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Theories
of
International
Trade
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
International Business, 5/e
4-2
Learning Objectives
 To understand the traditional arguments
of how and why international
trade improves the welfare of all
countries


To review the history and compare the
implications of trade theory from the
original work of Adam Smith to the
contemporary theories of Michael Porter
To examine the criticisms of classical
trade theory and examine alternative
viewpoints of which business and
economic forces determine trade patterns
between countries
4-3
Evolution of Trade Theories
 Mercantilism
 Absolute advantage (Classical)
 Comparative advantage
 Factor Proportions Trade
 International Product Cycle
 New Trade Theory
 National competitive advantage
4-4
Mercantilism: mid-16th century
 A nation’s wealth depends on accumulated
treasure


Gold and silver are the currency of
trade
Theory says you should have a trade surplus.


Maximize export through subsidies.
Minimize imports through tariffs
and quotas
 Flaw: restrictions, impaired growth
4-5
Defining mercantilism …
 … trade theory holding that nations
should accumulate financial wealth,
usually in the form of gold (forget
things like living standards or
human development) by encouraging
exports and discouraging imports
4-6
Theory of absolute advantage
 Adam Smith: Wealth of Nations (1776) argued:

 Capability of one country to produce more of
a product with the same amount of input than
another country
A country should produce only goods where it
is most efficient, and trade for those goods
where it is not efficient

 mong
Trade between countries is, therefore, beneficial
Assumes there is an absolute balance a
nations
4-7
Theory of absolute advantage


 … destroys the mercantilist idea since there
are gains to be had by both countries party to
an exchange
… questions the objective of national
governments to acquire wealth through
restrictive trade policies
… measures a nation’s wealth by the living
standards of its people
4-8
Theory of absolute advantage
PPF – Production Possibility Frontier
4-9
4-10
4-11
4-12
4-13
Theory of comparative advantage
 David Ricardo: Principles of Political Economy (1817)



Extends free trade argument
Efficiency of resource utilization leads to more
productivity
Should import even if country is more efficient in the
product’s production than country from which it is
buying.
 Look to see how much more efficient. If only
comparatively efficient, than import.


Makes better use of resources
Trade is a positive-sum game
4-14
Theory of comparative advantage
4-15
Comparative advantage and the gains
from trade
4-16
4-17
Comparative advantage:
Bollywood
4-18
4-19
4-20
Assumptions and limitations





Driven only by maximization of production
and consumption
Only 2 countries engaged in production and
consumption of just 2 goods?
What about the transportation costs?
Only resource – labour (that too, non-
transferable)
No consideration for ‘learning theory’
4-21
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Factor proportions theory


Heckscher (1919) - Olin (1933) Theory
Export goods that intensively use factor endowments
which are locally abundant
 Corollary: import goods made from locally
scarce factors



Note: Factor endowments can be impacted by
government policy - minimum wage
Patterns of trade are determined by differences in
factor endowments - not productivity
Remember, focus on relative advantage, not absolute
advantage
4-22
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Factor proportions theory


… trade theory holding that countries produce
and export those goods that require resources
(factors) that are abundant (and thus cheapest)
and import those goods that require resources
that are in short supply
Example:

 Australia – lot of land and a small population
(relative to its size)
So what should it export and import?
4-23
Factor Proportions Trade Theory
Considers Two Factors of Production
 Labor
 Capital
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
4-24
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Factor Proportions Trade Theory
A country that is relatively labor
abundant (capital abundant)
should specialize in the production
and export of that product which is
relatively labor intensive (capital
intensive)
4-25
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
The Leontief Paradox
The Test:
Could Factor Proportions Theory be
used to explain the types of goods the
United States imported and exported?
The Method:
Input-output analysis
4-26
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
The Leontief Paradox
The Findings:
The U.S. exported labor-intensive
products and imported capital-intensive
products.
The Controversy:
Findings were the opposite of what was
generally believed to be true!
4-27
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Product life-cycle Theory




R.Vernon (1966)
… trade theory holding that a company will
begin by exporting its product and later
undertake foreign direct investment as the
product moves through its lifecycle
As products mature, both location of sales and
optimal production changes
Affects the direction and flow of imports and
exports
Globalization and integration of the economy
makes this theory less valid
4-28
Product life cycle theory
Fig 4.5
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
4-29
The Product Cycle and Trade
Implications
 Increased emphasis on technology’s
impact on product cost
 Explained international investment
 Limitations
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


 Most appropriate for technology-based
products
Some products not easily characterized by
stages of maturity
Most relevant to products produced
through mass production
4-30
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
New trade theory
In industries with high fixed costs:
 Specialization increases output, and the
ability to enhance economies of scale
increases
 Learning effects are high. These are cost
savings that come from ‘learning by
doing’
4-31
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
New trade theory - applications
 Typically, requires industries with high, fixed
costs
 World demand will support few competitors
 Competitors may emerge because of “ First-
mover advantage”


Economies of scale may preclude new entrants
Role of the government becomes significant
 Some argue that it generates government
intervention and strategic trade policy
4-32
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Theory of national competitive advantage


