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How to think through
growth and engaging users
By: Manu Rekhi
Managing Director, Inventus Capital
Contribution by: Jen Granito, Kamo, Gaurav
Session Flow
➔ Understanding Consumers
➔ Growth & Engagement Rules
➔ Think like an Optimizer
➔ Optimizing on the Web
➔ Birds & Bees - Growing your user base
➔ Measuring Virality
➔ Case Study 1
➔ Case Study 2
Understanding Consumers
Multidisciplinary
User Life Cycle
Before they buy
Referral
Repeat Purchases
First purchase
User Thought Cycle
I hate change
“You should
check this out!”
What is this?
What was the name
of that app again?
Business Life Cycle
Conversion
Advertising
Retention
Virality
5 RULES OF GROWTH
Helps optimize hill but doesn’t help with
finding the next mountain
1. LISTEN & LEARN
Leave your computer
Talk to them
Encourage user feedback and implement features and
solutions that increase engagement.
Feedback: I find a fare
on my mobile device, but it
disappears when I try to
book it later on.
Hipmunk solves it beautifully and offers
it at the right time of the user flow.
Prices and discounts are the strongest and most engaging features
Reviews are also a strong value in decision making
Prices
Reviews
DiscountsDiscovery
LocationAware Times
Feedback
Non-stop
Interaction
2. EXPERIMENT
Test assumptions every day
Organize around small nimble teams
Be results oriented
Define success metrics
3. DELIVER
Focus on quality
Research shows that users are more likely
to invite friends to apps with high
production values.
4. TRACK
We are in the Age of Big Data
Data is plentiful
Asking the right question is hard
Data Driven
Gmail - Inducing growth
More invitations you receive, more likely you are to join – up to a saturation point
Current saturation occurs between 2 and 3 invites.
Sending more invitations helps, even if it is to the same email address
5. ADAPT
Rinse, Repeat, Recycle
Atomic Use Case “Aha moment”
…refers to flow or flow of products/feature
that predictably “gets” your target user
Aha moment: https://medium.com/parsa-vc/how-to-discover-your-apps-aha-moment-5f75dd7b6536
Examples
10 friends in
7 days
4 invites in 45 days
30 connections
within 30 days
2000 messages
sent within a team
Atomic Use Case Loop
Activated
See
Retained
Referring
… and remember. None of this
matters if your product sucks
THINKING LIKE AN OPTIMIZER
DINING OUT
An Example I hope all of
us can relate to.
Which section
of the menu
do people
look at first?
Which section
of the menu
do people
look at first?1
2
3
4
Placement…
4
Which way do a
users eyes flow
when reading a
menu?1
2
3
4
What items to people pay
attention to within a list?
Entrees Entrees
Pricing?
1. $11.99
2. 12
3. twelve Increases the
spending by 8.15%
per person
Avoid Embarrassment
Market Price
What’s the lowest margin
wine on the menu?
2nd
cheapest bottle of wine has
a high margin.
TRY THIS
TONIGHT
Optimizing on the Web
Design, Estimate, and Measure in FUNNELS
Design in
FUNNELS
Estimate, and
Measure in
FUNNELS
Energy pinch was an unnecessary gate on virals
Birds and the Bees
Growing your user base
User Acquisition: Where does traffic come from?
Social Feeds
Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, Pinterest
Email
Mainly invitations from friends, or users sharing content
Organic
The best kind! User’s coming directly to your site
SEO
25% of LinkedIn’s new users came from search
Ads/Partnerships
User Acquisition: Where does traffic come from?
Wherever possible,
use user generated content
as messaging to increase the response
to your outreach.
What feature within your site prompt
generating user generated content?
It’s likely those have your highest
conversions and are a place you could
start to double down.
Measuring Virality
Z-Factor (Mixpanel/Dave McClure)
x = % of users who invite
y = avg number of people they invited
z = % of users who accepted an invitation
Z-Factor = x*y*z
Virality
Every 1 new >= 1 new user
K-Factor (wikipedia)
i = number of invites sent by each customer
c = percent conversion of each invite
K-Factor = i * c
Measuring Virality
Cycle Time
“Given that I get a new customer today, how many new customers will they bring in over the
next N days?”
Let’s assume a viral factor of 0.5, and an N of 7.  User Acquisition will look like the below
which can be used for projections:
1 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 ….
CASE STUDY
ORKUT - SOCIAL NETWORK
Manu Rekhi
Prof. Raquel Recuero, Prof. Ricardo Araujo, Prof. Lada
Adamic, Sergio Marti, Jen Silverstein and Danah Boyd
Orkut (Social Network) Background
● In 2005 fb was less than 1M users
● Strong virality and network effects
● US team but exponential growth in Brasil (>12M users)
● Growing inspite of no clue
● Opportunity: Learn and repeat success in new countries
Multidisciplinary approach
● CDC and virus research (Article: Strength in weak ties)
○ My experience and background as a BioChemist
● Sociologist
● Anthropologist
● Physicist
● Data Scientist (before this word was coined)
I framed the hypothesis and the team set up a scientific
approach to come up with results
Network effect
Quantitative
Log Data
Cluster Analysis Visualization
Research Completed in Oct 2005
Qualitative
Focus Groups
Interviews
Long and short term system usage
Multidisciplinary approach
● CDC and virus research (Article: Strength in weak ties)
○ My experience and background as a BioChemist
● Sociologist
● Anthropologist
● Physicist
● Data Scientist (before this word was coined)
I framed the hypothesis and the team set up a scientific
approach to come up with results
CASE STUDY - RECIPROCITY
- FIANCEE / HALLMARK / LOLAPPS
- LOLAPPS & EASTERN EU
- HARE - KRISHNA’S
THANK YOU
Growth and engagement 101

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Growth and engagement 101

  • 1. How to think through growth and engaging users By: Manu Rekhi Managing Director, Inventus Capital Contribution by: Jen Granito, Kamo, Gaurav
  • 2. Session Flow ➔ Understanding Consumers ➔ Growth & Engagement Rules ➔ Think like an Optimizer ➔ Optimizing on the Web ➔ Birds & Bees - Growing your user base ➔ Measuring Virality ➔ Case Study 1 ➔ Case Study 2
  • 4. User Life Cycle Before they buy Referral Repeat Purchases First purchase
  • 5. User Thought Cycle I hate change “You should check this out!” What is this? What was the name of that app again?
