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1
Sales Budgets
2
Sales Budget
• Why a Sales Budget?
3
Benefits of Budgeting
a) Improved Planning:
Action to be taken is described in
quantitative terms.
4
Benefits of Budgeting
a) Improved Planning:
Action to be taken is described in quantitative terms.
b) Better coordination & communication:
All departments have budgets which give future course of
action – interaction between departments.
Eg. Increased Sales Increased Production
Increased Finance Increased MIS /
HR
5
Benefits of Budgeting
c) Control & performance evaluation Control &
performance evaluation:
Budgets outline objectives and responsibilities so
performance evaluation and control is easy. Eg.
Expense monitoring,
d) Psychological benefits:
Instills profit orientation / expense control / culture
in organization
6
Types of Budgets
a) Sales Budget
7
Types of Budgets
a) Sales Budget
 Detailed Plan showing the Expected Sales for a
Future Period ….
 Developed based on expected revenue (S-
forecast)
 Gives sales by geographically location / product
service / sales people & customers
 First part of Master Budget; Usually forms the
basis for other operational budgets like finance &
production.
8
Types of Budgets
b) Selling – Expense Budget
 Salaries / Commissions
 Traveling / Entertainment
 Training (new products)
9
Types of Budgets
b) Selling – Expense Budget
 Salaries / Commissions
 Traveling / Entertainment
 Training (new products)
c) Administrative Budget & Profit Budget, Rent,
Electricity, Office Furniture, Stationery
GP = sales revenue – sales expenses
10
Methods of Budgeting for Sales Force
a) Affordability Method:
Management develops SB depending on
ability to spend on sales function;
usually fall short of sales dept’s
requirements
b) Percentage of Sales Method:
Multiply sales revenue by a given %;
Sales revenue = Past revenue / forecasted
figure / weighted average of both
c) Competitive Parity:
Based on budgeted figure of competitors or
industry average; competitor comparable in
size and revenue is chosen
11
Types of Budgets
d) Objective & Task:
a), b), c) do not take cognizance of
organization’s objective in developing
budget.
 Identify objective with employees
 Identify tasks for achieving objective
 Expenditure required
 Form budget
e) Return Oriented Method:
ROI, ROA, ROTA, ROAM (Assets
Management)
12
Successful Budgeting
13
Successful Budgeting
• Involvement & Support of Top Management
Support Budgeting & ensure all-round
participation; should not be viewed as a pressure
tactic but as an effective tool for performance;
ii. Flexibility in Budgeting
Should be adjustable to fast changing
environmental conditions
14
How to develop a Sales Budget
15
How to develop a Sales Budget
1. Review and Analysis
Collection of past data and study of variances
between projected and actual
2. Identifying market opportunity and problems
3. Sales forecasting
4. Communication of Sales goals & objectives
Involvement of sales people is essential for mutual
agreement
16
How to develop a Sales Budget
5. Allocation of resources
Selecting salespeople, tools of sales, financial
resources
6. Preparing the budget
Balance between sales force capability and
market opportunities
7. Approval for the budget
17
Sales Forecasts
18
• Market Potential Vs Sales Potential
19
Sales Forecasts
1. Market Potential: Maximum possible
sales opportunities in part. mkt. segment,
over a future period, assuring application of
appropriate marketing methods.
2. Sales Potential: maximum possible sales
opportunity for specific company in part.
Mkt. segment over future period.
MP : Total Industry
SP : Part. Co.
20
Sales Forecasts
3. Sales Forecast: In Re/Units, how much of
a company’s product can be sold over a
future period, under a given marketing
program on assumed set of external factors.
21
Market Potential Analysis
i. Market identification
ii. Ability to buy
iii. Willingness to buy
Sources of Data:
a) Secondary: Environment Analysis
b) Primary: Customers spending patterns,
preferences
22
Why is SP different from SF?
23
Why is SP different from SF?
i. Inadequate Production Capacity
ii. Inadequate Distribution
iii. Inadequate Finances
iv. Profit Orientation: Profitable Sales vs. Possible
Sales
24
Analyzing Market Potential
i. Top down: Top mgmt. assesses market on
basis of macro environmental data
ii. Bottom up: Micro enviro. factors of market
like customer, products, ability to buy etc.
are analyzed by lower management
25
Sales Forecasting Method
i. Qualitative Forecasts
a) Judgment Methods
b) Counting Methods
26
Judgment Methods
1. Delphi Technique: Systematic Method for
obtaining consensus from a group of
experts.
