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Optimizing PHEVs on The Grid
                                           Allison King & Aaron Sobel




ESM 242 - Natural Resource Economics
Bren School of Environmental Science & Management
Research Questions
Research Questions
How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally
              charged in California during off-peak hours?
Research Questions
How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally
              charged in California during off-peak hours?
                   What is the optimal charging sequence?
Research Questions
How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally
              charged in California during off-peak hours?
                   What is the optimal charging sequence?

       What are the costs and greenhouse gas emissions in
                    this scenario compared to status quo?
Considerations


Plugin Hybrid Electric Cars (PHEV)


Electrical Demand & Supply Curves


    Decrease GHG Emissions


     Maximize Grid Efficiency


         Minimize Costs
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
                                                      May 16, 2009
32,000



28,750



25,500



22,250



19,000
         1    3     6     8    10    13    15    17       19         22   24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
                                                                                                   May 16, 2009
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8    10    13    15    17       19         22   24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
                                                                                                       May 16, 2009
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17       19         22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
                                                                                                       May 16, 2009
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17       19         22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000



28,750


         Baseload Power
25,500



22,250



19,000
         1    3     6     8    10    13    15    17    19   22    24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000



28,750


         Baseload Power
25,500 Constantly Used Generation
       •Between 18-26MW


22,250



19,000
         1     3       6       8    10   13   15   17   19   22   24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000   Peak Load


28,750



25,500



22,250



19,000
         1    3     6     8    10    13    15    17    19   22    24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000   Peak Load
         Peaking Plants Run Approximately 20% of the Day
         •Highest GHG Emissions
28,750



25,500



22,250



19,000
         1      3       6       8       10      13         15   17   19   22   24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000
         Load-Following

28,750



25,500



22,250



19,000
         1    3     6     8    10    13    15    17    19   22    24
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
32,000
         Load-Following
         Power Generated In Between

28,750



25,500



22,250



19,000
         1      3       6       8     10   13   15   17   19   22   24
Source: EIA, 2008
Vehicle Types

Gasoline   Hybrid   PHEV    Electric
Vehicle Types

Gasoline   Hybrid   PHEV    Electric
Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles



Designation      All-Electric Mileage
 PHEV-20                20 Miles

 PHEV-40                40 Miles

 PHEV-60                60 Miles
Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles



Designation      All-Electric Mileage
 PHEV-20                20 Miles

 PHEV-40                40 Miles

 PHEV-60                60 Miles
Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles
                 PHEV-20

Vehicle Class            Charge Time Required*
Compact Sedan                            5 Hours
Mid-Size Sedan                           6 Hours
Mid-Size SUV                             8 Hours
 Full-Size SUV                          10 Hours
                 *Based upon 120V / 15A Circuit Charger & 20% Full Charge
Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles
                 PHEV-20

Vehicle Class            Charge Time Required*
Compact Sedan                            5 Hours
Mid-Size Sedan                           6 Hours
Mid-Size SUV                             8 Hours
 Full-Size SUV                          10 Hours
                 *Based upon 120V / 15A Circuit Charger & 20% Full Charge
Scenario Assumptions

Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles
PHEV-20
Compact Sedan
20% Starting Charge

80% of CA Vehicles Represented
Lithium-Ion Batteries Assumed
DEMO
Reduced Greenhouse Gas Emissions from PHEV on the Grid
                                                                                             May 16, 2009

                                          Gasoline*     PHEV (700g CO2e/kWh)          PHEV (450g CO2e/kWh)
Emissions in Thousand Metric Tons CO2E




                                                      Emissions by Source of Vehicle Energy
                                                                          *Based upon Comparison to 29 MPG Honda Civic
Reduced Greenhouse Gas Emissions from PHEV on the Grid
                                                                                                  May 16, 2009

                                               Gasoline*     PHEV (700g CO2e/kWh)          PHEV (450g CO2e/kWh)
Emissions in Thousand Metric Tons CO2E


                                         90



                                    67.5



                                         45



                                    22.5



                                          0
                                                           Emissions by Source of Vehicle Energy
                                                                               *Based upon Comparison to 29 MPG Honda Civic
Cost Savings for PHEV
                       (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute)




*Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average
             retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
Cost Savings for PHEV
                       (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute)


        Daily Fuel Costs Per Person
        Gasoline                     PHEV-20

           $2.22                         $1.18




*Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average
             retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
Cost Savings for PHEV
                       (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute)