The theory attempts to analyze the reasons for a
nations success in a particular industry
Porter studied 100 industries in 10 nations
 postulated determinants of competitive advantage
of a nation based on four major attributes
 Factor endowments
 Demand conditions
 Related and supporting industries
 Firm strategy, structure and rivalry
4-33
Porter’s diamond

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Success occurs where
these attributes exist.
More/greater the
attribute, the higher
chance of success
The diamond is
mutually reinforcing
4-34
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Factor endowments



Factor endowments:- A nation’s position in
factors of production such as skilled labor or
infrastructure necessary to compete in a given
industry
Basic factor endowments
Advanced factor endowments
4-35
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Basic factor endowments
 Basic factors: Factors present in a country




Natural resources
Climate
Geographic location
Demographics
 While basic factors can provide an initial
advantage they must be supported by
advanced factors to maintain success
4-36
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Advanced factor endowments


Advanced factors: Are the result of
investment by people, companies,
government and are more likely to lead to
competitive advantage
If a country has no basic factors, it must
invest in advanced factors
4-37
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Advanced factor endowments
 communications
 skilled labor
 research
 Technology
 education
4-38
Demand conditions
 Demand:


creates capabilities
creates sophisticated
and demanding
consumers
 Demand impacts quality
and innovation
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
4-39
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Related and supporting industries
 Creates clusters of supporting industries that
are internationally competitive
 Must also meet requirements of other parts
of the Diamond
4-40
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry



Long term corporate vision is a determinant
of success
Management ‘ideology’ and structure of the
firm can either help or hurt you
Presence of domestic rivalry improves a
company’s competitiveness
4-41
Determinants of Competitive Advantage
in nations
Government
Company Strategy,
Structure,
and Rivalry
Demand
Conditions
Related
and Supporting
Industries
Factor
Conditions
Chance
Two external
factors that
influence the
four
determinants.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Fig 4.8
4-42
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Porter’s Theory-predictions
 Porter’s theory should predict the pattern of
international trade that we observe in the real
world
 Countries should be exporting products from
those industries where all four components of
the diamond are favorable, while importing in
those areas where the components are not
favorable
4-43
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Implications for business
 Location implications:


Disperse production activities to countries
where they can be performed most efficiently
First-mover implications:


Invest substantial financial resources in building
a first-mover, or early-mover advantage
Policy implications:
 Promoting free trade is in the best interests of the
home-country, not always in the best interests of
the firm, even though, many firms promote open
markets
4-44
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
4-45
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
4-46
India in the global competitiveness report
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 5/e
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

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Unit 1 international trade theory

