycling companies supplying premium products
in the markets of North America, Europe, Asia and South America. The company is the
largest single producer of aluminium rolled products with an estimated share of 14% of
the world’s supply. Novelis’ sales volumes are expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.7% in
FY13-16E. On the back of increasing share of the automobile segment in the overall sales
mix, we expect the EBITDA/ton to improve.
Company Update
CMP
Target Price
Previous Target Price
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Stock Performance-%
Share Holding Pattern-%
1 yr Forward P/B
Nifty
Average Daily Volume (Nos.)
Upside
Change from Previous
Market Data
BSE Code
HINDALCONSE Symbol
52wk Range H/L
Mkt Capital (Rs Crores)
137/83
"Buy"
25th March' 14

3
Concerns:
View & Valuations:
Hindalco is a metal major with business interests in copper smelting & aluminium
manufacturing domestically. It is also a leading aluminum converter globally through
subsidiary Novelis. On the domestic aluminium business front, the company is
undergoing an ambitious capacity expansion wherein its aluminium (primary metal)
production capacity will increase from 560 KT currently to 1278 KT by FY15E. The
planned capacity expansion is backed by corresponding alumina refinery with captive
bauxite linkage. Bauxite conveyor expected to start in December 2014.
Trading At :
With greater comfort on sustainability and visibility of ramp up in UAIL operations, we
raise our FY16E volume and consolidated EBITDA by ~2%. We continue to see Hindalco
benefiting over next three years from volume growth in Novelis and Indian operations.
Although Hindalco has expanded its aluminium capacity recently, low aluminium prices,
sticky costs and delay in commencement of mining from captive blocks have resulted in
decline in profitability over the past few quarters. In the near-term, its profitability is
likely to be muted due to higher costs at Mahan smelter and low aluminium prices.
Currently the stock is trading at 0.7x in 1yr Forward P/B and we believe with the
changing political climate and improving aluminium demand the stock will accumulate
to 0.8x P/B. Hence at CMP Rs.121.5 we are bullish on the stock to a medium term target
price of Rs.140 which is a 15% upside addition.
The company has received stage-2 forest clearance for its Mahan coal block subject to
certain conditions. The next important step would be signing of liming lease with the
state government and subsequent mine development, which is likely to take ~18-24
months. High debt on the books continues to weigh on valuations.
About The Company:

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E
72078 80821 80193 81139
431 783 1012 1360
72509 81604 81205 82499
64102 72856 72395 72681
7976 7965 7798 8457
2725 2645 2822 3076
1839 1758 2079 2600
964 786 886 1201
366 211 -20 -
57 -50 16 -
2456 3397 3027 2940
8.5 10.6 8.4 7.8
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
191 191 191 191
21346 28824 31179 34597
21545 29023 31911 35330
10763 13736 37127 49857
13236 13956 3731 6442
3901 4138 5289 5691
9742 12980 11052 9613
1016 1077 1377 1610
69235 84376 101402 120590
7876 12272 15429 16435
21124 20133 19871 21490
5801 13131 22798 33831
1983 2035 3774 3170
11275 14096 13246 14332
6544 8000 8017 8952
2195 2556 3296 3770
1134 1164 2159 3257
69235 84376 101402 120590
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
1.6 1.4 0.8 0.5
20.5 12.8 17.7 15.8
10.8 11.1 9.9 11.2
16.0 18.0 13.7 12.0
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
5542 6929 8534 6852
4944 6226 7602 2978
-5448 -6710 -13220 -13765
428 825 6237 10278
-76 341 619 -510
4
Share in Profit/(Loss) of Associates
PAT
Expenditure
EBITDA
Depriciation
Interest Cost
Tax
Minority Interest
Long-term loans and advances
Inventories
Trade receivables
Cash and bank balances
P/L PERFORMANCE
ROE%
Net Revenue from Operation
Other Income
Total Income
Debtor to Turnover%
Creditors to Turnover%
CASH FLOWS
Net Cash From Operation
Cash From Investment
Long-term borrowings
Cash from Finance
Net Cash Flow during year
Cash from Operation
Short-term loans and advances
Total Assets
RATIOS
P/B
EPS
Long-term provisions
Tangible assets
Capital work-in-progress
Trade payables
Short-term provisions
Total liabilities
Intangibles
Short-term borrowings
B/S PERFORMANCE
Share capital
Reserve & Surplus
Total equity