2. Nominal Group Technique: Experts from
diverse backgrounds
3. Jury of Executive Opinion: Opinions of
executives at top level, based on
experience & utilization – Lacks scientific
validity senior most opinion prevails.
27
Counting Methods
1. User Expectations: Usually for industrial
products by directly getting data from
customers.
2. Sales Force Composite: Estimate of
expected sales from every salesperson; can
over/under estimate, lack broader
perspective.
3. Market Tests: Limited area consumer
acceptance.
28
Quantitative Forecasts
1. Time Series Analysis: Estimation of future
trends based on past performance; Long
Term Forecasts
Sales = T (long term variations × C
(cyclical variations) × S (Seasonal
changes) × I (Irregular changes in
environment)
29
Quantitative Forecasts
2. Moving Average: Sales forecasts on sales
of previous period: assumes environmental
irregularities in past will be there in
present.
n
Sales.......SalesSalesSales(
Sales nt2t1tt
1t
−−−
+
+++
=
30
Quantitative Forecasts
3. Exponential Smoothing Refines (2) – More
weightage to sales in recent periods vis-à-
vis older periods.
31
Quantitative Forecasts
4. Regression & Correlation (Multiple Regression)
Correlation: Degree of relationship between sales &
other variables.
Regression: Identify factor that influence sales & predicts
changes in one variable due to changes in other.
 Most popular & widely used method
 Identifies relationship between sales and other
independent factors on which sales is dependant.
32
Which method to use?
a) Accuracy:
Quantitative better than qualitative,
short term: exponential method is accurate;
more than six months: exponential
smoothing and moving averages
more than one year: regression
b) Costs
c) Data availability
d) Software availability: models and
applications for forecasting need different
types of data
e) Companies experience in forecasting
33
Forecasting is effective if it is:
34
Forecasting is effective if it is:
a) Accurate
b) Cost effective
c) Comprehensible
d) Timely
e) Flexible
f) Plausible: Has to be done with sincerity hence
no manipulation of figures under pressure can be
allowed; Top Management has to be willing to
face accurate estimates even if they are not rosy.
g) Durable: By using quantitative techniques,
combining forecasting techniques; using
software.

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Avis bu

  • 2. 2 Sales Budget • Why a Sales Budget?
  • 3. 3 Benefits of Budgeting a) Improved Planning: Action to be taken is described in quantitative terms.
  • 4. 4 Benefits of Budgeting a) Improved Planning: Action to be taken is described in quantitative terms. b) Better coordination & communication: All departments have budgets which give future course of action – interaction between departments. Eg. Increased Sales Increased Production Increased Finance Increased MIS / HR
  • 5. 5 Benefits of Budgeting c) Control & performance evaluation Control & performance evaluation: Budgets outline objectives and responsibilities so performance evaluation and control is easy. Eg. Expense monitoring, d) Psychological benefits: Instills profit orientation / expense control / culture in organization
  • 6. 6 Types of Budgets a) Sales Budget
  • 7. 7 Types of Budgets a) Sales Budget  Detailed Plan showing the Expected Sales for a Future Period ….  Developed based on expected revenue (S- forecast)  Gives sales by geographically location / product service / sales people & customers  First part of Master Budget; Usually forms the basis for other operational budgets like finance & production.