        Daily Fuel Costs Per Person
        Gasoline                     PHEV-20

           $2.22                         $1.18

         Daily Fuel Costs For Fleet
        Gasoline                     PHEV-20

    $23.5 Million                 $12.5 Million

*Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average
             retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
Cost Savings for PHEV
                       (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute)


        Daily Fuel Costs Per Person
        Gasoline                     PHEV-20

           $2.22                         $1.18

         Daily Fuel Costs For Fleet
                                                                  $10.9 Million
        Gasoline                     PHEV-20                        Savings

    $23.5 Million                 $12.5 Million

*Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average
             retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
“According to the Energy Commission
   forecast, maximum summer demand in
2010 is forecasted to be 64,216 MW and
 is expected to increase an average of 1.4
  percent per year for the next five years”



                   Source: Energy Commission 2007b, Form 1.4, p.42; Energy Commission 2009b
PHEVs can reduce emissions here!
                  (sort of)
“The batteries in plug-in
  hybrids and electric vehicles
    have the potential to aid
system reliability by acting as a
 storage device for the electric
  grid. These batteries may be
  able to provide a useful sink
    for excess off-peak wind
           generation”


         Source: California Energy Commission 2009, CEC-700-2009-009-F
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17   19   22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17   19   22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750



                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17   19   22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750


                                                                                     Flattened Power Demand
                                             25,500



                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17   19   22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours
Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW)

                                             32,000



                                             28,750


                                                                                     Flattened Power Demand
                                             25,500                                                    sweet!


                                             22,250



                                             19,000
                                                      1    3     6     8      10    13       15   17   19       22   24
                                                                           Hour of the Day
Next Steps
Next Steps

Estimate Effects on Peaking

Sensitivity for Multiple MPG

       Adjust Costs

      Efficiency Loses
Data Sources
Data Sources
   Christopher Weber, Paulina Jaramillo, Joe Marriott, and
Constantine Samaras. n.d. Life Cycle Assessment and Grid
Electricity: What Do We Know and What Can We Know? 
                                       Jason Wynne. 2009.

       Department of Energy. 2010. EIA - Electricity Data,
   Electric Power Capacity and Fuel Use, Electric Surveys
           and Analysis. May 2010. http://www.eia.doe.gov/
                                           fuelelectric.html.

 Impact of Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles on California's
   Electricity Grid. Nicholas School, Duke University, May
                                                     2009.

   Joe Marriott, and Scott Matthews. 2005. Environmental
        Effects of Interstate Power Trading on Electricity
         Consumption Mixes. Environmental Science and
                                          Technology 39.

Ryan McCarthy, and Christopher Yang. 2009. Determining
   marginal electricity for near-term plug-in and fuel cell
       vehicle demands in California: Impacts on vehicle
greenhouse gas emissions. Journal of Power Sources 195
                                               (October). 
Optimizing PHEVs on The Grid
Optimizing PHEVs on The Grid
              sweet!
Optimizing PHEVs on the Grid

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Optimizing PHEVs on the Grid