Jindal steel & Power
265
285
NA
8%
NA
532286
24796
11158
6495
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute 6.9 -21.7 -27.9
Rel. to Nifty 0.5 -36.3 -37.6
3QFY14 2QFY14 1QFY13
Promoters 59.7 59.1 59.1
FII 21.9 21.3 20.8
DII 4.7 6.2 6.7
Others 13.7 13.3 13.4
Financials : Q3FY14 Y-o-Y % Q-o-Q % Q3FY13 Q2FY14
Revenue 5377 12.0 7.9 4802 4984
EBIDTA 1701 -5.0 16.7 1790 1457
Net Profit 562 -35.2 24.3 867 452
EBIDTA% 32 -15.1 8.2 37 29
NPM% 10 -42.1 15.2 18 9
(In Crs)
5
Market Data
Challenging Fundamentals
NSE Symbol
52wk Range H/L
362/181
The Company has embarked on expansion projects of US$9bn in steel and power,
backed by resource availability and steady cash flows. Improving free-cash-flows and
volumes would be visible from end-FY15. Profitability is geared to iron ore and coal,
which, against the present backdrop of improving iron-ore prices and higher coal
consumption, would drive a re-rating. The stock quotes at 1.1x FY14e P/B. We initiate
our coverage on this stock with a target of Rs.285/share on the basis of improving steel
business, and Recommend Neutral.
Stock Performance-%
1 yr Forward P/B
Nifty
Balance sheet at inflection point: In the past three years, 3bn dollar has been spent on
expansion, and a further 6bn will be expended in the next three years. The expansion has
been supported by the strong business cash flows. However, the net-debt-to-EBITDA
level has hit 3.7x due to delayed cash flows, though the leverage ratio is likely to have
peaked.
Steel segment improving : Steel sales volumes of Jindal Steel and Power are likely to
have improved in 3QFY14, to 0.75m tons. On the changing business and client mix, prices
are likely to have been better. Export opportunities in the quarter due to favorable
currency could have offset the impact of iron ore realizations and would have improved
EBITDA, aided by stable costs. The Shadeed Oman HBI business, iron ore and coking coal
mine are likely to have been stable.Management expects the company’s total steel
capacity, both in India and overseas, to increase around 8 million ton as compared to
current 3 million ton by the end of the fiscal.
The consolidated turnover was up by 12% to Rs.5377 Cr against Rs. 4683 Cr in previous
year period. Net Profit is after tax for the quarter is Rs. 562Cr (Rs. 867 Cr in Q3FY13). The
steel business in volume and value terms grew by 11% and 7% respectively compared to
the previous quarter.
JSPL achieved a spectacular growth in its export volumes which in volume and value
terms grew by 32% and 104% for the same period last year. The Company has received
Rail order from DFCC for the prestigious Delhi – Kolkata corridor and export order from
Ferrotech Alloys, UK.
JSPL’s retail segment has been very successful and the sale during Q3 FY14. Jindal Power
Ltd., a subsidiary of JSPL sales grew by 17.7% while PBT and PAT increased by 16.9% and
15.7% respectively in Q3 this year compared to Q3FY13.Net Sales of the company is
expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% over 2012 to 2015E respectively.
Average Daily Volume (Nos.)
BSE Code
JINDALSTEL
Initial Coverage Neutral
Upside
CMP
Target Price
"Neutral"
24th March' 14

Coverage :
Products
• Mining
Plants Locations
• Jindal Industrial Park (Chhattisgarh)
• Raipur Division (Chhattisgarh)
• Tamnar (Odisha)
• Angul (Odisha) • Zambia
• Barbil (Odisha) • Tanzania
• Tensa - (Jharkhand)
• Patratu (Jharkhand) • Australia
6
• Fabricated Sections
• Angels & Channels
• TMT Re-bars
• Wire Rods
• Oman (Middle East)
EBIDTA & Margin
Debt Structure
Stabilizing Power segment: With a steady performance and power sales to Rs.1130 Cr
in 3QFY14 (Rs.1068Cr in 3QFY13), the PLF in 3QFY14 would have held at ~100%, helping
maintain realizations. Capped realizations and the power-surplus situation would have
posed downside risks to earnings.
Jindal Steel and Power Limited (JSPL) is one of India’s major steel producers with a
significant presence in sectors like Steel, Mining, Power Generation and Infrastructure.
With an annual turnover of over US$ 3.6 billion, JSPL is a part of the over US$ 18 billion
diversified O. P. Jindal Group. In the recent past, JSPL has expanded its steel, power and
mining businesses to various parts of the world particularly in Asia, Africa and Australia.
The company has committed investments exceeding US$ 30 billion in the future and has
several business initiatives running simultaneously across continents. The company
produces economical and efficient steel and power through backward and forward
integration.
• Rails
• Parallel Flange Beams
• Plates & Coils
• Madagascar
Jindal Steel and Power Limited started as a steel manufacturing company, enhanced the
company position as a major steel producer and diversified into various other sectors
such as:
• Petroleum
• Cement and Infrastructure.• Power Generation & Trading
Global Presence
Earning Ratios
Earning Ratios
Revenue & Growth
EBIDTA & Margin
• Mozambique
• South America
Business Areas
• Semi-Finished Products
• Power
• Ferro Chrome
• Silico Manganese
• Sponge Iron

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
11092 13112 18209 19807
60 82 142 136
11152 13194 18351 19943
4197 5078 5311 6151
273 415 591 641
774 1303 5513 7020
5244 6795 11415 13812
5848 6317 6793 5994
997 1151 1386 1539
358 260 360 758
4553 4988 5189 3833
919 1184 1186 922
3573 3754 3965 2910
34 27 22 14
6.3 4.6 2.8 1.5
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
93 93 93 93
10324 14017 18018 21159
10417 14110 18111 21252
5330 5549 11180 15402
3274 8428 4569 8247
17 25 34 33
2266 2573 1251 1398
2036 3081 4111 4884
25122 36091 45008 57073
14 20 31 20
9883 14824 16463 19255
7947 10041 92 19230
1090 1527 2181 2421
1431 2773 3580 4524
753 1154 1307 1954
113 480 149 200
3464 4852 6927 8079
25122 36091 45008 57073
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
6.3 4.6 2.8 1.5
32.0 28.5 21.6 14.6
52.4 47.9 37.0 30.1
17.8 12.8 11.2 6.1
4.2 1.9 2.3 3.2
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
7
Short-term provisions
Interest Cost
ROE%
P/B
Short-term borrowings
Long-term provisions
Trade payables
B/S PERFORMANCE
Share capital
Reserve & Surplus
Total equity
Long-term borrowings
Trade receivables
Short-term loans and advances
Total Assets
P/B
Total liabilities
Cash and bank balances
Intangibles
Tangible assets
PBT
Net tax expense / (benefit)
PAT
Weighted Average Cost of Debt %
Debt/Equity (debt/debt+networth or
EBITDA %
ROCE%
RATIOS
NPM %
Capital work-in-progress
Long-term loans and advances
Inventories
P/L PERFORMANCE
Cost Of Projects & Contractual
Employee benefit Expence
Net Revenue from Operation
Other Income
Total Income
Other Expenses
Expenditure
EBITDA
Depriciation

