This document provides an overview of key concepts for valuing and analyzing bonds, including:
- Bond basics like face value, coupon, and coupon rate
- How to calculate the price of a bond using principles of present value
- How bond prices change with interest rates
- Methods for calculating bond yields like current yield and yield to maturity
- The relationship between interest rates and inflation and how this affects real returns
- The risks of default and how bonds are categorized based on their default risk.
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Valuing Bonds
A bond is a debt instrument issued by
governments or corporations to raise money
The successful investor must be able to:
• Understand bond structure
• Calculate bond rates of return
• Understand interest rate risk
• Differentiate between real and nominal returns
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Bond Basics
When governments or companies issue bonds, they promise to
make a series of interest payments and then repay the debt.
Bond
• Security that obligates the issuer to make specified payments to
the bondholder.
Face Value
• Payment at the maturity of the bond.
Coupon
• The interest payments paid to the bondholder.
Coupon Rate
• Annual interest payment as a percentage of face value.
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Bond Pricing: Example
Treasury bond prices are quoted in 32nds
rather than in decimals.
For a $1000 face value bond with a bid price of 103:05 and
an asked price of 103:06, how much would an investor pay
for the bond?
103% 6 103.1875%
+ æç ö¸ = of face value è 32
ø
( ) ( )
´ =
1.031875 $1,000 $1,031.875
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Bond Pricing
PV = coupon + coupon + + coupon +
par
1 2
.... ( )
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 +
r
)t
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Bond Pricing: Example
What is the price of a 9% annual coupon bond with a par
value of $1,000 that matures in 3 years? Assume a required
rate of return of 4%.
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Bond Pricing
A bond is a package of two investments: an annuity
and a final repayment.
PV = PV +
PV
Bond Coupons ParValue
PV = coupon ´ Annuity Factor + par value ´
Discount Factor
( ) ( )
Annuity Factor r
where 1 (1 )
and 1
(1 )
Bond
t
r
t
Discount Factor
r
-
= - +
=
+
8. ( ) ( ) bond PV = coupon ´ annuity factor + par value´ discount factor
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Bond Pricing: Example
What is the value of a 3-year annuity that pays $90 each year and an
additional $1,000 at the date of the final repayment? Assume a
discount rate of 4%.
3
3
$90 1 (1 .04) $1,000 1
.04 (1 .04)
$1,138.75
Bond PV
- + - = ´ + ´
+
=
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Bond Prices & Interest Rates
As interest rates change, so do bond prices.
What is the present value of a 4% coupon bond with face value
$1,000 that matures in 3 years? Assume a discount rate of 5%.
What is the present value of this same bond at a discount rate of 2%?
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Bond Yields
To calculate how much we earn on a bond investment,
we can calculate two types of bond yields:
Current Yield
Yield to Maturity
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Current Yield: Example
Suppose you spend $1,150 for a $1,000 face value
bond that pays a $60 annual coupon payment for 3
years.
What is the bond’s current yield?
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Yield to Maturity
Yield to Maturity:
coupon par
+ + +
.... ( )
r t
coupon
(1 )1 (1 r
)2 +
PV coupon
r
(1 )
+
+
+
=
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Yield to Maturity: Example
Suppose you spend $1,150 for a $1,000 face value bond
that pays a $60 annual coupon payment for 3 years.
What is the bond’s yield to maturity?
($60 $1,000)
$60
1 2 (1 )3
r (1 r )
+r
$1,150 $60
(1 )
+ +
+
+
+
=
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Rate of Return: Example
Suppose you purchase a 5% coupon bond, par value $1,000,
with 5 years until maturity, for $975.00 today. After one year
you sell the bond for $965.00.
What was the rate of return during the period?
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Interest Rates & Inflation
In the presence of inflation, an investor’s real interest
rate is always less than the nominal interest rate.
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Interest Rates & Inflation
If you invest in a security that pays 10% interest
annually and inflation is 6%, what is your real
interest rate?
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Interest Rates & Inflation:
Example
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS)
Example:
If you invest in 5% coupon, 3 year TIPS and inflation is 3% each
year, what are your real annual cash flows?
Year 1 2 3
Real cash flows $50 $50 $1,050
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The Risk of Default
When investing in bonds, there is always the
risk that the issuer may default.
