1. Decade 2000's Comparison GIC to Growth Investing
The following is an analysis comparing GIC returns over the last decade to stock market returns:
Date 5Yr Value Cumul TSX Value Cum Blend Value Cumul
GIC Rtn Return Rtn 50%TSX-50%DJIA Rtn
Jan 1/00 5% 1,000,000.00$ 10% 1,000,000.00$ 4% 1,000,000.00$
Jan 1/01 5% 1,050,000.00$ 5% -18% 1,100,000.00$ 10% -9% 1,037,259.06$ 4%
Jan 1/02 5% 1,102,500.00$ 10% -14% 902,000.00$ -10% -16% 940,351.97$ -6%
Jan 1/03 5% 1,157,625.00$ 16% 30% 775,720.00$ -22% 16% 788,931.41$ -21%
Jan 1/04 5% 1,215,506.25$ 22% 8% 1,008,436.00$ 1% 2% 916,740.10$ -8%
Jan 1/05 4% 1,276,281.56$ 28% 30% 1,089,110.88$ 9% 13% 935,539.67$ -6%
Jan 1/06 4% 1,327,332.83$ 33% 9% 1,415,844.14$ 42% 13% 1,053,301.78$ 5%
Jan 1/07 4% 1,380,426.14$ 38% 1% 1,543,270.12$ 54% -4% 1,189,082.67$ 19%
Jan 1/08 4% 1,435,643.18$ 44% -34% 1,558,702.82$ 56% -27% 1,137,539.93$ 14%
Jan 1/09 4% 1,493,068.91$ 49% 35% 1,028,743.86$ 3% 19% 833,212.77$ -17%
Jan 1/10 1,552,791.67$ 55% 1,388,804.21$ 39% After Fees: 987,380.53$ -1%
Variance Over 10 Yrs. To GIC: 163,987.46-$ 363,987.46-$ 565,411.14-$
-11% -23% -36%
DJIA Value FX Adj Cumul Rtn/Yr Gold Value Cumul
US$ CD/US FX (CDN$) Rtn w/Foreign Exch CDN Rtn
-6% 692,856.65$ 1.4433 1,000,000.00$ -6% 1,000,000.00$
-7% 651,285.25$ 1.4963 974,518.12$ -3% -3% 13% 940,000.00$ -6%
-17% 605,695.28$ 1.5979 967,840.49$ -3% -1% 20% 1,062,200.00$ 6%
25% 502,727.09$ 1.5747 791,644.34$ -21% -18% 2% 1,274,640.00$ 27%
3% 628,408.86$ 1.2900 810,647.42$ -19% 2% -2% 1,300,132.80$ 30%
-1% 647,261.12$ 1.2036 779,043.49$ -22% -4% 7% 1,274,130.14$ 27%
16% 640,788.51$ 1.1571 741,456.39$ -26% -5% 24% 1,363,319.25$ 36%
6% 743,314.67$ 1.1649 865,887.26$ -13% 17% 24% 1,690,515.88$ 69%
-34% 787,913.55$ 0.9927 782,161.78$ -22% -10% 18% 2,096,239.69$ 110%
19% 520,022.95$ 1.2107 629,591.78$ -37% -20% 10% 2,473,562.83$ 147%
618,827.30$ 1.0378 642,218.98$ -36% 2% 2,720,919.11$ 172%
Variance Over 10 Yrs. To GIC: 910,572.69-$ 1,110,572.69-$ After 1,168,127.44$
-59% -72% Fees 75%
Notes: Fees on $1 million/yr. is about 2% or $20,000 per year (exluded in analysis) - TOTAL FEES are $200,000.00; taxes not accounted for
2. Summary: 1/1/00 to 1/ 1/10; Start $1 mill GIC TSX DJIA Blended Gold
Note: Value: 1,552,791.67$ 1,388,804.21$ 642,218.98$ 987,380.53$ 2,720,919.11$
Excl. Fees Amount < or > GIC: 163,987.46-$ 910,572.69-$ 565,411.14-$ 1,168,127.44$
% Differnce GIC: -11% -59% -36% 75%
Summary Points: 1. Gold outperformed all securities by a wide margin
2. Worst persorming asset class was the US stock market, especially after considering foreign exchange and fees
3. Canadian stock market still underperformed GIC's by over 10% or potentially over 20% with fees