641
700
600
9
17
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute 18.9 -19.7 -19.7
Rel.to Nifty 14.0 -30.2 -30.2
Current 4QFY13 3QFY1
3Promoters 58.9 57.9 57.9
FII 17.5 17.9 18.0
DII 18.5 18.4 19.1
Others 5.1 5.9 5.1
Financials Rs, Cr
2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
NII 11807 13414 14857 16536 17691
Total Income 15420 17617 19072 20775 21930
PPP 9056 10614 10907 11155 12500
Net Profit 4433 4884 4748 3408 5209
EPS 140.6 144.0 134.3 94.1 143.9
8
PNB
Market Data
Upside
890/400
BSE Code 532461
NSE Symbol PNB
Company update ADD Over the last one month, PNB has outperform Nifty by 14% and Bank Nifty by
5.7% largely on account of external factor like economy and fiscal deficit
showing some positive trend, softening of inflation from its peak level. Market
sentiment are also boosted by recent opinion poll result which revealed BJP
led NDA would come to power and economy would revived. Although we like
Bank of Baroda over PNB but former is trading close to our target price. We
value PNB at Rs.600 to Rs.775 per share implying 0.6 to 0.75 times of one year
forward book depending upon current economy scenario and banks own
fundamental. Looking at current fundamental and market sentiments we
believe bank would trade in the range of Rs.600 to Rs.700.
In the subsequent section we will discuss two positive fronts that bank has
witnessed in last quarter result (a) asset quality improvement especially in
fresh slippage side, (b) margin expansion. We will discuss the possibility
valuation contraction from current level.
CMP
Target Price
Average Daily Volume
19646
PNB Vs Nifty
7.4 cr
Nifty 6495
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Stock Performance
52wk Range H/L
During the last quarter PNB experienced improvement of asset quality especially in
fresh slippage front. Fresh addition in GNPA was declined by 52% sequential to Rs.
1142 cr as against average run rate in last ten quarter was Rs.2124cr. In percentage
to gross advances, slippage ratio came down to 1.4% versus 3% in 2Q and 4.7% in
1Q. Cash recoveries were better which drag net NPA to 2.8% from 3.1% in previous
quarter. Further bank restructure Rs. 2115 cr in 3QFY14 mainly come from power
sector which was offset by similar amount of bond received from SEBs. Bank
management has not indicated restructure pipeline in near term which means stable
to improving asset quality trend could be seen.
Margin expansion on the back of shifting concentration of portfolio mix and
CASA growth
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr)
Creation of fresh slippage lower, impaired asset high but showing
improvement
During the last quarter bank’s margin expanded by 10 bps QoQ despite of moderate
loan growth. Bank witnessed 9.7% YoY loan growth led by SME growth of 21.6%
and retail segment growth of 17.5%. Retail and SME segment are high yield in
nature. Further bank’s low cost deposits CASA increased by 13% in absolute term in
which saving account supported with 14% growth current account 7% YoY. But
overall deposits declined by 20% led by 33% declined of term deposits which inflated
CASA ratio to 38.3% from 27%. Sequentially cost of fund declined by 25 bps while
yield on loan declined by 11 bps on account of creation of low deposits franchise and
shifting of portfolio.
"ADD"
24th March2014

9
Management guided stable NIM, more focus on liability rather than asset yield
According to bank management, PNB is focusing more on liability side rather than yield.
Bank has reduced high cost bulk deposits from Rs.880 bn in Sept.2012 to Rs.220 bn in
Dec.2013 and certificate of deposits came down to Rs.110 bn from Rs.240 bn in
3QFY13. Share of low cost deposits improved to 40% which would help bank to maintain
NIM at 3.5% according to management.
Valuation & View
We upgrade PNB from neutral to add rating on account of improving sign of economy led
by CAD number and softening of inflation. Recently market sentiments are also boosted
up due to exit poll result which revealed that BJP led NDA government would be close to
government formation in coming general election. In our valuation matrix, we value in the
range of 0.6 times to 0.75 times of F14E book depending upon bank’s fundamental and
market sentiment. Looking at current market sentiment and fundamental, we value bank
in the range of Rs.600 to Rs.770 per share. We have added rating on the stock with
current price target of Rs.700.
Current Valuation Range
PNB

10
PNB
Financial & Assuption
Source : Eastwind/ Company
Income Statement 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Interest Income 26986 36476 41893 43513 49565
Interest Expense 15179 23062 27037 26977 31875
NII 11807 13414 14857 16536 17691
Change (%) 39.3 13.6 10.8 11.3 7.0
Non Interest Income 3613 4203 4216 4240 4240
Total Income 15420 17617 19072 20775 21930
Change (%) 27.6 14.2 8.3 8.9 5.6
Operating Expenses 6364 7003 8165 9621 9430
Pre Provision Profits 9056 10614 10907 11155 12500
Change (%) 23.6 17.2 2.8 2.3 12.1
Provisions 4622 3577 4386 6253 5059
PBT 4433 7037 6522 4902 7442
PAT 4433 4884 4748 3408 5209
Change (%) 13.5 10.2 -2.8 -28.2 52.8
Balance Sheet
Deposits( Rs Cr) 312899 379588 391560 450294 517838
Change (%) 25 21 3 15 15
of which CASA Dep 120325 134129 153344 139752 153766
Change (%) 18 11 14 -9 10
Borrowings( Rs Cr) 31590 37264 39621 47857 44728
Investments( Rs Cr) 95162 122703 129896 143572 149094
Loans( Rs Cr) 242107 293775 308725 339598 356578
Change (%) 30 21 5 10 5
Ratio
Avg. Yield on loans 8.7 9.7 10.3 9.6 10.5
Avg. Yield on Investments 6.0 6.4 7.4 7.2 7.8
Avg. Cost of Deposit 4.4 5.6 6.5 6.4 6.6
Avg. Cost of Borrowimgs 4.4 4.5 3.9 4.0 4.1
Valuation
Book Value 682 820 924 1000 1107
CMP 1220 926 759 543 543
P/BV 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5

