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Electric Vehicles: What’s in Your Garage?
                 CleanTALK San Diego
                    in partnership with
        San Diego Regional Clean Fuels Coalition
                      November 19, 2009
• Disclosure                       • Objectives
   – My own opinions based           – Increase awareness and
     upon science and                  understanding for
     engineering estimates             making better informed
     and various available             personal and business
     references                        choices
   – If you like it you can hire     – Start a dialog for public
     me                                consensus and support
   – If you don’t like it, I’m         on key issues
     happy to help you get           – Capture a little of your
     started on your own               imagination
     quest
• Imagination and Future Vision
   – Read the 23 pages of Chapter 10 in Thomas Friedman’s
     book, “Hot, Flat , and Crowded”
   – Energy and transportation will be more closely connected
   – Changes are going to affect the way we live, our children
     live and the way our grandchildren live
• Lessons from history
   – Transportation has been one of the most significant
     influences in the development in civilization, life style, and
     the economy
   – Transportation is 64% of San Diego’s energy consumption
San Diego County Energy Consumption
Units       Electricity Natural Gas Petroleum Fuels       Total
Gallons                               1,880,000,000
BTU                                     2.162E+14
MMTh                        581
GWh           18,648       17,027         63,362          99,037
% of Total    18.8%        17.2%          64.0%


                                    Electricity
                                       19%




                                            Natural Gas
                                               17%
           Petroleum Fuels
                 64%
Were the Price Equal to the Cost
Reasons for Alternative and Renewable Fuels
• Air Quality                  • Climate Change
   – NOX                          – GHG
   – HC                           – Carbon caps and taxes
   – Particulates                   are coming
• Healthcare Costs             • International trade
• National Security              policies
                                  – Global Economy
   – Reliable Energy for the
     Economy                      – New Business and
                                    Employment Sectors
   – Follow the Money
If You Can Afford them
CARB ZEV Requirement is Pushing




$5,000 penalty per each ZEV credit not produced
How Fast?
EV’s Best Friend
Charging Stations
Nissan Leaf Battery Electric Plug-in Vehicle

Energy Diet
• 100 Mile Range
• 24kWh battery (gas tank)
• 240Wh/mile (mileage)
• 15.5¢/kWh (fuel cost)
• 3.72¢/mile
LA 4 Drive Cycle
BEV Fuel Efficiency

                            Electricity   Charger
           Power                                    Propulsion
Fuel                     Transmission &     &
            Plant                                     Motor
                           Distribution   Battery
        33% typical          93%           80%         90%       22%
        (50% CC)


                                   Local Solar
                                          Charger
                                                    Propulsion
  Sun         Inverter                      &
                                                      Motor
                                          Battery
(PV 22%)
                (95%)                      80%         90%       72%
Gasoline 30 MPG Vehicle

Energy Diet
• 300 Mile Range
• 10 Gallons (gas tank)
• 30 MPG (mileage)
• $3.00/Gallon (fuel cost)
• 10¢/mile
Energy Efficiency of Operation

 Vehicle       Range    Energy     Energy         Net
              (Miles)   Storage    Storage    Efficiency
                         (kWh)    (Gallons)       to
                                              Propulsion


Gasoline       300        366        10          20%
  ICE
BEV-Grid       100        24        0.66         22%

BEV- Local     100        24        0.66         72%
Fuel Costs of Operation

     Vehicle        Fuel Cost    Mileage     Cost/Mile
Gasoline ICE        $3.00/gal    30 mi/gal     10¢

BEV-night           5¢/kWh      4.2 mi/kWh     1.2¢

BEV-mid peak        10¢/kWh     4.2 mi/kWh     2.4¢

BEV-base tier 1     13¢/kWh     4.2 mi/kWh     3.1¢

BEV-mid tier 2      15¢/kWh     4.2 mi/kWh     3.8¢
Estimated Cost of Operation
                                                   Maintenance (Based on 100,000 miles)
                     Fuel     Fuel                                                         Total Mntnce/ Total
Vehicle   Fuel Cost Mileage Cost/Mile   Battery   Engine   Brakes      Tires       Misc   Mntnce  Mile Cost/Mile
Gas ICE     3.00       30     0.10       100       2,700    3000       500         500     6,800  0.07   0.17
BEV         0.05      4.2     0.01       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.10
BEV         0.10      4.2     0.02       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.11
BEV         0.15      4.2     0.04       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.12
BEV         0.20      4.2     0.05       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.14
BEV         0.25      4.2     0.06       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.15
BEV         0.30      4.2     0.07       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.16
BEV         0.35      4.2     0.08       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.17
BEV         0.40      4.2     0.10       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.18
BEV         0.45      4.2     0.11       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.20
BEV         0.50      4.2     0.12       7200        0      1000       500         200     8,900  0.09   0.21
BEV vs. 30 MPG ICE