  • 1. Optimizing PHEVs on The Grid Allison King & Aaron Sobel ESM 242 - Natural Resource Economics Bren School of Environmental Science & Management
  • 3. Research Questions How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally charged in California during off-peak hours?
  • 4. Research Questions How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally charged in California during off-peak hours? What is the optimal charging sequence?
  • 5. Research Questions How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles can be optimally charged in California during off-peak hours? What is the optimal charging sequence? What are the costs and greenhouse gas emissions in this scenario compared to status quo?
  • 6.
  • 7. Considerations Plugin Hybrid Electric Cars (PHEV) Electrical Demand & Supply Curves Decrease GHG Emissions Maximize Grid Efficiency Minimize Costs
  • 8.
  • 9. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours May 16, 2009 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 10. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours May 16, 2009 Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 11. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours May 16, 2009 Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 12. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours May 16, 2009 Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 13. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 28,750 Baseload Power 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 14. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 28,750 Baseload Power 25,500 Constantly Used Generation •Between 18-26MW 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 15. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 Peak Load 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 16. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 Peak Load Peaking Plants Run Approximately 20% of the Day •Highest GHG Emissions 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 17. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 Load-Following 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 18. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours 32,000 Load-Following Power Generated In Between 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24
  • 20. Vehicle Types Gasoline Hybrid PHEV Electric
  • 21. Vehicle Types Gasoline Hybrid PHEV Electric
  • 22. Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles Designation All-Electric Mileage PHEV-20 20 Miles PHEV-40 40 Miles PHEV-60 60 Miles
  • 23. Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles Designation All-Electric Mileage PHEV-20 20 Miles PHEV-40 40 Miles PHEV-60 60 Miles
  • 24. Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles PHEV-20 Vehicle Class Charge Time Required* Compact Sedan 5 Hours Mid-Size Sedan 6 Hours Mid-Size SUV 8 Hours Full-Size SUV 10 Hours *Based upon 120V / 15A Circuit Charger & 20% Full Charge
  • 25. Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles PHEV-20 Vehicle Class Charge Time Required* Compact Sedan 5 Hours Mid-Size Sedan 6 Hours Mid-Size SUV 8 Hours Full-Size SUV 10 Hours *Based upon 120V / 15A Circuit Charger & 20% Full Charge
  • 26. Scenario Assumptions Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicles PHEV-20 Compact Sedan 20% Starting Charge 80% of CA Vehicles Represented Lithium-Ion Batteries Assumed
  • 27. DEMO
  • 28. Reduced Greenhouse Gas Emissions from PHEV on the Grid May 16, 2009 Gasoline* PHEV (700g CO2e/kWh) PHEV (450g CO2e/kWh) Emissions in Thousand Metric Tons CO2E Emissions by Source of Vehicle Energy *Based upon Comparison to 29 MPG Honda Civic
  • 29. Reduced Greenhouse Gas Emissions from PHEV on the Grid May 16, 2009 Gasoline* PHEV (700g CO2e/kWh) PHEV (450g CO2e/kWh) Emissions in Thousand Metric Tons CO2E 90 67.5 45 22.5 0 Emissions by Source of Vehicle Energy *Based upon Comparison to 29 MPG Honda Civic
  • 30. Cost Savings for PHEV (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute) *Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
  • 31. Cost Savings for PHEV (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute) Daily Fuel Costs Per Person Gasoline PHEV-20 $2.22 $1.18 *Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
  • 32. Cost Savings for PHEV (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute) Daily Fuel Costs Per Person Gasoline PHEV-20 $2.22 $1.18 Daily Fuel Costs For Fleet Gasoline PHEV-20 $23.5 Million $12.5 Million *Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
  • 33. Cost Savings for PHEV (Based on a 26.2 Mile Commute) Daily Fuel Costs Per Person Gasoline PHEV-20 $2.22 $1.18 Daily Fuel Costs For Fleet $10.9 Million Gasoline PHEV-20 Savings $23.5 Million $12.5 Million *Assuming a May 11, 2009 gasoline cost of $2.42 & an average retail electricity cost of $0.1248/kWh (EIA, 2010)
  • 34. “According to the Energy Commission forecast, maximum summer demand in 2010 is forecasted to be 64,216 MW and is expected to increase an average of 1.4 percent per year for the next five years” Source: Energy Commission 2007b, Form 1.4, p.42; Energy Commission 2009b
  • 35.
  • 36. PHEVs can reduce emissions here! (sort of)
  • 37.
  • 38. “The batteries in plug-in hybrids and electric vehicles have the potential to aid system reliability by acting as a storage device for the electric grid. These batteries may be able to provide a useful sink for excess off-peak wind generation” Source: California Energy Commission 2009, CEC-700-2009-009-F
  • 39. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 40. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 41. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 42. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 Flattened Power Demand 25,500 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 43. Hourly Electricity Generation by CA Grid over 24 Hours Power Plant Electricity Generation (in MW) 32,000 28,750 Flattened Power Demand 25,500 sweet! 22,250 19,000 1 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 22 24 Hour of the Day
  • 45. Next Steps Estimate Effects on Peaking Sensitivity for Multiple MPG Adjust Costs Efficiency Loses
  • 47. Data Sources Christopher Weber, Paulina Jaramillo, Joe Marriott, and Constantine Samaras. n.d. Life Cycle Assessment and Grid Electricity: What Do We Know and What Can We Know?  Jason Wynne. 2009. Department of Energy. 2010. EIA - Electricity Data, Electric Power Capacity and Fuel Use, Electric Surveys and Analysis. May 2010. http://www.eia.doe.gov/ fuelelectric.html. Impact of Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles on California's Electricity Grid. Nicholas School, Duke University, May 2009. Joe Marriott, and Scott Matthews. 2005. Environmental Effects of Interstate Power Trading on Electricity Consumption Mixes. Environmental Science and Technology 39. Ryan McCarthy, and Christopher Yang. 2009. Determining marginal electricity for near-term plug-in and fuel cell vehicle demands in California: Impacts on vehicle greenhouse gas emissions. Journal of Power Sources 195 (October). 
  • 49. Optimizing PHEVs on The Grid sweet!

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