Persistent System.
Footing on Product Business, and working aggressively on new emerging services;
11%
Key facts from Management Interview to Media( on 20
th
March,2014)
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute 1.1 76.8 85.7
Rel. to Nifty 3.4 75.8 82.3
Promoters 38.96 38.96 38.96
FII 18.26 15.28 14.84
DII 18.78 21.23 19.31
Others 24 24.53 26.89
3QFY14 2QFY14 (QoQ)-% 3QFY13 (YoY)-%
432.75 432.37 0.1 332.98 30.0
104.3 100.8 3.5 82.4 26.6
64.2 60.8 5.6 49.5 29.7
24.1% 23.3% 80bps 24.7% (60bps)
14.8% 14.1% 70bps 14.9% (10bps)
11
BSE Code 533179
NSE Symbol
PAT
(1) Persistent System is setting up a unit related to product and Product services, named it
“ Accelerite” to manage efficiently. They are taking some of its IP led products into this
Accelerite. We expect that company is able to compete as a product company, which
“Accelerite” will in the market.
(2) Management expects that the overall trends are looking good on Industry per se and
new emerging segment will play a major role for growth. Now, clients are moving into new
changes and focusing into new services and solution.
(3) For 4QFY14E, muted set of growth could be seen and expecting Intellectual Property
(IP) growth this quarter.
(4) The business outlook though is very positive in the sense, and they are seeing good
opportunities, good pipeline growth and many good interesting deals being signed.
(5) Persistent system is expecting to see IP led growth at a range of 18-19% in FY14E and
20%+ in FY15E driven by HPCA without any addition of new IPs. At same point of time,
they are also looking to scale strong potential of rCloud after adding new capabilities.
Persistent management suggests that deal pipeline are looking strong and seeing good
activity and traction in the market across the board. Its focus on some of newer
technologies like cloud, analytics and mobility, M2M, digital transformation are gaining
a lot of traction because of pickup in demand environment. Because of actively
investment in these themes, management is very confident to see healthy growth.
View and Valuation: The company’s focus is shifting greater proportion to IP led services
and company has marquee clientele in cutting-edge technologies around cloud, mobility,
digital and analytics; witnessing faster growth. Considering the company’s premium
valuation, we advice “Book Profit” on the stock. At a CMP of Rs 1059, stock trades at
13.4x FY15E earnings. Our view could be change with management guidance, higher
currency flactuations and post earnings of coming quarter.
Financials
Revenue
EBITDA
We cover Persistent System as one of the few companies in the tier-II with potential to
grow revenue at a range of 18-20%, specially focused on emerging business and
relationship building with marquee clients. Despite better predictability of growth and
attractive visibility of its expansion in new emerging verticals, we advice to book profit
on the stock because of its premium valuation.
Nifty
6483
Stock Performance
PERSISTENT
52wk Range H/L 1220/477
Average Daily Volume 12139
Market Data
"Persistently innovating.."
CMP 1059
Target Price 1070
On recent management Interview, Persistent System announced its new footing of
dedicated product business unit “Accelerite” to align its business strategy combined with
Products and IP (Intellectual Property) based on SMAC (Social, Mobility, Analytics,
Cloud) platform.
Company update Book Profit
Previous Target Price 960
Upside 1%
1 year forward P/E-x
Rs, Crore
4236
EBITDA Margin
PAT Margin
"Book Profit"
21st Mar' 14

12
Persistent System.
Operating Metrics
Financials
2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY13 1QFY13 QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14
Top1 16.0% 15.9% 17.2% 17.8% 20.7% 21.1% 21.6% 21.2% 22.5% 19.8%
Top 5 38.6% 37.0% 36.6% 33.5% 36.3% 37.3% 36.7% 34.7% 36.4% 36.9%
Top 10 49.4% 48.3% 48.8% 45.3% 47.0% 49.4% 47.9% 46.0% 47.3% 46.9%
Onsite - Linear 12665 12387 12603 12789 12863 12772 14014 14567 14283 14510
Offshore - Linear 3803 3778 3895 3898 3978 4032 4143 4111 4109 4179
Yeild per Employee(excld- Trainee) 3208 3247 3350 3345 3746 3817 3769 3602 3919 3934
Total Employee 6900 6706 6628 6536 6370 6719 6970 7144 7457 7602
Attrition 17.7% 17.4% 18.3% 18.9% 16.9% 16.0% 14.4% 14.2% 14.0% 13.2%
Utilization rate %(xclude IP Led ) 73.8% 74.1% 71.7% 74.1% 75.2% 77.3% 72.5% 70.0% 71.7% 72.9%
Billing Rate-USD/ppm
Employee Metrics
Client Concentration
Rs in Cr, FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E
Sales 601.16 775.84 1000.3 1294.5 1666.59 2061.72
Employee Cost 368.74 481.62 599.05 719 899.96 1123.64
Cost of technical professionals 0 30.67 41.68 54 91.66 113.39
Other expenses 86.05 105.24 135.2 218 291.65 366.99
Total expenses 454.79 617.53 775.93 990.78 1283.28 1604.02
EBITDA 146.37 158.31 224.37 303.72 383.32 457.70
Depreciation 33.52 42.39 61.1 78 100.55 93.54
Other Income 11.23 34.44 34.44 34.44 55.00 72.16
EBIT 112.85 115.92 163.27 225.44 282.76 364.16
Interest Cost 0 0 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.05
Profit (+)/Loss (-) Before Taxes 124.08 150.36 197.71 259.851 337.71 436.28
Provision for Taxes 9.05 10.62 55.09 75.37 92.03 119.98
Net Profit (+)/Loss (-) 115.03 139.74 142.62 184.481 245.69 316.30
Growth-% (YoY)
Sales 1.2% 29.1% 28.9% 29.4% 28.7% 23.7%
EBITDA 60.2% 8.2% 41.7% 35.4% 26.2% 19.4%
PAT 74.1% 21.5% 2.1% 29.4% 33.2% 28.7%
Expenses on Sales-%
Employee Cost 61.3% 62.1% 59.9% 55.5% 54.0% 54.5%
Other expenses 14.3% 13.6% 13.5% 16.9% 17.5% 17.8%
Tax rate 7.3% 7.1% 27.9% 29.0% 27.3% 27.5%
Margin-%
EBITDA 24.3% 20.4% 22.4% 23.5% 23.0% 22.2%
EBIT 18.8% 14.9% 16.3% 17.4% 17.0% 17.7%
PAT 19.1% 18.0% 14.3% 14.3% 14.7% 15.3%
Valuation:
CMP 310 366.7 409.2 541 1059 1059
No of Share 4 4 4 4 4 4
NW 639.0 747.1 840.5 1018.3 1212.5 1477.3
EPS 28.8 34.9 35.7 46.1 61.4 79.1
BVPS 159.7 186.8 210.1 254.6 303.1 369.3
RoE-% 18.0% 18.7% 17.0% 18.1% 20.3% 21.4%
P/BV 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.1 3.5 2.9
P/E 10.8 10.5 11.5 11.7 17.2 13.4