• BEV Advantages                     • 30 MPG ICE Advantages
  – Home fueling                       – Range and fueling
  – Zero emissions                       infrastructure traditional
  – Minimal service                    – Time to refuel
     • No oil, belts, filters          – Slightly less expensive
     • >3x brake life                • Disadvantages
  – Local storage for grid             – Oil, air quality, GHG
• Disadvantages                        – Service cost, time
  – Needs infrastructure and           – Time and distance to
    PUC tariffs for sustainability       fuel station
  – Time to refuel
  – Needs noise
Battery Basics
• Chemistry                   • Packs
  – Individual cells            – Series cells to minimize
  – Reversible                    wasted heat
    electrochemical energy      – Need heat rejection
  – Unique characteristics        design for safety and
     •   Power                    long life
     •   Energy                 – Equalization
     •   Life                   – Balancing
     •   Charge rate
                                – Battery Management
     •   Resistance
                                  System
     •   Cost
                                – High capital for
     •   Toxicity
                                  economies of scale
Desired Battery Characteristics
• Safety in operation       •   Long shelf life
• Light weight (power and   •   High operation cycle life
  energy density)           •   Easily manufactured
• Quick charge/discharge    •   Easily recycled
• High power                •   Environmentally safe
• High energy               •   Available materials
• Wide temperature          •   High Quality, Fast
  operation                     Delivery, Cheap –Pick
• Inexpensive                   two!
Some Battery Observations

• Cycle life exponentially   • High rate charges and
  increases with               discharges can shorten
  decreasing depth of          the battery life and
  discharge (DoD)              waste more energy due
• Energy capacity (range)      to heat generation-
  may significantly            efficiencies can easily
  decease in extremely         drop 30%-increasing the
  cold temperatures –          cost of usable kWh
  needs to be managed
More Battery Observations
• Avoiding “empty” and       • Heat is the enemy of
  “full” can be the best       batteries, inverters, and
  thing you do for your        electric motors.
  battery life.              • Each cell in a series
• Charging is not linear-      pack gets exactly the
  85% in half the time for     same current.
  a full charge.             • BMS is required
• Braking regeneration         because cells are
  saves fuel, but uses         different and age
  some battery life            differently.
Power and Energy
• Power                    • Energy
  – Capacity                 – Power over time
  – Up front cost            – What you pay for
  – Limits                   – Range
    charging/discharging
  – Acceleration
  – Load
  – Slope
Energy Path
• Fuel or battery into vehicle (1/2 mv²)
• Vehicle into brakes
• Vehicle into hill climb (30 feet = 30mph)
   – Design highways to go up for deceleration and go down for
     acceleration
• Brakes into heating air and wearing brakes
   – Over 2,000 MWh/day in San Diego
• Alternatively, brakes into regeneration, storage, and
  reuse
References
• “Hot, Flat, and Crowded,” Thomas Friedman, New
  York Times Journalist
• “Deep Hot Biosphere,” Thomas Gold deceased
• CARB ZEV Presentations
• EPA
• DoE
  – EERE
  – NREL
  – ANL

