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RUSSIA AND THE REST "Now I hold all Creation in my foot - I kill as I please because it is all mine - I am going to keep things like this." Ted Hughes
2008-10-02 OIL & GAS TELCO CONFLICTS DOMESTIC "Russia is a state [whose interests] will now be taken into account Russia does not want confrontation with any country. Russia does not plan to isolate itself" 2008-08-01 OIL & GAS INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
JUL 08 SEP 08 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Quotes ...  What Europe is telling Russia is that we want links with Russia, that we want to build a shared future with Russia, we want to be Russia's partner"  he said in a reference to the recent clash between the European Union and Russia over the conflict in Georgia  France says an enlarged G-8 could help settle world problems - Topnews.in [09/24/2008]  And as Secretary Rice said last week,  "To reach its full potential, Russia needs to be fully integrated into the international political and economic order. But Russia is in the precarious position of being half in and half out. If Russia ever wants to be more than just an energy supplier, its leaders have to recognize a hard truth: Russia depends on the world for its success, and it cannot change that. . . . Russia's bid to join the World Trade Organization is now in jeopardy."   Enhancing U.S. Trade and Export Opportunities - Media For Freedom [09/29/2008]  "The picture emerging from this pattern of behavior is that of a Russia increasingly authoritarian at home and aggressive abroad “   The Standard [09/18/2008]  'We have a very strong interest in Russia being engaged - especially on Iran,' he said, adding:  "We don't want a weak and humiliated Russia. We've always tried to reach out to Russia."   Looking ahead - HispanicBusiness.com [09/27/2008]  .  "Continued exports to Russia are in jeopardy as Russia retaliates for U S diplomatic criticism of Russia's incursions into Georgia."   Weekly Outlook: Pork Industry - USAgNet [10/01/2008]  “ The situation is not fair to Russia, it is humiliating for Russia. We are not going to tolerate this any longer"  he added  Medvedev says Russia will not hesitate to attack Georgia, despite its Nato path - Gulf News [09/12/2008]  "Right now, Russia is a problem, let's face it ... that doesn't mean we can't work with them, but it has to be tested"   Major powers to discuss Iran amid Russia tension - Reuters UK [09/18/2008 ]
FORCES THAT CAN`T BE IGNORED
RUSSIAS GEOPOLITICS IS LIKE A GAME OF CHESS
ACTIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
POSITION BEFORE AUG 08
I think Russia has come to the conclusion that trying to play by rules that were established by the West is futile, because Russia will lose. Russia feels that the West isn't ready or interested in considering it as an equal partner. So Russia opted for another scenario, in which it acts as it sees fit.“  [08/29/2008]
THINGS THAT GOT LOST IN THE FIRE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WHO GOVERNS RUSSIA?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SO WHO PULL THE STRINGS?
Fuel ,[object Object],[object Object]
” OZERO”
1996 2008 KGB 88-91 Lawyer in  St Petersburg (for mayor  Sobchak, 2004 2000 Chairman  GAZPROM 1991 Head of Putin Presidential Campaign President of Russia Putin's first deputy chief of staff first deputy prime minister Prime minister President of Russia Head of Russian Railways Director of Rosneft V. Strzhalkovsky MMC Norilsk Nickel  depoty Transportation  Minister  BaltUneximbank “ ozero” “ ozero” “ ozero” St Petersburg city council from 1990 to 1996 In  St Petersburg (for mayor  Anatoly Sobchak, N.Patrushev Putin Medvedev I Sechin V.Yakuniin Minister of Security  of the Republic of Karelia. Federal Service of  