TCS
Key facts from Management Commentary:
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute -5.9 29.9 67.2
Rel. to Nifty -13.3 18.8 57.1
Promoters 73.9 73.96 73.96
FII 16.33 16.09 15.67
DII 5.26 5.58 5.90
Others 4.51 4.37 4.47
21294 20977.2 1.5 16069.93 32.5
6686.76 6633.0 0.8 4660.49 43.5
5333.43 4633.3 15.1 3549.61 50.3
31.4% 31.6% (20bps) 29.0% 240bps
25.0% 22.1% 290bps 22.1% 290bps
13
NSE Symbol TCS
52wk Range H/L 2384/1300
Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) 433985
Now, revenue in 4QFY14E could be a bit lighter than what we had expected post 3QFY14
earnings. We are not much surprise on comments on weak revenue as well as ramping
down on margin picture for current quarter. We believe that the 1QFY15E, the first
seasonally strong quarter of the year, is the stern litmus test of TCS’s confidence for
FY15E.
(1) For 4QFY14E, revenue would be lower than preceding quarter because of seasonal
impacts, and domestic revenue may clock negative growth largely impacted by upcoming
general election. However, no pressure would be seen on revenue for FY15E.
(2)Margin would decline by 40-50 basis points on cross currency movement and higher
investments. However, company is expecting no hiccups on margin for long- term
prospect.
(3) The company is very optimistic on Europe, US and UK growth could be inline. Latin
America will see good growth. Europe will continue to do well, and the US and the UK will
be close to industry average. Middle East and APAC could be seen on flattish node.
(4) Across vertical, Media and Entertainment has reported better, Telecom remains
challenged. While, there could be some ray of growth because of higher penetration in
Europe.
Market Data
BSE Code 532540
Previous Target Price 2360
Upside 23%
Change from Previous 6%
Mid Quarter's Analyst Meet: Lower than expected growth for 4QFY14E, but still better
outlook for FY15E than FY14E,
" Strong Fundamentals"
CMP 2041
Target Price 2510
Company update Buy
On Mid Quarter Analyst Meet, TCS also commented on weak revenue growth
momentum for 4QFY14E followed by Infosys due to weak seasonality. Growth in
4QFY14E would be lower than the preceding quarter and margin would decline 40-50
basis points on cross currency movement and higher investments. However, sigh of
relief was seen on FY15E outlook and comments on overall demand environment.
1 year forward P/E
Rs, Crore
(5) Currency will play a small role with marginal impact of cross currency movement and
average currency movement. There may be some accounting changes related to
recognition of forex gains or losses, but it is not likely to be material.
View and Valuation: We continue to remain positive on its demand outlook and margin
profile, the management expects for robust deal pipeline going forward and also expects
to materialize its emerging space like Digital as well as Cloud, Mobility, Analytics and Big
data. We expect, TCS will be star performer in growth sense than other peers. Hence, we
are maintaining 17% (revised from 18%) revenue growth in dollar term for FY14E
because of improved demand environment, while NASSCOM expects 12-14% for the
Industry. At a price of Rs 2041, it is trading at 18x FY15E earnings, We maintain" BUY"
view on the stock with a target price of Rs 2510.
Financials
Revenue
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
PAT Margin
PAT
Nifty 6524
Stock Performance
"BUY"
20th Mar' 14

14
Unlike Infosys, TCS comments are based on potential impact from seasonally lower
demand in its biggest market (US and Europe) and weak domestic demand environment.
On previous comments, management had already quoted regarding demand volatility at
home because of upcoming poll.
Comparing with its nearest rival Infosys, TCS is not facing largely with any specific issue.
Despite a weak commentary on 4QFY14E, management is aggressively confident to report
better numbers in FY15E with healthy demand outlook. We are considering following
factors for its growth story in FY15E.
Healthy Demand Environment: TCS is much confident on healthy demand outlook and
expects that FY15E could be better year than FY14E propelled by better discretionary
spending in the US. Management suggests that except India, other emerging markets
(contributes 18-19% of revenue) continue to see healthy demand. Also, in its FY15
revenue growth models, India (contributes 7% of sales) is the only market which TCS
expects to be weak.
TCS.
Is there any setback?
No sign of any ramp down: Management suggests that Continental Europe will likely
grow ahead of overall company growth in FY15E. On vertical front, smaller verticals such
as Energy & Utilities, Transportation and Life sciences & Healthcare might grow ahead of
overall company average. While, its mature verticals like BFSI and Retails could grow
flattish, Telecom continues to face structural issue. Contracts wins from continental
Europe could change the shape of verticals. Still, we are not seeing any project ramp
down.
New emerging business on demand: A part of legacy business, the emerging
opportunities in helping large corporations tap areas such as social media and data
analytics are seen as increasingly contributing to the IT sector's next phase of growth. TCS
and its Indian competitors are winning a significant share of several 2nd and 3rd
generation renewal contracts as western companies look to both cut costs and modernise
their IT infrastructure.
Sales (USD) and Sales growth-%
Considering above growth factors, we are not expecting any major concern with
company's growth. The company is also focussed to drive operational improvements in
the business and aims to expand reach in non-traditional markets and servicelines.
We expect 1% (QoQ) revenue growth in
USD term for 4QFY14E,