Default risk
Default premium
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The Risk of Default
Bonds come in many categories, with returns
commensurate with risk.
Credit agency
Investment-grade bonds
Junk bonds
Chapter 6 Learning Objectives
Distinguish among a bond’s coupon rate, current yield, and yield to maturity.
Find the market price of a bond given its yield to maturity, find a bond’s yield given its price, and demonstrate why prices and yields move in opposite directions.
Show why bonds exhibit interest rate risk.
Understand why investors pay attention to bond ratings and demand a higher interest rate for bonds with low ratings.
Chapter 06 Outline
Bonds
Bond Pricing
Bond Prices and Interest Rates
Bond Yields
Current Yield
Yield to Maturity
Bond Rates of Return
The Yield Curve
Interest Rates & Inflation
Nominal & Real Interest Rates
How to Hedge Against Inflation
Default Risk
Credit Agencies
Bond Classifications
Variations in Corporate Bonds
Appendices:
Historical Treasury Bond Rates
Historical Real vs. Nominal Bond Yields
Credit Ratings
Bond – Security that obligates the issuer to make specified payments to the bondholder.
Face Value – Payment at the maturity of the bond.
Also called “principal ” or “par value ”
Coupon – The interest payments paid to the bondholder.
Coupon Rate – Annual interest payment as a percentage of face value.
Asked Price – The price that investors need to pay to buy the bond.
Bid Price – The price asked by an investor who owns the bond and wishes to sell it.
Spread – The difference between the bid price and the asked price.
The spread is how a seller of a bond makes a profit.
Note: While Treasury bonds are quoted in 32nds, corporate bonds are quoted in decimals.
The value of a bond is the present value of all cash flows generated by the bond (coupons and repayment of face value), discounted at the required rate of return.
Notice how we obtain the same value despite calculating the bond’s price two different ways.
When the interest rate rises, the present value of the payments to be received by the bondholder falls and bond prices fall.
When the interest rate decreases, the present value of the payments to be received by the bondholder increases and bond prices rise.
Interest rate risk – The risk in bond prices due to fluctuations in interest rates.
Current Yield – Annual coupon payments divided by bond price.
Yield to Maturity – Interest rate for which the present value of the bond’s payments equals the price.
Current Yield – Annual coupon payments divided by bond price.
Yield to Maturity – Interest rate for which the present value of the bond’s payments equals the price.
Note: Solve yield to maturity using a spreadsheet or a financial calculator. See the Appendix of Chapter 8 for help on this type of problem (which is essentially an internal rate of return)
A bond’s yield to maturity is only helpful if the investor plans on holding the bond until it matures.
A bond’s rate of return can be calculated regardless of how long the bond is held.
Rate of return – Total income per period per dollar invested.
Note: If the investor held the bond all 5 years until maturity, the rate of return would equal the yield to maturity.
Yield Curve – Plot of the relationship between bond yields to maturity and time to maturity.
The yield curve usually slopes upwards, implying that long term bonds generally earn higher yields than short-term bonds.
When interest rates are expected to rise, the yield curve is often upward sloping.
TIPS: U.S. Treasury issued debt with fixed real flows, but with nominal cash flows (interest and principal) that are increased as the consumer price index increases.
Note: What are the nominal cash flows for the example above?
Default Risk – The risk that a bond issuer may default on his bonds.
Companies compensate investors for bearing this added risk in the form of higher interest rates on their bonds.
Default Premium – The additional yield on a bond that investors require for bearing default risk.
Usually the difference between the promised yield on a corporate bond and the yield on a U.S. Treasury bond with the same coupon and maturity.
Credit agency – An agency that rates the safety of most bonds.
Examples: Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s
Investment grade bonds – Bonds rated Baa or above by Moody’s or BBB or above by Standard & Poor’s.
Junk bond – Bond with a rating below Baa or BBB
Zero-Coupon Bonds – Bonds that are issued well below face value with no coupon payment. At maturity investors receive $1,000 face value for the bond.
Are corporate bonds the only bonds which can be offered as zero-coupon bonds?
Floating-Rate Bonds – Bonds with coupon payments that are tied to some measure of current market rates. A common example would be a bond with coupon rate tied to the short-term Treasury rate plus 2%.
Convertible Bonds – Bonds that allow the holder to exchange the bond at a later date for a specified number of shares of common stock.