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Electric Vehicles Nov 19 09

  • 1. Electric Vehicles: What’s in Your Garage? CleanTALK San Diego in partnership with San Diego Regional Clean Fuels Coalition November 19, 2009
  • 2. • Disclosure • Objectives – My own opinions based – Increase awareness and upon science and understanding for engineering estimates making better informed and various available personal and business references choices – If you like it you can hire – Start a dialog for public me consensus and support – If you don’t like it, I’m on key issues happy to help you get – Capture a little of your started on your own imagination quest
  • 3.
  • 4. • Imagination and Future Vision – Read the 23 pages of Chapter 10 in Thomas Friedman’s book, “Hot, Flat , and Crowded” – Energy and transportation will be more closely connected – Changes are going to affect the way we live, our children live and the way our grandchildren live • Lessons from history – Transportation has been one of the most significant influences in the development in civilization, life style, and the economy – Transportation is 64% of San Diego’s energy consumption
  • 5. San Diego County Energy Consumption Units Electricity Natural Gas Petroleum Fuels Total Gallons 1,880,000,000 BTU 2.162E+14 MMTh 581 GWh 18,648 17,027 63,362 99,037 % of Total 18.8% 17.2% 64.0% Electricity 19% Natural Gas 17% Petroleum Fuels 64%
  • 6. Were the Price Equal to the Cost
  • 7. Reasons for Alternative and Renewable Fuels • Air Quality • Climate Change – NOX – GHG – HC – Carbon caps and taxes – Particulates are coming • Healthcare Costs • International trade • National Security policies – Global Economy – Reliable Energy for the Economy – New Business and Employment Sectors – Follow the Money
  • 8. If You Can Afford them
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. CARB ZEV Requirement is Pushing $5,000 penalty per each ZEV credit not produced
  • 17.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Nissan Leaf Battery Electric Plug-in Vehicle Energy Diet • 100 Mile Range • 24kWh battery (gas tank) • 240Wh/mile (mileage) • 15.5¢/kWh (fuel cost) • 3.72¢/mile
  • 24. LA 4 Drive Cycle
  • 25. BEV Fuel Efficiency Electricity Charger Power Propulsion Fuel Transmission & & Plant Motor Distribution Battery 33% typical 93% 80% 90% 22% (50% CC) Local Solar Charger Propulsion Sun Inverter & Motor Battery (PV 22%) (95%) 80% 90% 72%
  • 26. Gasoline 30 MPG Vehicle Energy Diet • 300 Mile Range • 10 Gallons (gas tank) • 30 MPG (mileage) • $3.00/Gallon (fuel cost) • 10¢/mile
  • 27.
  • 28. Energy Efficiency of Operation Vehicle Range Energy Energy Net (Miles) Storage Storage Efficiency (kWh) (Gallons) to Propulsion Gasoline 300 366 10 20% ICE BEV-Grid 100 24 0.66 22% BEV- Local 100 24 0.66 72%
  • 29. Fuel Costs of Operation Vehicle Fuel Cost Mileage Cost/Mile Gasoline ICE $3.00/gal 30 mi/gal 10¢ BEV-night 5¢/kWh 4.2 mi/kWh 1.2¢ BEV-mid peak 10¢/kWh 4.2 mi/kWh 2.4¢ BEV-base tier 1 13¢/kWh 4.2 mi/kWh 3.1¢ BEV-mid tier 2 15¢/kWh 4.2 mi/kWh 3.8¢
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Estimated Cost of Operation Maintenance (Based on 100,000 miles) Fuel Fuel Total Mntnce/ Total Vehicle Fuel Cost Mileage Cost/Mile Battery Engine Brakes Tires Misc Mntnce Mile Cost/Mile Gas ICE 3.00 30 0.10 100 2,700 3000 500 500 6,800 0.07 0.17 BEV 0.05 4.2 0.01 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.10 BEV 0.10 4.2 0.02 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.11 BEV 0.15 4.2 0.04 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.12 BEV 0.20 4.2 0.05 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.14 BEV 0.25 4.2 0.06 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.15 BEV 0.30 4.2 0.07 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.16 BEV 0.35 4.2 0.08 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.17 BEV 0.40 4.2 0.10 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.18 BEV 0.45 4.2 0.11 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.20 BEV 0.50 4.2 0.12 7200 0 1000 500 200 8,900 0.09 0.21
  • 33.
  • 34. BEV vs. 30 MPG ICE • BEV Advantages • 30 MPG ICE Advantages – Home fueling – Range and fueling – Zero emissions infrastructure traditional – Minimal service – Time to refuel • No oil, belts, filters – Slightly less expensive • >3x brake life • Disadvantages – Local storage for grid – Oil, air quality, GHG • Disadvantages – Service cost, time – Needs infrastructure and – Time and distance to PUC tariffs for sustainability fuel station – Time to refuel – Needs noise
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Battery Basics • Chemistry • Packs – Individual cells – Series cells to minimize – Reversible wasted heat electrochemical energy – Need heat rejection – Unique characteristics design for safety and • Power long life • Energy – Equalization • Life – Balancing • Charge rate – Battery Management • Resistance System • Cost – High capital for • Toxicity economies of scale
  • 41. Desired Battery Characteristics • Safety in operation • Long shelf life • Light weight (power and • High operation cycle life energy density) • Easily manufactured • Quick charge/discharge • Easily recycled • High power • Environmentally safe • High energy • Available materials • Wide temperature • High Quality, Fast operation Delivery, Cheap –Pick • Inexpensive two!
  • 42. Some Battery Observations • Cycle life exponentially • High rate charges and increases with discharges can shorten decreasing depth of the battery life and discharge (DoD) waste more energy due • Energy capacity (range) to heat generation- may significantly efficiencies can easily decease in extremely drop 30%-increasing the cold temperatures – cost of usable kWh needs to be managed
  • 43. More Battery Observations • Avoiding “empty” and • Heat is the enemy of “full” can be the best batteries, inverters, and thing you do for your electric motors. battery life. • Each cell in a series • Charging is not linear- pack gets exactly the 85% in half the time for same current. a full charge. • BMS is required • Braking regeneration because cells are saves fuel, but uses different and age some battery life differently.
  • 44. Power and Energy • Power • Energy – Capacity – Power over time – Up front cost – What you pay for – Limits – Range charging/discharging – Acceleration – Load – Slope
  • 45. Energy Path • Fuel or battery into vehicle (1/2 mv²) • Vehicle into brakes • Vehicle into hill climb (30 feet = 30mph) – Design highways to go up for deceleration and go down for acceleration • Brakes into heating air and wearing brakes – Over 2,000 MWh/day in San Diego • Alternatively, brakes into regeneration, storage, and reuse
  • 46. References • “Hot, Flat, and Crowded,” Thomas Friedman, New York Times Journalist • “Deep Hot Biosphere,” Thomas Gold deceased • CARB ZEV Presentations • EPA • DoE – EERE – NREL – ANL