15
TCS.
Financials
Rs, Cr FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E
Net Sales-USD 6339.0 8187.0 10171.0 11569.0 13531.7 16012.2
Net Sales 30029.0 37325.1 48894.3 62989.5 81731.2 96073.3
Employee Cost 10879.6 13850.5 18571.9 24040.0 30060.7 35547.1
Overseas business expenses 4570.1 5497.7 6800.5 8701.9 11565.0 13930.6
Services rendered by business associates and others 1262.0 1743.7 2391.3 3763.7 4952.9 5764.4
Operation and other expenses 4622.8 5054.3 6694.8 8443.9 10044.8 12009.2
Total Expenses 21334.4 26146.2 34458.5 44949.6 56623.4 67251.3
EBITDA 8694.6 11178.9 14435.8 18040.0 25107.8 28822.0
Depreciation 601.8 686.2 860.9 1016.3 1279.2 1503.7
Amortisation 59.1 49.1 57.1 63.7 57.5 76.7
Other Income 272.0 604.0 428.2 1178.2 1348.6 1921.5
Extra Ordinery Items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBIT 8033.7 10443.6 13517.9 16960.1 23828.6 27318.3
Interest Cost 16.1 26.5 22.2 48.5 35.9 33.8
PBT 8289.6 11021.2 13923.8 18089.8 25141.3 29206.0
Tax 1197.0 1830.8 3399.9 4014.0 5933.3 7009.4
PAT 7092.7 9190.3 10524.0 14075.7 19208.0 22196.5
PAT (Reported PAT) 7000.6 9068.6 10414.0 13917.4 19208.0 22196.5
Sales-USD 29.2% 24.2% 13.7% 17.0% 18.3%
Sales 8.0% 24.3% 31.0% 28.8% 29.8% 17.5%
EBITDA 21.3% 28.6% 29.1% 25.0% 39.2% 14.8%
PAT 31.8% 29.6% 14.5% 33.7% 36.5% 15.6%
EBITDA 29.0% 30.0% 29.5% 28.6% 30.7% 30.0%
EBIT 26.8% 28.0% 27.6% 26.9% 29.2% 28.4%
PAT 23.6% 24.6% 21.5% 22.3% 23.5% 23.1%
Employee Cost 36.2% 37.1% 38.0% 38.2% 36.8% 37.0%
Overseas business expenses 15.2% 14.7% 13.9% 13.8% 14.2% 14.5%
Services rendered by business associates and others 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0%
Operation and other expenses 15.4% 13.5% 13.7% 13.4% 12.3% 12.5%
Tax rate 14.4% 16.6% 24.4% 22.2% 23.6% 24.0%
CMP 780.8 1182.5 1322.0 1563.0 2041.0 2041.0
No of Share 195.7 195.7 195.7 196.0 196.0 196.0
NW 18466.7 24504.8 29579.2 38645.7 49940.0 62991.6
EPS 36.2 47.0 53.8 71.8 98.0 113.2
BVPS 94.4 125.2 151.1 197.2 254.8 321.4
RoE-% 38.4% 37.5% 35.6% 36.4% 38.5% 35.2%
Dividen Payout ratio 28.1% 50.8% 37.5% 41.2% 41.2% 41.2%
P/BV 8.3 9.4 8.7 7.9 8.0 6.4
P/E 21.5 25.2 24.6 21.8 20.8 18.0
Margin -%
Expenses on Sales-%
Valuation
Growth-%

HDFC Bank
741
760
720
3
6
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute 11.8 15.1 15.1
Rel.to Nifty 4.7 4.8 4.8
3Promoters 22.7 22.7 22.7
FII 34.9 33.6 34.9
DII 9.3 9.8 6.6
Others 33.1 33.8 34.2
Financials Rs, Cr
2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
NII 10543 12885 15811 18713 22944
Total Income 14878 18668 22664 26604 30835
PPP 7725 9391 11428 14516 15572
Net Profit 3926 5167 6726 8453 9119
EPS 84.4 22.0 28.7 36.0 38.9
16
HDFC Bank Vs Nifty
4.17 lakhs
Nifty 6524
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr)
Stock Performance
In last quarter, HDFC bank has raised FCNR deposits to the tune of $3.4 bn nearly
about Rs.21000 cr through RBI special window which carry interest rate of 3.5%
while normal deposits rate are in the range of 6.5% to 7%. HDFC Bank raised larger
chunk of monies in compare to other banks like SBI and ICICI bank. SBI and ICICI
bank raised monies through FCRN deposits to the tune of $2bn each. Further
incremental foreign deposits with tenure are more than 3 years are exempted from
SLR, CRR and PSL lending. This would help bank to lower cost of fund by 75 bps to
100 bps and hence margin expansion. Bank management guided margin would be in
the range of 4.1% to 4.5% going forward.
Mounting bad loans have major cause of worry; RBI allowed banks to use 33%
of counter cycle, floating provisions for specific provisions
Recently RBI allows banks to use 33% of counter cycle provisioning buffer, floating
provisions for making specific provisions against impaired accounts which would help
bank to make lower provisions and hence boost up earnings. HDFC bank reported
very strong asset quality with GNPA and net NPA stood at 1% and 0.3% at the end
of December quarter. Bank would use counter cycle buffer, floating provisions for
specific provisions and make lower fresh provisions. This would be the result of
boosting up profitability.
Average Daily Volume
Counter cycle provisions and floating provisions are represented as capital reserves
that bank need to build up in good times and can only use for contingencies under
extra circumstance. This is the first time when central bank allows to use since the
reserve were created starting 2010. At the end of quarter all banks reported Rs.1.71
trillion of GNPA, the rise of 39.4% YoY. In a very rough estimate, banking system
has nearly about Rs. 2 trillion in bad loans and another Rs.4 trillion loans are being
restructured pipeline out of total Rs.82 trillion.
Company update HOLD
176874
Raised foreign deposits higher amount in comparison to peers; likely to report
better NII for being low cost in nature
750/528
NSE Symbol HDFCBANK
52wk Range H/L
CMP
Target Price
We have raised our price target to Rs.760/share on account of bank’s likely to
get benefit from FCNR deposits mobilization that it had recently raised. We
value bank in the range of Rs.660 to Rs.760 per share on the back of current
fundamental and prevailing economic scenario. Now the economy is
witnessing some sign of revival and market sentiment boost up on account of
exit poll result. HDFC bank is likely to see earnings boost-up in near term on
account of mobilization of FCNR deposits which would reflect better NII for
being a low cost carrying in nature, recently RBI allow banks to use 33% of
buffer/floating provisions for bad loan and declining of low yielding PSL share
in overall lending.
Market Data
Upside
BSE Code 500180
"HOLD"
20th March.,2014