  • 7. 5 RULES OF GROWTH Helps optimize hill but doesn’t help with finding the next mountain
  • 8. 1. LISTEN & LEARN
  • 11. Encourage user feedback and implement features and solutions that increase engagement. Feedback: I find a fare on my mobile device, but it disappears when I try to book it later on. Hipmunk solves it beautifully and offers it at the right time of the user flow.
  • 12. Prices and discounts are the strongest and most engaging features Reviews are also a strong value in decision making Prices Reviews DiscountsDiscovery LocationAware Times Feedback Non-stop Interaction
  • 14. Test assumptions every day Organize around small nimble teams Be results oriented Define success metrics
  • 16. Focus on quality Research shows that users are more likely to invite friends to apps with high production values.
  • 18. We are in the Age of Big Data Data is plentiful Asking the right question is hard
  • 20. Gmail - Inducing growth More invitations you receive, more likely you are to join – up to a saturation point Current saturation occurs between 2 and 3 invites. Sending more invitations helps, even if it is to the same email address
  • 22. Atomic Use Case “Aha moment” …refers to flow or flow of products/feature that predictably “gets” your target user Aha moment: https://medium.com/parsa-vc/how-to-discover-your-apps-aha-moment-5f75dd7b6536
  • 23. Examples 10 friends in 7 days 4 invites in 45 days 30 connections within 30 days 2000 messages sent within a team
  • 24. Atomic Use Case Loop Activated See Retained Referring
  • 25. … and remember. None of this matters if your product sucks
  • 26. THINKING LIKE AN OPTIMIZER
  • 27. DINING OUT An Example I hope all of us can relate to.
  • 28. Which section of the menu do people look at first?
  • 29. Which section of the menu do people look at first?1 2 3 4
  • 31. Which way do a users eyes flow when reading a menu?1 2 3 4
  • 32. What items to people pay attention to within a list? Entrees Entrees
  • 33. Pricing? 1. $11.99 2. 12 3. twelve Increases the spending by 8.15% per person
  • 35. What’s the lowest margin wine on the menu? 2nd cheapest bottle of wine has a high margin.
  • 38. Design, Estimate, and Measure in FUNNELS
  • 40. Estimate, and Measure in FUNNELS Energy pinch was an unnecessary gate on virals
  • 41. Birds and the Bees Growing your user base
  • 42. User Acquisition: Where does traffic come from? Social Feeds Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, Pinterest Email Mainly invitations from friends, or users sharing content Organic The best kind! User’s coming directly to your site SEO 25% of LinkedIn’s new users came from search Ads/Partnerships
  • 43. User Acquisition: Where does traffic come from? Wherever possible, use user generated content as messaging to increase the response to your outreach. What feature within your site prompt generating user generated content? It’s likely those have your highest conversions and are a place you could start to double down.
  • 44. Measuring Virality Z-Factor (Mixpanel/Dave McClure) x = % of users who invite y = avg number of people they invited z = % of users who accepted an invitation Z-Factor = x*y*z Virality Every 1 new >= 1 new user K-Factor (wikipedia) i = number of invites sent by each customer c = percent conversion of each invite K-Factor = i * c
  • 45. Measuring Virality Cycle Time “Given that I get a new customer today, how many new customers will they bring in over the next N days?” Let’s assume a viral factor of 0.5, and an N of 7.  User Acquisition will look like the below which can be used for projections: 1 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 ….
  • 46. CASE STUDY ORKUT - SOCIAL NETWORK Manu Rekhi Prof. Raquel Recuero, Prof. Ricardo Araujo, Prof. Lada Adamic, Sergio Marti, Jen Silverstein and Danah Boyd
  • 47. Orkut (Social Network) Background ● In 2005 fb was less than 1M users ● Strong virality and network effects ● US team but exponential growth in Brasil (>12M users) ● Growing inspite of no clue ● Opportunity: Learn and repeat success in new countries
  • 48. Multidisciplinary approach ● CDC and virus research (Article: Strength in weak ties) ○ My experience and background as a BioChemist ● Sociologist ● Anthropologist ● Physicist ● Data Scientist (before this word was coined) I framed the hypothesis and the team set up a scientific approach to come up with results
  • 49. Network effect Quantitative Log Data Cluster Analysis Visualization Research Completed in Oct 2005 Qualitative Focus Groups Interviews Long and short term system usage
  • 50. Multidisciplinary approach ● CDC and virus research (Article: Strength in weak ties) ○ My experience and background as a BioChemist ● Sociologist ● Anthropologist ● Physicist ● Data Scientist (before this word was coined) I framed the hypothesis and the team set up a scientific approach to come up with results
  • 51. CASE STUDY - RECIPROCITY - FIANCEE / HALLMARK / LOLAPPS - LOLAPPS & EASTERN EU - HARE - KRISHNA’S