Counterespionage (FSK),  Secretary of the  Security Council of Russia. Director of the FSB 1980 KGB (Leningrad 1975 :appointed to the First Chief Directorate (PGU), an elite division of the KGB Head of the Federal  Touriism agency S Ivanov In 1975 – 2004 he worked in KGB and its successors in Leningrad/Saint Petersburg 1976 KGB (Leningradi) First Dep. Prime  Minister United aircraft copr minister of defense 19768KGB (Leningradi) Federal Security  Service. V Ivanov   presidential aide   Chariman of  Almaz Antei & Aeroflot St Petersburg hief of secretariat  of vice-mayor Sobchak Assistant to the President of the Russian Federation “ ozero” “ ozero” 1985-1991 KGB  JSC Stream Vladimir Alexeyevich Smirnov
The Oligarchs M Friedman Roman Abramovich  Vagit Alekperov  Alexei Mordashov  Vladimir  Yevtushenkov  Nikolai Tsvetkov  Iskander Makhmudov  Victor Rashnikov Alexei Kuzmichov  Alexander Abramov  Dmitry  Pumpyansky  Alisher Usmanov  Roustam Tariko  Leonid Fedun  Viktor Vekselberg Mikhail D. Prokhorov Vladimir O. Potanin Vladimir Lisin Dmitry Rybolovlev
SO WHAT CAN THE ”WEST” DO? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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2008 10 Russia And The Rest

  • 1. RUSSIA AND THE REST "Now I hold all Creation in my foot - I kill as I please because it is all mine - I am going to keep things like this." Ted Hughes
  • 2. 2008-10-02 OIL & GAS TELCO CONFLICTS DOMESTIC "Russia is a state [whose interests] will now be taken into account Russia does not want confrontation with any country. Russia does not plan to isolate itself" 2008-08-01 OIL & GAS INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
  • 3.
  • 4. FORCES THAT CAN`T BE IGNORED
  • 5. RUSSIAS GEOPOLITICS IS LIKE A GAME OF CHESS
  • 6.
  • 8. I think Russia has come to the conclusion that trying to play by rules that were established by the West is futile, because Russia will lose. Russia feels that the West isn't ready or interested in considering it as an equal partner. So Russia opted for another scenario, in which it acts as it sees fit.“ [08/29/2008]
  • 9.
  • 11.
  • 12. SO WHO PULL THE STRINGS?
  • 13.
  • 15. 1996 2008 KGB 88-91 Lawyer in St Petersburg (for mayor Sobchak, 2004 2000 Chairman GAZPROM 1991 Head of Putin Presidential Campaign President of Russia Putin's first deputy chief of staff first deputy prime minister Prime minister President of Russia Head of Russian Railways Director of Rosneft V. Strzhalkovsky MMC Norilsk Nickel depoty Transportation Minister BaltUneximbank “ ozero” “ ozero” “ ozero” St Petersburg city council from 1990 to 1996 In St Petersburg (for mayor Anatoly Sobchak, N.Patrushev Putin Medvedev I Sechin V.Yakuniin Minister of Security of the Republic of Karelia. Federal Service of Counterespionage (FSK), Secretary of the Security Council of Russia. Director of the FSB 1980 KGB (Leningrad 1975 :appointed to the First Chief Directorate (PGU), an elite division of the KGB Head of the Federal Touriism agency S Ivanov In 1975 – 2004 he worked in KGB and its successors in Leningrad/Saint Petersburg 1976 KGB (Leningradi) First Dep. Prime Minister United aircraft copr minister of defense 19768KGB (Leningradi) Federal Security Service. V Ivanov   presidential aide   Chariman of Almaz Antei & Aeroflot St Petersburg hief of secretariat of vice-mayor Sobchak Assistant to the President of the Russian Federation “ ozero” “ ozero” 1985-1991 KGB JSC Stream Vladimir Alexeyevich Smirnov
  • 16. The Oligarchs M Friedman Roman Abramovich Vagit Alekperov Alexei Mordashov Vladimir Yevtushenkov Nikolai Tsvetkov Iskander Makhmudov Victor Rashnikov Alexei Kuzmichov Alexander Abramov Dmitry Pumpyansky Alisher Usmanov Roustam Tariko Leonid Fedun Viktor Vekselberg Mikhail D. Prokhorov Vladimir O. Potanin Vladimir Lisin Dmitry Rybolovlev
  • 17.