17
Source:Eastwind/Company
HDFC BANK
Share of PSL down sharply; release fund would be deployed in high yield sector
Recently share of PSL in HDFC bank came sharply but bank already met PSL target of
40% which means addition fund would be deployed in high yield segment which would
reflect in NII growth. According to RBI, bank’s need to spend 40% in net advance in
priority sector lending and HDFC bank are among those which have highest share in PSL
in private bank category. Additionally fund raised fund through FCNR deposits with
tenure more than 3 years are exempted from SLR, CRR and PSL means bank would
have higher fund for deploying in sector those are high yield in nature.
Valuation & View
HDFC bank is expected to report better earnings on the back of (a) likely to get benefit
from FCRN deposits mobilization, (b) recent RBI allow bank to use 33% of counter cycle
buffer provisions for specific provisions, this would help bank to make lower provisions
and hence profitability and (c) share of additional PSL lending would be deployed in high
yielding sector. We have raised our price target to Rs.760/share which is upper side of
our valuation band.
Valuation Band

18
HDFC BANK
Financials
Source: Eastwind/ Company
P/L 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Interest/discount on advances / bills 15085 21124 26822 32002 40213
Income on investments 4675 6505 7820 9311 10952
Interest on balances with Reserve Bank of India 148 137 282 373 373
Others 20 108 141 65 65
Total Interest Income 19928 27874 35065 41751 51603
Others Income 4335 5784 6853 7891 7891
Total Income 24263 33658 41917 49642 59494
Interest on deposits 8028 12690 16321 20281 24337
Interest on RBI/Inter bank borrowings 1336 2253 2889 4571 4278
Others 20 47 44 44 44
Interest Expended 9385 14990 19254 23038 28659
NII 10543 12885 15811 18713 22944
NII Growth(%) 25.7 22.2 22.7 18.4 22.6
Other Income 4335 5784 6853 7891 7891
Total Income 14878 18668 22664 26604 30835
Total Income Growth(%) 20.3 25.5 21.4 17.4 15.9
Employee 2836 3400 3965 4231 5342
Other Expenses 4317 5878 7271 7857 9921
Operating Expenses 7153 9278 11236 12087 15263
PPP( Rs Cr) 7725 9391 11428 14516 15572
Provisions( Incl tax provision) 3799 4224 4701 1751 6453
Net Profit 3926 5167 6726 8453 9119
Net Profit Growth(%) 33.2 31.6 30.2 25.7 7.9
Key Balance Sheet Data
Deposits 208586 246706 296247 355496 426596
Deposits Growth(%) 24.6 18.3 20.1 20 20
Borrowings 14394 23847 33007 50785 47529
Borrowings Growth(%) 11.4 65.7 38.4 54 -6
Loan 159983 195420 239721 299651 365574
Loan Growth(%) 27.1 22.2 22.7 25 22
Investment 70929 97483 111614 114580 156461
Investment Growth(%) 21.0 37.4 14.5 3 37
Eastwind Calculation
Yield on Advances 9.4 10.8 11.2 10.7 11.0
Yield on Investments 6.6 6.7 7.0 8.1 7.0
Yield on Funds 7.7 8.9 9.3 10.1 9.9
Cost of deposits 4.3 5.6 6.0 6.5 6.2
Cost of Borrowings 9.4 9.6 8.9 9.0 9.0
Cost of fund 4.2 5.5 5.8 5.7 6.0
Valuation
Book Value 545.5 127.5 154.3 189.4 222.3
P/BV 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.5 3.0
P/E 27.8 23.6 21.8 18.7 17.3