  • 2. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights International Business, 5/e 4-2 Learning Objectives  To understand the traditional arguments of how and why international trade improves the welfare of all countries   To review the history and compare the implications of trade theory from the original work of Adam Smith to the contemporary theories of Michael Porter To examine the criticisms of classical trade theory and examine alternative viewpoints of which business and economic forces determine trade patterns between countries
  • 3. 4-3 Evolution of Trade Theories  Mercantilism  Absolute advantage (Classical)  Comparative advantage  Factor Proportions Trade  International Product Cycle  New Trade Theory  National competitive advantage
  • 4. 4-4 Mercantilism: mid-16th century  A nation’s wealth depends on accumulated treasure   Gold and silver are the currency of trade Theory says you should have a trade surplus.   Maximize export through subsidies. Minimize imports through tariffs and quotas  Flaw: restrictions, impaired growth
  • 5. 4-5 Defining mercantilism …  … trade theory holding that nations should accumulate financial wealth, usually in the form of gold (forget things like living standards or human development) by encouraging exports and discouraging imports
  • 6. 4-6 Theory of absolute advantage  Adam Smith: Wealth of Nations (1776) argued:   Capability of one country to produce more of a product with the same amount of input than another country A country should produce only goods where it is most efficient, and trade for those goods where it is not efficient   mong Trade between countries is, therefore, beneficial Assumes there is an absolute balance a nations
  • 7. 4-7 Theory of absolute advantage    … destroys the mercantilist idea since there are gains to be had by both countries party to an exchange … questions the objective of national governments to acquire wealth through restrictive trade policies … measures a nation’s wealth by the living standards of its people
  • 8. 4-8 Theory of absolute advantage PPF – Production Possibility Frontier
  • 9. 4-9
  • 10. 4-10
  • 11. 4-11
  • 12. 4-12
  • 13. 4-13 Theory of comparative advantage  David Ricardo: Principles of Political Economy (1817)    Extends free trade argument Efficiency of resource utilization leads to more productivity Should import even if country is more efficient in the product’s production than country from which it is buying.  Look to see how much more efficient. If only comparatively efficient, than import.   Makes better use of resources Trade is a positive-sum game
  • 15. 4-15 Comparative advantage and the gains from trade
  • 16. 4-16
  • 18. 4-18
  • 19. 4-19
  • 20. 4-20 Assumptions and limitations      Driven only by maximization of production and consumption Only 2 countries engaged in production and consumption of just 2 goods? What about the transportation costs? Only resource – labour (that too, non- transferable) No consideration for ‘learning theory’
  • 21. 4-21 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factor proportions theory   Heckscher (1919) - Olin (1933) Theory Export goods that intensively use factor endowments which are locally abundant  Corollary: import goods made from locally scarce factors    Note: Factor endowments can be impacted by government policy - minimum wage Patterns of trade are determined by differences in factor endowments - not productivity Remember, focus on relative advantage, not absolute advantage
  • 22. 4-22 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factor proportions theory   … trade theory holding that countries produce and export those goods that require resources (factors) that are abundant (and thus cheapest) and import those goods that require resources that are in short supply Example:   Australia – lot of land and a small population (relative to its size) So what should it export and import?
  • 23. 4-23 Factor Proportions Trade Theory Considers Two Factors of Production  Labor  Capital McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
  • 24. 4-24 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factor Proportions Trade Theory A country that is relatively labor abundant (capital abundant) should specialize in the production and export of that product which is relatively labor intensive (capital intensive)
  • 25. 4-25 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Leontief Paradox The Test: Could Factor Proportions Theory be used to explain the types of goods the United States imported and exported? The Method: Input-output analysis
  • 26. 4-26 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Leontief Paradox The Findings: The U.S. exported labor-intensive products and imported capital-intensive products. The Controversy: Findings were the opposite of what was generally believed to be true!
  • 27. 4-27 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Product life-cycle Theory     R.Vernon (1966) … trade theory holding that a company will begin by exporting its product and later undertake foreign direct investment as the product moves through its lifecycle As products mature, both location of sales and optimal production changes Affects the direction and flow of imports and exports Globalization and integration of the economy makes this theory less valid
  • 28. 4-28 Product life cycle theory Fig 4.5 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
  • 29. 4-29 The Product Cycle and Trade Implications  Increased emphasis on technology’s impact on product cost  Explained international investment  Limitations McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.    Most appropriate for technology-based products Some products not easily characterized by stages of maturity Most relevant to products produced through mass production
  • 30. 4-30 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. New trade theory In industries with high fixed costs:  Specialization increases output, and the ability to enhance economies of scale increases  Learning effects are high. These are cost savings that come from ‘learning by doing’
  • 31. 4-31 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. New trade theory - applications  Typically, requires industries with high, fixed costs  World demand will support few competitors  Competitors may emerge because of “ First- mover advantage”   Economies of scale may preclude new entrants Role of the government becomes significant  Some argue that it generates government intervention and strategic trade policy
  • 32. 4-32 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Theory of national competitive advantage   The theory attempts to analyze the reasons for a nations success in a particular industry Porter studied 100 industries in 10 nations  postulated determinants of competitive advantage of a nation based on four major attributes  Factor endowments  Demand conditions  Related and supporting industries  Firm strategy, structure and rivalry
  • 33. 4-33 Porter’s diamond  McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.   Success occurs where these attributes exist. More/greater the attribute, the higher chance of success The diamond is mutually reinforcing
  • 34. 4-34 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factor endowments    Factor endowments:- A nation’s position in factors of production such as skilled labor or infrastructure necessary to compete in a given industry Basic factor endowments Advanced factor endowments
  • 35. 4-35 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Basic factor endowments  Basic factors: Factors present in a country     Natural resources Climate Geographic location Demographics  While basic factors can provide an initial advantage they must be supported by advanced factors to maintain success
  • 36. 4-36 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Advanced factor endowments   Advanced factors: Are the result of investment by people, companies, government and are more likely to lead to competitive advantage If a country has no basic factors, it must invest in advanced factors
  • 37. 4-37 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Advanced factor endowments  communications  skilled labor  research  Technology  education
  • 38. 4-38 Demand conditions  Demand:   creates capabilities creates sophisticated and demanding consumers  Demand impacts quality and innovation McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
  • 39. 4-39 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Related and supporting industries  Creates clusters of supporting industries that are internationally competitive  Must also meet requirements of other parts of the Diamond
  • 40. 4-40 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry    Long term corporate vision is a determinant of success Management ‘ideology’ and structure of the firm can either help or hurt you Presence of domestic rivalry improves a company’s competitiveness
  • 41. 4-41 Determinants of Competitive Advantage in nations Government Company Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry Demand Conditions Related and Supporting Industries Factor Conditions Chance Two external factors that influence the four determinants. McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Fig 4.8
  • 42. 4-42 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Porter’s Theory-predictions  Porter’s theory should predict the pattern of international trade that we observe in the real world  Countries should be exporting products from those industries where all four components of the diamond are favorable, while importing in those areas where the components are not favorable
  • 43. 4-43 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Implications for business  Location implications:   Disperse production activities to countries where they can be performed most efficiently First-mover implications:   Invest substantial financial resources in building a first-mover, or early-mover advantage Policy implications:  Promoting free trade is in the best interests of the home-country, not always in the best interests of the firm, even though, many firms promote open markets
  • 44. 4-44 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
  • 45. 4-45 McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
  • 46. 4-46 India in the global competitiveness report McGraw-Hill/Irwin International Business, 5/e © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.