  • 8. 8 Types of Budgets b) Selling – Expense Budget  Salaries / Commissions  Traveling / Entertainment  Training (new products)
  • 9. 9 Types of Budgets b) Selling – Expense Budget  Salaries / Commissions  Traveling / Entertainment  Training (new products) c) Administrative Budget & Profit Budget, Rent, Electricity, Office Furniture, Stationery GP = sales revenue – sales expenses
  • 10. 10 Methods of Budgeting for Sales Force a) Affordability Method: Management develops SB depending on ability to spend on sales function; usually fall short of sales dept’s requirements b) Percentage of Sales Method: Multiply sales revenue by a given %; Sales revenue = Past revenue / forecasted figure / weighted average of both c) Competitive Parity: Based on budgeted figure of competitors or industry average; competitor comparable in size and revenue is chosen
  • 11. 11 Types of Budgets d) Objective & Task: a), b), c) do not take cognizance of organization’s objective in developing budget.  Identify objective with employees  Identify tasks for achieving objective  Expenditure required  Form budget e) Return Oriented Method: ROI, ROA, ROTA, ROAM (Assets Management)
  • 13. 13 Successful Budgeting • Involvement & Support of Top Management Support Budgeting & ensure all-round participation; should not be viewed as a pressure tactic but as an effective tool for performance; ii. Flexibility in Budgeting Should be adjustable to fast changing environmental conditions
  • 14. 14 How to develop a Sales Budget
  • 15. 15 How to develop a Sales Budget 1. Review and Analysis Collection of past data and study of variances between projected and actual 2. Identifying market opportunity and problems 3. Sales forecasting 4. Communication of Sales goals & objectives Involvement of sales people is essential for mutual agreement
  • 16. 16 How to develop a Sales Budget 5. Allocation of resources Selecting salespeople, tools of sales, financial resources 6. Preparing the budget Balance between sales force capability and market opportunities 7. Approval for the budget
  • 18. 18 • Market Potential Vs Sales Potential
  • 19. 19 Sales Forecasts 1. Market Potential: Maximum possible sales opportunities in part. mkt. segment, over a future period, assuring application of appropriate marketing methods. 2. Sales Potential: maximum possible sales opportunity for specific company in part. Mkt. segment over future period. MP : Total Industry SP : Part. Co.
  • 20. 20 Sales Forecasts 3. Sales Forecast: In Re/Units, how much of a company’s product can be sold over a future period, under a given marketing program on assumed set of external factors.
  • 21. 21 Market Potential Analysis i. Market identification ii. Ability to buy iii. Willingness to buy Sources of Data: a) Secondary: Environment Analysis b) Primary: Customers spending patterns, preferences
  • 22. 22 Why is SP different from SF?
  • 23. 23 Why is SP different from SF? i. Inadequate Production Capacity ii. Inadequate Distribution iii. Inadequate Finances iv. Profit Orientation: Profitable Sales vs. Possible Sales
  • 24. 24 Analyzing Market Potential i. Top down: Top mgmt. assesses market on basis of macro environmental data ii. Bottom up: Micro enviro. factors of market like customer, products, ability to buy etc. are analyzed by lower management
  • 25. 25 Sales Forecasting Method i. Qualitative Forecasts a) Judgment Methods b) Counting Methods
  • 26. 26 Judgment Methods 1. Delphi Technique: Systematic Method for obtaining consensus from a group of experts. 2. Nominal Group Technique: Experts from diverse backgrounds 3. Jury of Executive Opinion: Opinions of executives at top level, based on experience & utilization – Lacks scientific validity senior most opinion prevails.
  • 27. 27 Counting Methods 1. User Expectations: Usually for industrial products by directly getting data from customers. 2. Sales Force Composite: Estimate of expected sales from every salesperson; can over/under estimate, lack broader perspective. 3. Market Tests: Limited area consumer acceptance.
  • 28. 28 Quantitative Forecasts 1. Time Series Analysis: Estimation of future trends based on past performance; Long Term Forecasts Sales = T (long term variations × C (cyclical variations) × S (Seasonal changes) × I (Irregular changes in environment)
  • 29. 29 Quantitative Forecasts 2. Moving Average: Sales forecasts on sales of previous period: assumes environmental irregularities in past will be there in present. n Sales.......SalesSalesSales( Sales nt2t1tt 1t −−− + +++ =
  • 30. 30 Quantitative Forecasts 3. Exponential Smoothing Refines (2) – More weightage to sales in recent periods vis-à- vis older periods.
  • 31. 31 Quantitative Forecasts 4. Regression & Correlation (Multiple Regression) Correlation: Degree of relationship between sales & other variables. Regression: Identify factor that influence sales & predicts changes in one variable due to changes in other.  Most popular & widely used method  Identifies relationship between sales and other independent factors on which sales is dependant.
  • 32. 32 Which method to use? a) Accuracy: Quantitative better than qualitative, short term: exponential method is accurate; more than six months: exponential smoothing and moving averages more than one year: regression b) Costs c) Data availability d) Software availability: models and applications for forecasting need different types of data e) Companies experience in forecasting
  • 34. 34 Forecasting is effective if it is: a) Accurate b) Cost effective c) Comprehensible d) Timely e) Flexible f) Plausible: Has to be done with sincerity hence no manipulation of figures under pressure can be allowed; Top Management has to be willing to face accurate estimates even if they are not rosy. g) Durable: By using quantitative techniques, combining forecasting techniques; using software.