KPIT Tech.
Key Facts from recent Management Interview to media (on 12
th
March, 2014)
1M 1yr YTD
Absolute -4.7 52.9 -
Rel. to Nifty -12 41.9 -
Promoters 22.53 22.87 24.25
FII 41.96 36.42 32.79
DII 6.99 11.12 10.93
Others 28.52 29.59 32.03
677.93 702.76 (3.5) 567.02 19.6
103.5 108.1 (4.3) 94.1 10.0
66.7 66.7 0.0 48 39.0
15.3% 15.4% (10bps) 16.6% (130bps)
9.8% 9.5% 30bps 8.5% 130bps
19
EBITDA Margin
PAT Margin
We expect that the company would report better earnings with margin ramp up and
signing of larger deals in next couple of quarters. Now, we upgrade our view on the
stock from “Neutral” to “Buy” with a price target of Rs 185. At a CMP of Rs 160, stock
trades at 9.5x FY15E EPS.
Financials
Revenue
EBITDA
PAT
SAP revival and Auto Engineering Services shape; a growth driver in near term,
Upside
BSE Code 532400
Price Performance
Rs, Crore
Incremental revenue by REVOLO and Systime: As per the management comment, its
dream project “REVOLO Technology” REVOLO would play a key role to report an
incremental growth in FY15E. KPIT’s acquisition Systime from Integrated Enterprise
Services (IES) segment would report healthy growth prospects at least over the next
couple of years.
View and Valuation: Impressive organic growth despite inorganic thrust (acquired 10
companies in the last 10 yrs), Potential option value from success of its hybrid engine
venture Revolo (on trial). KPIT has targeted to reach $1bn sales by 2017. Its differentiated
positioning and competitive edge in its focus areas, imperatives to the success of smaller-
sized IT vendors impress to investors.
NSE Symbol KPIT
Stock Performance
3103
"On billion dollar journey"
CMP 160
Target Price 185 SAP business back to growth trajectory: KPIT’s revenue has been facing growth related
issues on account of deficit in SAP business (contributes 24% of sales). Profitability on SAP
business was also a challenge for the company. On 3QFY14 revenues from SAP was down
by 10% (QoQ). However, on the back of deal signings and visible deal pipeline, SAP should
return into growth path in 4QFY14E and FY15E. Considering healthy demand environment
in FY15E, We expect that USD revenue growth in SAP could be in double digits.
Previous Target Price -
Company update Buy
16%
Change from Previous -
Market Data
Expectation of margin improvement: The decline in SAP revenue has impacted the overall
margins, and margin was seen almost flat at 15.4% in 2QFY14 and 3QFY14. We expect that
profitability from SAP business would support to shape up its margin in next couple of
quarters. Even, Utilization rate in SAP has declined to below 90% at onsite and below 70%
mark at offshore. This is expected to improve in FY15E. Management expects to see PAT
margin at double digit by next couple of quarters.
Auto Engineering Services; a growth driver: The global Automotive Industry has
witnessed a strong revival. US industry sales in 2013 finished at 15.6 million vehicles, up
7.6% from 2012, and China became the first country in which more than 20-million
vehicles were sold in any given year. Considering healthy demand outlook in Auto
Industry, KPIT is seeing exports growth above the industry rates, driven by demand for
services around safety systems, intelligent driving, hybrid electric cars, fuel efficiency etc.
Management expects revenues from Auto Engineering to exceed 30% of the company’s
revenues, in the next 3 years, as KPIT expected to achieve the mark of USD1b in
revenues.
6517
Nifty
52wk Range H/L 189/92
"BUY"
19th Mar' 14

20
KPIT Tech
Operating Metrics
Financials
4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14
No. of Customers Added 4 3 4 2 5 6 3 3
No. of Active Customers 169 172 176 178 183 189 192 195
Customers with run rate of >$1Mn 59 65 69 72 78 78 78 78
Top Client – Cummins 19.5% 20.6% 19.7% 19.1% 16.6% 16.8% 16.5% 17.9%
Top 5 Clients 33.0% 36.3% 35.2% 36.8% 35.2% 38.6% 38.0% 38.2%
Top 10 Clients 42.2% 44.0% 43.7% 45.2% 44.0% 47.3% 46.3% 47.6%
DSO 90 75 75 70 75 77 75 76
Total Employee 7719 7873 8111 8286 8321 8456 8816 9136
Onsite Utilization 94.5% 94.7% 94.5% 92.8% 94.3% 94.2% 92.4% 88.1%
Offshore Utilization 74.3% 74.1% 74.7% 72.9% 74.1% 73.4% 72.9% 71.3%
Client Metrics
Client Concentration
Employee Metrics
Rs, Cr FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E
Net Sales-USD 153.76 224.07 306.71 410.46 445.78 535.96
Net Sales 731.64 987.05 1500.00 2238.63 2692.54 3215.75
Employee Cost 265.92 529.95 771.78 1140.79 1378.58 1640.03
Other expenses 304.70 308.82 511.97 762.32 902.00 1061.20
Total Expenses 570.62 838.77 1283.75 1903.11 2280.58 2701.23
EBITDA 161.02 148.28 216.25 335.52 411.96 514.52
Depreciation 30.80 41.12 44.49 47.16 54.42 67.93
Other Income 1.20 6.74 13.82 11.74 12.12 24.12
Extra Ordinery Items -26.45 0.00 10.05 -1.30 -21.05 16.08
EBIT 130.22 107.16 171.76 288.36 357.54 446.59
Interest Cost 2.74 3.78 7.32 13.99 24.31 24.56
PBT 128.68 110.12 178.26 286.11 345.35 446.15
Tax 16.91 15.49 43.67 76.55 96.70 122.69
PAT 111.77 94.63 134.59 209.56 248.65 323.46
Sales-USD -11.7% 45.7% 36.9% 33.8% 8.6% 20.2%
Sales-INR -7.8% 34.9% 52.0% 49.2% 20.3% 19.4%
EBITDA -12.2% -7.9% 45.8% 55.2% 22.8% 24.9%
PAT 169.6% -15.3% 42.2% 55.7% 18.7% 30.1%
EBITDA 22.0% 15.0% 14.4% 15.0% 15.3% 16.0%
EBIT 17.8% 10.9% 11.5% 12.9% 13.3% 13.9%
PAT 15.3% 9.6% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 10.1%
Employee Cost 36.3% 53.7% 51.5% 51.0% 51.2% 51.0%
Other Exp 41.6% 31.3% 34.1% 34.1% 33.5% 33.0%
Tax rate 13.1% 14.1% 24.5% 26.8% 28.0% 27.5%
CMP 115.00 168.05 122.90 99.0 160.0 160.0
No of Share 7.90 8.70 17.80 19.28 19.28 19.28
NW 387.11 603.19 712.55 1036.23 1269.09 1570.00
EPS 14.15 10.88 7.56 10.87 12.90 16.78
BVPS 49.00 69.33 40.03 53.75 65.82 81.43
RoE-% 28.9% 15.7% 18.9% 20.2% 19.6% 20.6%
Dividen Payout ratio 6.4% 6.8% 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 7.0%
P/BV 2.35 2.42 3.07 1.84 2.43 1.96
P/E 8.13 15.45 16.25 9.11 12.41 9.54
Valuation
Expenses on Sales-%
Margin -%
Growth-%

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